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THE McMansion Thread (merged)

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Unread postby bobeau » Thu 26 May 2005, 21:30:46

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('smiley', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
') I estimate the percentage of people which are allowed to take out a loan higher than $750k is less than 0.1%.

Are the banks more lenient over there or are the top salaries just so much higher than here?


The banks are pretty lenient and there are many creative financing options, such as taking interest only and negative amortization mortgages.

But to be fair a good deal of the folks buying these McMansions are trading up from existing housing, carrying with them a large chunk in equity. They may have done this multiple times during the boom. That's where these large seconds come from. The first on my folk's $850k McMansion is only $300k. But surely people are stretching themselves thinner than ever before, and the guilty first tier buyers are likely to be slaughtered.
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Unread postby FoxV » Thu 26 May 2005, 23:04:26

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jaws', ' ')It's a giant sleight-of-hand trick that's been played on the international bond market.


Are You Kidding Me???
Governement Grade bonds based on an industry with
loans 25% greater than the assets (125% mortgages)
loans that will never be paid off (Interest only mortgages)
and now loans that just keep on giving (Negative Mortgages)

all this based on assets that are VASTLY inflated in value

I thought things were really badly messed up before, but this is like stepping into a twilight zone episode

Greenspan being worried?? I bet he's about ready to spontaniously combust.
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Unread postby cube » Fri 27 May 2005, 00:04:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jaws', '.')...........The banks don't care about lending since they don't assume the risk. To paraphrase a banker, they don't let the ink dry before selling the mortgage to the street. The street being mortgage wholesalers like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, who are unaware of the risk they are assuming and don't wish to be as they then sell the mortgages back as government-grade bonds that investors feel safe buying. It's a giant sleight-of-hand trick that's been played on the international bond market.......
And these "investors" who are buying the bonds are the central banks of Asian nations right?

Once PO hits,
1) Asian nations will stumble (especially China)
2) Uncle Sam won't find enough buyers of bonds
3) US interest rates will have to go thru the roof
4) We'll have the biggest real estate bubble pop that will make the Japanese real estate crash 15 years ago look like a pleasant walk in the park.
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Unread postby frankthetank » Fri 27 May 2005, 00:40:29

Its interesting to note how new homes are being built. The quality of materials is nothing compared to houses built years ago. I was in a house costing over 200K and noticed huge cracks across the ceiling among other things. Might as well live in a camper :)
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Unread postby RiverRat » Fri 27 May 2005, 09:44:26

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('frankthetank', 'I')ts interesting to note how new homes are being built. The quality of materials is nothing compared to houses built years ago. I was in a house costing over 200K and noticed huge cracks across the ceiling among other things. Might as well live in a camper :)


When I was a field appraiser a few years ago I did a decent number of new construction appraisals for a semi-regional home builder. I was privy to the contract and plans and specs. It was interesting to note how this builder would ratchet up the sales price for minor upgrades (ie … off the self tile and mid grade carpet and mid grade cabinets and counter tops rather than low end items – no custom stuff though). Other than seeing some tile in the bathrooms or kitchen and a more ornate staircase, I could not really tell the difference between the base model and the upgraded one. Sometimes the price difference was over $50,000.

Another ‘local player’ would use the land already owned by the buyer as a down payment to start building the new home. And … the lot value generally did not equate to 20% of the purchase price. Talk about leverage.
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Unread postby RiverRat » Fri 27 May 2005, 11:04:35

McMansion defined

I just googled 'McMansion' ... 20,400 hits :shock:
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Unread postby threadbear » Fri 27 May 2005, 17:36:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jaws', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('some_guy282', '
')
Yes. This is part of the problem. The banks are lending out way more money than they should be, to people who have no business taking out loans in the first place.
The banks don't care about lending since they don't assume the risk. To paraphrase a banker, they don't let the ink dry before selling the mortgage to the street. The street being mortgage wholesalers like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, who are unaware of the risk they are assuming and don't wish to be as they then sell the mortgages back as government-grade bonds that investors feel safe buying. It's a giant sleight-of-hand trick that's been played on the international bond market. Even Greenspan is worried about the size of Fannie Mae and Freddy Mac.


Fannie and Freddie are govt grade but they're not govt. guaranteed, are they? If they are govt. guaranteed, then if there's a serious economic problem and the bonds default, you could lose your home AND have to bail out Freddie and Fannie through higher taxes or the crushing burden of trillions in govt. debt.
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Unread postby jaws » Fri 27 May 2005, 18:46:12

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', '
')Fannie and Freddie are govt grade but they're not govt. guaranteed, are they? If they are govt. guaranteed, then if there's a serious economic problem and the bonds default, you could lose your home AND have to bail out Freddie and Fannie through higher taxes or the crushing burden of trillions in govt. debt.

That's actually where the story gets really crazy. Greenspan has been making announcements for a few months that the government DOES NOT guarantee loans made to them, yet investors continue to purchase their bonds at rates under private-sector credit ratings.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')url]http://www.reuters.com/financeNewsArticle.jhtml?type=bondsNews&storyID=8544548[/url]
Greenspan said legislation that does not include portfolio limits will strengthen the market's perception that Washington would bail the companies out in a crisis.

That "implicit guarantee" allows Fannie and Freddie to borrow at much lower interest rates than its purely private-sector competitors. Greenspan said the companies exploit that subsidy to build their portfolios and generate profits for shareholders.

