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Your BEST Argument for Why Everything Will Be Okay

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Your BEST Argument for Why Everything Will Be Okay

Unread postby JohnDenver » Thu 07 Feb 2008, 21:56:16

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Duende', 'T')his is to say absolutely nothing for the millions of species who have suffered anthropogenic extinction already anyway. They've had their die-off;

You might also mention that 99% of those species were hyper-specialized insects.
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Re: Your BEST Argument for Why Everything Will Be Okay

Unread postby TheTurtle » Thu 07 Feb 2008, 22:06:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JohnDenver', 'Y')ou might also mention that 99% of those species were hyper-specialized insects.


And that makes it OK?
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Re: Your BEST Argument for Why Everything Will Be Okay

Unread postby JohnDenver » Thu 07 Feb 2008, 22:34:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TheTurtle', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JohnDenver', 'Y')ou might also mention that 99% of those species were hyper-specialized insects.


And that makes it OK?


In the minds of most people, yes. Are you an insect rights advocate?

Apparently the extinction numbers are being further inflated by including things like bacteria and fungi Source. Have you considered how many bacteria species you're sending to their doom every time you disinfect your toilet seat? Are you ready to hit the street for bacterial rights? Should we have an "adopt a bacteria" campaign in the major media outlets, featuring a cute but forlorn looking bacteria with no pants and a ripped T-shirt?
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Re: Your BEST Argument for Why Everything Will Be Okay

Unread postby Ludi » Thu 07 Feb 2008, 22:47:34

Turns out we need vast numbers of these critters just to survive, as they provide such things as fertile soil, air, clean water, etc. But we kill them indiscriminately.


Not that most people really care about the role of small critters in our survival as a species.



JD, you are a dumbass.
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Re: Your BEST Argument for Why Everything Will Be Okay

Unread postby TheTurtle » Thu 07 Feb 2008, 22:55:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JohnDenver', '
')In the minds of most people, yes. Are you an insect rights advocate?
Perhaps if you read the [s]Chief Seattle[/s] quote in my sig more closely, you'll be able to figure out the answer to your question.
Last edited by TheTurtle on Thu 07 Feb 2008, 23:14:29, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Your BEST Argument for Why Everything Will Be Okay

Unread postby JohnDenver » Thu 07 Feb 2008, 23:06:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TheTurtle', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JohnDenver', '
')In the minds of most people, yes. Are you an insect rights advocate?
Perhaps if you read the Chief Seattle quote in my sig more closely, you'll be able to figure out the answer to your question.


Chief Seattle didn't say that quote. They were written by a screenwriter named Ted Perry in 1971.
http://www.snopes.com/quotes/seattle.asp
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Re: Your BEST Argument for Why Everything Will Be Okay

Unread postby TheTurtle » Thu 07 Feb 2008, 23:17:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JohnDenver', 'C')hief Seattle didn't say that quote. They were written by a screenwriter named Ted Perry in 1971.


Fixed it, thanks. :)
But it really doesn't matter who wrote it. The significance of the quote is what matters. Because as Ludi points out, we are interconnected with all living things and we can't predict the ramifications of destroying any part of that web.
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Re: Your BEST Argument for Why Everything Will Be Okay

Unread postby JohnDenver » Fri 08 Feb 2008, 02:24:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'T')urns out we need vast numbers of these critters just to survive, as they provide such things as fertile soil, air, clean water, etc.

Soil can be made fertile with fertilizers. Or with permaculture techniques. Have you found that the ongoing mass extinction event has somehow interfered with the ability to achieve soil fertility somewhere?
The ongoing mass extinction hasn't had any effect on the air supply. We've got plenty of air.
Clean water is generally provided using industrial techniques, so we don't need any insects etc. there.

Certainly extincting large numbers of insect/bacteria/fungi species is bad from an animal rights standpoint, but it's not at all clear that we need each and every species to survive. In fact, it's very likely that humans can continue to function indefinitely with a small complement of essential species like crops, livestock, essential microbes etc.

