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Economics - Science or Religion?

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

Re: Economics - Science or Religion?

Unread postby MrBill » Mon 27 Feb 2006, 05:16:04

I agree that there is nothing revolutionary in principle and that we can make significant progress on these issues without having to resort to re-inventing the wheel. Once we optomize the present system, we can look at changes to bring further improvements. It will not be easy, but you must not judge all economies and all politicians by the failures in America. There are some good governments that are getting the basics right. None are without their faults. All can be improved.

CEE is a good example. Since the fall of communism many of these newly market based economies did revolutionary things with their economies and tried new ideas. Some of those ideas have worked well. They have resulted in growth twice as high as in the EU over the past decade and not all that growth was due to playing catch-up or starting from a low base. The banking system in many CEE countries is fundamentally stronger than in France or Germany for example. It is easier to make intelligent changes when you start with a clean slate and do not have so many vested interests, but we have learned a lot from their experience.

For example, the SZDSZ junior coalition party in Hungary is calling for flat taxes of 20% to simplify administration and cast the net further bringing in more revenue after the first year. They also propose to raise corporate taxes from 16% to 20% and lower personal taxes from 21.5% to 20% while keeping VAT (excluding transport and prescription drugs) at 20%. Almost perfect. Harmonize taxes and eliminate tax avoidance or financial engineering to lower taxes. 20% is 20%. Needless to say the Socialists are against it. They are still stuck in the mindset that flat taxes hurt the poor, while refusing to ackowledge that a lower flat tax brings in more revenue and lowers costs of collection and enforcement while encouraging the market and entrepreneurs to work their magic. So the problem is not politicians per say, but parties with entrenched interests.
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Re: Economics - Science or Religion?

Unread postby rogerhb » Mon 27 Feb 2006, 16:37:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrBill', 'O')nce we optomize the present system,....


Funny that, I was told that a free market always gave you an optimised system.

You mean it doesn't work as advertised?
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Re: Economics - Science or Religion?

Unread postby jaws » Mon 27 Feb 2006, 22:43:33

You cannot optimize the present system. The present system resists optimality. The purpose of political power is to subvert the optimality of the free market with the plans and intentions of politicians. It is not optimal by definition.

Arguing over the ideal form of taxation is pointless. The only ideal tax is no tax. Every other form of taxation is going to cause disruption in the economy.
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Re: Economics - Science or Religion?

Unread postby rogerhb » Mon 27 Feb 2006, 22:46:16

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jaws', 'A')rguing over the ideal form of taxation is pointless. The only ideal tax is no tax. Every other form of taxation is going to cause disruption in the economy.


And seeing as you've said the state must provide the police, the judiciary and defence:

Either we have local volunteers for the above three or we can have no optimised system. Then how do you avoid the volunteer police/judiciary/defence from accepting kick-backs?
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Re: Economics - Science or Religion?

Unread postby jaws » Mon 27 Feb 2006, 22:51:56

People can hire their own protection agency. There's no need for volunteers, however if you wish to volunteer to protect someone that's perfectly legitimate.
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Re: Economics - Science or Religion?

Unread postby Z » Mon 27 Feb 2006, 22:57:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jaws', 'P')eople can hire their own protection agency.


And they call it gang. Complete with (expeditive) justice.

The state is an entity that has the absolute control of violence over its citizens. Anything else will soon turn to anarchy/oligarchy/feudalism.
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Re: Economics - Science or Religion?

Unread postby rogerhb » Mon 27 Feb 2006, 23:12:32

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jaws', 'P')eople can hire their own protection agency. There's no need for volunteers, however if you wish to volunteer to protect someone that's perfectly legitimate.


You are seriously suggesting this? So poor have no protection and rich can employ whatever thugs they can afford?

So your golden era is not the Victorian times, it's actually the dark ages?
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Re: Economics - Science or Religion?

Unread postby jaws » Mon 27 Feb 2006, 23:29:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rogerhb', 'Y')ou are seriously suggesting this? So poor have no protection and rich can employ whatever thugs they can afford?

So your golden era is not the Victorian times, it's actually the dark ages?
The poor don't need much protection. If you live like a vagabond and own only the clothes on your back it will be very inexpensive to protect you. If you are a wealthy man with large estates and a labyrinth of bank accounts then it will be very complicated and expensive to protect you.

The current system where everyone pays for protection that benefits mostly the rich is unfair. When the poor turn to the state gang for protection, they are told to take their ball home because the rich have already paid all the bribes. That's why we have so much pollution and so much crime today. Who suffers the most from crime? Poor minorities.
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Re: Economics - Science or Religion?

