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PeakOil is You

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Whatever happened to...

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Whatever happened to...

Unread postby Ibon » Wed 14 Nov 2012, 17:18:42

This addiction reminds me of pot smoking. When I was in college 30 some odd years ago I occaisionally used pot and enjoyed it. And today I still do! At 55 years old it still at times just hits the spot when I went to stretch some old muscles that have been stuck or when I want a nice aqua high in a mountain stream.

But I had many college friends that were smoking fiends. They were truly dependent and all those friends who I still have contact with, they stopped and never touched pot again.

I have been on this board since 2004. I haven't even reached 2000 posts. I look at Montequest, Ludi, Heinekin, Mos, Sixstrings and all these dudes and dames and there are two clear things they all have in common. They all posted thousands and thousands of posts and they are all burned out and no longer around.

Just like my old pothead friends......

Time to light up a dooby and contemplate my genius insight :wink:
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Re: Whatever happened to...

Unread postby davep » Wed 14 Nov 2012, 17:47:34

Peakoil.com is a gateway drug though. A lot of them didn't burn out, they went on to harder things such as permaculture.
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Re: Whatever happened to...

Unread postby Newfie » Wed 14 Nov 2012, 18:40:19

Whatever happened to..........

Desdemona Despair?


No updates in almost a week?
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Re: Whatever happened to...

Unread postby Evltre » Wed 14 Nov 2012, 22:21:42

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('davep', 'P')eakoil.com is a gateway drug though. A lot of them didn't burn out, they went on to harder things such as permaculture.


yes! I'm seriously addicted to homesteading and gardening sites now :lol: Had enough debating the issues (or watching the debating in my case) decided I was much better off using my time to actually dig a garden and teach the kids how to get eggs out from under a nasty broody :P But I still frequent here to keep an eye on things... don't want to not see something coming!
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Re: Whatever happened to...

Unread postby Heineken » Thu 15 Nov 2012, 00:14:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ibon', 'T')his addiction reminds me of pot smoking. When I was in college 30 some odd years ago I occaisionally used pot and enjoyed it. And today I still do! At 55 years old it still at times just hits the spot when I went to stretch some old muscles that have been stuck or when I want a nice aqua high in a mountain stream.

But I had many college friends that were smoking fiends. They were truly dependent and all those friends who I still have contact with, they stopped and never touched pot again.

I have been on this board since 2004. I haven't even reached 2000 posts. I look at Montequest, Ludi, Heineken, Mos, Sixstrings and all these dudes and dames and there are two clear things they all have in common. They all posted thousands and thousands of posts and they are all burned out and no longer around.

Just like my old pothead friends......

Time to light up a dooby and contemplate my genius insight :wink:


Gee Ibon, have I just been dissed? Is that what has happened here? :-D

I'm cautiously and judiciously attracted to drugs, but I never liked pot and have always wondered at its broad popularity. I prefer more bona fide pain killers . . . tramadol, Percocet. The VA keeps me well supplied . . .

I didn't burn out on PO.com. A couple of things happened: I got married, so I wasn't so lonely anymore. I had a very ugly argument with one of the moderators, which left a nasty taste in my mouth and the thought, "Do I really need this?" (Naturally, all such "arguments" are entirely one-sided, since the mod has all the power and the member has none. It's like a hawk playing with a mouse.) And the whole subject of peak oil and peak NG became temporarily moot. Like it's been pushed back 20 or more years. So the original reason for my coming here evaporated. Yes it will happen, but the urgency is gone, so why run in circles touching antennae, why fret and cower before doom? There is still life to live and I want to live it.

7000 posts over eight years isn't that extreme, either, IMO. Averages out to a little over 2 posts a day. Maybe ten minutes a day of actual writing. Sort of like saying a long prayer. In many cases I was exchanging information that has real-life use here on de farm.

Not defending myself here, just reacting. I have nothing to defend.
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Re: Whatever happened to...

Unread postby SpringCreekFarm » Thu 15 Nov 2012, 00:50:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Heineken', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('SpringCreekFarm', 'I')t's always great to hear from Heineken even if he brings a bit of bad news. Sorry to hear about your cancer and I hope you stay well. Also glad to hear you still have your parents and that you are married. You did the right thing by getting away from here a while.



Thanks, old friend SCF. But you know, I think I'm going to be away from here for more than a while. More like forever. I've lost the habit . . . the addiction . . . and I can't seem to get it back.


Most of us have lost the addiction it seems. Not a bad thing. Wherever you end up, my friend, I wish you the best. I also hope those goddamn japanese beetles have been conquered!
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Re: Whatever happened to...

Unread postby Quinny » Thu 15 Nov 2012, 04:21:57

I'm still looking for my next fix?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('davep', 'P')eakoil.com is a gateway drug though. A lot of them didn't burn out, they went on to harder things such as permaculture.
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Re: Whatever happened to...

