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Why the IEA is Wrong About Peak Oil Demand

Why the IEA is Wrong About Peak Oil Demand thumbnail
  • The IEA predicts peak oil demand in 2028 due to the shift towards cleaner energy technologies.
  • OPEC disagrees, forecasting rising oil demand driven by increasing energy needs in emerging economies.
  • Two key factors often overlooked in oil demand forecasts are the growth of the middle class in emerging economies and the energy demand for artificial intelligence.
AI robot oil demand

It is fairly common nowadays to see relatively near-term estimates for a point at which demand for petroleum-based fuels begins to decline. The term often used to describe this “tipping point” is Peak Oil Demand. When I say “near term,” I mean right around the corner if you look at an estimate published last year by the International Energy Agency-IEA, an intergovernmental agency headquartered in Paris, France, and originally established after the Oil Embargo of 1973 to help cushion against future oil shocks. This agency has expanded its mission to a fairly broad remit over the years since, and it is not the purpose of this article to detail all its endeavors. One role we will highlight is that of the one it plays in gauging and advising member governments on energy security and energy sources for the coming years.

In that capacity, the IEA in a report entitled, Oil 2023, and published last year settled on 2028 as the year past which the use of petroleum fuels will begin to decline.

“Growth in the world’s demand for oil is set to slow almost to a halt in the coming years, with the high prices and security of supply concerns highlighted by the global energy crisis hastening the shift towards cleaner energy technologies, according to a new IEA report released today.”

This view is largely shared, particularly with respect to liquid motor fuels, by other agencies and organizations that produce long range estimates. The U.S. Energy Information Agency-EIA, Rystad, and Det Norske Veritas- DNV, all show this category tailing off rapidly in the 2030s as electric vehicles assume larger shares of passenger vehicles. We will call this the “Bear Case” for liquid fuels.

As you might expect the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries-OPEC, disagrees with this view. In fact in their recent report on oil demand outlook, published in Nov 2023, they see oil demand of all kinds, except for electricity generation, rising from ~105 mm BOPD in 2025, to 116 mm BOPD in 2045. This forecast show use of oil as a road fuel continuing to be the largest source of demand increase for this period.

The report notes that “the divergence between the IEA and OPEC outlooks is largely due to assumptions regarding the speed at which internal combustion engine vehicles will be replaced by electric vehicles.”

What is interesting is that it is very difficult, if not impossible, to see a production trend being established that would support the bear case. In the U.S., we are pumping at a rate of over 13.2 mm BOPD and still importing ~6.7 mm BOPD to feed our nearly 22 mm BOPD daily habit. The U.S. Energy Information Agency-EIA forecasts in their monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook-STEO that by the end of 2025, global production and demand fall into a fairly tight balance at 105 mm BOPD. That certainly isn’t a long-term trend, but as is often said, the long-term trend is made up of a bunch of short-term ones. For my part, I would say that the trend line in the STEO graph below matches the OPEC estimate more closely than the other three.

Both of these notions cannot be true. Which is the correct assumption about future oil demand? Or are they both wrong? What are two factors these two disparate views of oil demand are not taking into account?

The first answer lies in how you interpret the growth of the middle class in China, India, and Africa in terms of energy demand and the final form it will take. The second is the advent of energy demand for Artificial Intelligence (AI), an entirely new source of demand that is just now starting to appear in energy demand forecasts. I discussed one possible outcome of this demand for U.S. natural gas in an article in March 2024.

To be clear, I am not arguing that AI demand will directly impact crude oil demand as a primary source. Most analysts are factoring renewables and natural gas to meet AI demand. What will impact demand for WTI and other baskets of crude is the relationship to light oil production in the U.S. and the associated gas that’s produced along with it. We will leave that discussion for a future article and refocus on our basic topic. What could oil demand actually be when accounting for growth in currently underserved but upwardly aspiring lower classes?

Then there is the Bull Case for oil. Arjun Murti, a well-known energy commentator and partner at energy analyst firm Veriten, as well as a former Goldman Sachs energy analyst, discussed future energy demand in a recent podcast on his Super-Spiked blog. In the episode titled, “Everyone is Rich,” Arjun posits what the impact on world energy demand would be if everyone was as energy-rich as the “Lucky,” 1.2 billion people that live in the Western World. More specifically, Arjun asks what it would mean for the other 7 billion people in China, India, Asia, and Africa to have the lifestyle that Americans, Canadians, Europeans, and a few other countries enjoy. The answer he comes up with on an absolute basis, 250 mm BOPD, using a reference point of 10 bbls a year!

