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THE Silver & Gold Thread (merged)

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

Re: THE Silver & Gold Thread (merged)

Postby theluckycountry » Sat 04 Oct 2025, 04:23:07

China has been stockpiling for well over a decade. I remember stories from back around the GFC that pointed to them buying Gold on the QT through Hong Kong, always a big Gold smuggling hub. They are the worlds largest producer, but the don't export.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'L')ONDON – Gold exports from Switzerland to China jumped 254% in August compared with July to their highest level since May 2024 and supplies to India rose, partly offsetting a slump in deliveries to the United States, Swiss customs data showed on Thursday. The Swiss data showed that gold exports to China rose in August to 35 metric tons from 9.9 tons in July, while supplies to India, another major bullion consumer along with China, climbed to 15.2 tons from 13.5 tons.
https://www.miningweekly.com/article/go ... 2025-09-18

So many big stories about Gold's movement from West to East have long since fallen down the memory hole. I have a lot of them recorded in old archives, I often save pages out with firefox, in the old days, 'explorer'. Save and forget, but they are there just in case I need to go back and put stuff together.

Currently Gold's purchasing power is well above historical norms. That is to say what's normal in 'good times'. In times of War and Empire change though it typically holds a higher value. Going back in time "The pound sterling" has been the money of account of the Bank of England from its inception in 1694. But of course back then it was a literal pound of sterling sliver, a troy pound of sterling silver containing 9 troy ounces of pure silver. Today that's worth 315 GBP, and shows how inflation has destroyed that currency.

A friend of mine, a nice guy but a total drone, came back from a housing seminar and showed me a chart of London house prices going back 300 years to prove the mantra that they double in value every 10 years. I pointed the above out to him and suggested that if he wanted the real doubling time he should convert the paper pounds to silver pounds for a given decade. Of course this sort of thing was totally beyond him, not that he couldn't have done the math, but he was so locked into the mantra, owning 4 properties himself, that there was no way he was going to question the strawberries and cream.
We're 17 years past the peak now and the 3rd World is going hungry and dark. We'll be next, we're well on the way in fact.
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Re: THE Silver & Gold Thread (merged)

Postby theluckycountry » Sat 04 Oct 2025, 04:28:44

An old webpage still active.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
') Following the U.S. dollar

Since leaving gold, there have been several attempts to peg the value of the pound to other currencies, initially the U.S. dollar.

Under continuing economic pressure, and despite months of denials that it would do so, on September 19, 1949, the government devalued the pound by 30%, from US$4.03 to US$2.80. The move prompted several other governments to devalue against the dollar too, including Australia, Denmark, Ireland, Egypt, India, Israel, New Zealand, Norway and South Africa.

In the mid- 1960s the pound came under renewed pressure since the exchange rate against the dollar was considered too high. In the summer of 1966, with the value of the pound falling in the currency markets, exchange controls were tightened by the Wilson government. Among the measures, tourists were banned from taking more than £50 out of the country, until the restriction was lifted in 1970. The pound was eventually devalued by 14.3% to US$2.41 in November 1967.

With the break down of the Bretton Woods system — not least because mainly British currency dealers had created a substantial Eurodollar market which made the U.S. dollar's gold standard harder for its government to maintain — the pound was floated in the early 1970s and so subject to a market valuation. The Sterling Area effectively ended at this time when the majority of its members also chose to float freely against the pound and the dollar.

A further crisis followed in 1976, when it was apparently leaked that the International Monetary Fund (IMF) thought that the pound should be set at US$1.50, and as a result the pound fell to $1.57, and the government decided it had to borrow £2.3 billion from the IMF. In the early 1980s the pound moved above the $2 level as interest rates rose in response to the monetarist policy of targeting money supply and a high exchange rate was widely blamed for the deep recession of 1981. At its lowest, the pound stood at just US$1.05 in February 1985, before returning to US$1.77 during the 1990s. As of August, 2006 it had risen back to $1.91 and has risen and fallen with the Euro against the US dollar, standing as of October 13, 2006 at $1.85.
https://dlab.epfl.ch/wikispeedia/wpcd/w ... erling.htm

Expect the US$ to follow a similar path when the BRICS+ take over
We're 17 years past the peak now and the 3rd World is going hungry and dark. We'll be next, we're well on the way in fact.
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Re: THE Silver & Gold Thread (merged)

Postby theluckycountry » Sat 04 Oct 2025, 12:23:00

Article:
Or vid, for those that struggle to read https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WuRlPjNFgjc

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')ingapore and Hong Kong are seeking to usurp London as the center of the global gold trade, another indication of the yellow metal’s shift from West to East. Western markets – London, New York, and Switzerland – have dominated the gold trade for nearly two centuries. However, with gold progressively flowing from West to East, Singapore and Hong Kong are developing the infrastructure to challenge Western dominance.

