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THE US East Coast (merged)

A forum for discussion of regional topics including oil depletion but also government, society, and the future.

Re: Anyone hear Savinar on C2C last night ?

Unread postby wisconsin_cur » Sat 05 Jul 2008, 18:02:53

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Hogan', '
')Matt was on during the fourth hour segment.


I listened to a prior segment almost exactly a year ago on Youtube where Matt went through all the same facts with Art Bell. Art is pretty much a Peak Oil believer, unlike George.



Was thiswhat you listened to?
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Re: Anyone hear Savinar on C2C last night ?

Unread postby PenultimateManStanding » Sat 05 Jul 2008, 18:08:16

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', '.')
It's such a shame that Art has left the show's legacy to George.
Yeah, George is working off of some weird template that he synthesized from his interpretation of Bell. But you can tell from his interview style that he is a dunce with a nice sounding voice. This has nothing to do with peak oil. I listened for a while until I couldn't take the stupidity of it any more.
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Carrying Capacity on Coast2Coast tonight

Unread postby mos6507 » Tue 12 Aug 2008, 02:19:51

8-12 program is covering the population bomb right now, for those who are not regular listeners!
Last edited by Ferretlover on Wed 18 Mar 2009, 19:03:58, edited 1 time in total.
Reason: Merged with tHE Coast to Coast AM Thread.
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Re: Carrying Capacity on Coast2Coast tonight

Unread postby SILENTTODD » Tue 12 Aug 2008, 03:45:02

The speaker tonight was Frosty Wooldrige. Living in California for most of my life, I agree with what he had to say 100%. Below is his website:

LINK

One of my newer hobbies is bicycle touring. Frosty is an expert in this and has a number excellent books on the subject. So he has seen the world from the ground.
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Re: Carrying Capacity on Coast2Coast tonight

Unread postby Oil_be_alroit » Tue 12 Aug 2008, 10:10:28

Somebody's going to have to explain this to me; people like Frosty banging on about the US being 'full'. Try going to Holland - 16.5 million people living in a country half the size of South Carolina or about the same as Massachusetts and Connecticut combined - and even there the doors aren't closed to immigrants!
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Re: Carrying Capacity on Coast2Coast tonight

Unread postby Waterthrush » Tue 12 Aug 2008, 10:49:31

Holland has little wildlife and little open space. Do you really want to live in an area without forests, fields, ravines? It is a much more interesting and fun world when it is filled with the other creatures with which we share the planet.

We are the only planet we know of with living creatures. We are the dominant creature on the planet. We must defend the others.

A smaller human population means that those who do live here get to see and enjoy the beauties and wonders of an earth full of life.
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Re: Carrying Capacity on Coast2Coast tonight

Unread postby Oil_be_alroit » Tue 12 Aug 2008, 11:02:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Waterthrush', 'H')olland has little wildlife and little open space. Do you really want to live in an area without forests, fields, ravines? It is a much more interesting and fun world when it is filled with the other creatures with which we share the planet.

We are the only planet we know of with living creatures. We are the dominant creature on the planet. We must defend the others.

A smaller human population means that those who do live here get to see and enjoy the beauties and wonders of an earth full of life.


There's actually quite a lot of open space in Holland - it's not like they paved over the place - and it's also a major net exporter of food. The difference is that the towns are very compact so where in the US a standard suburban house is built on a half acre plot, in Holland they're typically on less than a tenth of an acre.

I'd better stop here 'cos I'm beginning to sound like Kunstler but the point is that the US could easily support double the population without destroying the wildlife and nature if things were just arranged a bit better.
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Re: Carrying Capacity on Coast2Coast tonight

Unread postby Waterthrush » Tue 12 Aug 2008, 12:36:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')here's actually quite a lot of open space in Holland - it's not like they paved over the place - and it's also a major net exporter of food. The difference is that the towns are very compact so where in the US a standard suburban house is built on a half acre plot, in Holland they're typically on less than a tenth of an acre.

I'd better stop here 'cos I'm beginning to sound like Kunstler but the point is that the US could easily support double the population without destroying the wildlife and nature if things were just arranged a bit better.


Hey, I hope you are right! I think a world that was full of humans and nothing else would be a nightmare. Still, that kind of population density puts a strain on resources. It's so unnecessary in these days of birth control. Raising children in the US is an unfun ordeal from what I can observe. You have to worry constantly about them "falling behind." Plus, the economy that would have a place for them as adults is no more. You have to face the very real possibility of supporting your offspring well into their 30s or older.
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Re: Carrying Capacity on Coast2Coast tonight

Unread postby Ibon » Tue 12 Aug 2008, 13:23:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')here's actually quite a lot of open space in Holland - it's not like they paved over the place - and it's also a major net exporter of food. The difference is that the towns are very compact so where in the US a standard suburban house is built on a half acre plot, in Holland they're typically on less than a tenth of an acre.


There is a difference between stupiidity and ignorance. The above statement is made by a person who is certainly not stupid but who is certainly very ignorant in not being able to differentiate between open land altered by humans and wildlife where intact habitats exist rich in biodiversity. Gazing upon a vast expanse of a monoculture of hybrid red tulips in the Holland countryside doesn't do it for me sorry.

