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THE Mad Max Scenario Thread (merged)

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

John Stewart, Gas Prices, Mad Max.

Postby ColossalContrarian » Mon 28 May 2007, 19:45:10

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Re: John Stewart, Gas Prices, Mad Max.

Postby sciencegirl » Mon 28 May 2007, 19:53:59

lol that was pretty funny :)
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The future will be more akin to Mad Max than George Orwell

Postby MattSavinar » Sun 01 Jul 2007, 00:02:30

Only the link got copied over... fixed it. (Aaron) link
Here's the kicker about highly advanced software and command and control ("C&C") police state type programs: Even high-tech organizations like the NSA are subject to the law of diminishing returns as articulated by Joseph Tainter in "The Collapse of Complex Societies."
The NSA's current electricity crisis is an example of one these breaking points, albeit one currently at a comparatively early and only mildly disruptive stage:

A year after the National Security Agency nearly maxed out its
electrical capacity, some offices are experiencing significant
power disruptions as the agency confronts the increasingly urgent
problem of an infrastructure stretched to its limits, intelligence
officials said.
The spy agency has delayed the deployment of some new data
-processing equipment because it is short on power and space.
Outages have shut down some offices in NSA headquarters for up
to half a day. And some officials fear that major problems could
occur this summer as temperatures climb.

A lot of Peak Oilers are freaked TPTB are going to implement a "1984"-style police state once TSHTF. But the law of diminishing returns is the big X-factor: the C&C mechanisms employed by TPTB are as dependent on huge energy inputs and 3,000 mile supply lines as Wal-Mart is. The day those supply lines and energy flows reach certain tipping points, TPTB won't even be able to answer the phones let alone engage in massive Orwellian command and control schemes. In other words, the future is more likely to be a low-energy, chaotic dystopia like "The Road Warrior" than a high-energy, fascist dystopia like "1984".
Last edited by MattSavinar on Mon 02 Jul 2007, 00:51:33, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: The future will be more akin to Mad Max than George Orwe

Postby Roccland » Sun 01 Jul 2007, 00:18:09

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Re: The future will be more akin to Mad Max than George Orwe

Postby Heineken » Sun 01 Jul 2007, 00:48:54

The world of "1984" did not strike me as particularly "high energy."
In fact, it was rather quaint by today's standards. People lived jammed into tiny apartments and used public transportation or walked, if I remember correctly.
I think that whatever the future looks like, it will probably be different from what we imagine, and that people will have either no role or a much smaller role in it.
"Actually, humans died out long ago."
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Re: The future will be more akin to Mad Max than George Orwe

Postby TommyJefferson » Sun 01 Jul 2007, 03:05:46

The whole "tipping point" concept is shaky in this regard.
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Re: The future will be more akin to Mad Max than George Orwe

Postby Rogozhin » Sun 01 Jul 2007, 03:06:34

H, Are you impling that governets, corporations, and militias will be the determining factor of the immediate future?
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Re: The future will be more akin to Mad Max than George Orwe

Postby EnergyUnlimited » Sun 01 Jul 2007, 04:50:10

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he future will be more akin to Mad Max than George Orwell

Status quo - Orwell - neofeudal slavery (soft landing)
Status quo - Mad Max - neofeudal slavery (hard landing)
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Re: The future will be more akin to Mad Max than George Orwe

Postby Jellric » Sun 01 Jul 2007, 04:57:43

Well I don't believe it unless I read it here at peakoil.com first. :P
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Re: The future will be more akin to Mad Max than George Orwe

Postby Tanada » Sun 01 Jul 2007, 05:16:43

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnergyUnlimited', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he future will be more akin to Mad Max than George Orwell

Status quo - Orwell - neofeudal slavery (soft landing)
Status quo - Mad Max - neofeudal slavery (hard landing)

I hate the way you're thinking, but I beleive you have the core of the matter well understood. Authoritarianism is the ultimate winner.
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Moved earth and heaven, that which we are, we are;
One equal temper of heroic hearts,
Made weak by time and fate, but strong in will
To strive, to seek, to find, and not to yield.
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Re: The future will be more akin to Mad Max than George Orwe

Postby mididoctors » Sun 01 Jul 2007, 06:44:33

I go with a more soylent green version when indulging in doomer porn
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Re: The future will be more akin to Mad Max than George Orwe

Postby Grautr » Sun 01 Jul 2007, 07:07:43

how long before the world discovers they are making bread out of people Boris?

:)
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Re: The future will be more akin to Mad Max than George Orwe

Postby parainwater » Sun 01 Jul 2007, 07:48:44

Given a choice between those two possible futures I would definately prefer the Mad Max world.
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Re: The future will be more akin to Mad Max than George Orwe

Postby Heineken » Sun 01 Jul 2007, 08:52:32

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Rogozhin', 'H'), Are you impling that governets, corporations, and militias will be the determining factor of the immediate future?

No, I think the future will be shaped by things like ecology and climate and entomology and microbiology.
I think that human organizations and institutions are going bye-bye, and most if not all humans along with them.
It is very difficult for us to imagine the future, because we're steeped in the past and the present, with which the future will make a profoundly radical break. So it's our natural tendency to extend certain institutions futureward when there may be no basis for that. Institutions like governments and gigantic souped-up road vehicles.