The Reserve opened last year in Singapore. It features one of the largest maximum-security bullion vaults in the world, designed to hold up to 10,000 tonnes of silver and 500 tonnes of gold. The goal is to lease space to private banks and family offices so they can store their wealthy clients’ precious metals holdings in a secure facility a short distance from Southeast Asia’s busiest airport.

So far, the facility only holds a fraction of the metal it was designed for. However, Singapore Bullion Market Association chief executive Albert Cheng told the Financial Times it’s only a matter of time before Asia begins to challenge London’s dominance.

“London took 200 years to build the infrastructure to become the center of the world gold market. We have lots of work to do, but it won’t take us that long.”

In addition to building new vaulting facilities, players in the Asian gold market are also expanding wholesale warehousing and refining capabilities. Meanwhile, Abaxx Exchange, a Singapore-based bourse, recently launched a gold futures contract. The Shanghai Gold Exchange has also launched a renminbi-denominated gold contract. It opened an offshore vault in Hong Kong to support the contracts and help market them to foreign investors.
https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2025/0 ... ade-004371

The American billionaire Jim Rogers, who co-founded a global investment partnership with George Soros in the 1970s, retired at 37. Well done mate. He used to live in New York, but moved to Singapore in 2007 with his family to capitalize on Asian market investment opportunities and to provide his daughters with a Mandarin-speaking environment, he opted for Singapore over mainland China due to pollution concerns. He is a Big Gold guy, he saw the future unfolding. Many other Billionares are domiciled there too.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')ingapore's central bank, the Monetary Authority of Singapore, holds over 219.6 metric tons of gold reserves as of late 2024, a significant increase from around 127.4 tons in 2021. This rapid accumulation has made Singapore the largest gold holder in Southeast Asia and the 22nd largest globally.

The comments on that story link above are typical of little people,
"You can't trust anything that the CCP is involved in!"
"While Chinese investors and their central bank is gobbling up gold, I absolutely detest the CCP! It's a vile and very wicked, Communist dictatorship! I want absolutely nothing to do with cheap, Chinese sweat shop slave labor and products!"

Sounds like a woman talking, I bet her/his home is full of CCP products :P
The masses are manipulated by their governments, We are good, they are evil. While there is some truth in this, from both sides, It numbs your brain and sets you up for cannon-fodder. I couldn't give a toss about the Chinese, but I won't let emotions cloud my God given judgement. Their push for Gold is real, and their chances of usurping the Euro led West as the future dominant empire are real too.

I avoid the most egregious of their crap products, and I was saying 20 years ago that they are nothing like the Japanese. That was when everyone was saying they were, and that one day soon their products would be superior like the Japanese products became after a cheap start. They were just all sheep bleating the dribble they been told by "analysts" but I knew the Japanese culture was based on honor and community whereas China's was based on Greed and every man for himself. Know your enemy as they say.
We're 17 years past the peak now and the 3rd World is going hungry and dark. We'll be next, we're well on the way in fact.
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Re: THE Silver & Gold Thread (merged)

Postby Armageddon » Sat 04 Oct 2025, 14:45:57

US FREIGHT SHIPMENTS COLLAPSING: CASS FREIGHT INDEX FALLS TO LOWEST LEVEL SINCE FINANCIAL CRISIS

A good indicator on what’s coming…

Historically speaking, when things start cratering, the FED slashes rates and starts printing. Do you really think with inflation running hot and 37.5T in debt, they have this option this time?
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Re: THE Silver & Gold Thread (merged)

Postby theluckycountry » Sun 05 Oct 2025, 20:56:40

"We're At A Tipping Point" - Trucking Industry Facing "Horrible" Rates, Tariffs, Werner CEO Says
We're 17 years past the peak now and the 3rd World is going hungry and dark. We'll be next, we're well on the way in fact.
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Re: THE Silver & Gold Thread (merged)

Postby theluckycountry » Mon 06 Oct 2025, 20:46:54

It's a psychological threshold, nothing more.

Image
We're 17 years past the peak now and the 3rd World is going hungry and dark. We'll be next, we're well on the way in fact.
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Re: THE Silver & Gold Thread (merged)

Postby Armageddon » Wed 08 Oct 2025, 12:46:25

We are witnessing the collapse of Fiat and the rise of gold and silver.
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Re: THE Silver & Gold Thread (merged)

Postby theluckycountry » Wed 08 Oct 2025, 20:01:45

Gold @ $4,000/Oz – A Small Step for Gold; A Giant Blow to the Fiat Monetary System.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')here has been a relentless rise in gold prices over the last three years. From a bottom of around $1640 in October 2022 to $4000/oz today, Gold has delivered a 35% CAGR over the last three years.

