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Doomers Don't Believe In America

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

Re: Pat Buchanan - The Party's Over

Postby TreebeardsUncle » Sat 20 Sep 2008, 14:49:38

Actually, there have been studies done that showed that innovation was greatest around 1880 or so. Most of the big breakthroughs in physical science and engineering were made over the period of 1450 through 1950 or so. What has come since has been more incremental. Also, Americans do not have a lock on innovation.

American culture is anti-intellectual, anti-scientific, anti-emotional, isolationist, sensationalist, materialistic, and short-sided. Book-learning and abstract thougth is not respected. Most folks do not relate to technical things beyond a primitive phillistine grease-monkey approach. There is some innovation coming out of the better universities, the UC system, Cal Tech, MIT, Harvey Mudd, Carnegie Mellon, the University of Michigan, the University of Illionois and a variety of companies, particularly those in the electronic, bio-medical, and arms contracting industries. However, the population as a whole is passive, self-indulgent, and ignorant of such developments.
The economy is largely devoted to mortgages, arms contracting, and fossil fuel burning. Look around you. What America is mostly about is cars and credit. The party is not over yet. However, things will be different in 50 years? How. The American consumer will not have the relative luxury compared to those in east and south Asia that he now does. Driving will be less democratic. The idea that one is entitled to a single detached house in the suburbs or exurbs for no money down is untenable as well.

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Re: Pat Buchanan - The Party's Over

Postby Carlhole » Sat 20 Sep 2008, 14:55:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AgentR', 'T')he problem, carhole, is that you are insisting on defining "TypeA is feature X" and then harranging TypeA for being X. I am a doomer. That does not mean that the future is certain.
It does mean that I think I have a notion about how its going to play out. That notion.... is bad. Now, Monte is of course locked in a degree of absolutism that makes it almost impossible to have a conversation with him about the subject, but that does not mean that ALL DOOMERS are clones of Monte.

I've been posting here for years. And I regularly post articles about science and technology including articles that propose various means of dealing with declining petroleum supplies.

These articles are almost ALWAYS ridiculed or attacked in some way by the 60 - 70% Doomer crowd on this board. Graeme has been posting the same kinds of articles and people actually started to bitch and complain about him! They wonder why he is posting here, as if her were arguing that that world were flat or something! ...As if watching science and technology developments were somehow inimical to any peak oil discussion!

To ridicule scientific responses to peak oil as the Doomers typically do is just not in the optimistic spirit of American innovation. It's antithetical to a basic American ideal. It has risen to the level of a belief about the future.

If you can't understand that, I'm sorry. But you really aren't saying anything interesting and I've grown tired of countering your pathetic semantics. So go ahead and have the last post.
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Re: Pat Buchanan - The Party's Over

Postby hironegro » Sat 20 Sep 2008, 15:00:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Carlhole', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AgentR', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Carlhole', 'S')o you don't believe in America? Doesn't anyone here believe in America?
I believe in America. Strongly. I do not believe in this recent orgy we've had over the last 20 years or os.
Probably America's most admirable cultural and historical trait has been its ability to foster incredible feats of creative innovation. How do you reconcile Doomerism with the indomitable American spirit of invention? Seems to me that if you are a Doomer, you do not believe in America.

Oh the shut fuck up. America will still exist whether we believe in it or not. The Americans don't have a monopoly on invention/innovation. America isn't some magical country that's the world's best last hope. Like any artificial construct if it lives beyond it means it will suffer the consequences
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Re: Pat Buchanan - The Party's Over

Postby Carlhole » Sat 20 Sep 2008, 15:31:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('hironegro', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Carlhole', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AgentR', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Carlhole', 'S')o you don't believe in America? Doesn't anyone here believe in America?
I believe in America. Strongly. I do not believe in this recent orgy we've had over the last 20 years or os.
Probably America's most admirable cultural and historical trait has been its ability to foster incredible feats of creative innovation. How do you reconcile Doomerism with the indomitable American spirit of invention? Seems to me that if you are a Doomer, you do not believe in America.
Oh the shut Fark up. America will still exist whether we believe in it or not. The Americans don't have a monopoly on invention/innovation. America isn't some magical country that's the world's best last hope. Like any artificial construct if it lives beyond it means it will suffer the consequences

Oh sure! America doesn't have any proud history of science, technology and innovation.

