Donate Bitcoin

Donate Paypal


PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

THE Fertilizer Thread (merged)

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Drudge Report says "fertilizer shortage developing&

Unread postby greenworm » Wed 30 Apr 2008, 20:49:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')ut nitrogen in a form that plants can absorb is scarce, and the lack of it led to low crop yields for centuries.


I doubt that, Nitrogen is the 7th most abundant chemical element by mass in the universe. The planet is completely loaded with it. The atmosphere is 79 percent Nitrogen.

Your being played for stock moves, wake up.
User avatar
greenworm
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 862
Joined: Fri 27 Jan 2006, 04:00:00

Re: Drudge Report says "fertilizer shortage developing&

Unread postby ColossalContrarian » Wed 30 Apr 2008, 21:03:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('greenworm', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')ut nitrogen in a form that plants can absorb is scarce, and the lack of it led to low crop yields for centuries.


I doubt that, Nitrogen is the 7th most abundant chemical element by mass in the universe. The planet is completely loaded with it. The atmosphere is 79 percent Nitrogen.

Your being played for stock moves, wake up.


You must not garden or grow your own food. Nitrogen requirments aren't the same for all plants.

Bags of fertilizer contian the ratio of Nitrogen mixed in.
ColossalContrarian
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1374
Joined: Tue 20 Jun 2006, 03:00:00

Re: Drudge Report says "fertilizer shortage developing&

Unread postby dukey » Wed 30 Apr 2008, 21:24:27

There is a fairly major fertiliser shortage here in the uk
User avatar
dukey
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 2248
Joined: Sun 20 Feb 2005, 04:00:00

Re: Drudge Report says "fertilizer shortage developing&

Unread postby Tanada » Wed 30 Apr 2008, 22:37:20

Legumes and some other plants fix nitrogen from the air, but the rest need soil with nitrogen already in it usually from animal wastes or dead animals as a source.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Alfred Tennyson', 'W')e are not now that strength which in old days
Moved earth and heaven, that which we are, we are;
One equal temper of heroic hearts,
Made weak by time and fate, but strong in will
To strive, to seek, to find, and not to yield.
Tanada
Site Admin
Site Admin
 
Posts: 17094
Joined: Thu 28 Apr 2005, 03:00:00
Location: South West shore Lake Erie, OH, USA

Re: Drudge Report says "fertilizer shortage developing&

Unread postby auscanman » Wed 30 Apr 2008, 23:21:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('greenworm', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')ut nitrogen in a form that plants can absorb is scarce, and the lack of it led to low crop yields for centuries.


I doubt that, Nitrogen is the 7th most abundant chemical element by mass in the universe. The planet is completely loaded with it. The atmosphere is 79 percent Nitrogen.

Your being played for stock moves, wake up.


I'm sorry, but your post just oozes scientific ignorance.

Nitrogen is indeed highly abundant in the atmosphere, but it needs to be converted into ammonia based fertilizers or proteins to be of any use in soil. There are only a few varieties of plants that can efficiently convert nitrogen into proteins, and unfortunately these could not be scaled to provide enough nitrogen soil nutrients to feed the current world population.

This leaves us with ammonia based fertilizers to feed the world. The ammonia based fertilizers all come from the Haber Process, which takes nitrogen from the atmosphere, and hydrogen (from natural gas), and converts them to ammonia at high temperature, and extremely high pressure (roughly 400 times atmospheric pressure!). As this process is dependent on natural gas for the hydrogen, more expensive natural gas will have to lead to more expensive fertilizer and/or shortages.

People have been working on finding an alternative to the Haber process for decades, and to date nobody has been successful. If anyone can find a better alternative they will undoubtedly become a multi-billionaire! Nitrogen doesn't react easily with anything, so pure hydrogen is needed.
User avatar
auscanman
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 317
Joined: Wed 28 Dec 2005, 04:00:00
Location: Yellowknife, Northwest Territories, Canada
Top

Re: Drudge Report says "fertilizer shortage developing&

Unread postby Denny » Thu 01 May 2008, 00:01:16

Its no surprise at all that fertilizers are in short supply, its just the cost-benefit curve for farmers in action. Even though fertilisers are mosre expesive than ever, when crop prices are through the roof, as they are now, an added 5 or 10 kg per hectare may well bring back ten times its value in extra crops. Back when wheat and corn were half today's prices, the trade-off favored a smaller fertilizer application rate.

But, fertilizer production facilities were never scaled to support these high crop prices.