I'd be very interested to see hard evidence that the current mass extinction is having some negative effect on human survival.

I would argue exactly the opposite point, i.e. that the biosphere is a zero sum game, and excessively favoring other species will lead to hardship/death of humans.
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Re: Your BEST Argument for Why Everything Will Be Okay

Unread postby LoneSnark » Fri 08 Feb 2008, 02:30:53

I have to side with JohnDenver here. The species we are losing do tend to be those that are already rare and thus statistically insignificant to the planet. Whatever holes they leave are readily filled by other far more plentiful species that are under no threat of extinction.
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Re: Your BEST Argument for Why Everything Will Be Okay

Unread postby TonyPrep » Fri 08 Feb 2008, 07:10:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('namenick', 'T')hat's silly Tony and there's a very good probability that it will happen much more slowly than the doom and gloomers are hoping for. Almost for certain I would say because we're already supposed to be in PO and most people don't even know it yet. You people are much too wrapped up in listening to people like Simmons and you're in much to big of a hurry to see his and your predictions come true. So much so that it's taken over from any humanitarian conscience you ever did have. Have you ever considered that before tony? It's the same scenario at work here as what happens to people who support politicians who don't stand a chance in hell, such as Ron Paul. They get to believing that they are going to win.

Come back to earth Tony. You can still believe in PO the way I do and not lose your humanity on the whole thing.
I'm very much down to earth, namenick. I have no idea what you mean by humanitarian conscience. If you mean that we need to find a way to make everyone in the world happy, no matter how many people that may be, then it is you who needs to come down to earth. Concentrate on your community, whichever you choose that to be. That should be the primary concern of yours, not the other 7 billion people in the world. I can't see any way that there are enough resources in the world, and enough pollution sinks, to enable all of humanity to reach what most people (in developed nations) would currently regard as comfortable living standards, even if we really had the will to try. Just what do you hope humanity can achieve, and do you think that it is remotely achievable, and, if so, how?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('namenick', 'S')adly you're probably right about that last part because Americans are just greedy and selfish by nature. If they won't make the appropriate moves in the good times then they most likely won't make them in the bad. However, there is a possibility that the next president will start to move away from the ridiculous supply my side agenda and start to do what's right and necessary for the people of the US. May even be forced to because they're all running on that promise really. Even McCain is apparently not being supported by conservative wingnuts at this stage and he's the repub. frontrunner. If that happens then good times will roll and a sensible government will start to recognize the threat of PO and global warming. Join me in hoping.
Well, I'll certainly join you in hoping. But, like you, I very much doubt such hope will amount to anything.
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Re: Your BEST Argument for Why Everything Will Be Okay

Unread postby Concerned » Fri 08 Feb 2008, 07:53:21

The scenario for why I think everything will be ok is because as demand and prices rise more oil will be made until supply reaches the new demand or demand drops. See no problem balance :oops:
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Re: Your BEST Argument for Why Everything Will Be Okay

Unread postby mos6507 » Fri 08 Feb 2008, 09:15:31

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JohnDenver', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Duende', 'T')his is to say absolutely nothing for the millions of species who have suffered anthropogenic extinction already anyway. They've had their die-off;

You might also mention that 99% of those species were hyper-specialized insects.


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Re: Your BEST Argument for Why Everything Will Be Okay

Unread postby mos6507 » Fri 08 Feb 2008, 09:19:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JohnDenver', '
')In fact, it's very likely that humans can continue to function indefinitely with a small complement of essential species like crops, livestock, essential microbes etc.


If it comes to that, it will be a sad sad day.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JohnDenver', '
')I would argue exactly the opposite point, i.e. that the biosphere is a zero sum game


It doesn't have to be, if we controlled population.
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Re: Your BEST Argument for Why Everything Will Be Okay

Unread postby Alcassin » Fri 08 Feb 2008, 09:35:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('LoneSnark', 'I') have to side with JohnDenver here. The species we are losing do tend to be those that are already rare and thus statistically insignificant to the planet. Whatever holes they leave are readily filled by other far more plentiful species that are under no threat of extinction.