You have answered my original question that I asked at the start of the thread: "Don't you believe in America?". And you've made yourself clear. I don't think there ARE very many people on this board who believe in America.
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Re: Pat Buchanan - The Party's Over

Postby AgentR » Sat 20 Sep 2008, 16:22:14

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Carlhole', 'T')hese articles are almost ALWAYS ridiculed or attacked in some way by the 60 - 70% Doomer crowd on this board. Graeme has been posting the same kinds of articles and people actually started to bitch and complain about him! They wonder why he is posting here, as if her were arguing that that world were flat or something!

Well... alot of the time you post some goofy stuff, I can't help that, but thats different than suggesting doomers are opposed to innovation full stop. SOME doomers are opposed to innovation; that is certainly true. Others however, are not.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')o ridicule scientific responses to peak oil as the Doomers typically do

Better. "typically do" allows for folks outside your stereotype of doomers, who still are, by any reasonable definition, doomers.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')f you can't understand that, I'm sorry. But you really aren't saying anything interesting and I've grown tired of countering your pathetic semantics.

I understand that you like to insult and berate anyone who falls otuside of your strawman construct of doomer; simply because its easier than discussing the issue. And definately easier for you than having to face the very real possibility that there might not be a technological solution or adaptation to peak oil.

This may be the end stage, the apex, of technological civilization RIGHT NOW.
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Re: Pat Buchanan - The Party's Over

Postby Carlhole » Sat 20 Sep 2008, 16:40:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AgentR', 'I') understand that you like to insult and berate anyone who falls otuside of your strawman construct of doomer

I dish out to other people what they dish out to me. If they don't like it, f*ck 'em.

There is nothing "strawman" about my characterization of what a "Doomer" is. The name says it all. It's about the imminent collapse of civilization due to the end of cheap oil. It's about preparing for the unavoidable cataclysm which is just around the corner. It's about zombie hordes, getting ready to bug out and all that.

I've been criticized around here for being an "America hater" or "anti-American" or some shitt. But the absolute NO CONFIDENCE vote that the Doomers have given America's long history of scientific innovation and adaptation shows absolutely ZERO faith in the country's scientific or technological prowess.

I, at least, have more faith in the country than that.

If you say you fervently believe in America, what good is that testament if you think we're all doomed? If you believe we're doomed, the ideals or values of America aren't worth a tinker's damn.
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Re: Pat Buchanan - The Party's Over

Postby ProudFossil » Sat 20 Sep 2008, 16:43:26

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ProudFossil', '1')940 - the country was really broke and there was not credit anywhere in the world.
1942 - we were fighting two wars over both oceans with the loss and damage to millions of our soldiers.
1945 - the Communist party was strong and submitting candidates for elective office.
1942 - started the biggest push in science and technology in history.
1940 - remember there was a great depression, unemployment running at 20%, soup lines, etc. The only optimism was going to a movie.
Guess what, during that time we had domestic oil in great quantities.

So are you saying that because we had great quantities of domestic oil we could have Communism? We could have wars? We could have depressions?

If so then the opposite would be true now when we do not have great quantities of domestic oil (thank you Liberals and Enviromental Whackos). If that is true then Utopia is right around the corner as soon as we use up the last of the domestic oil.
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Re: Pat Buchanan - The Party's Over

Postby AgentR » Sat 20 Sep 2008, 16:58:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Carlhole', 'T')here is nothing "strawman" about my characterization of what a "Doomer" is.

You define it, and then attack what you defined it as. As if everyone that considers themselves a doomer automatically gets assigned to your definition, by fiat.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')ut the absolute NO CONFIDENCE vote that the Doomers have given America's long history of scientific innovation and adaptation shows absolutely ZERO faith in the country's scientific or technological prowess.

Faith. Hmm. Down to that eh?

Thats a hard straw to draw on for someone claiming adherence to scientific and technological advances. When it comes to science and technology, I'll stick with the "show me" principle. Then I'll kick the tires... hard.