Is "Mad Max" really all that different from what we have today? Not in most of the world. Movies like "Mad Max" and even "Waterworld" to me look much like extensions of today, with a veneer of collapse overlain. Lots of people roaring around, fighting, and building "city states" and fancy jury-rigged apparati.
The future might look like "The Road." All the hubris beaten out of people, what people are left.
I do not believe that the human race is any more immortal than the human individual. That we are immortal and will always adapt and survive as a group is one of our cherished fantasies.
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"Things have entered a stage where the only change that is possible is for things to get worse."
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Re: The future will be more akin to Mad Max than George Orwe

Postby chris-h » Sun 01 Jul 2007, 09:37:46

My vote goes for the Matrix :)
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Re: The future will be more akin to Mad Max than George Orwe

Postby GrizzAdams » Sun 01 Jul 2007, 10:52:11

I could see the class gap getting greater. Maybe even resemble South Africa somewhat, where the rich have to put flame throwers or spring loaded blades on their cars to keep from getting jacked.
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Re: The future will be more akin to Mad Max than George Orwe

Postby frankthetank » Sun 01 Jul 2007, 12:07:42

No matter what most of us are doomed, or children, or grandchildren. An elite group of wealthy individuals might keep going for awhile, but even they will have to give up their addicition to oil someday. Maybe by then that moon base will be built. In the long run, hunting and gathering is probably where we are headed. I think farming may be doomed...all it did was increase population.
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Re: The future will be more akin to Mad Max than George Orwe

Postby MonteQuest » Sun 01 Jul 2007, 13:12:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MattSavinar', ' ') The day those supply lines and energy flows reach certain tipping points, TPTB won't even be able to answer the phones let alone engage in massive Orwellian command and control schemes. In other words, the future is more likely to be a low-energy, chaotic dystopia like "The Road Warrior" than a high-energy, fascist dystopia like "1984".

Then perhaps the erosion of civil liberties that has started, via the neocons actions and the quickly drafted Patriot Act, is the forerunner to help facilitate control before the tipping point arrives.
From my book:$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Montequest', 'T')he Patriot Act is a case study in that most dependable of all instances, war, to alter the attitude of people who “would be willing to give up things they cherish in return for the desperate need and desire for security against a deadly enemy.” The bill came to Congress on Sept 19, only eight days after the attacks. The Senate passed its version by a vote of 96 to 1 on October 11, one month to the day following the attacks. The House followed the next day.

In his book, Losing America: Confronting a Reckless and Arrogant Presidency, senior Senator from West Virginia (D), Robert C. Byrd writes: “Little by little, inch by inch, this administration bores into the walls built by the framers, walls with foundations going back to antiquity.” It is an important must read for all Americans by one of the country’s longest serving and most respected legislators; one who does not shrink from warning the people of the sinister agenda of a power-seeking White House.

What the Senator is alluding to here is this: Every bit of legislation is carefully written, with all attempts to avoid obfuscation, and import accurate legal distinctions. This is what they mean by “the letter of the law.” Inasmuch as one word, a “shall” or a “whereas,” can change the meaning—and most importantly—the lengths to which that law can be applied. The Patriot Act does this in spades, removing certain legal distinctions in order to give more power to the government, while taking some of our civil liberties in the process. Citizens should look out for Patriot II, a broader and more invasive sequel or a stealth version broken up and camouflaged in other legislation to avoid being a target for criticism.

The U.S. has traditionally prided itself on its Constitution and Bill of Rights, and one would think that the final passing of a sacrosanct right would at least be noted in the press. But “public discussion” is limited to whatever the “media” chooses to feature. Look at how much media attention this “Swift Boat” controversy has sparked. Are we being properly served? I think not.
“They that can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety deserve neither liberty nor safety.” — Benjamin Franklin
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Re: The future will be more akin to Mad Max than George Orwe

Postby MonteQuest » Sun 01 Jul 2007, 13:20:07

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Montequest', 'T')he first thing our founding fathers did once in power was pass the Bill of Rights to protect the people they were governing. Fresh in their minds was the memory of the British violation of civil rights before and during the Revolution. ...
“These restrictions, I think, are so guarded as to hinder evil only. However, if we do not have them now, I have so much confidence in my countrymen as to be satisfied that we shall have them as soon as the degeneracy of our government shall render them necessary." —Thomas Jefferson to James Madison, 1789.

I cannot help but find those words (“degeneracy of our government”) somehow very prophetic.
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Re: The future will be more akin to Mad Max than George Orwe

Postby MattSavinar » Sun 01 Jul 2007, 13:34:16

@Aaron: Why not just post the link? Isn't that the way you're suppossed to do it?
I mean you can't just cut and paste from the NY Times, as an example. LATOC ain't the NY Times but the copyright rules apply the same way.
Not to mention that your "edit job" left out the graph and the links in the article. So people can't go check the Baltimore Sun article, the link to the Tainter entry, etc.
Of course, if you don't want me to link to my own articles it's your site here so "you the man."
Last edited by MattSavinar on Sun 01 Jul 2007, 14:51:56, edited 1 time in total.
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