Greenspan Speaks
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Gary North at LewRockwell.com', '.')..This was Greenspan's problem for two decades: a preference for data that were separated from a coherent economic theory of the business cycle.
When he was a young economist in the 1960's, he was a devoted advocate of the gold standard. He understood cause and effect in economic theory. He understood how monetary inflation distorts the capital structure, leading to booms and busts. But, at his accession to the Chairmanship of the Board of Governors in 1987, his personal love for, and deep faith in, economic statistics overcame his mid-1960's faith in stable money as a matter of economic principle. He adopted the print-and-spend policies that have plagued every nation that has adopted central banking, which is all of them except Monaco and Andorra.
To begin with statistics is to begin with built-in blinders to economic cause and effect. Statistics are merely what government agencies have sampled in the past. Following statistics rather than a policy of stable money, he spent his career at the FED looking into a government-built rear-view mirror. He got out as Chairman just in time for the day of reckoning to arrive. Bernanke will get to ride the tiger that Greenspan left for him, just as Paul Volcker left Greenspan the tiger – smaller and weaker – in 1987.
MORE INFLATION
Greenspan argued that FED policy in his era did not face the problem of price inflation that Bernanke faces today.
We were dealing in an environment back there where inflation was easing. We could have acted without the fear of stoking inflationary pressures. You can't do that any more. And therefore it's a different world.
If he were Pinocchio, his nose would have grown six inches. Greenspan spent his entire career at the FED warning against price inflation, which was just around the corner. Only once do I recall that he warned against deflation, and he refused even to use the word. That was in his October, 1998 testimony after the New York FED had called together New York banks that had lent billions to Long Term Capital Management, Ltd., which was about to go bankrupt. He warned against cascading cross defaults. But he did not call this what it would have been: mass deflation. Over and over in his career, he warned that inflation was the economy's main threat. Year after year, the FED inflated. Inflation is always the problem because the Federal Reserve System exists.
He thinks we are at long last entering the age of inflation – not the mamby-pamby inflation that the FED has engineered ever since 1982, but the real thing...