Where are we now? The U.S consumes ~22 bbls of oil annually per capita while China consumes 3.7 bbls per capita. Indians use just 1.3 bbls per annum. That’s a pretty wide gap, and as Arjun notes, “economic growth and energy growth are one and the same. You do not get economic growth without adequate energy.”

One of the arguments put forward by the Peak Oil crowd is that efficiency growth Gross Domestic Product (GDP), and energy substitution will bend the curve on oil demand, as noted in the 2030’s, and spell the twilight of fossil fuels. Arjun points out that there is simply no evidence this is happening using data compiled by Goldman Sachs through 2019. Efficiency gains never lower the amount of energy needed to produce an additional dollar of GDP, above 2.7% GDP growth. A point rarely hit in modern times. To close that gap and attain growth you need more energy inputs. Oil.

Looking at Arjun’s graph below, which uses China as an example, we can see with their present demand of 3.7 bbls per capita which equates to about 15 mm BOPD. With 10 bbl per annum added on for growth in the middle class, you get to 35 mm BOPD to meet Chinese energy demand. Even if China attains 100% Electric Vehicle-EV penetration, not something Arjun (or I) believe is possible, you still have 27 mm BOPD of oil demand. According to SP Global China produces about 4.1 mm BOPD, leaving a gap of about 11 mm BOPD they must import to meet present-day demand.

A point that leads me to what Arjun noted as the ultimate demand limiter and why, although countries that will surely desire to increase their oil usage may not be able to do so. Geopolitical limits to imports. Quoting Arjun, “There is no precedent for countries importing 20-30 mm BOPD” to meet their energy needs. The U.S., before the advent of shale production was importing over 10 mm BOPD as recently as 2005. That’s what we know is possible.

It should be noted that India is in a similar fix and for it to meet Arjun’s 10 bbl per capita standard for being rich, they must import 35-45 mm BOPD. We just don’t know if this can be done from both a logistical and sheer capacity of supply basis. As the EIA graph above highlights global oil production has increased only about 3 mm BOPD since 2019. In order for the world’s poor to become richer, a great deal more oil will have to come to market.

Your takeaway

 

The message of the growth of the middle class globally often gets lost in the constant blare of climate change and energy transition noise. The fact remains that the world we live in today and the one likely to exist at mid-century, runs on oil.

The notion that the world can quickly and painlessly transition to other forms of energy has developed some, not holes, but gaping craters in recent times. Offshore wind farms are being canceled as costs mount. Car manufacturers are delaying implementation of EV rollouts due to lack of interest from consumers. Communities impacted by siting of solar farms are pushing back on land use as they propose to gobble up large tracts for this purpose.

Roger Pielke, another well-known energy commentator and author, in a post in his Substack, The Honest Broker, cites a White Paper by Vaclav Smil that discusses our energy transition progress to this point-

“All we have managed to do halfway through the intended grand global energy transition is a small relative decline in the share of fossil fuel in the world’s primary energy consumption—from nearly 86 percent in 1997 to about 82 percent in 2022. But this marginal relative retreat has been accompanied by a massive absolute increase in fossil fuel combustion: in 2022 the world consumed nearly 55 percent more energy locked in fossil carbon than it did in 1997.”

Balanced against this lack of progress in substituting oil for other forms of energy is the fact that the world’s energy supply is in a tight balance with demand at present. If the poor of the world make even modest progress toward Arjun’s 10 bbl per annum prognostication in the coming years, the Bull Case for oil will certainly asset itself.

By David Messler for Oilprice.com 



9,428 Comments on "Why the IEA is Wrong About Peak Oil Demand"

  1. Betrand bieber on Thu, 26th Dec 2024 5:46 am 

    There is really weird shit on the web especially related to the fashion industry. Fashion industry has turned completely retarded on YouTube. You know when you look at a top model and you are not sure if you sexually turn on or repulsed by people physical apparences.

    Normani & Hailey Bieber eat crab legs & play a game of Champagne Pong | WHO’S IN MY BATHROOM?

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFxIUsDnX6M

  2. velariane deorian on Thu, 26th Dec 2024 6:00 am 

    there is something called hate fucking. It is when you have sex with a girl just because you hate her and you have to hold yourself back to not kill her during sex. The bitch see that you hate her while you are fucking her and she get more and more sexually excited as she sees that you are about to kill her.

