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THE Mutant Zombie Hordes Thread pt 2 (merged)

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Will starving masses roam or stay put?

Unread postby mos6507 » Fri 20 Jun 2008, 19:51:12

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '
')Stability is not a feature of agricultural populations - growth and collapse are features of those populations. Horticultural and hunter-gatherer populations tend to be more stable.


OK, it's the 21st century. Let's have a new concept. Agricultural populations 2.0, this time with birth control!
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Re: Will starving masses roam or stay put?

Unread postby wisconsin_cur » Fri 20 Jun 2008, 19:52:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('wisconsin_cur', ' ')I would contend that we do not have records of what happen to hunter gatherers in bad years (or two) because there are no permanent records.


Anthropologists study remains from both hunter-gatherer and settled populations to see damage to bones caused by famine.


Hunter-gatherer populations are quite stable over time. So I'm not sure how you think settled (agricultural) populations are "more stable." They aren't typically stable, they typically continue to grow. Stability is not a feature of agricultural populations - growth and collapse are features of those populations. Horticultural and hunter-gatherer populations tend to be more stable.


And growth is a sign of success. I want to succeed.

Perhaps horticultutal society would be more of what I would advocate. I have to confess some ignorance on the differences in definition between ag and hort.

I would question, however, how... representative the bones of hunter gatherers studied are compared to settled communities. You have a better idea of where to look for bones and there is a larger surviving sample, since settled communities have a larger population base.
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Re: Will starving masses roam or stay put?

Unread postby Ludi » Fri 20 Jun 2008, 19:54:26

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', '
')It's academic one way or another. Hunter/gatherer is a luxury for an underpopulated world teaming with wilderness. That's not the world we live in and whatever pockets now exist where that is possible will cease to exist post peak-oil.


Do you really think it is more likely that people will move into undisturbed areas without benefit of heavy equipment? I think it is less likely that people will move into undisturbed areas. They will tend to concentrate on the already developed land rather than wasting their time and limited energy hacking into wilderness, in my opinion. But I've already stated my opinion many times that people will cluster in developed areas and especially cities rather than spreading out into the countryside. However, I may be surprised by some unprecedented behavior! 8O
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Re: Will starving masses roam or stay put?

Unread postby wisconsin_cur » Fri 20 Jun 2008, 20:00:21

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', '
')It's academic one way or another. Hunter/gatherer is a luxury for an underpopulated world teaming with wilderness. That's not the world we live in and whatever pockets now exist where that is possible will cease to exist post peak-oil.


Do you really think it is more likely that people will move into undisturbed areas without benefit of heavy equipment? I think it is less likely that people will move into undisturbed areas. They will tend to concentrate on the already developed land rather than wasting their time and limited energy hacking into wilderness, in my opinion. But I've already stated my opinion many times that people will cluster in developed areas and especially cities rather than spreading out into the countryside. However, I may be surprised by some unprecedented behavior! 8O


On this we are agreed... I hate to say it but I am somewhat dependent upon it...
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Re: Will starving masses roam or stay put?

Unread postby Ludi » Fri 20 Jun 2008, 20:01:43

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('wisconsin_cur', '
')And growth is a sign of success. I want to succeed.



For me, growth alone is not a sign of success. Stability over time is a sign of success. But that's just me! :)

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('wisconsin_cur', 'P')erhaps horticultutal society would be more of what I would advocate. I have to confess some ignorance on the differences in definition between ag and hort.


Here's a nice overview:

http://anthropik.com/2007/06/agricultur ... ds-matter/


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('wisconsin_cur', 'I') would question, however, how... representative the bones of hunter gatherers studied are compared to settled communities. You have a better idea of where to look for bones and there is a larger surviving sample, since settled communities have a larger population base.



You might question the methods of physical anthropologists in general, and probably not accept much if any of their science, since it is all based on rather small numbers of samples. For instance, our entire understanding of human evolution is based on a relatively small sample of remains of hunter-gatherers.
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Re: Will starving masses roam or stay put?

Unread postby wisconsin_cur » Fri 20 Jun 2008, 20:30:16

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('wisconsin_cur', '
')I would question, however, how... representative the bones of hunter gatherers studied are compared to settled communities. You have a better idea of where to look for bones and there is a larger surviving sample, since settled communities have a larger population base.



You might question the methods of physical anthropologists in general, and probably not accept much if any of their science, since it is all based on rather small numbers of samples. For instance, our entire understanding of human evolution is based on a relatively small sample of remains of hunter-gatherers.


Evolution "works" as a theory because of the lack of scientific alternatives, the more philosophical argument used to support it and (here I tread into something I know very little about) that modern science (which assumes evolution as a necessary premise) "works" in an objective an verifiable way.