We are treading on very dangerous ground here when we define carrying capacity solely on how many humans our planet could support if we would take all the arable land in existence and wipe out our native habitats and biodiversity for the sake of maintaining a "sustainable" human population.

Unfortunately carrying capacity is being defined more and more by what is the sustainable human population once we rape and pillage natural ecosystems and convert these areas into vast monocultures of food and fuel crops and livestock to support our over population.

Oil_be_alroit, I don't want to put you on the defensive or single you out regarding stupidity and ignorance but we do need to be able to understand the difference between open spaces that are sinks of biodiversity and the open spaces that are harnessed for human use.
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Re: Carrying Capacity on Coast2Coast tonight

Unread postby Ibon » Tue 12 Aug 2008, 13:52:16

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Oil_be_alroit', ' ')the US could easily support double the population without destroying the wildlife and nature if things were just arranged a bit better.


Let's just choose one of a dozen of constraints to our carrying capacity, ground water. Take a look at Arizona and Nevada and now imagine doubling the population of Phoenix and Las Vegas and using all the water to irrigate the food crops and other human use of all that water. Imagine the accelerated decline of this aquifier until you turn this whole region into the sahara with the drying up of streambeds etc. Now imagine the challenge of importing food crops from far away to support the "fantasy" doubling of the human population you imagine with the fuel prices skyrocketing.

Just go ahead and meditate on this awhile and go from ground water on to marine fisheries, forests, top soil, climate change, peak oil, mass migration of humans etc. and then come back here and share with us your theory of doubling the human population in North AMerica and preserving wildlife and native habitats.

As a nation we are about as ignorant about the basics of ecology as we are ignorant about the basics of personal finance.

We are frankly pathetically ignorant.

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source: http://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/fs-103-03/
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Re: Carrying Capacity on Coast2Coast tonight

Unread postby VMarcHart » Tue 12 Aug 2008, 19:31:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Oil_be_alroit', '.')..the point is that the US could easily support double the population without destroying the wildlife and nature if things were just arranged a bit better.
Our population is 300M and we consume resources for 1.5B people. 80% of our resources comes from abroad. Doubling the population to 600M while maintaining the current life-style, means we would consume the equivalent of 3 billion people; nearly half the planet's population. We would definitely be destroying somebody's wildlife, whether ours or our neighbor's. I sure would like to hear your rebutal.
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Re: Carrying Capacity on Coast2Coast tonight

Unread postby SILENTTODD » Wed 13 Aug 2008, 01:44:12

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Oil_be_alroit', 'T')here's actually quite a lot of open space in Holland - it's not like they paved over the place - and it's also a major net exporter of food. The difference is that the towns are very compact so where in the US a standard suburban house is built on a half acre plot, in Holland they're typically on less than a tenth of an acre.

I'd better stop here 'cos I'm beginning to sound like Kunstler but the point is that the US could easily support double the population without destroying the wildlife and nature if things were just arranged a bit better.

You must not have seen a lot of the United States east of the Mississippi River. It becomes progressively dryer and dryer with each mile you go from there. It's not at all like Holland.

California already exceeds the average density of Western Europe Now. In my life time I have watched its population double, mostly through illegal immigration.

Everything Wooldrige talks about on his site is already happening in California. Which is one of the reasons I soon will abandon it!
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Re: Carrying Capacity on Coast2Coast tonight

Unread postby mos6507 » Wed 13 Aug 2008, 03:19:14

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('SILENTTODD', '
')Everything Wooldrige talks about on his site is already happening in California. Which is one of the reasons I soon will abandon it!


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Re: Carrying Capacity on Coast2Coast tonight

Unread postby Ludi » Wed 13 Aug 2008, 07:34:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('SILENTTODD', ' ')In my life time I have watched its population double, mostly through illegal immigration.


Illegal immigrants make up less than 10% of California's population.

http://www.laalmanac.com/immigration/im04a.htm
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Re: Carrying Capacity on Coast2Coast tonight

Unread postby VMarcHart » Wed 13 Aug 2008, 11:18:43

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('SILENTTODD', 'C')alifornia already exceeds the average density of Western Europe Now. In my life time I have watched its population double, mostly through illegal immigration.
What do you mean by "mostly"? There are 36 million people in California. There were half as much circa 1960. It is believed there are 12 million illegal immigrants in the US. If all illegal immigrants were living in California, 18+12=30. We know it's not the case. Let's stretch and say half of all illegal immigrants live in California. That's 18+6=24.
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Re: Carrying Capacity on Coast2Coast tonight

Unread postby Oil_be_alroit » Wed 13 Aug 2008, 15:22:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('VMarcHart', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Oil_be_alroit', '.')..the point is that the US could easily support double the population without destroying the wildlife and nature if things were just arranged a bit better.
Our population is 300M and we consume resources for 1.5B people. 80% of our resources comes from abroad. Doubling the population to 600M while maintaining the current life-style, means we would consume the equivalent of 3 billion people; nearly half the planet's population. We would definitely be destroying somebody's wildlife, whether ours or our neighbor's. I sure would like to hear your rebutal.