    When I see this whore, I am thinking about hate fucking her into death.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bwDiG5d2a2Y

  3. Veronique cloutier on Thu, 26th Dec 2024 10:11 am 

    Another song with lyric similar to Kashmir. Who is the son mentioned in the lyric? Is he coming from another dimension?

    Carry on my wayward son
    There’ll be peace when you are done
    Lay your weary head to rest
    Don’t you cry no more
    Once I rose above the noise and confusion
    Just to get a glimpse beyond this illusion
    I was soaring ever higher
    But I flew too high
    Though my eyes could see, I still was a blind man
    Though my mind could think, I still was a mad man
    I hear the voices when I’m dreaming
    I can hear them say
    Carry on, my wayward son
    There’ll be peace when you are done
    Lay your weary head to rest
    Don’t you cry no more
    Masquerading as a man with a reason
    My charade is the event of the season
    And if I claim to be a wise man, well
    It surely means that I don’t know
    On a stormy sea of moving emotion
    Tossed about, I’m like a ship on the ocean
    I set a course for winds of fortune
    But I hear the voices say
    Carry on, my wayward son
    There’ll be peace when you are done
    Lay your weary head to rest
    Don’t you cry no more
    No!
    Carry on, you will always remember
    Carry on, none can equal the splendor
    Now your life’s no longer empty
    Surely heaven waits for you
    Carry on, my wayward son
    There’ll be peace when you are done
    Lay your weary head to rest
    Don’t you cry (Don’t you cry no more)
    No more

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P5ZJui3aPoQ

    Notice the part telling us the earth is an illusion:
    Once I rose above the noise and confusion
    Just to get a glimpse beyond this illusion
    I was soaring ever higher
    But I flew too high
    Though my eyes could see, I still was a blind man

    Notice the part telling us that the son will leave earth

    Carry on, you will always remember
    Carry on, none can equal the splendor
    Now your life’s no longer empty
    Surely heaven waits for you

  4. Elon Musk on Thu, 26th Dec 2024 10:25 am 

    Carry on, my wayward son
    There’ll be peace when you are done
    Lay your weary head to rest
    Don’t you cry no more

    Meaning continue killing all the population of earth, there will be peace when you are done. Killing all the trees of earth is like killing all the population of earth.

    I am here to bring peace by killing earth population, if you believe the lyrics of the song.

  5. selena bertrand on Thu, 26th Dec 2024 10:44 am 

    Carry on, my wayward son
    There’ll be peace when you are done
    Lay your weary head to rest
    Don’t you cry no more

    Meaning continue killing all the population of earth, there will be peace when you are done. Killing all the trees of earth is like killing all the population of earth.

    I am here to bring peace by killing earth population, if you believe the lyrics of the song.

    I told you that I would kill everyone on earth because of Canada firearms laws. These laws are a violation of a cosmic principle that says that using the fear of death to control a population is illegal. To be in conformance you have to share the firearms with the population.

  6. Lele derela on Thu, 26th Dec 2024 10:54 am 

    Masquerading as a man with a reason
    My charade is the event of the season
    And if I claim to be a wise man, well
    It surely means that I don’t know

    Who claim to be a wise man on earth and know what is good for everyone on earth.

    The Jews claim to be the chosen, UN claim to know what is good for earth and its populations, politicians who claims to have answer to everything, climate scientists claim to know how earth climate works, and so on.

  7. Ulysse grant on Thu, 26th Dec 2024 11:40 am 

    Masquerading as a man with a reason
    My charade is the event of the season
    And if I claim to be a wise man, well
    It surely means that I don’t know

    What is this charade this song is talking about. The charade are the lies told by the media, politicians, think tanks, UN, WEF.

    What is the definition of charade:

    1-An act or event that is clearly false such as the holocaust.

    2-A situation in which people pretend that something is true when it clearly is not, such as climate change.

    3-A game in which players guess a word or phrase from the actions of another player who may not speak

  8. Heline laprise on Thu, 26th Dec 2024 12:20 pm 

    3 different sources claim that everyone on earth will be killed

    ————————————————————-
    Carry on my wayward son Kansas

    Carry on, my wayward son
    There’ll be peace when you are done
    Lay your weary head to rest
    Don’t you cry no more

    Meaning continue killing all the population of earth, there will be peace when you are done. Killing all the trees of earth is like killing all the population of earth.