Your statement is dangerous, we are insignificant life in the universe, so when if aliens come here they should kill us... because they are more advanced.

Biodiversity is a natural wealth, it's priceless. You present typical infantile cynicism - knowing the price of everything and value of nothing.

Moreover, what your thesis is wrong, they aren't so rare - phytoplancton is crucial in the ocean life food-chain and it's going to perish.
Peak oil is only an indication and a premise of limits to growth on a finite planet.
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Re: Your BEST Argument for Why Everything Will Be Okay

Unread postby Duende » Fri 08 Feb 2008, 11:05:43

JohnDenver wrote:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'H')ave you considered how many bacteria species you're sending to their doom every time you disinfect your toilet seat?

I'm not actively trying to exterminate the species.

LoneSnark wrote:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he species we are losing do tend to be those that are already rare and thus statistically insignificant to the planet.

This sort of thinking is the reason thinks will not "be ok".

As we degrade the once-robust ecosystem, we degrade its stability and its ability to host we humans. How much longer that can continue without a kick in the ass from a feedback loop is anyone's guess. I just don't see the point in tempting fate.

JohnDenver wrote:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')oil can be made fertile with fertilizers. Or with permaculture techniques. Have you found that the ongoing mass extinction event has somehow interfered with the ability to achieve soil fertility somewhere?
The ongoing mass extinction hasn't had any effect on the air supply. We've got plenty of air.
Clean water is generally provided using industrial techniques, so we don't need any insects etc. there.


JohnDenver, this is so over the top, I can't tell if you're playing devil's advocate or the devil himself. But please go on, I'm fascinated by your... how should I say it... point of view.
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Re: Your BEST Argument for Why Everything Will Be Okay

Unread postby mos6507 » Fri 08 Feb 2008, 11:59:08

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Duende', '
')JohnDenver, this is so over the top, I can't tell if you're playing devil's advocate or the devil himself. But please go on, I'm fascinated by your... how should I say it... point of view.


His point of view is the status quo. Humanity as a collective has made some clear decisions. Agriculture, the industrial revolution, and the green revolution. Who's to say we won't collectively agree to ever more radical feats of geoenegineering in order to keep stretching the rubber band of carrying capacity? We're kind of playing dystopian roulette right now. There are so many of us that any collective change we make can have huge consequences, good or bad. The food vs. fuel debate with ethanol is a case in point.
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Re: Your BEST Argument for Why Everything Will Be Okay

Unread postby LoneSnark » Fri 08 Feb 2008, 12:00:39

"phytoplancton is crucial in the ocean life food-chain and it's going to perish. [citation needed]"

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'Y')our statement is dangerous, we are insignificant life in the universe, so when if aliens come here they should kill us... because they are more advanced.

But we are not killing off these species, merely not acting to prevent them. Even if we could prevent them, if you know what needs to be done then why are you not doing it? You obviously believe they should be preserved, so go do it. I presume you live in the west, so you have vast resources at your disposal. If the only way to save said bacteria is to prevent a shore or cove they enhabit from being turned in a LNG port, then buy it and sit on it. They can build the LNG port elsewhere where they will only impact other more plentiful species that are not under threat of extinction. You don't need our approval to spend your money. If you don't have enough money then I'm sure many on this site will join you in fitting the bill; that is, if every single species of biodiversity is as important as you say it is.
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Re: Your BEST Argument for Why Everything Will Be Okay

Unread postby Duende » Fri 08 Feb 2008, 14:35:53

LoneSnark wrote:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')ut we are not killing off these species, merely not acting to prevent them.

