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THE Entropy Thread (merged)

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: <>

Unread postby pilferage » Mon 17 Oct 2005, 05:26:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('cheRand', 'M')aybe so, if you're just talking about consumption. Metabolism IS genetically-influenced. If you look at cultures with persistent famines and die-off, you find stuff today like obesity and diabetes in those same cultures today in the "fat" times. Nature is narrowing the diversity of responses to changing conditions--- slicing off both ends of the range curve using conditions of starvation and conditions of excess over the generations. Or, to look at it from a different perspective, Nature is testing for capability to survive both ends of the feast-famine spectrum.

(Am I off-topic? Metabolism is organism-level thermodynamics, right?)


I suppose it's just like any other form of energy storage, so sure, the processes that alter our food in order to store it are organism-level thermodynamics. Do you know what the distribution of metabolism types with respect to population is? I'm wondering if there's a nice bell curve in there. Also, how do you measure metabolism?
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Re: Energy, Economics and Entropy.

Unread postby MonteQuest » Wed 02 Nov 2005, 22:54:36

Error messages from the economy

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')cience's second law of thermodynamics - which predicted my chaotic heap of broken computer pieces - also predicts that when a system of any kind gets complicated you have to pour in energy and effort to maintain the complexity. It correctly predicts that all organized systems eventually break down and become disorganized again. Everything from a house to a human body, from a bag of sugar to a spaceship, obeys this law. Time eventually makes organized things turn back into formless mush, and the best we can do is pump in increasing amounts of energy to hold the inevitable decay in check for a while.

Link
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Re: Energy, Economics and Entropy.

Unread postby Doly » Thu 03 Nov 2005, 08:32:11

Monte:

Oh, nooooooooo, not again!!!!!

Why do you have to mix your popular science ideas about entropy with everything???

Haven't enough people explained to you that you haven't got it right? Why can't you just leave the subject alone?

Have you noticed that the above article was NOT written by a scientist? The fact that your mistakes are shared doesn't mean that they aren't mistakes.

Once again: Entropy on the Earth is, in fact, slowly decreasing, thanks to the sun, which is a source of low entropy. Eventually (millions of years) it will increase again. But that doesn't worry us now, does it?

I seriously doubt that the effect of technology in our world makes a blip in the total amount of entropy on Earth. If it has some measurable effect, it will have more to do with agriculture and farming than with burning fossil fuels. The amount of fossil fuels that we burn is negligible in comparison with the amount of land we cultivate. And the way I see it, if you calculated the difference between the entropy of the Earth ten thousand years ago and now that it's cultivated, it could go either way. Don't tell me that there's less biodiversity: that doesn't count at all for entropy calculations. The amount of entropy has more to do with the type of molecules of the plants we cultivate in comparison with the rest and the density of vegetation now and then. It might well be that a field of wheat has less entropy than a forest, in which case, our technology has globally decreased entropy.

Do you get it? No, I'm sure you don't.
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Re: Energy, Economics and Entropy.

Unread postby MonteQuest » Thu 03 Nov 2005, 10:04:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Doly', 'M')onte:

Oh, nooooooooo, not again!!!!!

Why do you have to mix your popular science ideas about entropy with everything???

Haven't enough people explained to you that you haven't got it right? Why can't you just leave the subject alone?

Have you noticed that the above article was NOT written by a scientist? The fact that your mistakes are shared doesn't mean that they aren't mistakes.

Once again: Entropy on the Earth is, in fact, slowly decreasing, thanks to the sun, which is a source of low entropy. Eventually (millions of years) it will increase again. But that doesn't worry us now, does it?

I seriously doubt that the effect of technology in our world makes a blip in the total amount of entropy on Earth. If it has some measurable effect, it will have more to do with agriculture and farming than with burning fossil fuels. The amount of fossil fuels that we burn is negligible in comparison with the amount of land we cultivate. And the way I see it, if you calculated the difference between the entropy of the Earth ten thousand years ago and now that it's cultivated, it could go either way. Don't tell me that there's less biodiversity: that doesn't count at all for entropy calculations. The amount of entropy has more to do with the type of molecules of the plants we cultivate in comparison with the rest and the density of vegetation now and then. It might well be that a field of wheat has less entropy than a forest, in which case, our technology has globally decreased entropy.

