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Pensions and Unemployment Benefits

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

Re: Pensions and Unemployment Benefits

Unread postby Lore » Sun 15 Dec 2013, 20:19:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tanada', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Lore', 'I')'m not sure how Tanada's plan is any different then the SS system we have now? The fact that presently the money becomes part of the general fund is irrelevant. The money by law still gets paid out to every eligible recipient. If the money is held by the Feds in some lock box it's still not just going to sit there doing nothing, specially if you have to pay interest on top of it. The security of that money is no different then it is now.

If you want to balance the present system by the deadline of 2033, as pointed out, raise the eligibility age, raise the payroll tax by 4%, or decrease the benefit.

.
Why is it so hard for people to understand I want the unpaid balance of my benefit to be passed down through my heirs as designated by me and not reclaimed as lost by the government? This is a particularly bad deal for African-American males, they work hard for that money they put into the system and yet statistically they die long before they get back out the money they put in. Keeping all those finds away from their heirs is next door to racist in my way of thinking.


Yes, but nothing is stopping anyone from investing in the private market now with money held in secure banking accounts insured by the FDIC. As Pop's has pointed out SS is an insurance program not a savings account. With SS there will be people who will die the next day after receiving their first check and others who will live long past their contribution credit.
The things that will destroy America are prosperity-at-any-price, peace-at-any-price, safety-first instead of duty-first, the love of soft living, and the get-rich-quick theory of life.
... Theodore Roosevelt
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Re: Pensions and Unemployment Benefits

Unread postby Newfie » Sun 15 Dec 2013, 21:16:28

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PrestonSturges', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Lore', 'I') think we've just about seen the end of any more increases in life expectancy.

I expect life expectancy to drop sharply.

In the United States, the regions that voted for McCain and then Romney are having rapid drops in life expectancy because of lack of health insurance and prescription drug overdoses and suicides. It's been described as the biggest mortality event since the flu epidemic of 1914. The media ignores this story because they don't want to mess up the GOP's chances in the next election. This might be one of the reasons the GOP hates the Census.


Preston, you got a link to that?
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Re: Pensions and Unemployment Benefits

Unread postby PrestonSturges » Sun 15 Dec 2013, 23:22:48

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Newfie', 'P')reston, you got a link to that?


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Re: Pensions and Unemployment Benefits

Unread postby wildbourgman » Thu 19 Dec 2013, 12:01:09

http://www.cbo.gov/sites/default/files/ ... curity.pdf


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'C')hanges in CBO’s Long-Term Social Security
Projections Since 2012
The shortfalls for Social Security that CBO is currently
projecting are larger than those the agency
projected a year ago.

CBO projects that the trust funds, considered in
combination for analytical purposes, will be
exhausted in 2031. (For the DI trust fund, that
date is fiscal year 2017; and for the OASI trust
fund, 2033.) For 2032, revenues are projected to
equal 75 percent of scheduled outlays. Thus,
payable benefits will be 25 percent less than
scheduled benefits. For more than 20 years
thereafter, the gap between scheduled and payable
benefits will fluctuate narrowly around 26 percent.
It will then widen, and by 2087, payable benefits
will be 34 percent smaller than scheduled benefits
.




Man, those payout projections sound prettty Draconian.
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Re: Pensions and Unemployment Benefits

Unread postby vision-master » Thu 19 Dec 2013, 12:28:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('wildbourgman', 'h')ttp://www.cbo.gov/sites/default/files/cbofiles/attachments/44972-SocialSecurity.pdf


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'C')hanges in CBO’s Long-Term Social Security
Projections Since 2012
The shortfalls for Social Security that CBO is currently
projecting are larger than those the agency
projected a year ago.

CBO projects that the trust funds, considered in
combination for analytical purposes, will be
exhausted in 2031. (For the DI trust fund, that
date is fiscal year 2017; and for the OASI trust
fund, 2033.) For 2032, revenues are projected to
equal 75 percent of scheduled outlays. Thus,
payable benefits will be 25 percent less than
scheduled benefits. For more than 20 years
thereafter, the gap between scheduled and payable
benefits will fluctuate narrowly around 26 percent.
It will then widen, and by 2087, payable benefits
will be 34 percent smaller than scheduled benefits
.




Man, those payout projections sound prettty Draconian.


Welcome to the banana republic, by then the 1%er's will own everything.
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Re: Pensions and Unemployment Benefits

Unread postby wildbourgman » Thu 19 Dec 2013, 17:29:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')elcome to the banana republic, by then the 1%er's will own everything


Try to fight it will just be fuedal.
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Re: Pensions and Unemployment Benefits

Unread postby vision-master » Thu 19 Dec 2013, 17:54:18

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('wildbourgman', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')elcome to the banana republic, by then the 1%er's will own everything


Try to fight it will just be fuedal.