Unread postby Z » Mon 27 Feb 2006, 23:38:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jaws', 'T')he current system where everyone pays for protection that benefits mostly the rich is unfair. When the poor turn to the state gang for protection, they are told to take their ball home because the rich have already paid all the bribes. That's why we have so much pollution and so much crime today. Who suffers the most from crime? Poor minorities.


Economics ( free market style ) is a religion and Jaws is its prophet.

I fear you don't understand, Jaws, that freedom ( like in free market ) is not anarchy. You need order to exercise your freedom. Ergo you NEED a state above it that will use legitimate force eventually to enforce law. That state will definitively supersede any free market economy, no matter what.

added 2nd paragraph
Last edited by Z on Mon 27 Feb 2006, 23:50:47, edited 3 times in total.
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Re: Economics - Science or Religion?

Unread postby jaws » Mon 27 Feb 2006, 23:44:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Z', 'E')conomics ( free market style ) is a religion and Jaws is its prophet.

And you are a gang lord defending your turf against people who just want to live peacefully. Where do you claim legitimacy from?
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Re: Economics - Science or Religion?

Unread postby Z » Mon 27 Feb 2006, 23:54:34

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jaws', 'A')nd you are a gang lord defending your turf against people who just want to live peacefully. Where do you claim legitimacy from?


Sorry, I added a second paragraph while you were posting.
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Re: Economics - Science or Religion?

Unread postby jaws » Tue 28 Feb 2006, 00:04:08

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Z', 'I') fear you don't understand, Jaws, that freedom ( like in free market ) is not anarchy. You need order to exercise your freedom. Ergo you NEED a state above it that will use legitimate force eventually to enforce law. That state will definitively supersede any free market economy, no matter what.

That is not true. The existence of black markets shows that free market economy precedes the state, as black market economies function despite being actively supressed by the state!

Law does not require the state. In fact law is actively broken by the state. How many states arrest themselves when they commit murder? How about when they commit hundreds of thousands of murders? The state declares a law against theft and then extorts taxation out of its subjects. The state declares a law against slavery and then conscripts young men into mandatory military service (an institution which according to my french acquaintances still exists in France).

Anarchy is the system we live in today. There is no global state forcing the individual states to respect the law. The states sort out their conflicts however they choose, sometimes violently. We must stop them before they kill us all. We must establish the rule of law and peace. The free market is the only path to order.
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Re: Economics - Science or Religion?

Unread postby Z » Tue 28 Feb 2006, 00:19:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jaws', 'T')he state declares a law against slavery and then conscripts young men into mandatory military service (an institution which according to my french acquaintances still exists in France)..


Not anymore. Used to.
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Re: Economics - Science or Religion?

Unread postby Z » Tue 28 Feb 2006, 00:30:24

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jaws', 'T')hat is not true. The existence of black markets shows that free market economy precedes the state, as black market economies function despite being actively supressed by the state!.


What prevent you for getting counterfeited money or goods in a black market deal ? The state. What prevent you from getting assaulted or simply killed in a black market deal ? The state. The system you propose looks like Somalia, not any idealistic free market paradise. You need law to have freedom. Otherwise human nature ( that you constantly ignore in your posts, like the Russian communists you so despise did in their time ) will kick in and ruin your best efforts at building your free market utopia.

Your extremism is what makes your messages naive and amusing.
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Re: Economics - Science or Religion?

Unread postby jaws » Tue 28 Feb 2006, 00:42:21

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Z', 'W')hat prevent you for getting counterfeited money or goods in a black market deal ? The state.
Obviously the state is actively trying to destroy the black market, thus it isn't protecting you while you operate in it. Black markets are often the only source of valuable goods in countries where the state attempts to totally control the economy, like Zimbambwe and North Korea today, and the Warsaw Pact countries before.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')hat prevent you from getting assaulted or simply killed in a black market deal ? The state.

The state is actively trying to arrest and jail black marketeers, therefore it is not preventing anyone from being hurt. The reason people in black markets do not get assaulted and killed is because they take precautions for their protection.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he system you propose looks like Somalia, not any idealistic free market paradise. You need law to have freedom. Otherwise human nature ( that you constantly ignore in your posts, like the Russian communists you so despise did in their time ) will kick in and ruin your best efforts at building your free market utopia.
I do believe we need law. Somalia in fact has a very functional system of traditional law. Somalia also has the most advanced telecom industry in Africa, and has an agricultural economy more advanced than that of its neighbors. What we don't need is a state that pretends to provide law while breaking all the laws itself. That is the true source of chaos and anarchy.