Do you get it? No, I'm sure you don't.


I am afraid you don't get it.

Do you maintain that as a system gets complicated you don't have to pour in energy and effort to maintain the complexity? Stop pouring in the energy through-puts and see how fast the paint peels. 8)

We can't maintain our complexity with cheap fossil fuels. :roll:

And once again, for the millionth time, this is not about the thermodynamic equillibrium with space!
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Re: Energy, Economics and Entropy.

Unread postby MrBill » Thu 03 Nov 2005, 10:51:23

Interesting posts. Good points & counterpoints. Just some of my own ramblings...

1 - peak oil is a geological fact
2 - peak oil is not an economic fact other than to say the economy will look different beyond hydrocarbon depletion than it does now
3 - do we mourn the disappearance of great cities & ancient societies before us? No.
4 - will anyone mourn the passing of suburbia? Only those affected directly, but afterwards? No.
5 - economics & finance don't matter as people keep telling me. is it useless concepts of paper IOUs and zeros & ones. smoke & mirrors as some would say.
6 - therefore when oil is gone and value is destroyed, does it matter?
7 - we will still have all the matter on earth as energy is neither created nor destroyed, we just won't have the hydrocarbons in their current form
8 - as someone said somewhere else, we can put cows in those big box stores like the ancients converted defense walls into cathedrals and vice versa
9 - will people die? yes, they always have
10 - will the natural world mourn the passing of the human race? No.
11 - if man disappears and his footprint along with him, will new species theoretically reproduce, mutate and create new species? over time quite likely
12 - does oil in the ground have any economic or useful value? No. the value added comes from extracting it and using it.
13 - will it matter to the world's survival when all the oil is depleted? No. It has been buried for millions of years and no one missed it until now.
14 - will the future look like the past? No.
15 - will it be better or worse? For whom? That depends on decisions made today. It could be universally better or universally worse or there may be some winners & some losers.
16 - Is it somehow natural that I should be capable of communicating with people all over the world in real-time using a series of zeros & ones? No.
17 - will it matter when I can no longer do this? No.
18 - will oil & its products become more expensive as they become scarcer? Expensive compared to what? we already said economics & finance are simply an illusion - smoke & mirrors.
19 - does it matter if energy alternatives cost 10X current sources of energy? No. If there is no alternative there is no alternative.
20 - will we use the cheapest alternatives first? Most likely.
21 - Can we affect the outcome or it is cast in stone? A little bit perhaps, but we cannot control everything with our big brains and our understanding of a small bit of the universe around us :!:

:)
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Re: Energy, Economics and Entropy.

Unread postby Doly » Thu 03 Nov 2005, 11:49:42

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '
')Do you maintain that as a system gets complicated you don't have to pour in energy and effort to maintain the complexity?


"Effort" is not a physics concept. "Complicated" isn't clearly defined in physics. Things that you may think as complicated, like a computer, have less entropy than things you may think as simpler, like a steam locomotive. So your premise that high tech needs lots of energy is fundamentally flawed.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '
')Stop pouring in the energy through-puts and see how fast the paint peels. 8)


1) Painting is about as complex as raining from the point of view of physics. From the point of view of entropy, the act of eating an apple is more significant than the act of painting a wall.
2) The speed at which paint peels depends on the nature of the paint and the nature of the surface. The energy it takes to repaint is pretty much the same in all cases. In fact, high-tech paint may catch on much better than cheap paint.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '
')We can't maintain our complexity with cheap fossil fuels.


That may or may not be correct. But if it happens to be true, that has absolutely nothing to do with entropy and lots to do with things like our current energy-wasteful lifestyle. High tech is not necessarily high energy tech. But you have convinced yourself of that, and use your misunderstanding of thermodinamics to justify it.
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Re: Energy, Economics and Entropy.

Unread postby MonteQuest » Thu 03 Nov 2005, 12:39:12

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Doly', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '
')Do you maintain that as a system gets complicated you don't have to pour in energy and effort to maintain the complexity?


