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Pensions and Unemployment Benefits

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

Re: Pensions and Unemployment Benefits

Unread postby vision-master » Sun 15 Dec 2013, 12:24:20

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')'d guess the reason the fund is in trouble at the moment is the system simply hasn't caught up with increasing life expectancy.


Increasing life expectancy? I'm calling that one BS, I'm thinking the longest healthiest generation was the geezers.
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Re: Pensions and Unemployment Benefits

Unread postby vision-master » Sun 15 Dec 2013, 12:25:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PrestonSturges', 'N')ow we have the cities claiming they are too broke to pay pensioners, but many of these cities have financed the construction of huge stadiums that operate at a loss. Some cities have built several stadiums for crappy sports franchises. Now some teams want to replace perfectly good stadiums with newer stadiums with fewer seats and more luxury sky-boxes, all on the taxpayers backs.


Minneapolis. Oh, those STUPID drunken football fans. :x
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Re: Pensions and Unemployment Benefits

Unread postby PrestonSturges » Sun 15 Dec 2013, 12:56:21

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vision-master', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')'d guess the reason the fund is in trouble at the moment is the system simply hasn't caught up with increasing life expectancy.

Increasing life expectancy? I'm calling that one BS, I'm thinking the longest healthiest generation was the geezers.
Life expectancy is increasing for people that have had good income history and decent retirement arrangements. If you haven't socked away half a million dollars in assets for retirement, your life expectancy is probably not particularly high.

People make a mental shortcut from "increasing life expectancy" to "hordes of very elderly poor people looking for handouts." Nope, mostly those elderly poor will just be dead.
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Re: Pensions and Unemployment Benefits

Unread postby Lore » Sun 15 Dec 2013, 13:16:37

I think we've just about seen the end of any more increases in life expectancy.
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Re: Pensions and Unemployment Benefits

Unread postby PrestonSturges » Sun 15 Dec 2013, 13:23:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Lore', 'I') think we've just about seen the end of any more increases in life expectancy.

I expect life expectancy to drop sharply.

In the United States, the regions that voted for McCain and then Romney are having rapid drops in life expectancy because of lack of health insurance and prescription drug overdoses and suicides. It's been described as the biggest mortality event since the flu epidemic of 1914. The media ignores this story because they don't want to mess up the GOP's chances in the next election. This might be one of the reasons the GOP hates the Census.
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Re: Pensions and Unemployment Benefits

Unread postby Simon_R » Sun 15 Dec 2013, 13:42:45

Hi

What Tanada's proposal would do, would be simply to change peoplse the attitude to the pension.

I live and run my business in france. We pay our pension to a quasi autonomous body, and this is
understood to be OUR money, not the governments, thus people tend to get ..... riled when
the Gov. talks about robing our pension, as it is not a nebulous promise, you get a statement of your pension.

Implementing Tanada's idea would also not take money out of circulation (after all its just 1's and 0's)
as the Gov. could always borrow against it as an asset ...... (naughty but doable)

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Re: Pensions and Unemployment Benefits

Unread postby vision-master » Sun 15 Dec 2013, 13:47:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PrestonSturges', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Lore', 'I') think we've just about seen the end of any more increases in life expectancy.

I expect life expectancy to drop sharply.

In the United States, the regions that voted for McCain and then Romney are having rapid drops in life expectancy because of lack of health insurance and prescription drug overdoses and suicides. It's been described as the biggest mortality event since the flu epidemic of 1914. The media ignores this story because they don't want to mess up the GOP's chances in the next election. This might be one of the reasons the GOP hates the Census.


Not only that, most people are poor live in these regions. $12 hr is a big deal, no?

Life Spans Shrink for Least-Educated Whites in the U.S.

For generations of Americans, it was a given that children would live longer than their parents. But there is now mounting evidence that this enduring trend has reversed itself for the country’s least-educated whites, an increasingly troubled group whose life expectancy has fallen by four years since 1990.

Researchers have long documented that the most educated Americans were making the biggest gains in life expectancy, but now they say mortality data show that life spans for some of the least educated Americans are actually contracting. Four studies in recent years identified modest declines, but a new one that looks separately at Americans lacking a high school diploma found disturbingly sharp drops in life expectancy for whites in this group. Experts not involved in the new research said its findings were persuasive.


http://www.nytimes.com/2012/09/21/us/li ... d=all&_r=0

I'm thinking that being an educated American is doing little good for many now. I mean, many young college educated people end up with only more debt and little chances of good secure employment these day's?
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Re: Pensions and Unemployment Benefits

Unread postby PrestonSturges » Sun 15 Dec 2013, 14:19:14

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vision-master', '
')
But there is now mounting evidence that this enduring trend has reversed itself for the country’s least-educated whites, an increasingly troubled group whose life expectancy has fallen by four years since 1990.