I can... "work with" anthropologists work on evolution but I can't help but think that those who spend their lives studying hunter/gatherer societies might be a little biased in favor of those societies. I can question some of their conclusions that do not seem to have a large enough base of support in science just as I would an economist or a historian who comes to conclusions that do not seem to account for the sparcity of evidence to reach the conclusions they make.

edited x2 for increased clarity
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Re: Will starving masses roam or stay put?

Unread postby Ludi » Fri 20 Jun 2008, 20:40:07

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('wisconsin_cur', 'I') can question some of their conclusions that do not seem to have a large enough base of support in science just as I would an economist or a historian who comes to conclusions that do not seem to account for the sparcity of evidence to reach the conclusions they make.


I think you'd need to know how they compared their samples to know if they didn't account for the sparsity of evidence.


Do you feel the physical anthropologists studying hunter-gatherers do not have a large enough base in science? What is your evidence for this opinion, if I might ask? You say you are familiar with history, but not with anthropology, so, I guess I'm curious how you came by your conclusions.
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Re: Will starving masses roam or stay put?

Unread postby wisconsin_cur » Fri 20 Jun 2008, 20:59:46

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('wisconsin_cur', 'I') can question some of their conclusions that do not seem to have a large enough base of support in science just as I would an economist or a historian who comes to conclusions that do not seem to account for the sparcity of evidence to reach the conclusions they make.


I think you'd need to know how they compared their samples to know if they didn't account for the sparsity of evidence.


Do you feel the physical anthropologists studying hunter-gatherers do not have a large enough base in science? What is your evidence for this opinion, if I might ask? You say you are familiar with history, but not with anthropology, so, I guess I'm curious how you came by your conclusions.


Not in a "scientific way" but the same way I judge a lot of conclusions I wait until I hear them talk about something I do know about and how well they do. Anthropologist have fallen down on this account a couple of times, just like every other profession when they start talking about things they know nothing about. When economists talk about the physics of energy or the geology of oil wells; or when pastors start talking about politics or when my mother in law opens her mouth on nearly any issue.

To the issue at hand, I do not know what the evidence is or how they discerned it.

I do know that hunter gathering does not leave as big a footprint as settled society.

I do know a lot more effort has been put into studying the footprints of settled society than hunter gatherers.

I do know that hunter/gatherers are not monolithic (Inuit vs Austrialia versus North American Native.

I'll go out on a limb as say that at least those who wandered as part of their hunting and gathering did not bury their dead in one place. Pops mentioned "starving time" in another thread, our (taking kinship with the settled) bury our people in the same place no matter when they died... and often times buried our people in the same place across many centuries. Perhaps some hunter/gatherers did also... but all of them?

I also know that I am asked to believe monolithic conclusions about very diverse populations that do not receive the funding or the sum total of brain power (due to less people studying it not their individual intelligence) as what they are contrasting against, then yes I am suspicious.

For that matter I am also suspicious of economists, historians, theologians, politicians, physicists (they want to make small black holes?), urban planners, engineers, business people, doctors, and lots of other folks who forget that there is more to the world than their individual specialty and that we all jump to conclusions that we cannot substantiate.

Their's (and mine) is the sin of hubris. They don't know what they don't know and they sub-consciously or consciously fill in blanks in order to keep from admitting what they do know that they do not know.
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Re: Will starving masses roam or stay put?

Unread postby Ludi » Fri 20 Jun 2008, 21:29:38

Being suspicious of "monolithic conclusions" is a good thing. The conclusions "hunter-gatherers in general show less evidence of famine than agriculturists" may or may not be a monolithic conclusion. "Agriculturists are more successful than hunter-gatherer" seems, to me, to be a monolithic conclusion. But I think maybe it is more of a semantic or even value-based conclusion ("success" being rather subjective).

I guess, I'm just not sure why physical anthropologists would be more likely to be biased about their subject, than, say, historians.

Anyway, I'm tired of these arguments. Believe what you want.:)
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Re: Will starving masses roam or stay put?

Unread postby wisconsin_cur » Fri 20 Jun 2008, 21:36:32

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'B')eing suspicious of "monolithic conclusions" is a good thing. The conclusions "hunter-gatherers in general show less evidence of famine than agriculturists" may or may not be a monolithic conclusion. "Agriculturists are more successful than hunter-gatherer" seems, to me, to be a monolithic conclusion. But I think maybe it is more of a semantic or even value-based conclusion ("success" being rather subjective).

I guess, I'm just not sure why physical anthropologists would be more likely to be biased about their subject, than, say, historians.

Anyway, I'm tired of these arguments. Believe what you want.:)


Historians are actually the worst perpetrators, worse than anthropologists, worse than economists, worse than theologians... ok may just as bad as theologians.

