by Carlhole » Mon 06 Oct 2008, 14:22:11
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('VMarcHart', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Carlhole', 'T')hat's why energy science and technology is so manifestly unpopular around here - because potential solutions or adaptations are deemed ignorant or "cornucopian".
You do understand that every solution, every invention, every new technology created by man brought us closer to over-population, soil depletion, ocean acidation, smog, deforestation, extinction of species, just to name a few, don't you? What's exactly THE science and technology that will really save us and make us more Americans? I know two, but they'll never ever be implemented. Please enlighten me.
On the upside of the oil production curve, America's development and investment centered on huge economic growth. The reasonable expectation was for greater and greater availability of energy and resources for use as the country grew.
However, at some point, there will be a general realization by everyone that this paridigm has forever changed. It will be at THAT time (and not before) that serious adaptation and innovation will occur.
And I think that it is mostly in dire times, when there is great unpleasantness, that innovation and adaptation is greatest. So, I do not argue for a continued path of rampant consumerism and all that. However, I recognize that whole peoples have an underlying culture - which is an important thing to recognize about peoples.
Here, in America, we have a culture, a heritage and a set of ideals about how we expect our society to operate. Despite the recent market turmoil and high energy prices, we haven't seen much departure yet from the economic growth expectations we have seen for decades. When we get further into the energy and resource challenges of the 21st century, I expect to see an American expression of dealing with our problems.
We could easily be in for some wrenching, unpleasant changes. But I disagree with the Doomers that the country will completely fall apart. Society will cope with peak oil, population, resource depletion and eco-destruction in ways wholly different than the methods we chose to follow during the growth era.
But those kinds of wrenching changes do not occur in peaceful times of economic stability. The status quo must change.
I don't see how Doomers expect that people will simply forget whole swathes of important scientific and technological understanding. The only reason that people's back in the 19th century did not employ scientific understanding was that it had not been discovered yet!
Technology is simply problem-solving. And during hard times, it will be the problem-solvers of the world that come to the fore. There is no reason that mankind cannot use knowledge and know-how to address problems of energy scarcity, resource depletion, over-population and eco-destruction. There are plenty of brilliant thinkers on these subjects who are willing to step up and recommend steps that we must take as a nation and a global society to address them.
This whole thing is generally on the world mind at the moment.