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THE "War on Drugs" Thread (merged)

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Re: Wars on Drugs

Unread postby billg » Mon 15 Dec 2008, 11:53:06

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrBill', '
')
Criminal gangs move into whatever commodity where they can make a lot of money quickly. It really does not matter whether it is hard drugs or soft drugs; counterfeit OTC medicines; fake merchandise; tax-free liquor or cigarettes; human trafficking; etc. They are in it for the money. They create their own demand for their product.


MrBill, sounds like you are describing yourself. Oh yeah, I forgot, the mega-rich MrBill makes his money the clean way...by playing by the rules, as corrupt as those rules may be.
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Re: Wars on Drugs

Unread postby TommyJefferson » Mon 15 Dec 2008, 12:00:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Carlhole', 'C')annabis.com ....no longer tolerates the practice of vetting online dealers for reliability or honesty.


That's a darn shame.

Free markets function best when buyers have the access to the highest quality information possible. Honest and prudent sellers are rewarded with market success. Dishonest and imprudent sellers are punished with market failure.

Regulation is built in, self-reinforcing, and non-violent.

This is yet another example of drug prohibition leading to more theft, more corruption, and less accountability.
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Re: Wars on Drugs

Unread postby HeckuvaJob » Mon 15 Dec 2008, 12:52:33

Carhole - ordering pot through the mail reminds me of a story I heard about a man and his dogs.

You may have dodged a fairly large bullet.
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Re: Wars on Drugs

Unread postby smallpoxgirl » Mon 15 Dec 2008, 13:26:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('CarlosFerreira', '4') to 6% increase in the use of marijuana, about 100% increase in the use of heroin and 50% increase in the use of cocaine.


That study was based on data from the DEA. What conclusion would you expect it to reach? Seriously. Go look at the DEA website. See what they have to say about marijuana. Then go to a medical library and try to find studies that support it. I promise you, it doesn't exist. I've looked. DEA's agenda is political and moral and it is wholly disconnected from empirical reality. You really think DEA is going to publish data that say "Well...when we bust all these drug dealers and drive up the price of heroin, it actually doesn't affect usage rates at all."? How long do you think that person would stay employed at DEA if they produced data that showed that?
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Re: Wars on Drugs

Unread postby vision-master » Mon 15 Dec 2008, 13:32:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('smallpoxgirl', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('CarlosFerreira', '4') to 6% increase in the use of marijuana, about 100% increase in the use of heroin and 50% increase in the use of cocaine.


That study was based on data from the DEA. What conclusion would you expect it to reach? Seriously. Go look at the DEA website. See what they have to say about marijuana. Then go to a medical library and try to find studies that support it. I promise you, it doesn't exist. I've looked. DEA's agenda is political and moral and it is wholly disconnected from empirical reality. You really think DEA is going to publish data that say "Well...when we bust all these drug dealers and drive up the price of heroin, it actually doesn't affect usage rates at all."? How long do you think that person would stay employed at DEA if they produced data that showed that?


Marijuana/ hemp was made illegal by the likes of Hearst and Dupont. One for control of paper products and the other petro fibers such as nylon. The smear campain was targeted towards blacks and mexicans in the South.
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Re: Wars on Drugs

Unread postby CarlosFerreira » Mon 15 Dec 2008, 13:43:08

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('smallpoxgirl', '
')That study was based on data from the DEA. What conclusion would you expect it to reach? Seriously. Go look at the DEA website. See what they have to say about marijuana. Then go to a medical library and try to find studies that support it. I promise you, it doesn't exist. I've looked. DEA's agenda is political and moral and it is wholly disconnected from empirical reality. You really think DEA is going to publish data that say "Well...when we bust all these drug dealers and drive up the price of heroin, it actually doesn't affect usage rates at all."? How long do you think that person would stay employed at DEA if they produced data that showed that?


Absolutely. There was no pretence at all to take those numbers as granted; even if they were from a totally reliable source, I would still question the fact that they are from 1995.

Just remember that data also comes from the National Household Survey of Drug Abuse. I will not for a moment believe that is absolutely reliable, and that it is not politically motivated. But I also expect data is hard to come by: you can't go to a stock exchange or the Internet and get quotes for your goods.

