by coyote » Mon 10 Apr 2006, 20:18:27
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'B')ut heaven forbid anyone should reconsider their "we're doomed" beliefs.
I'm really sometimes tempted to just say "Ok, just go die then." Why should I try to convince anyone otherwise?

Ludi: please be patient with us cynical and pessimistic types.
I for one do my best to reconsider my beliefs regularly, and I bet I'm not the only one. Believe me, I don't want dieoff to happen. And I certainly don't plan on checking out myself if I can possibly help it. But I just can't quite convince myself, given the magnitude of the issues we're facing, that we're safe. And I have tried.
For myself, I am most definitely considering permaculture, and some of my friends are too; I plan to start a few late-spring practice plots this year. I have to start extremely small -- all I have is a balcony. But I want to start learning anyway, so that if I ever do manage to buy a small property, I won't be completely clueless about how to begin. Ultimately, my dream is to keep small orchards -- apples, walnuts, almonds -- interspersed with small gardens. Hopefully backed up against a wilderness area, so that I can knock about a bit and perhaps do a small amount of hunting or (humane) trapping as well.
You yourself introduced me, and I'm sure others here, to Fukuoka Natural Farming. I don't know much about it yet; but if anything can get us out of this mess, it sounds like just the kind of direction to go in. I'm pretty sure that Richard Manning would agree.
Where the fear comes in: scalability and timing. Scalability: Fukuoka's methods can and do compare with hydrocarbon-forced yields, but on a small scale. Can they feed six and a half billion, or more? Timing: if Peak Oil hits very soon, will there be time to make a worldwide shift before we're in serious trouble? Remember, two shifts -- equally important -- are needed: a drastic paradigm shift, complete with the forced dismantling of what will likely be a very reluctant agribusiness industry; and a complete retooling of infrastructure, including teaching everyone how to garden effectively, supplying them with tools, seeds and soil, and getting them started. (Think about how much trouble you've had teaching permaculture concepts to those on this site. How difficult will everbody else be -- including the politicians?) Anything else, I think, will simply take far to long to be of benefit to the world populace.
I think those who listen to people like you, and get started now, will stand a good chance of doing all right. I wish I could believe that the human family as a whole will be all right too. But given that Peak Oil may be very soon; environmental issues are looking more ominous by the week; soon the world's population will be 7 freaking billion people; and so far we've done, in effect, nothing to prepare -- well yes, I'm very worried.
And that water aquifer thing does scare the crap out of me.