"Effort" is not a physics concept. "Complicated" isn't clearly defined in physics. Things that you may think as complicated, like a computer, have less entropy than things you may think as simpler, like a steam locomotive. So your premise that high tech needs lots of energy is fundamentally flawed.


I see you avoided answering my question. :roll:

Fundamentally flawed? 2nd law states that anytime enrgy is transformed from one form to another, there is a loss. The more complex a technology, the more energy transfers=more loss or an increase in entropy. "Complicated" defined by physics. To hold this entropy at bay, you must use even more energy, and in doing so, you increase entropy even more. You cannot win.

The entropy created to make the computer you seem to dismiss. We gain short-term utility of the computer at the expense of more chaos.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '
')Stop pouring in the energy through-puts and see how fast the paint peels. 8)


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '1')) Painting is about as complex as raining from the point of view of physics. From the point of view of entropy, the act of eating an apple is more significant than the act of painting a wall.
2) The speed at which paint peels depends on the nature of the paint and the nature of the surface. The energy it takes to repaint is pretty much the same in all cases. In fact, high-tech paint may catch on much better than cheap paint.


I guess analogies escape you? Peeling paint is the result of 2nd law.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '
')We can't maintain our complexity with cheap fossil fuels.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')hat may or may not be correct. But if it happens to be true, that has absolutely nothing to do with entropy and lots to do with things like our current energy-wasteful lifestyle. High tech is not necessarily high energy tech. But you have convinced yourself of that, and use your misunderstanding of thermodinamics to justify it.

It is correct, see this link.

Report Card for America's Infrastructure

And it has everything to do with entropy. We are approaching watershed events where the complexity of the systems is so great we cannot afford to maintain them. We continue to go ever farther into debt to hold the chaos at bay, pushing the time to pay the piper ever farther into the future. 2nd law predicts this. Water does not flow uphill. Energy moves from a usable state to an unusable state. We can never catch up, and especially so when the cost of the energy necessary to "keep the paint from peeling" goes up, not to mention, becomes scarce and induces global warming.

I think I have a firm grasp of thermodynamics, as well as logical entropy, which people seem to dismiss as not applicable.

High tech breeds increases in effciency which breeds more consumption and more complexity. The world works 180 degrees from what people think. Surburbia, with all it's order, designed streets and houses, is chaos compared to a vacant lot of grass.

The sun maintains the grass, fossil fuels maintain surburbia.
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Re: Energy, Economics and Entropy.

Unread postby MonteQuest » Thu 03 Nov 2005, 14:44:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Doly', ' ')Do you get it? No, I'm sure you don't.


And I would question your admonishment of my science acumen. :lol:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Doly', 'C')reate a global dimming effect that compensates for the greenhouse effect of CO2. The most environmentally friendly way I can think of doing this is creating more clouds by boiling water.
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Re: Energy, Economics and Entropy.

Unread postby bobcousins » Thu 03 Nov 2005, 14:47:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', 'A')nd it has everything to do with entropy. We are approaching watershed events where the complexity of the systems is so great we cannot afford to maintain them. We continue to go ever farther into debt to hold the chaos at bay, pushing the time to pay the piper ever farther into the future. 2nd law predicts this. Water does not flow uphill. Energy moves from a usable state to an unusable state. We can never catch up, and especially so when the cost of the energy necessary to "keep the paint from peeling" goes up, not to mention, becomes scarce and induces global warming.


That is just psuedo-scientific nonsense! Monte makes the least amount of sense when he starts talking about entropy. Sorry Monte, but writing this sort of stuff makes you sound like a fool. At best, you are trying to apply laws of physics where they are not valid.
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Re: Energy, Economics and Entropy.

Unread postby MonteQuest » Thu 03 Nov 2005, 14:59:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('bobcousins', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', 'A')nd it has everything to do with entropy. We are approaching watershed events where the complexity of the systems is so great we cannot afford to maintain them. We continue to go ever farther into debt to hold the chaos at bay, pushing the time to pay the piper ever farther into the future. 2nd law predicts this. Water does not flow uphill. Energy moves from a usable state to an unusable state. We can never catch up, and especially so when the cost of the energy necessary to "keep the paint from peeling" goes up, not to mention, becomes scarce and induces global warming.