However, the fundamentals are still there: there is a price elasticity of demand for drugs, as there is for food or DVD players. This PED changes with current price. If the price goes (much) down, and there is no perceived penalty to usage, consumption will increase. Drugs would be a normal good (in the Economics sense of the word - here).

I don't believe the consumption would increase that drastically in cocaine and heroin, and we could live just as well as a society with 4-6% increase in consumption of marijuana, if that was true.
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Re: Wars on Drugs

Unread postby CarlosFerreira » Mon 15 Dec 2008, 13:46:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vision-master', '
')Marijuana/ hemp was made illegal by the likes of Hearst and Dupont. One for control of paper products and the other petro fibers such as nylon. The smear campain was targeted towards blacks and mexicans in the South.


You mean it was a matter of getting hold of agricultural resources? Is that it? Or do you think it was a power struggle? Sorry, not sure I understand what you mean.
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Re: Wars on Drugs

Unread postby vision-master » Mon 15 Dec 2008, 13:48:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('CarlosFerreira', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vision-master', '
')Marijuana/ hemp was made illegal by the likes of Hearst and Dupont. One for control of paper products and the other petro fibers such as nylon. The smear campain was targeted towards blacks and mexicans in the South.


You mean it was a matter of getting hold of agricultural resources? Is that it? Or do you think it was a power struggle? Sorry, not sure I understand what you mean.


Hemp products threatened businesses of both Hearst and Dupont.
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Re: Wars on Drugs

Unread postby CarlosFerreira » Mon 15 Dec 2008, 14:04:50

I heard about a company here in the UK that was planning to use hemp to produce building materials. Sounded like a really good idea, they presented some great advantages. I remember they said hemp was one of the strongest fibres in nature, and that the whole process produced no waste - they used all the product, and the only thing exterior to the process was the strings they used to tie the hemp stacks.

The company was this Hemcore
http://www.hemcore.co.uk/index.htm

They also stated that hemp was good for ag rotation, when the other cultures were, for instance, cereals. I don't really know if any of it is true, but might be worth a look.
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Re: Wars on Drugs

Unread postby smallpoxgirl » Mon 15 Dec 2008, 14:21:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('CarlosFerreira', 'H')owever, the fundamentals are still there: there is a price elasticity of demand for drugs, as there is for food or DVD players.


That's certainly the bias of the authors and what they were looking to find. I'm sorry, but I'm really not sure that many people are making the decision of whether or not to start using meth based on the price. And more to the point, there's use and there's use. I understand that in certain parts of central america, most people chew coca leaves on a fairly regular basis. That doesn't mean they're experiencing adverse effects on their health or the social cohesion of their communities from it. Most of the ill health effects and crime come from shipping refined cocaine to the US where drug enforcement has run the prices up and created a large profit motive. Actually I think it's very conceivable that if the societal issues were considered more and the moral issues less, it's very concievable that we could have fewer users who were simultaneously using cheaper and cleaner drugs in a more safe and controlled way.
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Re: Wars on Drugs

Unread postby CarlosFerreira » Mon 15 Dec 2008, 14:44:26

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('smallpoxgirl', '
')That's certainly the bias of the authors and what they were looking to find. I'm sorry, but I'm really not sure that many people are making the decision of whether or not to start using meth based on the price. And more to the point, there's use and there's use. I understand that in certain parts of central america, most people chew coca leaves on a fairly regular basis. That doesn't mean they're experiencing adverse effects on their health or the social cohesion of their communities from it. Most of the ill health effects and crime come from shipping refined cocaine to the US where drug enforcement has run the prices up and created a large profit motive. Actually I think it's very conceivable that if the societal issues were considered more and the moral issues less, it's very concievable that we could have fewer users who were simultaneously using cheaper and cleaner drugs in a more safe and controlled way.