And one last thing, Fannie Mae came under scrutiny by the feds this year because of managers cooking the books about losses incurred in derivative trading in 2004.
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Unread postby smiley » Sun 29 May 2005, 07:24:08

People are using the increase in value of their homes as disposable income. As the prices of the houses are rising people have more money to spend. And by the looks of it they are spending it on buying more homes, which in turn increases the prices of the houses. Because the housing market keeps on growing the mortgage rates will drop.

That looks to me like a classic inflation paradox, a self-sustained runaway reaction.

Perhaps the housing market will not cool down, but melt down.
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Anyone here live in a McMansion?

Unread postby linlithgowoil » Wed 01 Jun 2005, 05:50:24

Im from the UK and we sort of have McMansions, though they are usually not in the middle of nowhere, but normally nearish to a local town, or joined on to it. I just wondered what it is like to live in a big suburban housing estate that is miles from any amenities and is surrounded by desolate lands and roads. It must be terible for the soul and mind.

If i dont live near to natural things and have the opportunity to walk to my town main street etc., it makes me feel bad. I stayed in a house in florida once that was a mcmansion, and it was mile from anywhere. its a terrible feeling of isolation you get - especially because no one seems to play in their gardens or in the street in these areas as it would upset the neighbours i suppose.

finally - those who are living in a mcmansion - how are your bills and expenses going? are they going up faster than your income?
Last edited by Ferretlover on Wed 11 Mar 2009, 21:39:51, edited 1 time in total.
Reason: Merged with THE McMansion Thread.
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Unread postby jato » Wed 01 Jun 2005, 06:48:08

I am not too sure what constitutes a McMansion. I do live 4 miles from the nearest gas station and market. Everyone is on 2 acre lots. I love it! I don’t like crowds, cities or high density housing.


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'f')inally - those who are living in a mcmansion - how are your bills and expenses going? are they going up faster than your income?


Yes!

It is getting expensive:
Water (summer ) $150 per month
Propane $75 per month (hot water and clothes dryer only)
Electricity $100 (no air conditioning)
Property tax $350 per month
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Unread postby JR » Wed 01 Jun 2005, 08:11:23

Wow, Jato...your taxes are high. Per month! Mine are about 500.00 for the whole year. I can't imagine paying that much per month.




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Unread postby Permanently_Baffled » Wed 01 Jun 2005, 08:23:02

Ok so you guys can benchmark here are my costs based on a 4 bed semi detached house in the UK:

Water: $50 a month
Electricity:$50 a month
Gas: $60 month winter , $30 - $40 in summer
Council tax(aka property tax) $210 a month.
Petrol: $240 a month (its now $80 to fill my 1997 escort! 8O :lol: )

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Unread postby pip » Wed 01 Jun 2005, 08:51:36

I live 5 miles from the nearest gas station and 20 miles to the nearest store. My closest neighbor is 1/2 mile away, which is too close in my opinion. I'm not a big fan of the city life. My current location feels more like independence than isolation to me.

Gasoline runs me about $350/month.
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Unread postby linlithgowoil » Wed 01 Jun 2005, 09:04:00

i have 2 bed bedroom terraced house in scotland (my neighbours are JOINED to me..! :) ) my costs are:-

(using 1.85 dollars to the pound)

electricty + gas = £30 a month ($55.5)
council tax = £92 a month ($170.2) - this includes water as well
petrol - £90 a month ($166.5) - £47 ($86.95) to fill my 1996 laguna.

my location:-
i live about a 10 minute walk from our high street which has a very large tesco and sainsburys supermarket, 1 minute from a petrol station, 10 minute walk from a train station, 1 minute from a bus stop, 5 minutes from council sports centre and swimming pool, 15 minute walk from a national country park, 5 minute walk to primary school and secondary school, and 17 miles from my place of work in Edinburgh, which takes me 40 minutes to drive and costs £3.80 a day in petrol - though i'll be working a 5 minute walk from home come september.
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Unread postby frankthetank » Wed 01 Jun 2005, 09:51:27

Around here you can figure your property taxes will run you about $2000 per 100K of assessed value. Incredibly expensive if you own a home worth 300K+.

I don't live in a Mcmansion..its more like a McShoebox :)
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Unread postby crude_intentions » Wed 01 Jun 2005, 13:19:07

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')ater (summer ) $150 per month


$150 a month for water 8O

I live in SC we pay about $35-40 a month total for our Water Bill, and we only recently had a price increase before that it was around $33-36 a month.
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Unread postby jato » Wed 01 Jun 2005, 15:00:21

My water has to be imported from hundreds of miles away. It is expensive. When I moved in, I planted a large number of trees. I am going to let some of my property die in order to save $$$ on water.

Re property taxes: We pay about %1.1 of our assessed value. A small 2 bedroom home is going for $400k+.

My house still accesses for about $400k, but it is worth a lot more. IIRC the county can only raise my taxes so much % per year… even though my house has doubled in value since 2001.

How big is a McMansion? I just live in a McHouse.
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Unread postby FoxV » Wed 01 Jun 2005, 15:37:25

Perhaps those of you living in those vastly inflated houses might consider selling now and renting till the foreclosures start rolling in.

Something you may want to consider doing soon, because I very much doubt the housing bubble will survive through the summer

edit---
my hometown appears to be crashing now (actually started last year) so there will be no cashing in on the bubble for me :evil:
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