    I am here to bring peace by killing earth population, if you believe the lyrics of the song.
    ———————————————————————–
    Kashmir song led zeppelin

    It seems to suggest that earth was destroyed by fire.
    It also seems to suggest that the dimensional traveler was
    a witness of the destruction and he did not die during the
    destruction of earth. I guess he was a superhuman angel

    Oh, all I see turns to brown
    As the sun burns the ground.
    And my eyes fill with sand
    As I scan this wasted land.
    ————————————————————
    Bible revelation 19

    17 And I saw an angel standing in the sun, who cried in a loud voice to all the birds flying in midair, “Come, gather together for the great supper of God, 18 so that you may eat the flesh of kings, generals, and the mighty, of horses and their riders, and the flesh of all people, free and slave, great and small.”
    ————————————————————–

    I guess we can conclude that earth population will be killed

  9. graphi beleraus on Thu, 26th Dec 2024 12:33 pm 

    On a stormy sea of moving emotion
    Tossed about, I’m like a ship on the ocean
    I set a course for winds of fortune
    But I hear the voices say

    what it means when the song says: I set a course for winds of fortune. It means I have a plan.

    It means I came up with a plan to kill everyone on earth: killing all the trees.

    I think I have explained every lyrics in this song.

  10. lilo yellow on Thu, 26th Dec 2024 5:51 pm 

    you guys realized that you are looking at a 2D image when you look at Tv screen. See at 2:28 the women on the right. She is just a 2D image. How do they create the feeling that it is a 3D image. Using colors. Look at the middle of her nose, it is white. Look at both side of the nose, it is of color light brown. By using 2 colors for the nose you can create a 3D image on a 2D flat screen.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xty4tG3Zoms

    Make no mistake, everyone on earth will killed. This is about saving the domain of creator that is outside of earth. Too many cosmic laws have been violated on earth to allow earth to continue to exist.

  11. quran ferome on Thu, 26th Dec 2024 6:02 pm 

    Once you understand the principle of color variation to create a 3D effect (XYZ system) on a 2D medium(XY system) you understand how everything you see on a flat screen is an illusion. So is the world we are living into.

    Once I rose above the noise and confusion
    Just to get a glimpse beyond this illusion
    I was soaring ever higher
    But I flew too high

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iy76QRhYY8k

  12. yellow william on Thu, 26th Dec 2024 6:33 pm 

    I told you that we control the whole earth realm. I also told you that earth is an execution chamber to kill undesirable beings. If you are on earth, it is because you have been scheduled for execution. You are here on earth because we hate you. I have already talked about that in past comments.

  13. Beratbe Ferone on Thu, 26th Dec 2024 6:49 pm 

    Once you understand the principle of color variation to create a 3D effect (XYZ system) on a 2D medium(XY system) you understand how everything you see on a flat screen is an illusion. So is the world we are living into.

    The color map you are using to create fake 3D image is also control by us. We could modify this color map and completely destroy this reality if we really wanted to. We are currently modifying earth color map by showing images of dead trees on YouTube videos. This will result in a change of the color map for all trees of earth.

    We own all of you by the balls.

  14. jaime regis on Thu, 26th Dec 2024 7:02 pm 

    Nobody takes my handguns away from me and lived, especially not the government of Canada.

    It was the last time I was denied access to an handgun for personal protection from any form of authorities, especially the government of Canada.

  15. alain joval on Thu, 26th Dec 2024 7:06 pm 

    How do we change people faces from pretty to ugly. We change the color map of human faces from pretty to ugly. A human nose is just a color map. By playing with the color map of a human nose, we can give you an ugly nose.

    We control everything on earth. You are here to die and you will die.

  16. Paris Hilton on Thu, 26th Dec 2024 10:04 pm 

    Look at how ugly her kids are. The US fashion industry seem to be made of only losers and genetic rejects. We really live with the dead in the underworld.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yVm_JBC0yTM

  17. parenting jenner on Thu, 26th Dec 2024 10:25 pm 

    Look at the kids. They look like genetic reject.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LvjaXzTV7V0

  18. Jeremaih babe on Fri, 27th Dec 2024 12:35 am 

    He is not the only one thinking that the US is carrying too much parasites on its back: Japan, South Korean, UK, Israel, and Europe. He goes down pretty hard on Japan. Who make this video and what kind of message is being send to the rest of the world. Who is behind this video, the US cabal, the invisible world.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A8wJc7vHcTs

  19. nadine demios on Fri, 27th Dec 2024 12:40 am 

    Or could this be a way to slowly prepare the world psychologically to the fact that the US will rearrange the world power map for its own benefice first, not the benefice of the world first as its now. It surely cannot continue this way for the US. Check the US 10 year treasury yield.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A8wJc7vHcTs

  20. Daniel pilon on Fri, 27th Dec 2024 12:45 am 

    It is not the responsibility of the US to take care of the well being of other people not living inside US borders.