I am ignoring the issues of health, safety, controlled use, personal choice and social cohesion on purpose. Moral issues are not my interest regarding this problem. I don't know enough about those problems to have a personal or moral opinion about them. I am not pursuing an agenda. I am looking, if you can put that way, for an intellectual experiment, a sort of brainstorming if you may. I take all those issues as externalities that must be addressed in the whole valuation of a drug liberalisation. That's why I said drugs ought to be liberalised within the normal limits (like age) and taxed, pretty much like cigarettes. To liberalise (completely, as in that econometrics discussion paper) is to make drugs a consumer good. If price goes down, consumption might increase; if taxes are too high and the price holds, and smugglers are still in business.

The ongoing policy statements here is Europe seem to be along the lines of trying to make cigarettes less appealing to consumers, by taxing plus bans and penalties on smoking in closed premises, for instance. Can a society that both taxes and subsidizes tobacco be reconciled with the idea of allowing people to consume another drug?
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Re: Wars on Drugs

Unread postby vision-master » Mon 15 Dec 2008, 15:00:42

Churches have a lot to do with "the war on drugs". Even tho they are based on astrotheology and shooms. Go figure. :razz:
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Re: Wars on Drugs

Unread postby TWilliam » Mon 15 Dec 2008, 15:47:16

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('CarlosFerreira', 'A')ctually, that's something we can't be sure of. I was rummaging the REPEC (REsearch Papers in EConomics) website and found a 1995 econometrics approach at the problem, that contradicts the idea that demand won't increase:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Henry Saffer and Frank Chaloupka', 'T')he purpose of this paper is to estimate the effects of heroin prices, cocaine prices and marijuana decriminalization on the demand for these three drugs, respectively. There are few prior empirical studies in this area because data have been difficult to acquire. This paper makes use of newly available data on drug prices and is the first to link these data to a sample of 49,802 individuals from the National Household Survey of Drug Abuse. The new drug price data comes from the Drug Enforcement Agency. The results provide empirical evidence that drug use is more price responsive than has been previously thought. The results show that the participation price elasticity for heroin is about -.90 to -.80 and that the participation price elasticity for cocaine is about - .55 to -.36. Marijuana decriminalization was also found to increase the probability of marijuana participation by about 4 to 6 percent. The price elasticity for heroin is estimated at about -1.80 to -1.60 and for cocaine at about -1.10 to -.72. It is estimated that legalization would lead to about a 100 percent increase in the quantity of heroin consumed and about a 50 percent increase in the quantity of cocaine consumed.


So... we have a report, based on DEA-supplied data, that essentially guesses that consumption would increase, possibly as much as doubling in some instances, following decriminalization. On the other hand we have the following empirical observation made in a report from the National Research Council appearing in National Academy Press, 2001, entitled "Informing America’s Policy On Illegal Drugs: What We Don’t Know Keeps Hurting Us":
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'F')rom 1972 to 1978, eleven states decriminalized marijuana possession (covering one-third of the US population) and 33 other states reduced punishment to probation with record erased after six months to one year. Yet, after 1978 marijuana use steadily declined for over a decade. Decriminalization did not increase marijuana use.


We also have the Netherlands as another empirical test case. As noted by their Center for Drug Research, in its report "Licit and Illicit Drug Use in The Netherlands 1997":
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he Netherlands decriminalized possession and allowed small scale sales of marijuana beginning in 1976. Yet, marijuana use in Holland is half the rate of use in the USA. It is also lower than the United Kingdom which had continued to treat possession as a crime.


Oh, one additional relevant comment from the National Research Council's report:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')f there is an increase in the reported rate of drug use after the end of prohibition, it may be due to an increased willingness to admit to being a drug user. Currently, such an admission means admitting to breaking the law, which social scientists point out discourages honesty.

In short, any data based on self-reporting that seems to suggest an increase in use following decriminalization may merely be showing instead an increased willingness to report use, not an actual increase in use...