Really, what's the difference? But that's neither here nor there. Let's take a moment to look at this economically (which is to say, myopically):

LoneSnark wrote:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')f the only way to save said bacteria is to prevent a shore or cove they enhabit from being turned in a LNG port, then buy it and sit on it... If you don't have enough money then I'm sure many on this site will join you in fitting the bill; that is, if every single species of biodiversity is as important as you say it is.

LoneSnark, it doesn't work that way. It's important to understand how the preservation/conservation movement is doomed to failure within a capitalist system. Using your example, let's say that I do purchase a cove site - let's call it Cove A - to protect a species and "sit on it" so that no development may occur. I preserve the cove, but the tradeoff is that I make no money from it; I don't put it to its highest "potential".

Next, let's assume that a developer has acquired Cove B, which he is more than happy to build an LNG port on. This site is put to its highest "potential" and attracts substanital income for the developer (which he uses to acquire another cove to put to its highest potential, ad infinitum).

The point being that in a capitalist system there is no way to preserve land effectively because those who exploit it best are rewarded with further opportunities to exploit additional land. Those who preserve properties gain no money from the properties they acquire; therefore, the exploiters will always win.

Capitalism + Abrahamic concept of land "ownership" = ecological destruction
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Re: Your BEST Argument for Why Everything Will Be Okay

Unread postby namenick » Fri 08 Feb 2008, 14:42:58

Alcassin- I think we may be sort of on the same page but a few corrections are in order. First of all, it's of no value to cite history from WW11 for me. And you somehow assume that Hitler's conquests were to satisfy his own personal needs. That's natural you would say that because the leader of the losing side in any war will be demonized. In fact Hitler's actions were on behalf of Germany and there is no distinction to be drawn between Hitler, Stalin, or Bush 2. We need only look at the motivations for such actions and then the end result. I believe that the neocon agenda is just as surely aimed at world domination as any aggressor in history and perhaps moreso than WW11 Germany's. History of the war does give us some indications that Germany was intent on fulfilling it's present needs and certainly not intent on taking the whole world, including North America.
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Re: Your BEST Argument for Why Everything Will Be Okay

Unread postby LoneSnark » Fri 08 Feb 2008, 15:22:05

Duende, so, tell me again, what is going to make you sell Cove A to the developer?

You have evidently never bothered to look at your own life from a third person perspective. I suspect you have a source of income; what do you spend that income on? Does 100% of it go towards earning more income? Fuck no, you spend it on total losses, such as housing, food, entertainment, family, and charity. You put a percentage of it towards earning more in the future, such as education or investments, but the vast majority of your income is spent on non-investments.

It just so happens that society is just like you: the vast majority of money is spent on non-investments that will never return a dime (with some exceptions, children can be considered an investment into their future wage income; a house to live in may sell for more than you paid, etc).

Similarly, it is not the case that protectors are in direct competition with developers: lots of options exist, and we as a species only have use for so many LNG ports. That is why after all these centuries we still have undeveloped coves: developing them all would be a waste of effort.

Similarly, the profits from development flow to society, not development. What the enriched individuals choose to do with their share is up to them. If I owned the developer I may take my share of the profits and preserve Cove C, if for no other reason that to prevent competitors from building their own LNG port :-)

Society is rediculously complex; whether land gets developed or not is similarly complex. Some land is being held in trust to preserve it; some land is being held by people lacking the resources to develop it; and some is being held by corporations just to keep others from getting it; and lots of land has simply been forgotten because no one has use of it. It is this last reason why so much land is still untouched today, apathy.

And this apathy continues. From the developers perspective, other coves exist; so if you preserve this one you have cost them nothing. So, again, why are you throwing away your income on causes (such as entertainment, a big house, etc) when you could be putting it towards preserving natural wealth which, according to Alcassin, is priceless.

Now, I disagree; I don't think the species in question were of any value. They were seamlessly replaced with other heartier species and so I would not waste my money preserving them. But, again, you go right ahead.
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