by BlisteredWhippet » Fri 26 Oct 2007, 18:02:12
Most people are mentally and physically unprepared for riding two-wheeled motorized transport.
These bikes will not replace cars to the American mind. This is my theory: the experience of being on a bike in traffic is too scary, too exposed, too different for most people to accept. the premium price is a barrier to entry. There is an existing social stigma attached to these machines. Most people will not be able to handle the experience of being chased, tailgated, threatened, stared at, harassed, and so forth, on the road. Most people will buy them, and hardly ever ride them. Or, they will get the shit scared out of them once and never ride again. Or, they will drop the 450 lb. bike and get an injury and never ride again.
Two-wheeled transport will not replace cars because Americans are accustomed to air conditioning, being dry, being warm, etc. They are not into jumping into a habit that requires practice and mastery, time and effort, will and concentration, to do what cars do without requiring any of those things: going from point A to point B.
The environment is not enough to get them to invest in low-polluting alternatives. Scooters and small motorcycles have been around for a half-century. High-mileage vehicles have existed for a long time. Americans simply choose the safer option. Sure, gas prices will change some amount of this behavior, but a 10,000 scooter is in the realm of the Tesla a high-priced, mostly inaccessible niche market that will have no impact on petroleum consumption or total pollution output.
There will be some fun to be had, tho.
An electric scooter company selling a much, much cheaper elecscooter with a simpler hub motor drive, Evader, just tanked. I would go by their HQ in a business park every day and one day, they were just gone. Scooters are considered toys and for geeks, freaks, and psychotics.
I rolled up one day on my (Vintage) Honda 250 to witness a couple testing the People 250 and Scarabeo 250 in a parking lot. I shit you not, this woman was carting a toy poodle in a belly pack as she awkwardly made a small loop around the parked cars, her heels hovering an inch above the pavement on either side of the floorboard. She complained the scooter was "too heavy".
Scooters are entropic machines. They were invented for people who might work on maintaining them themselves; the cost of ownership increases exponentially for the casual consumer, who will have to rely on mechanics for every part, breakdown, service, and so forth.
The Vectrix is, however, a substantially improved version of previous efforts. Its a bit heavy, in my opinion. But they did get a lot of things right: a reverse gear, regenerative braking, suspension and disc brakes.
In 10 years will batteries be available to replace. In a relocalized economy where bicycles reach low-end scooter capability in terms of hauling a single person at reasonable distances, does a superfast scooter make practical sense? Electric takes care of some interval expenses, but you've still got tires (which will need replacing every 3-5000 miles on the back, a petroleum product. Bearings wear out. Petro-based lubrication. And so forth.
But electrics mean much less parts per construction. Its all good. But I just don't see the pussified American public at large embracing this.
Last edited by
Ferretlover on Mon 30 Mar 2009, 08:59:50, edited 1 time in total.
Reason: Merged with THE Scooter Thread.