Unread postby SeaGypsy » Thu 15 Nov 2012, 07:49:07

Peak oil is too epic. Like smack and acid combined with a spliffed out wind down, without the hangover! 8) I think the topic is insurmountable.
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Re: Whatever happened to...

Unread postby Ibon » Thu 15 Nov 2012, 08:50:12

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Heineken', '
')Not defending myself here, just reacting. I have nothing to defend.


All very clear. You do have nothing to defend. And yes, peak oil is not the contemporary game changing catalyst some of us thought it would be, myself included.

And there is a very valid point that many have mentioned here about moving on from discussions into the active physical work. I am only here myself right now because I got taken out of Panama and the hundreds of plates I am spinning on a daily basis to make that place work and am here in Chicago taking care of my parents for a few weeks. My posts on peakoil always coincide when I have some down time to check back in.

We never get enough contributions from those who are executing change instead of just bla bla bla analysis........because they are usually too busy.....

Some of you may know I have a micro hydro station that powers the project in Panama. Yesterday I spent an hour on the phone with a retired Colombian hydro engineer who has been helping me trouble shoot our set up. After looking over a dozen parameters these past couple of months he actually helped me figure out that the intake of the water was creating this vortex that reduced the head pressure to the turbine by about 40%. Just changing the design of the intake pipe solved the problem.

This is just an anectodal example of what many of us are doing...... resolving real issues... where is the time to pontificate and micro dissect the big picture? and yet I am drawn back here because like many there is a need to balance the details of ones day to day focus on ones work with sharing ideas with others regarding the big picture of what is unfolding.

It is not the singular issue of peak oil as much as the deeper issue of adaptation in the 21st century of an overpopulated planet dealing with physical constraints.

Even while you are digging up potatoes the mind is never far off from contemplating this big picture.
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Re: Whatever happened to...

Unread postby Heineken » Thu 15 Nov 2012, 09:48:42

Interesting and attractive comments, Ibon. Which help remind me why I was a "member" for so long.

My feeling is that PO.com has reached the point where it needs to evolve at the official level. Unofficially it has already evolved, in the sense that the early discussions about the implications of energy paucity have spawned a host of new topics whose relevancy remains solid, notwithstanding the significant postponement of PO. Even years ago it was apparent that a great many people coming here didn't have much interest in the technicalities of Hubbert's Curve, etc. They preferred to talk about other things, and this preference has steadily grown, it seems to me. Those topics---GW, economics, population and environment, permaculture, homesteading, vegetarianism, diverse and creative paths to personal freedom and enlightenment---seem so much more relevant to our daily lives than the concept of peaking energy supplies, since only a person in denial would continue to insist that they are peaking. It's hard to admit you're wrong when you have a big investment in a point of view ("the psychology of previous investment" comes into play). I've admitted I was wrong and wish everyone else would. Many here have, apparently.

BUT the platform for a new direction is in place and well worth building on. The ownership forces behind this website should consider changing its name, angle, and thrust. PO.com seems to be languishing as things stand, since its marquee product is at present a fantasy, and will remain so for decades, perhaps many decades. PO remains important, of course, but it's become too theoretical to engage people in the way it did.
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Re: Whatever happened to...

Unread postby ralfy » Thu 15 Nov 2012, 10:00:24

The reason why "we" don't see this issue as "game-changing" is because "we" are part of the middle class, which makes up around 12 to 15 pct of the global population and consume resources at rates many times higher than most. That means we are not as affected by high oil and food prices as most, especially the 60 pct or so of the global population who earn only around $2 daily, because we have more money to spend on needs and sometimes even wants.
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Re: Whatever happened to...

Unread postby vision-master » Thu 15 Nov 2012, 10:23:56

Just like it was decades ago, right ralfy?
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Re: Whatever happened to...

Unread postby ralfy » Thu 15 Nov 2012, 23:27:20

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vision-master', 'J')ust like it was decades ago, right ralfy?


More pronounced now given a growing global middle class.
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Re: Whatever happened to...

Unread postby SeaGypsy » Fri 16 Nov 2012, 00:20:44

Peak oil is as real as it ever was and nomatter what we throw at it (let's try redefinition, if you prefer/ 'depletion' just isn't a snazzy word now is it?).

Totally agree with the last few merited posts. This is the only place I know of where people who have been aware of the core weakness of our entire world economic engine, get together and discuss all manner of things, for years and years. Whether a .02% poster or a solid 1+% like Ludi, this site represents a very unusual collective, which I appreciate greatly.
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Re: Whatever happened to...

Unread postby Newfie » Fri 16 Nov 2012, 09:00:24

The root cause to all problems we discuss is over population, but that is just too controversial so you need a surrogate. PO is as good as any.

And I do think PO is as relevant as ever. True it is not playing out in the dramatic fashion we thought it would. It is behind the scenes with a constant pressure. Go to north central PA where the cracking is hot and you can see some of the effect. What you won't see is that 6 years ago the car lots were empty, but are now filled with expensive pick ups.

