by BigTex » Thu 24 Aug 2006, 18:23:34
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JustinFrankl', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mortifiedpenguin', 'G')oodbye.
Enjoy your vacation. You'll be back.
Here are a few things he may want to check out on his vacation:
1. Walmart's stock price the last few years (flat or down) (beginning of implosion)
2. Ford is about to roll out 72 month 0% financing on its trucks--its top-selling vehicles (didn't see that in 1998) (gas guzzler craze winding down)
3. We have 130,000 troops occupying a country in the middle east with serious plans to invade or bomb one or maybe two more (we were just flying over Iraq in 1998) (nuking of Iran is part of proposed U.S. battle plan)
4. Bankruptcies are up, up, up and the credit card companies convinced Congress to basically take away many of the consumer bankruptcy protections in 2005 (precursor to collapse in consumer spending)
5. Housing prices are flat or declining (they were rising in 1998) (beginning of migration away from the suburbs)
6. Terrorists are trying to blow us up everywhere, all the time (couldn't even spell bin Laden in 1998)--why are they doing this? partly because of our mideast policy which is driven, in part, by our need for cheap oil by supporting anti-democratic arab governments (here are the violent marauders)
7. We don't have a draft, but the use of the National Guard and callup of all imaginable reservists is certainly as close to a draft as you can get without having one (military draft)
8. The dollar is much weaker than it was in 1998 (look at the dollar vs. the Euro and look at the price of gold) (beginning of fiat currency collapse)
9. Pakistan has nuclear weapons
10. North Korea has nuclear weapons
11. There are no longer twin world trade center towers in New York City
12. There is a new cabinet level agency called the Department of Homeland Security (I don't think I had heard the term homeland security in 1998)
13. AIDS in Africa is wiping people out wholesale (die-off).
14. Gas costs more, utilities cost more, postage costs more, lots of things cost more (inflation)
15. China and the U.S. currently have a symbiotic relationship--this will end when oil gets a little tighter and Taiwan gets uppity (Campbell soup can rumble)
I am not waiting in a bunker for SHTF, but I certainly notice that the world today is different than it was in 1998 and what has happened in the energy markets and the Middle East (with large overlaps between the two) makes today easily distinguishable from 1998.
Reminds me of the frog in the water that is slowly heated to a boil.