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THE Stimulus Package Thread (merged)

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THE Stimulus Package Thread (merged)

Unread postby gampy » Thu 17 Jan 2008, 00:21:38

I have heard a lot about the US trying out a stimulus package, but what exactly are these things? How does a government increase or speed the growth of an economy through increased spending or reducing taxes, or both?

Are they talking about something akin to the massive public works spending from the 30's? More Hoover dams, and highway infrastructure?

Sorry if this seems like a dumb question, or naive, but how can a government "stimulate" an economy by spending even more, and increasing government debt?

I dunno, hopefully someone can describe the idea behind these schemes that might make sense.
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Re: What exactly is a "Stimulus Package"?

Unread postby Tyler_JC » Thu 17 Jan 2008, 00:39:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gampy', 'I') have heard a lot about the US trying out a stimulus package, but what exactly are these things? How does a government increase or speed the growth of an economy through increased spending or reducing taxes, or both?

Are they talking about something akin to the massive public works spending from the 30's? More Hoover dams, and highway infrastructure?

Sorry if this seems like a dumb question, or naive, but how can a government "stimulate" an economy by spending even more, and increasing government debt?

I dunno, hopefully someone can describe the idea behind these schemes that might make sense.


The government spends money in order to compensate for the consumers who are not spending money.

Alternatively, the government gives people a tax rebate and consumers use this money to stimulate the economy.

Some of the stimulus packages include provisions for investment in infrastructure and education/worker training.

Investment in infrastructure is good because somebody has to build the infrastructure (construction jobs, contracting jobs, transportation jobs, etc.) and it allows for future economic expansion off of using that bridge or tunnel.

Investment in education is also good because it gives workers the skills they need to get better jobs (increasing their income and thus their ability to consume or save money)

Overall, tax cuts or government investment (whatever form it takes) can be helpful in breaking the cycle of recession and bringing the economy on the road to recovery.

In 1961, JFK asked Congress for a major tax overhaul. He cut taxes and the economy boomed.

1961, President Kennedy Appeals to the US Congress for Tax Cut
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Re: What exactly is a "Stimulus Package"?

Unread postby heroineworshipper » Thu 17 Jan 2008, 01:49:01

Dollars R going to be revalued to keep up with rising prices. There is not enough money in circulation to pay for the last 4 years of housing inflation. The media pegs the shortage of cash at $500 billion. Personally feel it's more like $50 trillion.
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Re: What exactly is a "Stimulus Package"?

Unread postby seldom_seen » Thu 17 Jan 2008, 01:50:55

The need for a "stimulus package" arises from the desire of the government to look like it's "on the job," and "helping out the little guy" as the economy tanks.

It's a PR stunt by the government to appear like it's actually doing something for you and not a multinational corporation or a bank.

They did one of these sometime after 9/11. I think everybody got like a $500 tax rebate or something. Now look how FUBAR'd we are...it obviously didn't work.

If you do end up on the receiving end of a "stimulus package" be sure to bend over and grab your ankles tightly...hehe...really though, use it to pay down any debts or convert it to tangible assets like food stores, gold, ammo or something useful...
Last edited by seldom_seen on Thu 17 Jan 2008, 01:55:15, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: What exactly is a "Stimulus Package"?

Unread postby SchroedingersCat » Thu 17 Jan 2008, 01:53:00

You stuff a banana down your pants, go to the local bar, and tell the ladies "I got your stimulus package right here!" Pretty much what the government is doing with the economy. It's all make believe.
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Re: What exactly is a "Stimulus Package"?

Unread postby americandream » Thu 17 Jan 2008, 01:58:14

Given that this lot in government are avid small government advocates, whose paying for this package....are they going to be forking up to cover their evident failure at managing the economy or will the suffering taxpayer have to carry the can?
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Re: What exactly is a "Stimulus Package"?

Unread postby seldom_seen » Thu 17 Jan 2008, 02:07:40

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('americandream', 'G')iven that this lot in government are avid small government advocates, whose paying for this package....are they going to be forking up to cover their evident failure at managing the economy or will the suffering taxpayer have to carry the can?

Pay for it? Huh? Americans don't pay for anything. Crazy Kiwi!

We just debase the currency. We call up Broadband Ben, the man himself...and with a few strokes of the keyboard, the fiber optic lines light up! Terabytes, Gigaflops of cash downloads. American Style. Booya!
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Re: What exactly is a "Stimulus Package"?