[One thing I will grant is that these particular examples focus on cannabis use specifically, but really, I see no reason to think that similar trends would not be observed if other drugs were likewise decriminalized...]
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Re: Wars on Drugs

Unread postby TWilliam » Mon 15 Dec 2008, 16:04:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vision-master', 'C')hurches have a lot to do with "the war on drugs". Even tho they are based on astrotheology and shooms. Go figure. :razz:

This shouldn't really surprise you VM. Consider the Church's role as intermediary between the human and the Divine. The sacred plants (particularly the entheogenic mushrooms; there's a reason most cultures that use them refer to them as 'Flesh of the Gods') provide an opportunity for the individual to have an experience of direct communion with the Deity. Genuine or not is irrelevant; what matters is that this is how it is often interpreted, it can indeed be life-changing, and it thus can obviate the perceived need for an intermediary. At least that is what the Church has feared ever since its persecution of the Pagan religions first began, since these plants were typically central to their practices...
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Re: Wars on Drugs

Unread postby TommyJefferson » Mon 15 Dec 2008, 18:10:18

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('CarlosFerreira', 'I') am looking, if you can put that way, for an intellectual experiment, a sort of brainstorming if you may.


Simple costs/benefit analysis.

Do the costs of drug prohibition outweigh the benefits?

Plug the best quantifications you can get into both sides of the ledger, and there you have it.
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Re: Wars on Drugs

Unread postby mattduke » Mon 15 Dec 2008, 22:07:54

The government cannot even control drug use in prisons, where they literally have everyone in a cage.
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Re: Wars on Drugs

Unread postby smallpoxgirl » Mon 15 Dec 2008, 23:21:40

IMHO, if you want to address drug use, you really have to take a hard look at:
-What actually are you trying to avoid?
-Why are people using drugs?
-How can you provide them a less destructive outlet for the desires that motivated their drug use?

IMHO, a lot of it comes from the simultaneous desires of young people- a: to act in self destructive ways, b: to thumb their nose at authority, and c: to seek adventure. Lets face it. Modern society is boring. We've rubber padded all the sharp corners. Criminality is about the only legitimate adventure left. If you don't like kids using drugs, you need to offer them an alternative way of foolishly risking their necks while pissing off their parents and teachers. There's no surer way to entice kids to use drugs than a bunch of lame prudish TV commercials telling them how dangerous drugs are.
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Re: Wars on Drugs

Unread postby mattduke » Mon 15 Dec 2008, 23:37:39

Image
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Prohibition makes all these problems worse, as it did for alcohol. Cocaine and heroin should be available over the counter, or in cola form.

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Re: Wars on Drugs

Unread postby TWilliam » Tue 16 Dec 2008, 02:41:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('smallpoxgirl', 'I')MHO, if you want to address drug use, you really have to take a hard look at:
-What actually are you trying to avoid?
-Why are people using drugs?
-How can you provide them a less destructive outlet for the desires that motivated their drug use?

IMHO, a lot of it comes from the simultaneous desires of young people- a: to act in self destructive ways, b: to thumb their nose at authority, and c: to seek adventure. Lets face it. Modern society is boring. We've rubber padded all the sharp corners. Criminality is about the only legitimate adventure left. If you don't like kids using drugs, you need to offer them an alternative way of foolishly risking their necks while pissing off their parents and teachers. There's no surer way to entice kids to use drugs than a bunch of lame prudish TV commercials telling them how dangerous drugs are.


Modern society may be boring, but I think there's a lot more to it SPG. The desire by humans to experience non-ordinary states of consciousness has existed since at least the dawn of the Neolithic Period, and probably much longer. There are at least some researchers who believe that such drugs may have actually played a pivotal role in the development of the self-awareness that differentiated us from the rest of the animal kingdom.

Looking back on my own early experiences, I recall neither rebellion nor escapism being a motivating factor; at least if they were, they weren't conscious ones. Initially it was mainly my natural curiosity that lead me into my early experimentation, and I became fascinated by the introspective depths and self-understanding to which I was lead, by the questions that the experiences brought forth within my own awareness about things like the nature of existence, its deeper meanings, what it was to be human... you know... all the truly important questions.

Maybe the motivations are different today (tho' I doubt it), but I strongly believe that the bottom line is that such experiences fill some very old, very basic needs within us, and no amount of prohibition or 're-direction' is ever going to completely abolish the desire for substances or methods that provide them.
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Re: Wars on Drugs

Unread postby mattduke » Tue 16 Dec 2008, 10:02:15

The consumption of mind altering substances is a part of human nature. The lotus eaters in the Odyssey lived in 8th century BC.
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