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Degrowth Thread Pt. 3

How to save energy through both societal and individual actions.

Re: Degrowth Thread Pt. 3

Postby Newfie » Thu 03 Jul 2025, 06:43:30

Lucky,

As the thread starter I can say it was started with the hope of finding someone who other path forward, of identifying some economic principal to guide us. Is see none. If memory serves pre Western contact Polynesia expanded in part because of excessive population. The excess would be told to go find some new place to live. In other methods there was some pretty brutal warfare between islanders that kept population down.

I am encouraged that populations are expected to drop everywhere except Africa. But I don’t expect the effects od African population rise ti be confined to Africa.

Degrowth in itself needs a goal, degrow to where? Some sustainable level. Japan continues to be the leader in this experiment, but their coping mechanism has been to hold knowledge and export it to have other hands do the work. That can work in isolated cases but not globally. Perhaps AL in the form of robotization? That Japan seems to struggle forward provides some small hope.
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Re: Degrowth Thread Pt. 3

Postby theluckycountry » Thu 03 Jul 2025, 18:57:40

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Newfie', 'L')ucky,

As the thread starter I can say it was started with the hope of finding someone who other path forward, of identifying some economic principal to guide us. Is see none. ... Perhaps AL in the form of robotization? Degrowth in itself needs a goal, degrow to where? Some sustainable level. Japan continues to be the leader in this experiment,That Japan seems to struggle forward provides some small hope.


Degrow to where :-D I love it. Do we put trump in charge? Elon? They can't even control their own mouths, children in a playground, and that's all the world is for them, a giant playground full of expensive toys and "We" don't even come into their thinking aside from finding new ways to exploit us. I'm sure the nation's resources could have been diverted to mitigations, JH Kuntsler was a big proponent of rebuilding the nation's railways and he was right. Cheap mass transit of people and goods, you could run the trains on wood if it came to that but they are very efficient (with low labor costs).

Japan... It's a huge exporter and the profit after paying for the base resources helps as does the fact they have taken on a massive debt. But I'll tell you this, robots consume a lot more energy than humans. Humans can survive on a couple of bowls of rice a day (and some vegetables) Robots are very expensive to build and maintain, humans are free, and free to maintain. If one becomes disabled or sick you simply replace it with another free one. Naturally in our modern Western world humans became more expensive but that has come about due to the fossil fuel bounty I'm sure you'll agree. But 300 years ago? 100 years in the future?

Why people assume the future must necessarily encompass a society of wealth and opulence (relative) is the big wonder to me? Just because fossil fuels dragged us out of the muck and gave us nice homes and automobiles, TV sets and refrigerators full of food does not = we will have that in the future. It's a Huge Blind spot for nearly everyone who addresses this problem. There are many many cultures around the world that live and thrive on a subsistence basis, a hand to mouth basis. The common denominator with all of them is that they don't employ fossil fuels in their lifestyles.

I watched a video the other month of a country in southern central Europe where the train service to remote farmers was discontinued, an old soviet block nation. It was the only reliable means of cheap transport up there and the people of those small towns are having to take a step back to 1920's living. These people don't have toilet paper, or electricity for the most part. Same thing has been happening elsewhere all across the globe. Why should we be any different? You can't invent your way out of resource depletion. I like watching train services, they are the canary in the coal mine. Every nation that has fallen into relative poverty has lost them. Look at Japan, people thought they were crazy for building the Shinkanzen high speed service in the 1960's, in the era of jet travel. But it was one of the smartest moves they made and they made it leading into the peak of their industrial power and wealth. You want to know how a nation is doing, look at it's rain networks. Not the old branch lines, but the main lines.

Now what use are millions of robots if people can't afford what they are producing? Whose going to pay to build them then? Degrowth is obvious, it's dieback, like the opposite of tree growth. Our civilization's simply going back to what was before, before F-Fuels. This is why the only logical response to degrowth is to store up physical wealth now in the good times, like storing up corn seed before a massive drought. Is it sustainable? No, but for a few of us, until we die, and perhaps for our children. There is no "collective" solution for all of us, there never was. That's why I said the thread was ass-backwards. Unless you can transition into the elite classes you are in the working classes and they are all heading down into the muck again.

It's pointless to seek solutions that don't exist, and unfortunately no one wants to discuss personal mitigation, because that's not "Woke" and entails giving something up Today in exchange for something useful in the future. People believe they are doing that by putting current earnings into paper and digital investment vehicles but history has proven that is folly because when bad times come these investments get stolen. Even land you own (in most of the world) can be stolen if you can't pay the taxes on it. The concept of Degrowth implies there are big problems down the road and we have to adjust to that reality. It's true, there are big problems, but you can't experience Degrowth and live anything like you are today because once the depletion curve gets moving it drops like a stone. On the way up the Bell curve the extra resources were shared with an ever growing world population and with ever more countries so "we" didn't personally see the benefits of it, just our small share of benefit. On the way down the diminishing share will be amplified because all those extra mouths will still be there demanding their share too.

