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Doomers gotta DOOM

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: The Problem With Doomers...

Postby EnergySpin » Mon 07 Nov 2005, 14:29:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Heineken', '
')
I'm an American consumer, and I don't want more and fancier treatments. I'm willing to take most of the responsibility for my health. I just want someone to be available to suture my thumb when I cut it, and to be able to do so for a fair price. There's no rational reason why it should cost $1000 for an intern to spend 30 minutes cleaning and sewing up my thumb. I'm tired of having to pay for someone else's acromioplasty as part of the bill for my thumb.

I'm not really sure why you think that you are paying for someone's else acromioplasty. In that particular example you are (usually) paying for someone else's thrombolysis ( or intervention for MI), or someone else's antibiotics. That someone else = lost his insurance or could not afford insurance and had to use emergency medical services => they could not kick him out (fed law) => hospital picked up the tab => and decided to pass it on to other users of the system.
If you did not want to pay $1000 then you should be lobbying for a tax raise (taxing the really rich) to ensure that someone did pay for the MI treatment that you indirectly payed for . In addition you should demand that drug companies STOP direct consumer advertising AND crush them for paying kickbacks left and right. In addition you should be lobbying for an increase in publicly funded research with public (i.e. open source) dissemination of results , government owned patents which are subsequently leased to any interested party for medication development.
And you should be lobbying (at the state level) for subsidies given to any interested party to develop generics.
IMHO the public gets what the public deserves.
Last edited by EnergySpin on Mon 07 Nov 2005, 14:34:05, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: The Problem With Doomers...

Postby FatherOfTwo » Mon 07 Nov 2005, 14:31:06

One of my beefs with the doomers is they don’t recognize that in order for the doom scenario to truly materialize, the entire world would have to instantaneously encounter a rapid, systemic decline in oil extraction due solely to geological forces, and that the world would react to this realization in a non-constructive manor. Both of those must happen for the doom scenario to take hold.

The end of cheap oil isn’t sufficient in and of itself to cause the doom scenario.
Why is that? Because there are other ways to power this society (or some derivative there of), but we need time to transition to these other sources. The less time we have, the less successful we’ll be and the harder it’ll be to avoid resource wars.

So, are we going to encounter a rapid decline in oil extraction? Well, all anybody can do is speculate about the future and look at the past. Many doomers refuse to acknowledge the fact that oil production continues to increase. So, as of now, there are no signs of a rapid decline. Some, such as Lynch, rightly point that history is on their side and they are adamant that there is a ladder of more costly oil that we will continue to climb. I think it’s obvious that there is a ladder that we can climb, I wonder how tall it is and worry if we’ll see the last rung before it’s too late.

A successful transition away from oil will require several things go right: that oil remains plentiful enough and the price of that oil, on average, increases steadily and consistently. This will further ignite the investment in alternate energy and the construction of the corresponding infrastructure.

Aside from the doom scenario, the end of cheap oil is going to be world changing event, it’s too tied into everything for it not to be. I hope the problems that peak oil throw at us will wake us up to the fact that we shouldn’t be continuing on the same path - our current plan of infinite growth on a finite planet is ultimately a recipe for disaster.

PS

One other note which I’m sure will ruffle some feathers: the doomer attitude is particularly destructive. The typical doomer has already abandoned all hope, sees nothing but the negatives and is ready to bolt to the hills, gun in hand, to fight off marauding gangs of thieves. That’s the wrong way to approach the problem – in fact what you are doing is saying “bring on the resource war, I’m ready for it.”

edited to fix spellings etc.
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Re: The Problem With Doomers...

Postby DefiledEngine » Mon 07 Nov 2005, 16:38:09

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')One of my beefs with the doomers is they don’t recognize that in order for the doom scenario to truly materialize, the entire world would have to instantaneously encounter a rapid, systemic decline in oil extraction due solely to geological forces, and that the world would react to this realization in a non-constructive manor. Both of those must happen for the doom scenario to take hold.


Simplify much? As both doomers and cornucopians point out, world systems are complex, and it's difficult to pinpoint exact critical scenarios, much less what they would lead to. The above is about as acurate as me saying optimists must understand that for their smooth transition to unfold, the world must face an non-bumpy, smooth, barely noticable down-slope, and not feel any pinch from other depleting resources, while people will understand that the economic growth must be kept going, and gather in good spirits and give to each other in the spirit of consumption.