(for those who don't know the joke I have two degrees. One in history and the other... theology)

Yes there is a subjective value of success but there also putting people's arguments to the task and asking the simple question, "Do they really know enough to know what they are talking about?" When it comes to that one specific conclusion of anthropologists, my answer is "no, they don't."
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Re: Will starving masses roam or stay put?

Unread postby Revi » Fri 20 Jun 2008, 21:43:23

There may be a lot of game in the mountains, or relatively inaccessible areas, but the settled areas will quickly empty of any game bigger than a squirrel.

The problem is that in an area where everyone's hungry the animals have a tendency to end up as dinner.

I don't think that "the starving masses" will eat too many of them, because they won't make it too far out of the cities.

It will be the rural people themselves who will eat most of the wildlife.
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Re: Will starving masses roam or stay put?

Unread postby Ludi » Fri 20 Jun 2008, 21:57:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('wisconsin_cur', ' ') When it comes to that one specific conclusion of anthropologists, my answer is "no, they don't."


Because you have studied the subject so much yourself? That is, you are claiming to know more about the subject than the people who study it professionally?



Ugh! I'm still arguing! Nevermind! :oops:
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Re: Will starving masses roam or stay put?

Unread postby wisconsin_cur » Fri 20 Jun 2008, 22:14:10

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('wisconsin_cur', ' ') When it comes to that one specific conclusion of anthropologists, my answer is "no, they don't."


Because you have studied the subject so much yourself? That is, you are claiming to know more about the subject than the people who study professionally?


I am only claiming that it does not pass the BS meter. Just because they study it does not mean they know what they are talking about. Scientist who know a lot more about the brain than I said that anti-depressants worked, now we learn they work at the same rate as placeboes, I suspected as much because working in Behavioral Health I'm a dealer of sorts and while they do help some I see plenty that they do not help. Most people need to go do some physical work but we don't get any studies of that, they experts do not advocate it because it does not fit their paradigm.

Same is true of those who know more about geology than I do and claim we will have plenty of oil for another 30 years. They have a bias and it does not pass the BS meter.

We could go on and on about the "experts" being wrong. In the hard sciences this is frequently exhibited as the evidence changes and the theories must with it. The softer sciences (of which anthropology is one) do not have that as much because one can afford to be dogmatic because there will not be one bit of undeniable evidence that changes everything. There are people who have built a career on one theory and they will stick to it until they themselves are bones and they are the most studied experts.

Anyone who claims to tell me that they can tell as much about the diet and lifetime expectations of hunter-gatherers based upon evidence from bones and a few remaining societies and then use that contrast against the (relatively) well documented history of famine in settled communities is not going to pass the BS meter. We got more people in settled societies... we are more likely to press the carrying capacity envelop, I get it... how is that possible, however, if we are a bunch of malnourished, famine prone consumers?

How is it that hunter.gatherers never push the envelope? If it is not famine and disease etc that keep them below the carrying capacity of their region than what does keep them below it? Is that thing (whatever it is) incompatible with a settled lifestyle? If it is compatible than it is not a problem with settled-ness per sea but some other part of culture.
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Re: Will starving masses roam or stay put?

Unread postby mos6507 » Fri 20 Jun 2008, 23:42:10

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '
')Because you have studied the subject so much yourself? That is, you are claiming to know more about the subject than the people who study it professionally?


There are more people who study the subject than those who write essays on anthropik.
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Re: Will starving masses roam or stay put?

Unread postby allenwrench » Wed 25 Jun 2008, 19:27:24

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Revi', 'T')here may be a lot of game in the mountains, or relatively inaccessible areas, but the settled areas will quickly empty of any game bigger than a squirrel.

The problem is that in an area where everyone's hungry the animals have a tendency to end up as dinner.

I don't think that "the starving masses" will eat too many of them, because they won't make it too far out of the cities.

It will be the rural people themselves who will eat most of the wildlife.


Yes, with no hunting regs, the game will dry up quick. We got tons of deer here. But we have far more people than deer...and most of em are gun nuts.
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Re: Will starving masses roam or stay put?

Unread postby allenwrench » Wed 25 Jun 2008, 19:29:24

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('wisconsin_cur', ' ').....

flexibility is my plan. if i have to walk away from everything, then so be it; if i have to hunker down, then fine. i however don't intend to be completely tied to any single strategy.



Flexibility and adaptation are two characteristics of the successful survivor.

Some of us do a great job surviving catastrophes and some of us cannot even survive a stretch of hot weather and die.

It takes knowledge, dedication and action to be successful at it.

Sometimes we can get stuck in a a place of constantly looking and never finding. In short, we can get stuck in a state of "analysis paralysis" with our work as well as life in general.

We tell ourselves we need to assemble all the facts before we can start and as perfectionists we never seem to have *all* the facts that allow us to perfectly act.