Unread postby gampy » Thu 17 Jan 2008, 02:20:12

The only stimulus I can see happening is the to the only manufacturing base left in the US. The arms industry and the military.

I guess that big sale to Saudi Arabia was the real impetus for GWB's visit to the area. Peace? nah....more war to prop up the only manufacturing really left in the US.
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Re: What exactly is a "Stimulus Package"?

Unread postby frankthetank » Thu 17 Jan 2008, 02:45:06

Giving money away won't work. It'll be quick shot and then it will be gone. We need some huge public works project. A big nuclear power plant building boom. Build about 100 of them to "electrify" the masses.
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Re: What exactly is a "Stimulus Package"?

Unread postby IslandCrow » Thu 17 Jan 2008, 03:03:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('frankthetank', 'W')e need some huge public works project.


Upgrading the rail system.
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Re: What exactly is a "Stimulus Package"?

Unread postby MrBill » Thu 17 Jan 2008, 09:11:23

It is spending money you do not have by going even deeper into debt.

The Greatest InterGenerational Theft Of All Time!

But you target it at the bottom 75th percentile of the working population that are likely to spend that money to stimulate the economy rather than invest it or otherwise save it as the top 25th would likely do.

That increases the money multiplier effect. However, it is unlikely to solve the deeper problem of too much personal and government debt in the first place. It is just a temporary fix.

Building infrastructure is fine, but there is a global shortage of skilled workers. And those that are working do not need the re-training or a stimulus per se. To actually train skilled workers would take years and obviously this targeted stimulus is to stop the US from going into a recession in 2008.

Not too mention that building the equivalent of another interstate highway system like in the 50s - only rail or nuclear - would actually add to inflation as there are already commodity shortages. Or at least the additional supply needed would be stretched to meet the increased demand for those materials. So a weaker US dollar would be making energy, metals and commodities more expensive in nominal terms, while the extra demand would be increasing prices in real terms.

The US needs a good recession. A bowel cleansing. And then a few decades of living frugally to pay down debt. Is it going to happen? No.
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Re: What exactly is a "Stimulus Package"?

Unread postby americandream » Thu 17 Jan 2008, 09:32:48

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('seldom_seen', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('americandream', 'G')iven that this lot in government are avid small government advocates, whose paying for this package....are they going to be forking up to cover their evident failure at managing the economy or will the suffering taxpayer have to carry the can?

Pay for it? Huh? Americans don't pay for anything. Crazy Kiwi!

We just debase the currency. We call up Broadband Ben, the man himself...and with a few strokes of the keyboard, the fiber optic lines light up! Terabytes, Gigaflops of cash downloads. American Style. Booya!


Lol....I'm a tax lawyer and sorry to say, you guys are at most taxed nation on earth...you just aren't aware of it, like most other things.
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Re: What exactly is a "Stimulus Package"?

Unread postby Gerben » Thu 17 Jan 2008, 09:46:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrBill', 'T')he US needs a good recession. A bowel cleansing. And then a few decades of living frugally to pay down debt. Is it going to happen? No.


I agree with your analysis, but not with your conclusion. The government (+ Fed) found a way to postpone the inevitable recession. Create more money. Get deeper into debt. Lower interest rates.
The problem is there is a limit to what they can do. A recession is inevitable. Interest rates cannot drop below 0%. Inflation will go up and compensate for the creation of new money. They can keep this up for maybe days, months or years. In time people will get used to ever increasing inflation and respond to it more accurately. That will be the end of this game. It's a game that has been played too many times in too many countries already.
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Re: What exactly is a "Stimulus Package"?

Unread postby MrBill » Thu 17 Jan 2008, 10:05:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Gerben', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrBill', 'T')he US needs a good recession. A bowel cleansing. And then a few decades of living frugally to pay down debt. Is it going to happen? No.


I agree with your analysis, but not with your conclusion. The government (+ Fed) found a way to postpone the inevitable recession. Create more money. Get deeper into debt. Lower interest rates.
The problem is there is a limit to what they can do. A recession is inevitable. Interest rates cannot drop below 0%. Inflation will go up and compensate for the creation of new money. They can keep this up for maybe days, months or years. In time people will get used to ever increasing inflation and respond to it more accurately. That will be the end of this game. It's a game that has been played too many times in too many countries already.


Nominal interest rates cannot go below zero, but real interest rates can.