Why do people automatically equate doomers to "I'm-here-to-kick-ass-and-grow-crops-and-I'm-all-out-of-seeds" movie image? To me, the old school doomers (e.g. Hanson), seem to advocate an iron-fist socialistic goverment, keeping controls throughout society.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')The end of cheap oil isn’t sufficient in and of itself to cause the doom scenario.
Why is that? Because there are other ways to power this society (or some derivative there of), but we need time to transition to these other sources. The less time we have, the less successful we’ll be and the harder it’ll be to avoid resource wars.


Proof this works other than in theory? You seem to already know this for a fact.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')Some, such as Lynch


As far as I have seen, that is the same people that advocate against starting preperations/research into oil depletion as soon as possible.
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Re: The Problem With Doomers...

Postby rogerhb » Mon 07 Nov 2005, 17:02:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnergySpin', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Heineken', 'I') just want someone to be available to suture my thumb when I cut it, and to be able to do so for a fair price.

I'm not really sure why you think that you are paying for someone's else acromioplasty.


I find it interesting that the US members on the board moan about health insurance and who pays for what etc.

I've lived in the UK and the NZ and in neither country did I worry about health care. It's one of those things that just "is". You can go private if you want to but few do.

Who pays for your mental break down caused by worrying about who was going to pay for mental break down?
"Complex problems have simple, easy to understand, wrong answers." - Henry Louis Mencken
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Re: The Problem With Doomers...

Postby thuja » Mon 07 Nov 2005, 19:04:48

Why do people insist on saying all doomers are alike? Some doomers believe that the end is imminent with the dollar crashing, the U.S. splitting apart and mass starvation this winter. Others believe that we will ramp up alternatives but it will be too little too late and that we will have catastrophic effects anywhere from 10-50 years from now.

Some believe in 95 % die off, some believe that rich countries will muddle along while poor third world countries will experience the brunt of the PO effect. Some are pro-nuke socialists, others are head to the hills survivalists. Some believe in a powered down world where massive die-off is mitigated. Some believe in human extinction. There is no one doomer. What links the doomer is the belief that we will not be able to continue civilization as we know it and there will be drastic effects on our society as we move to a post-carbon world.


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('FatherOfTwo', '
')
The end of cheap oil isn’t sufficient in and of itself to cause the doom scenario.
Why is that? Because there are other ways to power this society (or some derivative there of), but we need time to transition to these other sources. The less time we have, the less successful we’ll be and the harder it’ll be to avoid resource wars.


What I have never read from a cornucopian thread is how we can replace the need for energy from fossil fuel burning vehicles and industry while also maintaining the energy needs for the electrical grid. No cornucopian has ever answered that effectively, because, as far as I and many other doomers are concerned, there is no logical answer.
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Re: The Problem With Doomers...

Postby rogerhb » Mon 07 Nov 2005, 19:20:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('thuja', 'W')hat I have never read from a cornucopian thread is how we can replace the need for energy from fossil fuel burning vehicles and industry while also maintaining the energy needs for the electrical grid. No cornucopian has ever answered that effectively, because, as far as I and many other doomers are concerned, there is no logical answer.


Ah, but they do, they say "the market will provide" and "we will recognize the price signals". They don't have to explain how, just maintain the faith in the ideology. :lol:
"Complex problems have simple, easy to understand, wrong answers." - Henry Louis Mencken
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Re: The Problem With Doomers...

Postby Heineken » Mon 07 Nov 2005, 22:20:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnergySpin', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Heineken', '
')
I'm an American consumer, and I don't want more and fancier treatments. I'm willing to take most of the responsibility for my health. I just want someone to be available to suture my thumb when I cut it, and to be able to do so for a fair price. There's no rational reason why it should cost $1000 for an intern to spend 30 minutes cleaning and sewing up my thumb. I'm tired of having to pay for someone else's acromioplasty as part of the bill for my thumb.

I'm not really sure why you think that you are paying for someone's else acromioplasty. .


Because of cost shifting, the cost of my thumb repair job may actually have very little do with the thumb repair job itself. The hospital may have to charge two or three times the real price to cover unrelated unreimbursed or underreimbursed expenses.
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Re: The Problem With Doomers...

Postby Heineken » Mon 07 Nov 2005, 22:21:12

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rogerhb', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnergySpin', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Heineken', 'I') just want someone to be available to suture my thumb when I cut it, and to be able to do so for a fair price.

I'm not really sure why you think that you are paying for someone's else acromioplasty.


I find it interesting that the US members on the board moan about health insurance and who pays for what etc.

I've lived in the UK and the NZ and in neither country did I worry about health care. It's one of those things that just "is". You can go private if you want to but few do.

Who pays for your mental break down caused by worrying about who was going to pay for mental break down?


Well, we moaning US members really appreciate your gloating, roger.
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Re: The Problem With Doomers...

