by MrBill » Wed 23 Jan 2008, 06:24:46
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('efarmer', '"')You only find out who is swimming naked when the tide goes out."
Warren Buffet
Mr. Bill -
The thieves of U.S. finance have just grifted many banks and
institutions globally. The whole gang of banksters, hedge hogs,
ratings and insurance firms all played their part. They put the
American Brand on huge bundles of horse sh!t wrapped with gold
foil and festooned with red, white, and blue ribbons.
I know it is quite a list, but would you comment on the following
since I greatly enjoy your opinions.
1. Will New York as a market center pay a price for this deceit?
2. Do you see international pressure sufficient to have the UK
open up it's Cayman and BVI systems to expose specific criminals
in this mess, similar to what was done for drug money?
3. Do you see regional markets around the US emerge to take
away power from the now tinged market based in New York?
4. Do you see the FTC continue to allow hedge funds or private
investment banks to lease stock and vote in US regulated venues?
5. Do you think that central bank and federal bailouts were taken
as a given by the participants in the process and actually made the
scheme larger and more damaging by those involved?
As a banker you could say I am quite biased! ; - )
NYC has been losing market share and prestige for years. There is not one major Wall Street investment bank that does not have at least an equal presence in London or that is not expanding aggressively in Moscow, Dubai, Shanghai and elsewhere.
Bankers are like ants to honey when it comes to money. It has always been thus. Therefore, the wealth transfer to OPEC and non-OPEC oil producers as well as Asian manufacturers and the producers of commodities from consuming nations is naturally shifting power and prestige to these exporters who have the new wealth.
Of course, many of America's problems are wholly self-inflicted, and that does not help matters. The Patriot Act and America's anti-money laundering and know your customer procedures as well as the Sarbanes-Oxley act drive investors away in droves. Not because they are laundering money, but because the costs of disclosure are too expensive and too onerous.
As an investment banker I cannot even open up a personal account for trading FX at a discount broker without my own firm's Compliance Officer writing an official note disclosing my conflict of interest. Feel any safer? I just find it annoying. Who wants their employer knowing what they trade for their own account?
I have a great deal of empathy for investors that seek sanctuary in unregulated offshore markets.
There is an old saying, "If you don't like America, then leave!" Well, that is exactly what many are doing. And they are taking their money with them. So be careful what you wish for!
Regulation is a little bit like squeezing mud. The harder you squeeze the more that slips out between your fingers. The SEC and state attornies' heavy handed approach - much less spurious lawsuits - just makes America that much less attractive a place to do business.
One private bank sent me some account opening forms that were 50-pages in length to be filled out in duplicate. At the end of the day I could summarize it as 'they get fees for nothing, and I take all the legal and market risk.' Screw that!
The Federal bail-outs are for the benefit of politicians who hope to get elected or re-elected, and therefore are aimed at voters, not bankers. Get used to it! That it saves some bankers' hides is a secondary issue. Does it create a moral hazard? You bet!
Your government habitually punishes savers and bond holders for the benefit of risk takers and speculators. The risks are asymmetrical! As an investor you have to take into account public policy. Well, the offical policy is spend and speculate and if you get into trouble we'll tax workers as well as increase inflation - which is a tax on saving - to help bail you out!
Hillary wants to freeze interest rates for 5-years! And expropriate oil companies profits! What's next? Where does this lunacy end?
The left pretends that economics does not matter. The right selectively uses pseudo-economic arguments to justify its political expediancy. The voter just wants something for nothing. And you blame bankers for arbitraging between economic reality and political fantasy? It is like shooting fish in a barrel! ; - )
The organized state is a wonderful invention whereby everyone can live at someone else's expense.