Image


And as we have seen with Japan's nearly 15-years of low, slow, no growth as well as three going on four recessions that once asset prices are too high (in real terms relative to incomes) that they can only fall. Even with a zero interest rate policy (ZIRP).

America is having its Japan Moment [sup]TM[/sup] where a sizeable minority cannot even afford to repay principle on their debts much less positive interest rates. There is a small majority that could keep spending, but they are not. They are either worried about their own finances or simply too clever to get caught up in the game of greater fools.

I use the term minority and majority only loosely. It was clear that the US (and UK) economic expansion built on consumer consumption was always going to end in tears as investing in housing is not the samething as improving productivity or investing in capital goods.


americandream wrote:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'L')ol....I'm a tax lawyer and sorry to say, you guys are at most taxed nation on earth...you just aren't aware of it, like most other things.


Relative tax rates are publicly available. I am just too lazy today to look them up (again). I do not know about NZ, but American taxes are certainly lower than EU taxes for example.

But the point is that government spends more than it takes in taxes. The budget deficit is also a matter of public record. This means that Americans really are taxed too little. They are passing those costs on to future generations of taxpayers.

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Re: What exactly is a "Stimulus Package"?

Unread postby Merlin » Thu 17 Jan 2008, 11:13:56

Keynsian economists all believe that, because they are economists after all, they understand what is ailing the economy and how to "fix" it. Economists and governments don't fix economies; free markets do. Austrian economists understand the difference. We in the U.S. need to pay for the sins inflicted on us over the years by the Federal Reserve and the federal government. In the long run, they can't fix anything.
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Re: What exactly is a "Stimulus Package"?

Unread postby Chesire » Thu 17 Jan 2008, 12:22:44

A stimlus package comes with Viagra and Rohipnol . So the commoners can get fucked long and hard by TPTB and not remember it :mrgreen:
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Re: What exactly is a "Stimulus Package"?

Unread postby Kingcoal » Thu 17 Jan 2008, 13:06:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('americandream', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('seldom_seen', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('americandream', 'G')iven that this lot in government are avid small government advocates, whose paying for this package....are they going to be forking up to cover their evident failure at managing the economy or will the suffering taxpayer have to carry the can?

Pay for it? Huh? Americans don't pay for anything. Crazy Kiwi!

We just debase the currency. We call up Broadband Ben, the man himself...and with a few strokes of the keyboard, the fiber optic lines light up! Terabytes, Gigaflops of cash downloads. American Style. Booya!


Lol....I'm a tax lawyer and sorry to say, you guys are at most taxed nation on earth...you just aren't aware of it, like most other things.


Believe me, a lot of us are aware of it.
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Re: What exactly is a "Stimulus Package"?

Unread postby Ferretlover » Thu 17 Jan 2008, 13:11:09

It's a "payday cash advance" that has an interest rate of 100%, where TPTB use Monopoly money for the loan, but expect real cash for the payback.
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Re: What exactly is a "Stimulus Package"?

Unread postby mattduke » Thu 17 Jan 2008, 13:26:08

Although congress has been lackidaisical about putting together the "stimulus package", we should all give thanks to those who are printing the perfect counterfeit "supernotes" for their "economic stimulus"! Thanks counterfeiters for supporting the economy!

http://www.kansascity.com/news/nation/story/441167.html
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Re: What exactly is a "Stimulus Package"?

Unread postby Zardoz » Thu 17 Jan 2008, 14:29:11

We should thank Ben's mom for having him. I get such a warm and fuzzy feeling knowing he's at the controls, guiding us through these perilous times:

Bernanke: Juice the economy 'quickly'

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'F')ederal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke told Congress Thursday that legislators should enact a fiscal stimulus package in order to help beleaguered consumers as recession fears grow.

The comments by Bernanke, who testified before the House Budget Committee, came as a cascade of more bad news about the housing, financial and manufacturing sectors stoked calls for decisive action.

"To be useful, a fiscal stimulus package should be implemented quickly and structured so that its effects on aggregate spending are felt as much as possible within the next twelve months or so," Bernanke said.


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('SchroedingersCat', 'Y')ou stuff a banana down your pants, go to the local bar, and tell the ladies "I got your stimulus package right here!" Pretty much what the government is doing with the economy. It's all make believe.


Sure it is, but Ben makes it sort of believable somehow, we all play along, and the game continues for a few more months.
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