In any event, your (or my) beliefs have no impact on whether a solution exists to be found. If there is one, I think its reasonable to expect that it will be found. I don't think its reasonable to assume that such a solution exists, however. Nor do I even think it very likely.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')f you say you fervently believe in America, what good is that testament if you think we're all doomed? If you believe we're doomed, the ideals or values of America aren't worth a tinker's damn.

They aren't worth a tinkers xxxxx, in a star trek universe. To people with real families, real children, and real land; they are worth a great deal. With, or without modern technology; the land lives, people will draw their sustenance from it; and their children will be raised and loved.

I find that to be very important.
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Re: Pat Buchanan - The Party's Over

Postby ReverseEngineer » Sat 20 Sep 2008, 18:11:53

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Carlhole', 'T')here is nothing "strawman" about my characterization of what a "Doomer" is. The name says it all. It's about the imminent collapse of civilization due to the end of cheap oil. It's about preparing for the unavoidable cataclysm which is just around the corner. It's about zombie hordes, getting ready to bug out and all that.
I've been criticized around here for being an "America hater" or "anti-American" or some shitt. But the absolute NO CONFIDENCE vote that the Doomers have given America's long history of scientific innovation and adaptation shows absolutely ZERO faith in the country's scientific or technological prowess.
I, at least, have more faith in the country than that.
If you say you fervently believe in America, what good is that testament if you think we're all doomed? If you believe we're doomed, the ideals or values of America aren't worth a tinker's damn.

Doom is a relative concept. To Peak Oilers, doom was evident the day we passed the midpoint of global oil production.

To Peak Science folks, doom was evident the day innovation failed to come up with an adequate solution to depleting fossil fuels

To Traders on the board here, doom was evident as soon as short selling on the market was disallowed.

To World Hunger folks, doom was evident when populations in the poor countries of the world started dieing from malnutrition.

To Disease watchers, doom was evident the day Avian Flu appeared.

To War watchers, doom was evident when global conflicts started popping up like buboes on an infected plague victim.

Famine, Pestilence, War and Death. The Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse. I cannot say precisely the day it happenned, but one day as I read what was going on around the world all at the same time, I realized it was upon us. So I have been accused here of being the 'most Doomerish" member, though of course that is impossible since I actually DO hold out some hope whereas others see complete extinction of the Human Race and perhaps all life on the planet with the melting of the polar icecap.

If you read everything, if you just look at how the board HERE has exploded with very knowledgeable people ALL seeing the same thing in different ways which affect them directly, just HOW is it you can deny this and say, "Don't worry, American Ingenuity will get us out of it!"?

If the folks here discussing this were stupid people following the propaganda of the mass media, that would be one thing. But they are not. This board has a level of intelligence on it past any I have ever participated on, bar none. Certainly there are some of the people with extreme views, with racist and fascist tendencies as a response to what is around us now, but that doesn't make them stupid either. It just makes them Evil.

Anyhow, you cannot DENY the Doom around us anymore, though it may or may not be an end to all life on earth, who knows? It CERTAINLY is though an end to LAWKI.
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Re: Pat Buchanan - The Party's Over

Postby idiom » Sat 20 Sep 2008, 20:43:27

Carlhole, go read Atlas Shrugged.

Even if somebody came up with a small portable Cold Fusion drive Congress would ban it.
The world ends without a tragedy,Time is melting into history
The sky is falling, Voices crying out in desperation
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Re: Pat Buchanan - The Party's Over

Postby JJ » Sat 20 Sep 2008, 21:22:02

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ReverseEngineer', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Carlhole', 'T')here is nothing "strawman" about my characterization of what a "Doomer" is. The name says it all. It's about the imminent collapse of civilization due to the end of cheap oil. It's about preparing for the unavoidable cataclysm which is just around the corner. It's about zombie hordes, getting ready to bug out and all that. I've been criticized around here for being an "America hater" -snip-.
Doom is a relative concept.To Peak Oilers, doom was evident the day we passed the midpoint of global oil production.To Peak Science folks, doom was evident the day innovation failed to come up with an adequate solution to depleting fossil fuels -snip-


+1 :)
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Re: Pat Buchanan - The Party's Over

Postby Carlhole » Sat 20 Sep 2008, 21:55:48

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ReverseEngineer', '.')..you cannot DENY the Doom around us anymore, though it may or may not be an end to all life on earth, who knows? It CERTAINLY is though an end to LAWKI.