Most analysts remain oblivious of the underlying causes and attribute the move in gold prices to economic uncertainty, geopolitics, Fed rate cuts, higher price inflation, Trump’s tariffs, and other secondary factors. However, the Numero Uno factor is the return of Gold to the centre of the world’s monetary system, and these are very early days as part of that transition. I would not be entirely surprised by an addition of “0” to the current gold price over the next 5 years.
https://thedailybell.com/all-articles/e ... ry-system/

CAGR is a failed metric BTW, another BS concoction of the witchcraft of economics. It's a Compound Annual Growth Rate formula, based on rolling in dividends. Gold doesn't have a dividend, it's all capital gains. The author can be forgiven for using it because it's probably a tool he's familiar with but the percentage increase formula is required here.

(1640-4000)x100 For the total over three years = 236% increase in the value/cost of Gold
/3 = 78% increase per annum.

Call it 70% after trading fees and you still have an asset that stomps all over paper, paper which can plummet in value overnight.
We're 17 years past the peak now and the 3rd World is going hungry and dark. We'll be next, we're well on the way in fact.
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Re: THE Silver & Gold Thread (merged)

Postby theluckycountry » Wed 08 Oct 2025, 20:07:59

Spot Gold Breaches $4,000: A Geopolitical Warning
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')hile gold's rally has many proposed explanations, our view is that geopolitical tectonic plates are shifting, with gold representing the fault line between the old Western economic order and the new Eastern one.

Insulation and Institution Building: BRICS nations and their substantial cohorts are determined to insulate themselves from the weaponization of the US dollar and exclusion from Western markets. They are actively building their own institutions. Gold is a necessary backstop to provide credibility and confidence for these new structures.
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2025-10- ... al-warning

As I have been saying for years. I haven't encountered a single poster here who even admits to the existence of the BRICS? It's like there is a mental fog, or a patriotic curtain that falls whenever I bring up the topic. I wonder if the Spanish peoples felt that way as the English took over and drove back their empire?
We're 17 years past the peak now and the 3rd World is going hungry and dark. We'll be next, we're well on the way in fact.
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Re: THE Silver & Gold Thread (merged)

Postby Armageddon » Wed 08 Oct 2025, 21:18:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', '[')b]Spot Gold Breaches $4,000: A Geopolitical Warning
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')hile gold's rally has many proposed explanations, our view is that geopolitical tectonic plates are shifting, with gold representing the fault line between the old Western economic order and the new Eastern one.

Insulation and Institution Building: BRICS nations and their substantial cohorts are determined to insulate themselves from the weaponization of the US dollar and exclusion from Western markets. They are actively building their own institutions. Gold is a necessary backstop to provide credibility and confidence for these new structures.
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2025-10- ... al-warning

As I have been saying for years. I haven't encountered a single poster here who even admits to the existence of the BRICS? It's like there is a mental fog, or a patriotic curtain that falls whenever I bring up the topic. I wonder if the Spanish peoples felt that way as the English took over and drove back their empire?



BRICS is going to control 75% of the world population, GDP and natural resources. And they are dumping the dollar and buying gold and bypassing SWIFT. The end of the petrodollar is here.
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Re: THE Silver & Gold Thread (merged)

Postby Armageddon » Thu 09 Oct 2025, 08:29:36

BREAKING:

India starts paying for Russian oil in Chinese Yuan, officially bypassing the U.S. dollar.
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Re: THE Silver & Gold Thread (merged)

Postby theluckycountry » Thu 09 Oct 2025, 09:26:28

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Armageddon', 'I')ndia starts paying for Russian oil in Chinese Yuan, officially bypassing the U.S. dollar.

I remember that before the Invasion of Iraq, Saddam Hussein began, well here's an article on it.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')raq nets handsome profit by dumping dollar for euro
This article is more than 22 years old

A bizarre political statement by Saddam Hussein has earned Iraq a windfall of hundreds of million of euros. In October 2000 Iraq insisted on dumping the US dollar - 'the currency of the enemy' - for the more multilateral euro.

The changeover was announced on almost exactly the same day that the euro reached its lowest ebb, buying just $0.82, and the G7 Finance Ministers were forced to bail out the currency. On Friday the euro had reached $1.08, up 30 per cent from that time. Almost all of Iraq's oil exports under the United Nations oil-for-food programme have been paid in euros since 2001. Around 26 billion euros (£17.4bn) has been paid for 3.3 billion barrels of oil into an escrow account in New York.
https://www.theguardian.com/business/20 ... aq.theeuro

So the US cooked up a story about WMD and invaded. Did the US government attack it's own citizens on 9/11? Of course they did! The evidence was overwhelming, but the TV propaganda overwhelmed that so now most people either believe the official line or simply don't care. Since that day there has never been a serious attack on US soil, ludicrous. If the arabs attacked the US prior to the invasion they would have redoubled their efforts after.