Economic theory is perfectly aware of human nature. That is why it does not trust the state. It knows that by human nature the state will be a destructive force.
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Re: Economics - Science or Religion?

Unread postby Z » Tue 28 Feb 2006, 01:02:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jaws', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Z', 'W')hat prevent you for getting counterfeited money or goods in a black market deal ? The state.
Obviously the state is actively trying to destroy the black market, thus it isn't protecting you while you operate in it. Black markets are often the only source of valuable goods in countries where the state attempts to totally control the economy, like Zimbambwe and North Korea today, and the Warsaw Pact countries before.


I'm not talking about extrems. Take for example hashich in a developped nation like France. Trade of it is illegal, but I'm pretty sure I won't get killed while buying some. Not because the dealer is not an outlaw, but because the price he would have to pay to society for it far outweight the price to give me the real good.

Strange that we didn't see a free market extravadanza in NO in the wake of Katarina. 8) . In the country of free market religion. 8)

That's because there are thousands of way of appropriating something over the only one you want to have in your utopian pipedream. Most of them would be even more efficient ( ie. more profitable ) than giving your money for something. Taking it from cold fingers cost you only one bullet.

Human nature, you see.
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Re: Economics - Science or Religion?

Unread postby jaws » Tue 28 Feb 2006, 01:47:21

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Z', 'S')trange that we didn't see a free market extravadanza in NO in the wake of Katarina. 8) . In the country of free market religion. 8)

Strange that the government protection agency FEMA did nothing to help the people of NO, that the government built levies broke and flooded the city despite the fact that every engineer at the ACE knew they would, that a teenager commandeered an abandoned schoolbus and drove some refugees to Houston (making the journey much faster than the "official" evacuation) and were denied refuge by the government emergency management service, that the military police confiscated ambulances driving into town.

Strange also that Wal-Mart was the most efficient provider of emergency supplies during this whole debacle.

Strange finally that you would somehow use this shining example of the corruption and incompetence of states as evidence trying to argue in favor of it. Clearly you live in some kind of dream world worshipping the omnipotence of states if you cannot see the tragedy that unfolded in New Orleans.
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Re: Economics - Science or Religion?

Unread postby MrBill » Tue 28 Feb 2006, 04:57:20

Well, this post started out poorly, improved in the middle where some serious discussion took place, and then degenerated from there. Too bad. Now it just polarizes both sides and the reasonable arguments get lost in the mud slinging.

I tend to believe market based solutions are better than central government dictats, but I am not so naive to believe that a free market can be left to its own devices without a functioning government, independent judiciary and infrastructure to support it. There has been some good research done that support exactly that argument. That countries that meet those preconditions do much better than countries that do not, irrespective of geography, climate and access to natural resources that might also portend a country's relative economic success or failure.

Needless to say, corruption is an economic drain on any system even though it may arise to meet a legitimate economic need do to failures of the state to meet those needs. That is why I believe that bureaucracy and failed government policies lead ultimately to corruption. Why wait 10-months for a phone line to be installed when I can pay a small bribe and get it sooner? Why pay a traffic fine when I can just give the police officer a fiver? That type of creeping rationalization, that everyone is doing it, so I may as well, too.

One of the reasons a free market will not completely function on its own is short term gains versus long term costs. Once I control a resource, I can maximize my gains in the short term for my own benefit, while imposing costs on society which may over the long term outweigh any personal benefit that I received. Another reason is the tragedy of the commons. Where resources are shared and not owned by anyone. But these are all well tread areas that have been discussed at length in other forums.

But if no one is listening, there is no use to preach to the believers or try to convert the non-believers. But of course, we will not get any closer to solving the economic problems associated with resource depletion and peak oil if we cannot learn to discuss solutions instead of jumping down one another's throats for having different opinions.

I for one am tending towards the exit. My time is too valuable to waste.
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Re: Economics - Science or Religion?

Unread postby Z » Tue 28 Feb 2006, 05:13:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrBill', 'B')ut if no one is listening, there is no use to preach to the believers or try to convert the non-believers. [...] we cannot learn to discuss solutions instead of jumping down one another's throats for having different opinions.


The subject of the thread is whether economics is a science or a religion. I would like to point that my discussion with Jaws demonstrates that at least some people are real zealots of an economic theory and are quite impervious to facts, wholy to the whorship of their simple solution. The same could be said of communists for example.

QED
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