I don't think its a natural gas shortage to blame, not n North America at least.
User avatar
Denny
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1738
Joined: Sat 10 Jul 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Canada

Re: Drudge Report says "fertilizer shortage developing&

Unread postby seahorse » Thu 01 May 2008, 00:01:22

Thanks for a great post auscanman.
User avatar
seahorse
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 2275
Joined: Fri 15 Oct 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Arkansas

Re: Drudge Report says "fertilizer shortage developing&

Unread postby wisconsin_cur » Thu 01 May 2008, 02:07:19

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('greenworm', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')ut nitrogen in a form that plants can absorb is scarce, and the lack of it led to low crop yields for centuries.


I doubt that, Nitrogen is the 7th most abundant chemical element by mass in the universe. The planet is completely loaded with it. The atmosphere is 79 percent Nitrogen.

Your being played for stock moves, wake up.


Others have tried to explain it and done a good job. Let me try to help you with your reading skills. I have emphasized the part that your mind should have caught on to.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')ut nitrogen in a form that plants can absorb is scarce, and the lack of it led to low crop yields for centuries.


One can be ignorant (like I am of many things) but if you pay attention to dependent clauses you can learn a lot. At the very least you can say, "Maybe there is something else I need to know."
http://www.thenewfederalistpapers.com
User avatar
wisconsin_cur
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 4576
Joined: Thu 10 May 2007, 03:00:00
Location: 45 degrees North. 883 feet above sealevel.
Top

Re: Drudge Report says "fertilizer shortage developing&

Unread postby Novus » Thu 01 May 2008, 02:19:33

It is possible to grow peanuts without nitrogen fertilizer.
User avatar
Novus
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 2450
Joined: Tue 21 Jun 2005, 03:00:00

Re: Drudge Report says "fertilizer shortage developing&

Unread postby wisconsin_cur » Thu 01 May 2008, 02:37:35

Peanuts are a legume, they fix nitrogen into the soil.

Of course you cannot grow peanuts (really successfully anyway) in most of the United States.
http://www.thenewfederalistpapers.com
User avatar
wisconsin_cur
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 4576
Joined: Thu 10 May 2007, 03:00:00
Location: 45 degrees North. 883 feet above sealevel.

Re: Drudge Report says "fertilizer shortage developing&

Unread postby manu » Thu 01 May 2008, 06:02:05

I guess everyone can take a short course on natural composting.
Something tells me that the people who live in the cities are going to wake up one morning and the stores will be empty.
User avatar
manu
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 751
Joined: Wed 26 Jul 2006, 03:00:00

Re: Drudge Report says "fertilizer shortage developing&

Unread postby Jack » Thu 01 May 2008, 08:55:12

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('manu', 'I') guess everyone can take a short course on natural composting.
Something tells me that the people who live in the cities are going to wake up one morning and the stores will be empty.


Probably so. And probably not at an optimum time to plant. And probably not with a full spectrum of necessary supplies.

That should be an exciting introduction to subsistence farming. Very exciting.
Jack
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 4929
Joined: Wed 11 Aug 2004, 03:00:00
Top

Re: Drudge Report says "fertilizer shortage developing&

Unread postby Hagakure_Leofman » Thu 01 May 2008, 09:18:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Jack', 'T')hat should be an exciting introduction to subsistence farming. Very exciting.


Ah yes, in the very broad definition of the word!
User avatar
Hagakure_Leofman
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 387
Joined: Wed 02 Jan 2008, 04:00:00
Location: out dispatching ronan...
Top

Re: Drudge Report says "fertilizer shortage developing&

Unread postby greenworm » Thu 01 May 2008, 15:54:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'Y')ou must not garden or grow your own food. Nitrogen requirments aren't the same for all plants.


Actually, I do except for oranges and yogurt. The nitrogen cycle is no secret. Stick a fish in a bucket full of water. There you go the microbes will be producing nitrogen in a couple of days.

Oh yea, don't forget to feed the fish, I usually don't need to tell people this, but you sound like you have been using a double dose of flouride. :lol:
User avatar
greenworm
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 862
Joined: Fri 27 Jan 2006, 04:00:00
Top

Re: Drudge Report says "fertilizer shortage developing&

Unread postby greenworm » Thu 01 May 2008, 16:00:26

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')'m sorry, but your post just oozes scientific ignorance.


Actually your post reaks of snobbery. Dude, stick a frickin bean seed next to what you are growing, it will provide nitrogen. Organic farmer for 30 years, I bet you buy the horrid produce at the super market.