That is just psuedo-scientific nonsense! Monte makes the least amount of sense when he starts talking about entropy. Sorry Monte, but writing this sort of stuff makes you sound like a fool. At best, you are trying to apply laws of physics where they are not valid.


So, you too maintain that as a system gets complicated you don't have to pour in energy and effort to maintain the complexity? And energy does not move from a usable state to an unusable state and increases with complexity of a system?

So, you insist that our complex system does not require vast amounts of energy throughputs to hold entropy at bay?

Maintenance costs nothing? Who's sounding like a fool?
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Re: Energy, Economics and Entropy.

Unread postby holmes » Thu 03 Nov 2005, 15:16:07

Monte the desk jockies are revealing themselves. any one with any amount of scientific observation and education and experience in the field looking at the way the real world operates understands and sees these things occurring ad nauseum. But hey its hard for folks only knowing cement and plastic and the closest pristine ecosystem is the old growth sumac stand out behind the 711 or video store. Or a in a photo. Its all just a pretty picture.
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Re: Energy, Economics and Entropy.

Unread postby MonteQuest » Thu 03 Nov 2005, 15:25:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('holmes', 'M')onte the desk jockies are revealing themselves. any one with any amount of scientific observation and education and experience in the field looking at the way the real world operates understands and sees these things occurring ad nauseum. But hey its hard for folks only knowing cement and plastic and the closest pristine ecosystem is the old growth sumac stand out behind the 711 or video store. Or a in a photo. Its all just a pretty picture.


Yes, they call it psuedo-science because it flies in the face of how they perceive the world about them.

Why does it take more energy to clean up a mess and put things in order, than it does to make the mess?

What over-arching law governs this? Why is order from chaos so expensive? Why can't we win or break even ?

Because energy only moves in one direction. From hot to cold and from usuable to unusable. We will always be playing catch up, unless one day we can get water to flow uphill without an energy input to hold the chaos at bay.

Order only comes with increasing disorder.
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Re: Energy, Economics and Entropy.

Unread postby rogerhb » Thu 03 Nov 2005, 16:09:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('kochevnik', ':')!:
I don't know why you bother, Monte. Jousting with the terminally stupid is just an increase in entropy :)


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')nything that doesn't kill you makes you stronger


Apparently.
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Re: Energy, Economics and Entropy.

Unread postby nero » Thu 03 Nov 2005, 18:38:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', 'S')o, you too maintain that as a system gets complicated you don't have to pour in energy and effort to maintain the complexity? And energy does not move from a usable state to an unusable state and increases with complexity of a system?

So, you insist that our complex system does not require vast amounts of energy throughputs to hold entropy at bay?

Maintenance costs nothing? Who's sounding like a fool?


Well that would be a strawman argument dashing straight into an appeal to incredulity.

Actually, I thought the linked article was pretty innocuous. Yes, perhaps it is abusing the 2nd law to say that it is inevitable that our economic system will eventually fail but on the other hand it is quite true that it will fail if we don't continue to find the energy to maintain it.
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Re: Energy, Economics and Entropy.

Unread postby EnergySpin » Fri 04 Nov 2005, 06:41:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('kochevnik', ':')Absent the invention of alchemic transmutation, eventually

I thought that nuclear reactions did exactly that, while generating energy :)
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Re: Energy, Economics and Entropy.

Unread postby Doly » Fri 04 Nov 2005, 11:39:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '"')Complicated" defined by physics.


Monte, find me the definition of "complicated" in a physics textbook. Find me the formula. You won't find it. You will find "entropy". But YOUR idea of "complex" doesn't necessarily correspond to the physics concept of "low entropy". That's what I'm saying again and again.

For example, you'll agree with me that living creatures are pretty complex, in fact, much more complex than any human technology. They don't seem to have any problem with entropy.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '
')To hold this entropy at bay, you must use even more energy, and in doing so, you increase entropy even more. You cannot win.


