by yesplease » Tue 09 Oct 2007, 17:48:44
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'I') have come to understand that increased 'efficiently' and technical 'elegance' within this suburban/automobile system will use up remaining fossil fuels just as fast. Check out Jevon's Paradox.
Jevon's Paradox?
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')n economics, the Jevons Paradox is an observation made by William Stanley Jevons, who stated that as technological improvements increase the efficiency with which a resource is used, total consumption of that resource
may increase, rather than decrease. It is historically called the Jevons Paradox since it ran counter to Jevons's intuition, but it is well understood by modern economic theory which shows that improved resource efficiency may trigger a change in the overall consumption of that resource.
The direction of that change depends on other economic variables.
Since post peak, we can't increase consumption, by virtue of the peak itself, Jevon's Paradox isn't much of a concern since it doesn't apply. The only people who believe Jevon's Paradox will always hold true are cornocopians, since ever increasing resource availability is the only way Jevon's Paradox can always apply.