Sure I can deny it!

Here's today's relevant article. I find them all the time: Peak Oil and Nuclear Power Lots of great links to back up the author's main points. Please read it!

Construction of nuclear reactors is OLD technology. This does not take into account energy innovations, conservation and adaptation at all.

If there is doom afoot it sure has a habit of slinking off into the distance continually.

Can you prove that fusion energy is completely impossible? Scientists much more knowledgeable than you are building a very expensive ITER in Europe in order to accomplish that very feat. They certainly think that fusion energy is quite possible or they wouldn't be trying.

Now, I understand that Doomers have absolutely ZERO respect for science or people that chase off after hare-brained ideas like fusion energy. But I think there's a pretty good chance that people will eventually crack that nut. And I think they'll do it before fissionable materials run out - which is many decades.

So, we will continue to use fossil fuels and our increasing abundance of natural gas as we build new nuclear plants. We will augment the electricity our nukes produce using renewables and implementing passive and active solar incorporated into building materials. The price of energy will rise high enough so as to spur conservation as never before. This whole process will play out into the future, possibly decades as research into fusion energy continues apace. Until we have proved that it is impossible, I expect that developing fusion energy will eventually yield to success.

This scenario that I have laid out (altogether too simply), basically demonstrates that Doomerism is based more upon fantasy than reality. The spirit of Doom is antithetical to the spirit of inventiveness that made America great.

To be a Doomer is to have lost faith completely in a fundamental national talent that Americans take great pride in - their ability to organize and tackle great problems using science and technology.
Doomerism is un-American.
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Re: Pat Buchanan - The Party's Over

Postby AgentR » Sat 20 Sep 2008, 22:01:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Carlhole', 'H')ere's today's relevant article. I find them all the time: Peak Oil and Nuclear Power

How many new nuclear plants are under construction in the US again?
PS: I'm a great fan of nukes, I want'em everywhere. Those in power disagree by action, even when they offer lipservice in words.
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Re: Pat Buchanan - The Party's Over

Postby Carlhole » Sat 20 Sep 2008, 22:02:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AgentR', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Carlhole', 'H')ere's today's relevant article. I find them all the time:Peak Oil and Nuclear Power
How many new nuclear plants are under construction in the US again?
PS: I'm a great fan of nukes, I want'em everywhere. Those in power disagree by action, even when they offer lipservice in words.

Oh great logic: 'We're not building them now so we never will so we're doomed'.
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Re: Pat Buchanan - The Party's Over

Postby AgentR » Sat 20 Sep 2008, 23:01:18

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Carlhole', 'O')h great logic: 'We're not building them now so we never will so we're doomed'.

Not causal; but predictive. coulda shoulda maybe woulda... trumped by. WON'T.
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Re: Pat Buchanan - The Party's Over

Postby Keith_McClary » Mon 22 Sep 2008, 00:42:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Carlhole', 'I')f there is doom afoot it sure has a habit of slinking off into the distance continually. Can you prove that fusion energy is completely impossible? Scientists much more knowledgeable than you are building a very expensive ITER in Europe in order to accomplish that very feat. They certainly think that fusion energy is quite possible or they wouldn't be trying.

I've been around for awhile, fusion energy has been slinking off into the future. It's not even mentioned anymore when they talk about future energy sources. Fermented pond scum is more popular.

I guess those European scientists need some good ol' Yankee know-how. :razz: (Actually most "American" scientific achievements were by European educated scientists.)
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Re: Pat Buchanan - The Party's Over

Postby EnergyUnlimited » Mon 22 Sep 2008, 03:08:34

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Carlhole', 'T')hese articles are almost ALWAYS ridiculed or attacked in some way by the 60 - 70% Doomer crowd on this board. Graeme has been posting the same kinds of articles and people actually started to bitch and complain about him! They wonder why he is posting here, as if her were arguing that that world were flat or something! ...As if watching science and technology developments were somehow inimical to any peak oil discussion!

Why? Because 80-90% of these articles are plain stupid.