Well they can't pull the same shit with India. So it's over for Sparta.
We're 17 years past the peak now and the 3rd World is going hungry and dark. We'll be next, we're well on the way in fact.
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Re: THE Silver & Gold Thread (merged)

Postby Armageddon » Thu 09 Oct 2025, 09:34:07

Silver just hit its all time of $51.

Silver isn’t poor man’s gold. Gold is rich man’s silver.
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Re: THE Silver & Gold Thread (merged)

Postby theluckycountry » Thu 09 Oct 2025, 09:41:59

Silver is $77 aussie now. I used to read stories some years back about it going to $100 and thought the idea, well not far-fetched, but certainly off in the future. Looks like the future is catching up!

In December 2007 Silver began an impressive spike, Going from $US 14 per ounce to $21/oz. I remember it well because the the price change here was even more impressive due to changes in the Au/US currency pair. It peaked on Wednesday 5th march 2008, see it in the chart below (20yr)
https://silverprice.org/silver-price-chart.html
Then it began a decline that knocked 50% off the price. We Silver bugs were alarmed! What's happening? How can this be? And then, all hell broke loose.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he GFC (Global Financial Crisis) began with early signs in mid-2007, but a key turning point was the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers on September 15, 2008, which significantly escalated the crisis.


Does silver act in a sense like Copper, predicting market moves? Possibly, probably not, but the world's financial markets are like a meth head at midnight now, something big is brewing.
We're 17 years past the peak now and the 3rd World is going hungry and dark. We'll be next, we're well on the way in fact.
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Re: THE Silver & Gold Thread (merged)

Postby theluckycountry » Thu 09 Oct 2025, 09:54:27

It probably time for the financial media to start hyping a sliver boom, now that it's gone up so much. When I hear people chattering about it in the street I'll know it's time to begin selling :lol:
We're 17 years past the peak now and the 3rd World is going hungry and dark. We'll be next, we're well on the way in fact.
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Re: THE Silver & Gold Thread (merged)

Postby Armageddon » Thu 09 Oct 2025, 12:46:55

I’m not selling. We aren’t far off from Unobtanium with silver. Failure to deliver is coming, then buckle up.
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Re: THE Silver & Gold Thread (merged)

Postby careinke » Fri 10 Oct 2025, 02:06:45

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Armageddon', 'S')ilver just hit its all time of $51.

Silver isn’t poor man’s gold. Gold is rich man’s silver.


Silvers previous high was in January 1980, when it hit an intraday high of US $50.85. Just think, if you bought the high then (yes you, Hunt Brothers), it took 45 Years and eight months just to recover! That's a long wait in anybody's book. Oh wait, I forgot to take into consideration inflation, using the CPI. In that case the 50 dollars today would buy approximately $12.75 worth of goods and services back in 1980.

For Gold, the $4,000 today would have bought about $1,020 worth of goods and services in in 1980.

Seems to be both of those options were NOT very good investment choices.

Lucky, maybe you could run the Ausie numbers for us? Don't forget the Aussie Dollar depreciation against the U.S. dollar in your calculations.

Y'all, don't forget to HFSP.

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Re: THE Silver & Gold Thread (merged)

Postby Armageddon » Fri 10 Oct 2025, 11:59:50

Since 2000, gold has outperformed the DOW and S&P.

All eyes are now on silver. $100 silver is on the horizon.
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Re: THE Silver & Gold Thread (merged)

Postby theluckycountry » Fri 10 Oct 2025, 17:00:12

And it still hasn't gotten into the mainstream media yet 8)
They are the bubble blowers, and one day 25 years of silence will turn into a cacophony of Get in now calls. It's so predictable

2017
NBC- Solar Panels Go Green
CBS- The future of renewable energy is in Texas
Reuters- U.S. military marches forward on green energy
VOX- Wind and solar power are saving Americans an astounding

2025
*Crickets*

You want to lose money? Just invest in the latest newsworthy scam.
What was the DOW index in 2009? 7000. Expect it to back there and more as the debt is cleared in bankruptcy.
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Re: THE Silver & Gold Thread (merged)

Postby Armageddon » Fri 10 Oct 2025, 18:23:01

The LBMA is out of silver. Coin dealers all over Europe and Asia are out of too. Big online dealers are back ordered.

Commodities are entering a major bull market.
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