The reason the wealth is concentrated there is because it is being skimmed from elsewhere.

It is because of the range of topics, which reflects the interconnected nature, that makes the site rich and valuable.

If we could just silence the trolls.
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Re: Whatever happened to...

Unread postby Ibon » Fri 16 Nov 2012, 13:23:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Newfie', 'T')he root cause to all problems we discuss is over population, but that is just too controversial so you need a surrogate. PO is as good as any.


I fully agree and the reason why Peak Oil is really relevant related to over population is that overshoot is a combination of population PLUS consumption per capita.

We may not currently have the cultural ethics to direct and manage population numbers or consumption BUT resource constraints, which is an early indication of overshoot (weather you are a goat on an island or modern Kudzu Apes on the planet) is applying the directive that our culture and ethics lack.

Resource constraints, whether energy, water, soils, rare metals or an unstable climate does become the arbiter as a result of our cultural incapability to manage human overshoot. Montequest often said that overshoot will be corrected by design or by default. We are going the direction of correction mostly by default. The other Montequest quote in regards to the ethics of trying to limit our numbers and consumption is that when we leave it up to nature she plays her hand without any consideration of morals or ethics. (I have never met a compassionate influenza virus)

But not to despair because the lessons learned from corrections by default result in the opportunity to embed cultural ethics around managing our numbers and consumption for the more enlightened culture that emerges on the other side of overshooot when our wiser surviving progeny carry on.

Modern humans, lets face it, in spite of all the inequities and unsustainable agricultural practices, have been masterful at the logistics, distribution and production of food for example. Certainly having done so ignoring the environmental externalities but nevertheless since 1960 managing to increase yields as the population went from 3 to 7 billion.

Maintaining this as the population goes from 7 to 9 billion as most demographers predict with declining resources is an open question but there are reserves or waste in our dietary habits that indicate that in spite of climate change and more expensive energy we will persevere.

In a way I am pleased, despite patiently awaiting the pathogens, that nature hasnt yet given us a way out of the ethical dilemma. We may yet have the time this century and the next to suffer enough of the corrections by default to learn how to manage by design.
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Re: Whatever happened to...

Unread postby Heineken » Sun 18 Nov 2012, 09:44:27

Humans as a species are famously adaptive; it's funny how we tend to sell ourselves short on that point, and to assume that when an important resource runs low we'll simply collapse and die off. There's no doubt that there will be change, enormous change, as the future unfolds. But enormous change has characterized our entire recorded history.

I continue to see nuclear war as the biggest near-term threat. There are so many plausible scenarios. But few people here seem to incorporate it into their system of major fear-referents. Mysterious. I suppose we've become inured to living with a dagger suspended over our heads.
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Re: Whatever happened to...

Unread postby Pops » Sun 18 Nov 2012, 09:53:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Heineken', 'H')umans as a species are famously adaptive; it's funny how we tend to sell ourselves short on that point, and to assume that when an important resource runs low we'll simply collapse and die off.

Concur.
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Re: Whatever happened to...

Unread postby Tanada » Sun 18 Nov 2012, 11:07:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Heineken', 'H')umans as a species are famously adaptive; it's funny how we tend to sell ourselves short on that point, and to assume that when an important resource runs low we'll simply collapse and die off. There's no doubt that there will be change, enormous change, as the future unfolds. But enormous change has characterized our entire recorded history.

I continue to see nuclear war as the biggest near-term threat. There are so many plausible scenarios. But few people here seem to incorporate it into their system of major fear-referents. Mysterious. I suppose we've become inured to living with a dagger suspended over our heads.


I explain the lack of understanding of that near term threat as a cultural issue. Those of us who grew up during the cold war were exposed frequently to news about what could happen and to movies that were based on those events actually taking place. Many of them like On The Beach were incredibly inaccurate in their portrayal of the aftermath, others like Mad Max were more action adventure movies than portrayals of life after the war. The last one I saw in a theater was Book Of Eli a few years ago and it had quite a few mystic elements too it. There was also the short lived TV series Jericho that was more soap opera than aftermath but hey, when does Hollywood do anything accurate? Even half the documentaries are more dramaderies than accuracy based.

The other half of that of course is the incontrovertible fact that the last time one was used against people was August 9, 1945...67 years ago. When it eventually happens you will see mass panic because the mass of people know nothing about what it means, how to protect themselves, and so on and so forth. I lived through the panic commentary for Chernobyl, where effects in the USA were below perceptibility, I lived through the panic commentary for Fukishima where again the effect on the USA was below perceptibility. If India and Pakistan go at it with everything they have and nobody else gets involved then you will see the same kind of reporting, it will will described in graphic end of the world terms but the direct effects on the USA will be meager. The economic impact will be a much bigger deal than any potential radiation, but the media loves wild radiation scenario's so that is what will be talked about.
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