Remaining small proportion warrants further attention.
And there you are usually finding out difficult issues regarding scaling up, rare/expensive materials are required, major technological breakthroughs are still needed, system inertia is not addressed etc.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')o ridicule scientific responses to peak oil as the Doomers typically do is just not in the optimistic spirit of American innovation. It's antithetical to a basic American ideal. It has risen to the level of a belief about the future.

Reality will deal with American ideals (look on your credit market for a hint...)
Obviously some scientific responses will work, so perhaps you will manage to keep electricity and sewage system working in part of your cities.
Maybe you will even save basic level of medical care.

But most of your "eternal progress" scenarios are cornucopian wet dreams.
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Re: Pat Buchanan - The Party's Over

Postby EnergyUnlimited » Mon 22 Sep 2008, 03:14:18

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ProudFossil', 'I')f so then the opposite would be true now when we do not have great quantities of domestic oil (thank you Liberals and Enviromental Whackos). If that is true then Utopia is right around the corner as soon as we use up the last of the domestic oil.

I think, these are rather cornucopian morons, not environmental Whackos, who have wasted most of oil and other FF and not created anything useful in exchange.
So now they will enter era of darkness. Good for them.
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Re: Pat Buchanan - The Party's Over

Postby Carlhole » Mon 22 Sep 2008, 11:27:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnergyUnlimited', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Carlhole', 'T')hese articles are almost ALWAYS ridiculed or attacked in some way by the 60 - 70% Doomer crowd on this board. Graeme has been posting the same kinds of articles and people actually started to bitch and complain about him! They wonder why he is posting here, as if he were arguing that that world were flat or something! As if watching science and technology developments were somehow inimical to any peak oil discussion!
Why? Because 80-90% of these articles are plain stupid. Remaining small proportion warrants further attention. And there you are usually finding out difficult issues regarding scaling up, rare/expensive materials are required, major technological breakthroughs are still needed, system inertia is not addressed etc.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')o ridicule scientific responses to peak oil as the Doomers typically do is just not in the optimistic spirit of American innovation. It's antithetical to a basic American ideal. It has risen to the level of a belief about the future.

Reality will deal with American ideals (look on your credit market for a hint...) Obviously some scientific responses will work, so perhaps you will manage to keep electricity and sewage system working in part of your cities. Maybe you will even save basic level of medical care. But most of your "eternal progress" scenarios are cornucopian wet dreams.

Yes, well, you added your name to the 'America Is Dead' list a long time ago. Of course you did! You're a Doomer! Doomers do not believe in America.

Listen, there is a BIG difference between my position - which is saying that cheap oil will forever change the American lifestyle, that Peak Oil is a very serious problem which can be overcome - and the Doomer position which is that there is essentially NOTHING that people can do as a society.

Even Matt Simmons does not believe that there is NOTHING that we can do as a society to prepare for peak oil. Matt Simmon's message is one that galvanizes action - he is not forecasting inevitable Doom and has said so.

And I don't see anything "stupid" about an article like this one:
Peak Oil and Nuclear Power
About the author: "Donnernv", a pseudonym, is a regular contributor to Motley Fool CAPS. He's an active investor, and has spent 15 years studying energy, macroeconomics and investing. He graduated Yale BEE Electrical Engineering, and has a joint MIT/Harvard Business MBA. Before retiring, he worked for McKinsey and Company, and founded two companies — Canberra Industries (Nuclear research electronics), now owned by AREVA, and Commerce Register (which provides data processing for direct marketing industry).

So my message to you, EnergyUnlimited, is take your America-hating, no-confidence, uneducated ass back to the filthy country you came from because we don't need you here.
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Re: Doomers Don't Believe In America (was The Party's Over)

Postby EnergyUnlimited » Mon 22 Sep 2008, 12:33:07

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Carlhole', 'S')o my message to you, EnergyUnlimited, is take your America-hating, no-confidence, uneducated ass back to the filthy country you came from because we don't need you here.

In fact, I don't think that we need *you* here and if so, then only for fun. You was posting various conspiracy nonsense for quite a while and recently you are spreading cornucopian crap.

You are probably frightened that your toys will stop working at some point or something. Anyway, you are quite funny [s]Carl[/s]asshole.
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