No fighting, there will be no one to support your lazy asses. :P
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Re: Pensions and Unemployment Benefits

Unread postby Newfie » Thu 19 Dec 2013, 19:32:57

Preston, thanks for the links
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Re: Pensions and Unemployment Benefits

Unread postby Sixstrings » Thu 19 Dec 2013, 22:48:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PrestonSturges', 'I')n the United States, the regions that voted for McCain and then Romney are having rapid drops in life expectancy because of lack of health insurance and prescription drug overdoses and suicides. It's been described as the biggest mortality event since the flu epidemic of 1914.


Jesus, that's grim.

Give your source on that, Preston. Anecdotally it sounds right -- the South is a mess, people getting so poor and desperate, government does nothing. Oxy and all that stuff is running rampant, pill mills everywhere.

I'm surprised if suicides are sharply up, but again does make sense, considering the economy.

Lack of healthcare has been an ongoing problem. I'm sure you've heard about those free clinic fairs in the South, you get folk coming out of the woodwork with untreated diabetes, near amputation.

On this issue of life expectancy in general regarding Social Security -- it's worth noting there's a DIFFERENCE between life expectancy of a cushy government desk worker and some poor working class waitress of 40 years. Or gas station attendants. Retail in general, construction -- they've all lived hard lives, inadequate dental and healthcare, and they aren't living long. So the argument they use about raising the age, that everyone's life expetency is going up, just isn't valid. As poverty spreads, mortality increases.

Still would like to see your source though, that sounds worse than I thought it was.
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Re: Pensions and Unemployment Benefits

Unread postby wildbourgman » Fri 20 Dec 2013, 01:04:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'O')n this issue of life expectancy in general regarding Social Security -- it's worth noting there's a DIFFERENCE between life expectancy of a cushy government desk worker and some poor working class waitress of 40 years. Or gas station attendants. Retail in general, construction -- they've all lived hard lives, inadequate dental and healthcare, and they aren't living long. So the argument they use about raising the age, that everyone's life expetency is going up, just isn't valid. As poverty spreads, mortality increases.



Sixstrings, that's a very good point, but I don't think we're going to have anyone recommending that we structure social security payouts according to whether you had a desk job versus being a coal miner. In South East Louisiana people could get Social Security sooner, because of the danger just from living and working in cancer alley. I'm sure we could handicap benefits due to various legitimate hardships but that would endanger the system even faster.
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Re: Pensions and Unemployment Benefits

Unread postby Newfie » Fri 20 Dec 2013, 08:29:53

Interesting, I didn't know there were special regions with different rules.
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Re: Pensions and Unemployment Benefits

Unread postby Pops » Fri 20 Dec 2013, 08:30:26

I think one of the structural problems that SS faces over the next 20 years is that working folks my age and younger really haven't had to work all that hard, not compared to our parents' generation and so won't croak at 65-1/2. Obviously there are exceptions and lots of folks work hard, but generally, true manual labor aside from ag work just isn't that widespread anymore. I worked in construction and ag when I was a kid (and not so much a kid) in the '70s & '80s and though it is work, it isn't the 10 hour a day, 6 day a week physical grind it was 70-80 years ago.

Not sure where you've seen any gas station attendants, six, LOL. Regardless, there is a difference between being on your feet all day making change behind a counter and digging a ditch, lifting a bale and toting a barge.

What those maps tell me is the poor, racist, southern democrats that jumped to the GOP as a knee-jerk reaction to the civil rights (and all the other "rights") movements in the '60s and 70s, forgot that the other reason they had been Democrats since the New Deal was because they were poor and working class and that the Republican party was the party of the educated, ownership class. The Rs co-opted the poor, white, racist Democratic votes over civil rights just like they had taken the upper-middle class white conservative votes over the New Deal.

Now there is this funny coalition of poor and working poor southern whites who endorse the Republican moralistic paternalism but whose whose fiscal policy is designed to trickle every dime to the upper classes at their expense. It would be funny if it wasn't so sad.

But I digress, LOL
The legitimate object of government, is to do for a community of people, whatever they need to have done, but can not do, at all, or can not, so well do, for themselves -- in their separate, and individual capacities.
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Re: Pensions and Unemployment Benefits

Unread postby vision-master » Fri 20 Dec 2013, 10:02:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')ixstrings, that's a very good point, but I don't think we're going to have anyone recommending that we structure social security payouts according to whether you had a desk job versus being a coal miner.