Remember, knowledge without application is useless.
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Re: Will starving masses roam or stay put?

Unread postby vetusfirma » Wed 25 Jun 2008, 20:13:34

Maybe its all a part of learned behavior. The farmers in the Great Depression/dust bowel left there land to find land they could farm. They were farmers.

Where as the factory workers stood in food lines in the cities, probably because they were factory workers, and there wasn't any factory work anyplace.

The masses will only roam if they are energetic. If they aren't then they will stand in the bread lines.

I don't think the MZB's will be as bad as everyone thinks, or wishes.
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Re: Will starving masses roam or stay put?

Unread postby mystiek » Thu 26 Jun 2008, 00:01:13

I think there will be regional variations of response as we can see how communities respond to natural disasters hitting them now. Some places the people stand around and scream "where's FEMA" "where's the Federal Government" "where's this or that" yada, yada, yada. Other places we saw this week have men, women, children, prisoners, amish folks, etc all pitching together to save and preserve their community by filling sand bags, etc. I'm sure high population areas, people will wander out for stability and food, but if you don't have the resources to pay for gas to escape far away the people will only migrate so far. This is just my own thoughts, not based on any research, that's why I don't get in a debate (smiley face-I still cant get my computer to do this, I'm SURE its operator error - lol). Hopefully I'll be correct because we now live in a southern, rural town that is primarily agriculture. Down side right now is that we have to travel about 45 minutes to 1 hour to go to "the mall"-but that's not the end of the world. I feel like a kid in a candy shop between the produce from my garden and the large quantities of fruits and vegetables I can obtain from all the pick your own farms and local farmers!
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Re: Will starving masses roam or stay put?

Unread postby DryObserver » Sat 28 Jun 2008, 04:35:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('allenwrench', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AgentR', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', 'I') think what's more likely is a "zombie horde lite" which is just people strategically moving from collapsing cities to rural regions. In so doing they will destroy these rural areas with thier sheer numbers. They will move while they still have the means to do so.


Not hardly. They will be walking fertilizer once they get out of eyeshot of someone who would be forced to react to zombie-control with an official response. Which, in rural America, is pretty much everywhere.

If you intend to be one of the zombies hunting for "helpless" rural folks... understand this, a good portion of them (us/me?) are flat out nuts, have guns, and routinely shoot at or nearly at people already for no particularly good reason. Out of town zombies, trespassing?

Fertilizer.



This brings up a good point for the not so crazed rural dweller to consider.

Not counting masses, but just talking about individuals and familles. How will you dissuade them besides killing them if they wonder onto your property looking for help or handouts?

Warning signs? Non lethal booby traps? Fence and drawbridge?


In the mountains? Rail gun rounds that shatter rockfaces along the major highways leading into this region. You could render roads impassible -- barring heavy equipment -- and have sentinels watch the barriers from a considerable distance for anyone with sufficient wherewithal to force their way past.

I suspect this would be the last-ditch strategy of local authorities if an unmanageable horde were rushing up the highway towards us. And yes, building a rail gun is fairly simple if you have the electricity to power it. And we most likely would.
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Re: Will starving masses roam or stay put?

Unread postby PhebaAndThePilgrim » Sat 28 Jun 2008, 10:08:18

Good day from Pheba, from the farm:
This bit of doomer information is for the folks who plan on killing deer or other mammals to feed their families.
One of the reasons we have so many deer is that the herds are maintained.
The natural predators of deer (wolves) have been decimated.
We need to maintain herds to keep them from breeding out of control.
Without that maintenance herds would peak, then reduce their own numbers from overshoot and the decline that follows overshoot.

When people start hunting deer in greater and greater numbers, the ability of the deer herds to breed will be greatly impacted.
Deer numbers will decline.
There will come a time when the numbers drop below the ability of the herd to reproduce.
This will happen within the space of a few years.
While there may be enough deer to feed a local population for a few years, that number will quickly decline, and soon there will be no deer.

The British learned this the hard way. They had laws called the Forest Laws. Only the aristocracy could hunt.
The laws could be savage. Most peasants found hunting were sent to debtors prison.
One time an English king revoked the Forest Laws in a bid for popularity. Memory fails me on which king it was.
The move was a disaster. In a short space of time the livestock was decimated. There was an actual risk of losing the animals forever.
The king had to reinstate the Forest Laws. This was a disaster for the King's popularity. Reinstating an unpopular law was the worst thing a King could do, but it was necessary.

If you wrap your head around the differences in population numbers, and the inability of the powers that be to enforce any modern equivalent to "forest Laws", then it is easy to see that it is going to be a mad scramble.

I would not be surprised to witness the extinction of the White-tailed deer in a very short time.

A more realistic view would be to acquire a taste for field mice.

Pheba.
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