A world war could change that though.
We're 17 years past the peak now and the 3rd World is going hungry and dark. We'll be next, we're well on the way in fact.
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Re: Degrowth Thread Pt. 3

Postby theluckycountry » Thu 03 Jul 2025, 22:04:10

Ahhhh! Cover Story

The Next Round of AI-Induced Layoffs is Here
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')We previously noted that numerous Fortune 500 companies are announcing large-scale layoffs, replacing sales, marketing, management and other white-collar jobs with AI. Some major announcements:

Proctor and Gamble is laying of 7,000 people, roughly 15% of its non-manufacturing staff.
Microsoft announced it will be firing 6,000 people, most of them managers.
Walmart has said it is laying off 1,500 positions in sales, tech, and advertising.

This is just the beginning… Ford’s CEO recently claimed AI could replace half of all white-collar jobs in the U.S. Amazon’s CEO, Andy Jassy, has told employees...
by Phoenix Capital Research

Middle management, the first heads to roll in a downturn. AI has already proven itself to be a disaster for business, chatbots offending clients and giving erroneous directions, in-house AI programs screwing up reports and leading to bad corporate decisions. But if your aim is to contract (degrow) your business this is exactly what you want. And now you can lay it all at the feet of AI.

I wonder if it was an AI that told Hertz to buy all those EV no one wanted to drive :lol:
But seriously, this is a good cover to shed masses of employees while still claiming your business is doing just fine (think stock prices.)
We're 17 years past the peak now and the 3rd World is going hungry and dark. We'll be next, we're well on the way in fact.
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Re: Degrowth Thread Pt. 3

Postby theluckycountry » Thu 03 Jul 2025, 22:09:51

McDonald’s ends AI experiment after drive-thru ordering blunders

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')fter working with IBM for three years to leverage AI to take drive-thru orders, McDonald’s called the whole thing off in June 2024. The reason? A slew of social media videos showing confused and frustrated customers trying to get the AI to understand their orders. One TikTok video in particular featured two people repeatedly pleading with the AI to stop as it kept adding more Chicken McNuggets to their order, eventually reaching 260. In a June 13, 2024, internal memo obtained by trade publication Restaurant Business, McDonald’s announced it would end the partnership with IBM and shut down the tests.
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Re: Degrowth Thread Pt. 3

Postby AdamB » Fri 04 Jul 2025, 10:00:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', '[')b]McDonald’s ends AI experiment after drive-thru ordering blunders

I think I caught that article! It said something about "what a disaster this was, the AI was awful, and the only nationality of workers it was better than was our Australian workers. And that was AFTER we trained them up to Kenyan standards, but the Kenyans kept on learning in their positions and improving, but the Austrailians just got dumber, and kept stealing all the product because they said it was better than the kangaroo meat they usually ate.
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Re: Degrowth Thread Pt. 3

Postby theluckycountry » Mon 07 Jul 2025, 23:06:54

Over on another forum in a degrowth thread we are discussing the issue in the light of new innovation, and while there has been some in the past 20 years they are in toto, a net negative. Electric cars and wind generators (which don't generate wind btw) have caused the living standards of many to decline, and I'm not just talking about the poor souls that bought them, but the public at large that have seen their tax revenues diverted to fund them. So while these add nothing to the quality of society individually or as a whole, they have in effect triggered more Degrowth. It's hard to awake to this though because many people simply don't travel far now and their lives revolve more and more around staring into digital devices inside their homes. It the parks are unkempt, the bridges crumbling and homeless people are filling up the CBD they would hardly notice. If immigrant ghettos are springing up in formerly peaceful small cities it's not an issue unless you happen to be in the crossfire of a turf war one day.

While Australia has a long way to go to catch up with the US in regard to societal degradation, we are experiencing a slowdown in construction of major transport infrastructure, rail for example, and freeways to the new outer suburbs in the major cities. Slow traffic in peak-hour is a serious concern for many. WA is a bright spot here because their low population and massive natural resource exports, as well as only having one major city, Perth, has allowed them to build a futuristic cityscape with impressive freeways and integrated electric rail. A sort of Singapore of the South. But all in all the rest of the nation is content with the way things are, although I personally am not happy with the fact that Dutch Marzipan has vanished off the supermarket shelves. In it's place are two British variants, neither of which I consider suitable for a late night snack.