It's called SSDI, that poor crippled up coal miner over the age of 50 is vastly different than the collage educated desk jocky in his/ her ability to work.
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Re: Pensions and Unemployment Benefits

Unread postby vision-master » Fri 20 Dec 2013, 10:03:28

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Newfie', 'I')nteresting, I didn't know there were special regions with different rules.



There are not, it's a federal program.
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Re: Pensions and Unemployment Benefits

Unread postby wildbourgman » Fri 20 Dec 2013, 10:32:32

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pops', 'W')hat those maps tell me is the poor, racist, southern democrats that jumped to the GOP as a knee-jerk reaction to the civil rights (and all the other "rights") movements in the '60s and 70s, forgot that the other reason they had been Democrats since the New Deal was because they were poor and working class and that the Republican party was the party of the educated, ownership class. The Rs co-opted the poor, white, racist Democratic votes over civil rights just like they had taken the upper-middle class white conservative votes over the New Deal.

Now there is this funny coalition of poor and working poor southern whites who endorse the Republican moralistic paternalism but whose whose fiscal policy is designed to trickle every dime to the upper classes at their expense. It would be funny if it wasn't so sad.

But I digress, LOL



Pops, I think you guys are over thinking this map. First of all most of the Meth and Oxy junkies aren't voting. The white folks that vote republican are from what you might call lower middle class to upper middle class, or what we call rich in my town. So few people vote that I don't think you can draw much from those maps and the people who fit this southern sterotype certainly don't make it to the polls very often.

Many of the folks in the South that have been voting for republicans are voting over the Second Amendment, Welfare and Religious issues such as abortion. I think that dynamic is starting to change, now your seeing more folks lean more libertarian and also understanding fiscal conservatism. So now old time southern politicians that switched from democrat to republican about 20 years ago just to get elected, can't seem to get re-seated so easily when a Tea party libertarian runs for their seat.
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Re: Pensions and Unemployment Benefits

Unread postby vision-master » Fri 20 Dec 2013, 10:37:34

The Tea party libertarians will bring this Country to it knees if they gain enough power.
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Re: Pensions and Unemployment Benefits

Unread postby wildbourgman » Fri 20 Dec 2013, 10:51:18

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vision-master', 'T')he Tea party libertarians will bring this Country to it knees if they gain enough power.


This country is already on it's knee's. That's part of the problem people that don't recognize, you think the Tea Party would break the country by lowering profligate spending and when it's cronyism and profligate spending thats breaking the country.

The Tea Party came about because of the problems not being addressed by either party. It's not the addressing of those problems that's the issue. It's kind of like blaming the weatherman for reporting bad weather. 17 Trillion in debt, over half the country getting some sort of check from tax payers, wandering from one global military action to the next and a economy that's never really come back from the last bubble that popped. The tea party didn't cause those issues they pointed them out.
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Re: Pensions and Unemployment Benefits

Unread postby vision-master » Fri 20 Dec 2013, 11:09:14

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('wildbourgman', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vision-master', 'T')he Tea party libertarians will bring this Country to it knees if they gain enough power.


This country is already on it's knee's. That's part of the problem people that don't recognize, you think the Tea Party would break the country by lowering profligate spending and when it's cronyism and profligate spending thats breaking the country.

The Tea Party came about because of the problems not being addressed by either party. It's not the addressing of those problems that's the issue. It's kind of like blaming the weatherman for reporting bad weather. 17 Trillion in debt, over half the country getting some sort of check from tax payers, wandering from one global military action to the next and a economy that's never really come back from the last bubble that popped. The tea party didn't cause those issues they pointed them out.


Let me guess, White, Middle Aged, Male, Privileged Background and from the South?
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Re: Pensions and Unemployment Benefits

Unread postby wildbourgman » Fri 20 Dec 2013, 12:06:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'L')et me guess, White, Middle Aged, Male, Privileged Background and from the South?


Mixed Cajun, Creole, 40ish, male, not privileged at all. My family was trappers and cattlemen in the South Louisiana marsh until the oilfield came along. In the 1980's we went from working hard to working poor and in the mid 1990's we started playing catch up. It would have been much easier is we would have achieved your stereotype a hundred years ago. I'm working on it.
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Re: Pensions and Unemployment Benefits

Unread postby Pops » Fri 20 Dec 2013, 12:08:09

No argument they are voting based on social issues, wild, that's my point. Where they once voted pro-slavery (by whatever name) as an economic issue, as well as a "social" one, they then voted pro-New Deal as an economic issue, they have now been persuaded to vote against their economic interests in trade for clinging to their guns and bibles. Oh, and deciding who sleeps with who.
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