  21. Vlairoe Selena on Fri, 27th Dec 2024 12:55 am 

    If I were the rest of the world, I would be looking for a replacement of the US dollars as world currency. There is plans in place to demolish the US dollars through hyperinflation. China is the manufacturing hub of the world, it is just normal the China currency become the next reference currency.

  22. Manilla Yelloe on Fri, 27th Dec 2024 1:16 am 

    Why do you think we are giving money to Ukraine. It is to destroy the currency through hyperinflation. Same thing with forgiving student load. Start to find a replacement for the US dollar.

    https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/PCU332993332993

    https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/PCU3329923329920

    https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WPUSI019011

    Notice that they reset the graph to year 1999 to hide hyperinflation.

    https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/PCU441110441110102

    The US is already in an hyperinflation scenario. The US financial media will never talked about that. Find a replacement for the US dollar.

  23. naemrie zena on Fri, 27th Dec 2024 1:37 am 

    Bidet did the right thing by withdrawing for Afghanistan and leave the military equipment behind. We are running out of copper to build ammunition. I would have done the same thing. On top of that we don’t have the mechanics to maintain all the equipment that we have. I would do the something similar with Germany. Bring back the troops home and leave everything behind.

    Meeks: Biden Had Two Choice In Afghanistan, Complete The Withdrawal Or ‘Re-Escalte’ The Conflict

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yE4H_nUlVu0

  24. nadine verizon on Fri, 27th Dec 2024 2:54 am 

    US fashion industry is sabotaging itself from the inside with the help of the current fashion top models. I don’t know why I have not seen that before.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xgKFeXmy06M

  25. geldie wellin on Fri, 27th Dec 2024 3:36 pm 

    A wise men life’s is based around fuck you.
    Some of you seems to think that I care about earth. Maybe I am just using this website to troll the whole planet earth and its population for my personal pleasure.

    As I said nobody takes away from me my right to carry an handgun on me without any consequences.

    I suspect that earth population is so stupid and needy, that they still believe that a savior will come for them. What if nobody comes to save earth. I explain really well above that my goal is to kill everyone on earth.

  26. bereal welling on Fri, 27th Dec 2024 3:39 pm 

    I have just disdain and hatred for earth population. What makes you think I will come to save earth and its people. I also have big disdain toward GOD and everything he represent including its whole creation. I think he is a fucking loser also.

  27. qurna villnae on Fri, 27th Dec 2024 11:24 pm 

    The Arabs knew that eventually oil production would decline meaning less revenue and a dying economy. This is a way to mitigate oil depletion by moving away from a economy based totally on oil into a touristic destination.

    https://www.globalvillage.ae/

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9WGsXT_9gI4

    This is a proof that alorone o

  28. Gerimade sherimae on Fri, 27th Dec 2024 11:42 pm 

    They called this place global village. They should have called it one world government propaganda theme park. They really want their one world government and ruled over earth as one supreme leader. They want only one set of acceptable values for the whole population of earth: cooperation, sharing, working together, negotiation, no firearms possession, no individual thinkers. Only human robots worshipping authority.

    https://www.globalvillage.ae/

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9WGsXT_9gI4

  29. regit laplume on Sat, 28th Dec 2024 4:36 am 

    3:56 when he hits the bells with a stick. Make me think of the movie idiocracy. The video as the same vibes as in the movie idiocracy.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=70HkuwgQwNs

  30. Joe laporete on Sat, 28th Dec 2024 5:01 am 

    22:56 Women is dress in black. Black represent authority and power and Whites submission. This is exactly what this scene represents. Women is surfing her phone while the man is taking care of the children. Dominating from a position of submission, same as the West with feminism.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=70HkuwgQwNs

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  34. Aerina Verizo on Sat, 28th Dec 2024 5:45 am 

    Earth was destroy by fire as mentioned in the song Kashmir of Led Zeppelin. This is what you see at 6:47, the destruction of earth by fire.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8EnVC_N6z00

    I also explain to all of you that everyone on earth will be killed.. The chosen ones will witness all of this and then they will leave earth through a dimensional conduit after everyone on earth is dead.