This is a german log, 100g on ebay for $4 delivered. Not bad... I'll search Google, there will be a local distributer that's cheaper, there always is with this sort of eBay stuff.

You know Armageddon is near when good Marzipan gets scarce.

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Re: Degrowth Thread Pt. 3

Postby AdamB » Tue 08 Jul 2025, 09:59:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', ' ') Electric cars and wind generators (which don't generate wind btw) .....


Of how clever! Sort of like "Australians sending a satellite into orbit...." when it turns out they hired bright American high school kids to show them how.
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Re: Degrowth Thread Pt. 3

Postby mousepad » Wed 09 Jul 2025, 06:58:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', ' ') and wind generators (which don't generate wind btw) .....

Hahaha. Good one! :lol:
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Re: Degrowth Thread Pt. 3

Postby careinke » Thu 10 Jul 2025, 16:35:08

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mousepad', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', ' ') and wind generators (which don't generate wind btw) .....

Hahaha. Good one! :lol:


LOL and Vortex Generators on the the AWACS don't generate power, they do however generate Vortexes.

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Re: Degrowth Thread Pt. 3

Postby theluckycountry » Thu 10 Jul 2025, 22:49:41

33 Tons Of Gold, Silver Concentrate Hijacked In Mexico

No, it's not a story about Gold, it's a story about banditry, which always rises as civilization descends into anarchy. Mexico has a lot of "normal" civilized behavior, and it's always had it's drug cartels and bandits, but the uptick in banditry is well beyond what the government can deal with now.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')Armed thieves in Mexico hijacked a truck transporting 33 tons of gold and silver concentrate belonging to the Mexican mining firm Grupo Minero Bacis, local media reported... The incident highlights the surge in highway robberies across the third world country, which now occur every 50 minutes, with cargo thefts rising over 30% in early 2025 compared to the previous year.
https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/3 ... ked-mexico

One aspect of the DeGrowth of civilization basically, and from what I have read out of the US it happens a lot there too, with trains being robbed at sidings, and Amazon trucks swarmed by impromptu mobs of "you know who". As government can no longer maintain the social contract those at the bottom, rebel. Social Security, as great a concept as it was, has one fatal flaw. People who would normally have stayed down in the ranks of beggars and the dirt-poor were elevated to a higher status, only now to be pushed back down again. No one likes a loss of status and when it happens enmass look out! When the Soviet Union collapsed the core Russian territories did away with all communist era retirement benefits and entire generations found themselves out of work and hungry. Is it any wonder organized crime took off?

Putin came on the scene and Somehow put a stop to a lot of that, heavy handed tactics, like how the new El Salvadorian President jailed anyone with a gang tattoo. Have you seen pictures of that prison? Could you imagine the bleeding hearts in America ever allowing such a facility to exist? It resembles more a factory farm for chickens than a prison. No Gym's there, No TV, No special diet of healthy meat and vegetables and No shop to buy cigarettes and candy. Visiting hours :lol:


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Family members and lawyers are not allowed to visit the prisoners, some families are unaware of the fate of their loved ones at all. A state of exception was declared in 2022 which suspended many constitutional protections. This is the only solution for violent crime, the West is doomed by it's own soft heart. How long will El Salvador be able to maintain this system?


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Re: Degrowth Thread Pt. 3

Postby AdamB » Fri 11 Jul 2025, 15:02:16

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', '[')b]33 Tons Of Gold, Silver Concentrate Hijacked In Mexico
https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/3 ... ked-mexico
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Re: Degrowth Thread Pt. 3

Postby theluckycountry » Sun 13 Jul 2025, 06:26:51

Image

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Re: Degrowth Thread Pt. 3

Postby AdamB » Sun 13 Jul 2025, 09:12:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', '
')Armed thieves in Mexico hijacked a truck transporting 33 tons of gold and silver concentrate belonging to the Mexican mining firm Grupo Minero Bacis, local media reported...
https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/3 ... ked-mexico

Image
Plant Thu 27 Jul 2023 "Personally I think the IEA is exactly right when they predict peak oil in the 2020s, especially because it matches my own predictions."

Plant Wed 11 Apr 2007 "I think Deffeyes might have nailed it, and we are just past the overall peak in oil production. (Thanksgiving 2005)"
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Re: Degrowth Thread Pt. 3

Postby theluckycountry » Sun 13 Jul 2025, 20:24:41

The fundamental mistake our estranged cousins in America made was rebelling against the British Empire. History has shown that the "former" colonial assets were all granted independence, once they had proven they could maintain a stable and just political system, based on the English model.