Postby Heineken » Mon 07 Nov 2005, 22:34:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('FatherOfTwo', 'O')ne of my beefs with the doomers is they don’t recognize that in order for the doom scenario to truly materialize, the entire world would have to instantaneously encounter a rapid, systemic decline in oil extraction due solely to geological forces, and that the world would react to this realization in a non-constructive manor. Both of those must happen for the doom scenario to take hold.

The end of cheap oil isn’t sufficient in and of itself to cause the doom scenario.


Well, Father, doom actually doesn't have to happen instantaneously. It might happen more slowly than that. In fact, a gradual-onset scenario is recognized by no less a doomer than Kunstler in "The Long Emergency" (not "The Short Emergency").

I certainly agree with your second statement, though. There are plenty of other potential causes of collapse that can work arm-in-arm with PO. The list is long and growing longer.

"Doom" is a particularly vague appellation. The meaning can be readily tailored to suit one's rhetorical angles. For me, doom could be either rapid (nuclear resource wars) or gradual (PO-driven economic collapse, coupled with global warming and other huge environmental bills coming due). Bottom line: civilization as we know it ends.
Last edited by Heineken on Mon 07 Nov 2005, 22:46:34, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: The Problem With Doomers...

Postby rogerhb » Mon 07 Nov 2005, 22:37:07

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Heineken', 'W')ell, we moaning US members really appreciate your gloating, roger.


You can always relax and remember that you're privilaged to be living in the greatest country ever, or at least that's what these imported TV shows are trying to say.
"Complex problems have simple, easy to understand, wrong answers." - Henry Louis Mencken
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Re: The Problem With Doomers...

Postby Heineken » Mon 07 Nov 2005, 22:42:34

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rogerhb', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Heineken', 'W')ell, we moaning US members really appreciate your gloating, roger.


You can always relax and remember that you're privilaged to be living in the greatest country ever, or at least that's what these imported TV shows are trying to say.


So why don't you kiwis make your own TV shows?
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Re: The Problem With Doomers...

Postby rogerhb » Mon 07 Nov 2005, 22:53:33

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Heineken', 'S')o why don't you kiwis make your own TV shows?


Ah, but we do, some in English and some in Maori. We also see programs from around the English speaking world. It's a limited form of multi-culturalism.
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Re: The Problem With Doomers...

Postby threadbear » Mon 07 Nov 2005, 23:11:42

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Heineken', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnergySpin', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Heineken', '
')
I'm an American consumer, and I don't want more and fancier treatments. I'm willing to take most of the responsibility for my health. I just want someone to be available to suture my thumb when I cut it, and to be able to do so for a fair price. There's no rational reason why it should cost $1000 for an intern to spend 30 minutes cleaning and sewing up my thumb. I'm tired of having to pay for someone else's acromioplasty as part of the bill for my thumb.

I'm not really sure why you think that you are paying for someone's else acromioplasty. .


Because of cost shifting, the cost of my thumb repair job may actually have very little do with the thumb repair job itself. The hospital may have to charge two or three times the real price to cover unrelated unreimbursed or underreimbursed expenses.


Actually Heineken, That's the excuse they use. They charge you more, if you're not insured, because they can. Large insurers are protected from price gouging because they have bargaining power that caps costs for various procedures. Read the Counterpunch link I posted earlier. That's what it's about. You've been gouged, pure and simple.
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Re: The Problem With Doomers...

Postby Heineken » Mon 07 Nov 2005, 23:12:39

If you're so enlightened from all that multiculturalism, rogerhb, you should know better than to make fun of people in other cultures, including the U.S. one. A lot of people in this country are as critical of our government as you are, if not more.
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Re: The Problem With Doomers...

Postby Heineken » Mon 07 Nov 2005, 23:23:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Heineken', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnergySpin', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Heineken', '
')
I'm an American consumer, and I don't want more and fancier treatments. I'm willing to take most of the responsibility for my health. I just want someone to be available to suture my thumb when I cut it, and to be able to do so for a fair price. There's no rational reason why it should cost $1000 for an intern to spend 30 minutes cleaning and sewing up my thumb. I'm tired of having to pay for someone else's acromioplasty as part of the bill for my thumb.

I'm not really sure why you think that you are paying for someone's else acromioplasty. .


Because of cost shifting, the cost of my thumb repair job may actually have very little do with the thumb repair job itself. The hospital may have to charge two or three times the real price to cover unrelated unreimbursed or underreimbursed expenses.


Actually Heineken, That's the excuse they use. They charge you more, if you're not insured, because they can. Large insurers are protected from price gouging because they have bargaining power that caps costs for various procedures. Read the Counterpunch link I posted earlier. That's what it's about. You've been gouged, pure and simple.