Google 'nitrogen cycle' it is pretty easy to make. However, I go the easy route and let the rabbits make it. :lol:
User avatar
greenworm
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 862
Joined: Fri 27 Jan 2006, 04:00:00
Top

Re: Drudge Report says "fertilizer shortage developing&

Unread postby greenworm » Thu 01 May 2008, 16:04:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'O')thers have tried to explain it and done a good job. Let me try to help you with your reading skills.



Reading skills are fine, your a**hole attitude stinks, let me guess, another fuckin idiot that shops at the grocery store because you'd rather waste the gas to eat the crap they serve there. I take maybe five trips a year to a grocery store and you are going to tell me about the nitrogen cycle.
Whatever.

Any other retards want to pretend they are smart.
User avatar
greenworm
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 862
Joined: Fri 27 Jan 2006, 04:00:00
Top

Re: Drudge Report says "fertilizer shortage developing&

Unread postby Pops » Thu 01 May 2008, 17:52:29

The idea that if everyone in the world just learn to stick a bean in the ground beside the corn and add in a squash for good measure everything would be peachy seems the height of silliness to me.

Surprisingly, people have known about legumes for a while and as a rule today, soy is rotated with corn and wheat and other grains and clovers are inter seeded with grasses, planted between orchard rows and such.

The Green Revolution a while back hybridized plants enabling them to utilize applied N. As a result, crop yields increased 5 fold and the current methods support the 6b or so people of the world.

So either we

All become Organic farmers.
Start paying a whole lot more for food.
Cut back to the types of yields of 50 years ago.
Or re-engineer the entire system in pretty short order to... $this->bbcode_second_pass_code('', 'insert miracle here') ... and continue down this path.
The legitimate object of government, is to do for a community of people, whatever they need to have done, but can not do, at all, or can not, so well do, for themselves -- in their separate, and individual capacities.
-- Abraham Lincoln, Fragment on Government (July 1, 1854)
User avatar
Pops
Elite
Elite
 
Posts: 19746
Joined: Sat 03 Apr 2004, 04:00:00
Location: QuikSac for a 6-Pac

Re: Drudge Report says "fertilizer shortage developing&

Unread postby seahorse2 » Thu 01 May 2008, 18:42:16

Hey Pops,

How do you see the food issue evolving over the next five years? Some, like Jack, see a big die off looming? Do you see things getting that dire?
User avatar
seahorse2
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 2042
Joined: Mon 18 Oct 2004, 03:00:00

Re: Drudge Report says "fertilizer shortage developing&

Unread postby Pops » Thu 01 May 2008, 19:18:09

I think there may be bigger problems for producers adapting to higher feed prices in the next couple years baring something big changing.

Hog farmers have had it pretty good for a while and hopefully have some capital to draw from, I'm not so sure about poultry and egg producers though. Dairy is still up but mostly supported by exports of cheese, whey, etc.

The deal is the processors (Tyson, Cargill and the rest) only own the plant but the farmer has the investment in the origin of our food. He based his budget on his contract but when the books don't balance...


I doubt anyone who can see this post will starve in the next 5 years, but I bet they will pay lots more for food and most everything else they choose to buy. I heard today the average expenditure of food and energy has gone from 10% to 17%, and I would guess it is not done rising.

For the people who can't post here, I'm thinking jack may be right. Again baring some big change but I couldn't begin to guess to what extent.
The legitimate object of government, is to do for a community of people, whatever they need to have done, but can not do, at all, or can not, so well do, for themselves -- in their separate, and individual capacities.
-- Abraham Lincoln, Fragment on Government (July 1, 1854)
User avatar
Pops
Elite
Elite
 
Posts: 19746
Joined: Sat 03 Apr 2004, 04:00:00
Location: QuikSac for a 6-Pac

Re: Drudge Report says "fertilizer shortage developing&

Unread postby greenworm » Thu 01 May 2008, 19:31:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he idea that if everyone in the world just learn to stick a bean in the ground beside the corn and add in a squash for good measure everything would be peachy seems the height of silliness to me.


Pops, you seem like the height of silliness to me. The green revolution was neither green, nor a revolution. Sustainability isn't for everyone, but don't come to my house expecting me to feed your sorry ass when oil runs out. I'll feed ya lead and you will gladly eat it.

What you gonna do when fertilizer quadruples, keep paying like a sheep? My input cost is $0 on my farm and you think I'm silly.
User avatar
greenworm
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 862
Joined: Fri 27 Jan 2006, 04:00:00
Top

PreviousNext

Return to Open Topic Discussion

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest

cron