Australia for example was first settled in the 1800's and a mere 100 years later became a self-governing Commonwealth nation on January 1, 1901, following the federation of its six colonies. This process involved several referendums and the eventual approval of the Commonwealth of Australia Constitution Act 1900 by the British Parliament. Before federation there were periods of anarchy, much like the early American experience. We had banditry, lawlessness, slavery even. But under the pressure of the British justice system these were eradicated and when we had proved ourselves competent we gained autonomy.

It was the same story with Canada and New Zealand. But America in breaking away before they had constructed a secure and just social system fell into slave trading and lawlessness of every kind, much of which still exists today as can been seen in the simple fact it has the largest prison population per capita on the Planet! The Gangs the rule many areas of the United States are simply the continuance of the Wild West, it never ended. The trafficking of women and children a similar carry through from the slave days. It's a shame they can't go back in time and undo their mistake but it's baked in the cake now, they are Mexico and Columbia, South Africa and Venezuela. A nation ruled by dictators and cartels, the corporations in this case, who have captured the government and courts and use them as rubber stamps for the exploitation of the people.

If degrowth is collapse of a civilization then they are well on the way, and have no buffer to slow the process. My latest posts on the Coal thread, about the Queensland government acceding to the wishes of the people in maintaining reliable power, and rejecting the wind farms corporate entities were trying to force on us, is a good example of people power under an honest government system. One only made possible because of our English roots and our propensity not to rebel.
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Re: Degrowth Thread Pt. 3

Postby theluckycountry » Sun 13 Jul 2025, 20:30:54

Australia Rebuffs Trump As US Demands To Know What Allies Would Do In Taiwan War
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '.')..As for Australia, it has clarified it will not commit troops in advance to any conflict. As laid out by the defense minister:

Australia will not commit troops in advance to any conflict, Defence Industry Minister Pat Conroy said on Sunday, responding to a report that the Pentagon has pressed its ally to clarify what role it would play if the U.S. and China went to war over Taiwan. Australia prioritizes its sovereignty and "we don't discuss hypotheticals", Conroy said in an interview with the Australian Broadcasting Corporation.


Piss off in other words.
Oh we have played the yanks game while it suited us, while the benefits went in our favor, but those days are basically done. I think perhaps we may even join the BRICS in the years ahead 8)

https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/ ... taiwan-war

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Re: Degrowth Thread Pt. 3

Postby AdamB » Mon 14 Jul 2025, 12:44:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', 'T')he fundamental mistake our estranged cousins in America made was rebelling against the British Empire.


Well, there was that little thing of serving on our knees beneath the Crown. Perfectly understandable for some folks...like Australia. Enjoy. If you are ever in America I'm sure we can find some Turkish bathhouses where you can keep up the good work.
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Re: Degrowth Thread Pt. 3

Postby theluckycountry » Wed 16 Jul 2025, 00:16:46

I think the biggest challenge Australia faces in the decades ahead is avoiding getting sucked down by the collapsing European and American nations. Our pivot toward China and Asia in general is a big step in this direction. Thank God for the Pacific ocean. I don't know how Eastern Europe and Canada will fare though...
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Re: Degrowth Thread Pt. 3

Postby AdamB » Wed 16 Jul 2025, 14:14:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', 'I') think the biggest challenge Australia faces in the decades ahead is avoiding getting sucked down......


Oh, I agree, a country that exists on its knees servicing the King would know everything there is about sucking...regardless of direction.
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Re: Degrowth Thread Pt. 3

Postby theluckycountry » Wed 16 Jul 2025, 19:42:43

America’s Crumbling Infrastructure
None of this is really in dispute. And there are no ideas how to fix it.
If you have a weak heart I advise against watching the following sixty minutes documentary.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xoYYxs9OSUg

California's Hi-speed rail, 16 years later...
Don't worry, there is plenty of CGI imagery of what it "would" be like if it ever gets off the ground :oops:
The US is the world leader in CGI as far it comes to portraying future achievements.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HHk_F42RtDQ
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Re: Degrowth Thread Pt. 3

Postby AdamB » Wed 16 Jul 2025, 20:05:40

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', '[')b]America’s Crumbling Infrastructure

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xoYYxs9OSUg

Image

I remember when I first found the "crumbling American infrastructure" angle in the newspaper, must have been in the early 80's.

Any timeline provided as to when in your boobtube video? I mean, its been half a century of crumbling now...and in that time America built and decommissioned a Space Shuttle and Australia can't get a rocket off the ground, and is still on their knees before their King because..hey...it requires cajones to stand up and when none exist..well...then that is Australian.
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