by nth » Fri 13 May 2005, 10:56:42
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Malthus', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')ow that is surprising – especially the narrowing with China!
Wonder how China-Mart is doing?
January 2005 2,609.2 17,863.7 -15,254.5
February 2005 3,082.4 16,953.6 -13,871.2
March 2005 3,305.4 16,209.5 -12,904.2
True on month to month basis however wrong on year to year basis, still signficantly up comparedto the same period in 2004
January 2004 2,593.1 14,069.7 -11,476.6
February 2004 3,033.7 11,314.8 -8,281.1
March 2004 3,372.5 13,807.9 -10,435.4
Still if you look at yearly data you will see a trend for imports to botom around march-april and then shoot up in the summer. So one can argue due to the fact that february deficit numbers were very high for that period of the year one can see a few weak monthly import reports ahead till may at best before chinese goods stocks are depleted and the american consumer goes on with his spending spree.
statistic data here
http://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/bal ... .html#2005
Exactly what I was saying. Except you went and wrote down the numbers.
Thanks.