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  39. valerie planate on Sat, 28th Dec 2024 12:47 pm 

    Typical movie where a man worship woman body. It has been like that since I am born. Men have been conditioned to submit to women.

    Start at 1:09 to 1:23. He is basically begging her to have sex with him.

    It was not supposed to work this way. Earth was designed on the principle procreation by rape not on the principle procreation through women courtship. Only the strongest and best men were supposed to reproduce using rape. Men were supposed to keep women in a state of total submission and fear.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fa9n7GirhsI

  40. cecile tourieau on Sat, 28th Dec 2024 1:01 pm 

    Men were supposed to fight for their firearms. Taking away the right of a men to carry a handgun on him is equivalent as castrating him and turning him into a submissive male. It is exactly what happen. It is too late to turn back now, people should prepare to die. This society is so feminized now, you are unable to attract men into the profession of car mechanics. How long do you think your civilisation will stay alive.

  41. Heline Macillue on Sat, 28th Dec 2024 5:56 pm 

    Only the most intelligent and strongest where supposed to procreate using rape. Exactly like this below. One male multiples females kept in a state of submission. If you think the Jews are friends of the human race you are a fucking loser.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_TQRKveyzEY

  42. Beagtrice trembaly on Sat, 28th Dec 2024 6:14 pm 

    Who is the most intelligent the male. Female don’t seem to know what to do or how to behave. Jews are nor your friends, they are your enemies. How is that difficult to understand that the Jews are your enemies.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dDpTLtK38T0

  43. make female on Sat, 28th Dec 2024 6:23 pm 

    Human genetic pool is too damaged. It is easier to kill everyone on earth and restart with new males and females procreators. Basically, it is where we set the earth on fire to kill everyone.

  44. Tremblay Jean on Sat, 28th Dec 2024 10:34 pm 

    0:27 one female is smelling his asshole or penis. Similar to asshole worshipping and asshole licking you see in some porn movies. It is supposed to be some kind of submissive behavior. I really this fucking planet and sexual reproduction. It is not because I understand how sexual reproduction works that it means that I like it.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_TQRKveyzEY

  45. Xeno Zero on Sat, 28th Dec 2024 10:49 pm 

    There is a fascination for shit in this reality. You have animal sniffing each other butts same as humans. It makes you wonder if the creators of the flesh body were not sexual perverts that are fascinating with excrements and piss.

  46. julie lesange on Sun, 29th Dec 2024 2:28 am 

    You can see I am losing interest in writing comments. I am writing less and less comments as time pasts.

  47. Betrean denis on Sun, 29th Dec 2024 2:34 am 

    The reason why equipment were left is Afghanistan is because of a shortage to US military personals to bring them back home. As I said many time, the West is dead and will not be rebuilt after the collapse. The West is dead, most of you, just don’t have the IQ needed to see it.

    End of American Imperium: The Unsolvable Military Recruiting Crisis w/ US Major General Dennis Laich
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=czDyOYw-MV0

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oSeKmG0j89o

  48. Yello willing on Sun, 29th Dec 2024 2:40 am 

    You guy understand what the implications are when you feminized a whole civilization. IT means that men will start to act and think like women. It means that men will put their personal safety and well being above everything else like women do. This mean that you will have no one the maintain and continue your civilization.

    The feminization of a whole civilization is equal to killing the civilisation. You guys understand that, don’t you. Do you understand what the Jews did to the US and the West. Do you fucking understrand.

  49. Nadine bertrand on Sun, 29th Dec 2024 2:55 am 

    This is the met gala of 2024. There is not one masculine man among the celebrities, only gay and feminized men. Do you really understand what the Jews did when they installed feminism in the US. They destroy your nation from the inside. Do you fucking get it or you too mentally retarded to process what I am saying.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JGVq7J5_sTk

  50. Betrand laporte on Sun, 29th Dec 2024 3:47 am 

    You see the chain going from one breast to another one. In BDSM this is called a nipple chain. This is usually used as a light torture mean with alligator clips at the end. Younger top model are destroying the fashion industry from the inside.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gd5xiDMAi5E

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