Also, the drop in life expectancy mainly hits white women without any college education. Some of the red state counties probably already have life spans below Mexico's.

Nobody's done the study, but it's not much of a jump to expect that Fox viewers have shorter life spans. Especially when they are telling their audience that health insurance is a just another godless communist conspiracy designed to cheat the white race.
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Re: Pensions and Unemployment Benefits

Unread postby Tanada » Sun 15 Dec 2013, 14:47:40

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Lore', 'I')'m not sure how Tanada's plan is any different then the SS system we have now? The fact that presently the money becomes part of the general fund is irrelevant. The money by law still gets paid out to every eligible recipient. If the money is held by the Feds in some lock box it's still not just going to sit there doing nothing, specially if you have to pay interest on top of it. The security of that money is no different then it is now.

If you want to balance the present system by the deadline of 2033, as pointed out, raise the eligibility age, raise the payroll tax by 4%, or decrease the benefit.

.
Why is it so hard for people to understand I want the unpaid balance of my benefit to be passed down through my heirs as designated by me and not reclaimed as lost by the government? This is a particularly bad deal for African-American males, they work hard for that money they put into the system and yet statistically they die long before they get back out the money they put in. Keeping all those finds away from their heirs is next door to racist in my way of thinking.
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Re: Pensions and Unemployment Benefits

Unread postby sparky » Sun 15 Dec 2013, 15:40:10

.
Tanada , plenty of white men have worked hard all their live too

the sad truth is that any unfunded pension system is a Ponzi scheme
it need an increasing amount of contributions to fund it's own IOU
public employees are the worst offenders
I don't recall screams of outrage when the airlines companies slashed their pension funds or raided them


plenty of people can be blamed , including contributors ( for suspending their disbelief )
but that seemd to be a good idea at the time ,
the present situation is the classic conflict between hope and reality
...there is no more money !
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Re: Pensions and Unemployment Benefits

Unread postby Loki » Sun 15 Dec 2013, 15:59:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tanada', '
')Why is it so hard for people to understand I want the unpaid balance of my benefit to be passed down through my heirs as designated by me and not reclaimed as lost by the government?

We tried your system, works great for rich folk, not so well for everyone else. Its utter failure lead to Social Security.

And not sure how anyone could consider Wall Street more trustworthy than the fedgov. How do you think Wall Street would be doing today without the heroic efforts by the Fed and fedgov to bail it out after the '08 meltdown? Do you think current returns are sustainable over the next few decades?

Regardless of the system we use (privatized, socialized, whatever), we simply don't have the wealth to deal with the aging of the Boomers, at least not enough wealth to meet their very high expectations. It would be nice to see their expectations moderated, and perhaps some consideration given to subsequent generations. I won't be holding my breath.

In the end, we'll discover that the notion of "retirement" was a temporary privilege of a couple generations (Boomers and their parents). As has been said already, multigenerational homes will become the norm again.
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Re: Pensions and Unemployment Benefits

Unread postby Quinny » Sun 15 Dec 2013, 16:08:41

I know this will not meet with universal acclaim, but I actually do not believe that wealth should be transferred between generations. Surely it's better for children to make their own way in life without a leg-up from their parents.
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Re: Pensions and Unemployment Benefits

Unread postby wildbourgman » Sun 15 Dec 2013, 16:23:09

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')e tried your system, works great for rich folk, not so well for everyone else. Its utter failure lead to Social Security.

And not sure how anyone could consider Wall Street more trustworthy than the fedgov. How do you think Wall Street would be doing today without the heroic efforts by the Fed and fedgov to bail it out after the '08 meltdown?



Loki I agree with most of your comments I didn't copy them, but I think your off base on a couple of things in the ones I pasted here.

We never tried the system that Tanada is talking about where you can basically leave your social security to your heirs. Almost every system has worked better for the rich because they have the power to steer the system into what works for them. Even communist systems had "rich folk", they were the ones in control and connected IE Stalin and Castro.

The other thing is Wall Street and the Feds are in bed, there is almost no difference anymore. What do you think Obama recieved all that Wall Street campaign money with no expectations? The bail outs of 2008 "heroic"? Wrong it was cowardly use of our moeny to bail out people that funded campaigns and lobby Washington DC. There was nothing heroic about it, because the Fed caused the mal-investment to start with due the way they acted during previous bubbles and bust.

Both republicans and democrats stole the wealth of workers in order to bail out wall street in order to cover their butt from previous mistakes.
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Re: Pensions and Unemployment Benefits

Unread postby wildbourgman » Sun 15 Dec 2013, 16:30:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Quinny', 'I') know this will not meet with universal acclaim, but I actually do not believe that wealth should be transferred between generations. Surely it's better for children to make their own way in life without a leg-up from their parents.



