by Roccland » Fri 03 Aug 2007, 22:54:27
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('IrrationalExuberanceMonky', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Roccland', 'A')nd here is the kicker...
the dollar fell with the DOW.
This means things are much worse than they appear.
Game OVER.
Nah, the dollar sold off on a weak NFP report and technicals, this was psychological selling in stocks on friday (fear). The institutional bids came in mid week to buy the technical low to bump up Q3 profits but the "low" was trash, no bids turning us around so things got nasty at the end of the day friday. It's all volatile and ugly, the media is doom pimping, so a rally next week seems like a good bet for a few reasons, but this whole thing should be the first "real" correction since 2002 (up to 10% on the SPX maybe even more, worse on the RUT, NAZ & DOW should hold up better). That big f'ckn candle slicing through the 200DMA on the SPX was just ugly as hell, the institutional money watches those points closely. Daytraders, Hedge Funds and I-Bank proprietary traders will buy these oversold markets in the day, don't expect them to hang around for the close though....
Funny thing was watching those Dow components, the block bids were itching on those EOD rallys for the few Dow components in the small representation of US stocks that the Dow is to buy. Just plain nasty (short term).
Gonna be a fun week!

Guess we are just gonna see what happens Sunday night with the yen...to see how Monday shakes out...after that it is on the Fed...less than 1% chance of rate drop, but hey anything is possible.
We may be heading back to 2006 numbers on short order.