That would always assume that we consider that consuming the same amount of resources per capita is a pre-requisite and that there would be no better way of re-distributing the available resources.

In any case I am in no way advocating a significant increase in the population of the US or anywhere else for that matter. The only point I was trying to make was that a country the size of the US could easily handle a much higher population based on what you can already find in other parts of the world where already much higher population densities prevail and where the standard of living is still very high such as in my example of Holland. How you would organize that extra population and whether that's desirable or not are different questions, but quite easily answered as the vast majority of people would rather not see a massive influx of population consuming ever more resources and devouring the wildlife, nature etc.
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Re: Carrying Capacity on Coast2Coast tonight

Unread postby WildRose » Wed 13 Aug 2008, 18:28:18

RE: Carrying capacity in North America. There certainly is the space, especially up north here in Canada. But the rate at which we consume resources, per capita, is the determining factor, in my opinion, as to how large a population we can carry.

The fellow on Coast-to-Coast the other evening made the point that 2 billion people in the world (I may be a bit off on that number) live on $2/day. The coffee I buy at Tim Horton's costs about $2/day. At the current per capita consumption of oil, natural gas, water, electricity, building supplies, agricultural products, etc., how many people could live in the US or Canada before the limits of these resources are met? It's possible to share the resources so that many more can live here, but it's not hard to imagine how much we, who are accustomed to high levels of resources consumption, would have to curb our appetites. Not that it would be a bad thing. :)
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Re: Carrying Capacity on Coast2Coast tonight

Unread postby coyote » Wed 13 Aug 2008, 22:49:26

Don't forget about immigrants' children (who are by definition all legal). I don't know the precise number, but they are a significant part of the equation.

But in California's case, I don't think that's our problem. Our problem is that everyone seems to want to live here, illegal or no! :evil: I'm sure all present company are excluded of course. :razz:
Lord, here comes the flood
We'll say goodbye to flesh and blood
If again the seas are silent in any still alive
It'll be those who gave their island to survive...
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Re: Carrying Capacity on Coast2Coast tonight

Unread postby SILENTTODD » Wed 13 Aug 2008, 23:25:01

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('VMarcHart', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('SILENTTODD', 'C')alifornia already exceeds the average density of Western Europe Now. In my life time I have watched its population double, mostly through illegal immigration.
What do you mean by "mostly"? There are 36 million people in California. There were half as much circa 1960. It is believed there are 12 million illegal immigrants in the US. If all illegal immigrants were living in California, 18+12=30. We know it's not the case. Let's stretch and say half of all illegal immigrants live in California. That's 18+6=24.


Interesting comment from someone Way over in Chicago, who has not stated any experience in California or if they had even ever set foot here? Let me tell you mine; I've lived all but five of my 53 years in California. Have lived in the Bay area, Central Valley and Southern California, LA, Orange County, and San Diego.

I won't split hairs on your figures for total population of the state it's probably coming from the census, which has its limitations. But where do you get your figure for illegal immigrants? Only 12 million? Were you standing along the boarder counting as they ran across? NO ONE KNOWS exactly how many illegal aliens there are in this country!

12 million illegal immigrants in California? You scoff at that, but anyone who can remember the 50s through early 70s here would believe that's easily possible. The small town I grew up near in the central valley has become inundated in Mexican and Central Americans in just the last 20 years. They have literally become half the population of that town since I graduated from high school, and I can absolutely tell you they weren't born here.

Look at your own city Chicago! I'm very familiar with it, my father was born and raised there, I've been going there since the late 50's. I’ve been astonished with how many Hispanic Mexicans and Central Americans are in Chicago Now! They easily fill up Soldier Field alone during a soccer event. That could not have happened in 1960 or 70! And I can guarantee you most of them are illegal aliens or the children of illegal aliens.
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Re: Carrying Capacity on Coast2Coast tonight

Unread postby VMarcHart » Thu 14 Aug 2008, 10:28:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('SILENTTODD', 'I')nteresting comment from someone way over in Chicago, who has not stated any experience in California or if they had even ever set foot here?
I visit California 5-6 times a year. In the last 4 months I went once to Sacramento and twice to San Jose. I have plans to be in SF in October. I camped 9 days in the Redwood Forest last September. Beautiful state, BTW.$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('SILENTTODD', 'B')ut where do you get your figure for illegal immigrants? Only 12 million?
Did you read I wrote "it's believed"?$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('SILENTTODD', 'T')he small town I grew up near in the central valley has become inundated in Mexican and Central Americans in just the last 20 years.
Nice touch!$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('SILENTTODD', '.')..I can guarantee you most of them are illegal aliens or the children of illegal aliens.
You hereby nominated for the site's official xenophobic chairman. Silent, get real, we are born of illegal immigrants. Columbus and his men didn't have a visa to enter the country. They just disembarked, stayed, colonized, etc, then inacted their own laws as the supreme law and invited their buddies to come over. There is no differenct between immigration 400 years ago and today, and it has nothing to do with the world's and this country's carrying capacity. Nothing!
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