Quinny, I get what your saying but, I don't want the state making the decision on what to do with the wealth I worked for. Also it seems like the only group that doesn't get to pass on it's wealth are the ones with the least wealth and political connections. So the ultra-rich and connected never get touched anyway.
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Re: Pensions and Unemployment Benefits

Unread postby Subjectivist » Sun 15 Dec 2013, 16:39:46

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('sparky', '.')
Tanada , plenty of white men have worked hard all their live too

the sad truth is that any unfunded pension system is a Ponzi scheme
it need an increasing amount of contributions to fund it's own IOU
public employees are the worst offenders
I don't recall screams of outrage when the airlines companies slashed their pension funds or raided them


plenty of people can be blamed , including contributors ( for suspending their disbelief )
but that seemd to be a good idea at the time ,
the present situation is the classic conflict between hope and reality
...there is no more money !


Lots of people work hard for every dime they get, however it is a well established fact that african americans die on average four years younger than european americans of the same socioeconomic status. Hispanics also do worse while asian americans actually live longer than european americans.
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Re: Pensions and Unemployment Benefits

Unread postby vision-master » Sun 15 Dec 2013, 16:46:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('sparky', '.')
Tanada , plenty of white men have worked hard all their live too

the sad truth is that any unfunded pension system is a Ponzi scheme
it need an increasing amount of contributions to fund it's own IOU
public employees are the worst offenders
I don't recall screams of outrage when the airlines companies slashed their pension funds or raided them


plenty of people can be blamed , including contributors ( for suspending their disbelief )
but that seemd to be a good idea at the time ,
the present situation is the classic conflict between hope and reality
...there is no more money !


Where did it all go? :lol:
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Re: Pensions and Unemployment Benefits

Unread postby vision-master » Sun 15 Dec 2013, 16:49:16

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Quinny', 'I') know this will not meet with universal acclaim, but I actually do not believe that wealth should be transferred between generations. Surely it's better for children to make their own way in life without a leg-up from their parents.


Check out generation skip trust funds.

A type of legally binding trust agreement in which the contributed assets are passed down to the grantor's grandchildren, not the grantor's children. The generation to which the grantor's children belong skips the opportunity to receive the assets in order to avoid the estate taxes that would apply if the assets were transferred to them.
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Re: Pensions and Unemployment Benefits

Unread postby Loki » Sun 15 Dec 2013, 17:49:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('wildbourgman', 'L')oki I agree with most of your comments I didn't copy them, but I think your off base on a couple of things in the ones I pasted here.

We never tried the system that Tanada is talking about where you can basically leave your social security to your heirs. Almost every system has worked better for the rich because they have the power to steer the system into what works for them. Even communist systems had "rich folk", they were the ones in control and connected IE Stalin and Castro.

The other thing is Wall Street and the Feds are in bed, there is almost no difference anymore. What do you think Obama recieved all that Wall Street campaign money with no expectations? The bail outs of 2008 "heroic"? Wrong it was cowardly use of our moeny to bail out people that funded campaigns and lobby Washington DC. There was nothing heroic about it, because the Fed caused the mal-investment to start with due the way they acted during previous bubbles and bust.

Heroic as in requiring a large quantity of effort and persistence, not in the "right and honorable" sense of the word. Also, there's a difference between the "feds" and the "Fed," though both certainly encouraged (and continue to encourage) malinvestment.

My point is that the wonderful market wouldn't look so wonderful if the feds and the Fed didn't go balls to the wall to prop it up. How would those privatized retirement funds have fared if we had let the crash of '08 play out the way it should have instead of injecting huge sums of hot money into the financial sector and turning a blind eye to mass accounting fraud?

And we did in fact try Tanada's system prior to the 1930s, minus the required contribution to one's retirement fund (which I believe is what he's advocating). Socking away a bunch of money to leave to your heirs only works if (1) you have a bunch of money, and (2) you don't burn through it all in your retirement years with half million dollar motorhomes, ski trips, vacation homes, and all the other ways Boomers have found to piss their wealth away.
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Re: Pensions and Unemployment Benefits

Unread postby vision-master » Sun 15 Dec 2013, 18:54:30

half million dollar motorhomes

I want one. :-D
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Re: Pensions and Unemployment Benefits

Unread postby John_A » Sun 15 Dec 2013, 20:17:20

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('sparky', '.')
Tanada , plenty of white men have worked hard all their live too

the sad truth is that any unfunded pension system is a Ponzi scheme


Some might say that a fully funded pension system in the current American financial system is just an investment in a higher level Ponzi scheme.
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