Thanks for the enlightenment on that one, threadbear. I'm sure I'd heard of that practice but had forgotten about it. Frankly the whole situation is so confusing---is designed to be so confusing---that I blank out on it. Sometimes even I get taken in by some of the propaganda. My only hope is that the U.S. health care system is such a holy mess that it will collapse out of sheer complexity.
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Re: The Problem With Doomers...

Postby rogerhb » Mon 07 Nov 2005, 23:28:24

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Heineken', 'M')y only hope is that the U.S. health care system is such a holy mess that it will collapse out of sheer complexity.


That's the one that baffles me! As we all know privatisation solves everything so why is this a holy mess? The UK has spent years trying to privatise the NHS by stealth, making everything that moves accountable etc, and if the final result is something worse how do people get away with claiming it's all for the better?
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Re: The Problem With Doomers...

Postby WebHubbleTelescope » Mon 07 Nov 2005, 23:42:53

The problem with the doomers is that they have become the right-wing nutjobs like radio host Hugh Hewitt, who has been increasingly crowing about the effort he has spent discussing Avian Flu. All the while, absolutely NEVER discussing oil depletion in the years I have spent listening to him (see, you have to listen to them to understand them).

These christo-fascist wingers want one thing, a combination of armageddon and the rapture. Could it be that peak oil is not enough of a bang for them, and far too much of a whimper?

These kind of guys scare me more than the garden variety peak oil doomer. They play to their audience, and that's what their audience thinks.

The entire right-wing is a doom machine; although they project everything as being hunky-dory, when they see their ideas of end-times coming, be it Avian Flu or Paris Burning, they start preaching to the choir. Hallelujah.
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Re: The Problem With Doomers...

Postby threadbear » Tue 08 Nov 2005, 00:18:37

You're welcome, Heineken. My husband and I moved to Canada because we were faced with the no coverage problem too.

Web Hubble- The Christo fascists need another name for peak oil that's more exciting, involving wrath, Hell, and explosions. They also require the chance of changing the inevitable through silly heroics to conquer the situation. Peak prayer, or something.
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Re: The Problem With Doomers...

Postby Ibon » Tue 08 Nov 2005, 00:23:49

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('WebHubbleTelescope', 'T')he problem with the doomers is that they have become the right-wing nutjobs like radio host Hugh Hewitt, who has been increasingly crowing about the effort he has spent discussing Avian Flu. All the while, absolutely NEVER discussing oil depletion in the years I have spent listening to him (see, you have to listen to them to understand them).

These christo-fascist wingers want one thing, a combination of armageddon and the rapture. Could it be that peak oil is not enough of a bang for them, and far too much of a whimper?

These kind of guys scare me more than the garden variety peak oil doomer. They play to their audience, and that's what their audience thinks.

The entire right-wing is a doom machine; although they project everything as being hunky-dory, when they see their ideas of end-times coming, be it Avian Flu or Paris Burning, they start preaching to the choir. Hallelujah.


For those interested in the right wing segment of the anti-environmental christian movement and their alliance with the Wise Use movement, please see the following link. It is really worth a read to understand this powerful segment of our society that will be in resistance to any sustainability movement. Global warming is welcomed by these folks as part of their rapture end times biblical prophecy.

http://www.seattleweekly.com/features/0 ... divine.php

But one shouldn't lump all right wing christians in this group. There is also a large number of very conservative christians who do embrace sustainability as can be seen in the creation care movement. See these links.

http://grist.org/news/maindish/2005/10/ ... index.html

http://www.creationcare.org/

We can expect a real split happening in the evangelical christian movement as the consequences of peak oil unfold. At the same time the more secular scientific environmental movements and individuals like most of us on this website will need to reach out to those christians embracing sustainability and accept that they have just framed the justification of this within their religeous context.

IF these were fringe groups we wouldn't even have to be entertaining this discussion on this website. We have to remember however that the US, the largest consumer of energy, has the highest percentage of active believing christians in the industrial world and we need to understand that by and large they do represent the masses in the US. If we are interested to bringing sustainability to the masses then there will need to be a more active dialog and alliance between the secular and religeous sustainability movements.

It is therefore very worthwile to understand the differences that exist within the far right christian community and the above links are a good start. Discounting them as irrevelant is not an option.
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Re: The Problem With Doomers...

Postby cornholio » Tue 08 Nov 2005, 00:53:54

For a less depressing take on PeakOil... (and he can sing, too : ) http://peakoildebunked.blogspot.com/200 ... tific.html
Image
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