To hold entropy at bay, you need an energy differential. This energy differential can be provided by the sun. It works for living creatures, it works for our technology. I'm not claiming here that we can get as much energy as we are using now from solar energy. I don't know if this is correct or not. I'm just saying that we can have technology as complex, and much more, based on solar energy.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '
')The entropy created to make the computer you seem to dismiss. We gain short-term utility of the computer at the expense of more chaos.


No, I don't. Sum up all the energy needed to build 1 computer plus the energy used by 1 computer in 10 years. Sum up all the energy needed to build 1 locomotive plus the energy used by 1 locomotive in 10 years. You will find that the second is much greater. Now, I know you believe otherwise, just because the computer is "high tech". That has nothing to do with reality.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '
')High tech breeds increases in effciency which breeds more consumption and more complexity.


Increases in efficiency don't breed more consumption. Our current economic system does. People are willing to spend X money on energy. If there's an increasy in efficiency, they will consume more energy so they spend the same amount. If energy gets more expensive, they try to consume less to keep spending again the same amount.

And I don't see how more consumption equals more complexity. More consumption may equal more energy used, but the devices used will be exactly as complex as before.
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Re: Energy, Economics and Entropy.

Unread postby MonteQuest » Fri 04 Nov 2005, 13:01:48

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Doly', 'M')onte, find me the definition of "complicated" in a physics textbook. Find me the formula. You won't find it. You will find "entropy".

What part of this don't you understand?
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he more complex a technology, the more energy transfers=more loss or an increase in entropy. "Complicated" defined by physics.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'F')or example, you'll agree with me that living creatures are pretty complex, in fact, much more complex than any human technology. They don't seem to have any problem with entropy.

It's called non-equillibrium thermodynamics. I have posted on it extensivley. Google it.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')o hold entropy at bay, you need an energy differential. This energy differential can be provided by the sun. It works for living creatures, it works for our technology. I'm not claiming here that we can get as much energy as we are using now from solar energy. I don't know if this is correct or not. I'm just saying that we can have technology as complex, and much more, based on solar energy.

That is my point. We don't have access to that solar energy as yet. It's there, but we can't tap it on a scale we need. For now, we are limited to fossil fuels to hold entropy at bay. We don't need more energy consumers in the meantime by increasing technological complexity.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'N')o, I don't. Sum up all the energy needed to build 1 computer plus the energy used by 1 computer in 10 years. Sum up all the energy needed to build 1 locomotive plus the energy used by 1 locomotive in 10 years. You will find that the second is much greater. Now, I know you believe otherwise, just because the computer is "high tech". That has nothing to do with reality.
Care to rethink that? Computer technology has increased the demand for energy consumption on a far greater scale than did the locomotive.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')ncreases in efficiency don't breed more consumption. Our current economic system does.
A strawman. The end result is the same. And when is that going to change?
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')nd I don't see how more consumption equals more complexity. More consumption may equal more energy used, but the devices used will be exactly as complex as before.
You don't see more energy transfers occurring?
You seem to fail to grasp the broad imperative of 2nd law.
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Re: Energy, Economics and Entropy.

Unread postby holmes » Fri 04 Nov 2005, 13:23:28

It is VERY broad Monte. You can see entropy. I like to use a laymans example. I drive from Portland(Big city) out to BC. Now as I am driving farther into the country the chaos and energy requirments are harder to find. a tractor here a cow there. decreasing entrpy. Until I am in BC. very little energy is needed to maintian this High quality of life and low stress and little infrastructure. The faces are smiles and perty becuase they have more energy for smiling. In big city they are using all energy driving, frowning, pinched faces, rat race, etc...
Moderate levels of energy are needed to maintain the roads, mainstreet, etcc.
less energy is expended by the folks in the town. Now if we were to bring in mega industry and increase the human biomass that believe they need all the high energy required infrastructure BC will turn into a filthy hell hole. The rat race is all about entropy and keeping it in check. when that energy is not there to keep it "ordered" it decays and crumbles into dust. Look at our cities most are run down in areas lacking a oil quota. entropy will allways win. Its if u want to kill yourself and turn yourself into a clone trying to overcome it. Good luck. Build more shit you must expend loads of energy to maintain that shit. Until u are that shit.
More and more as they wear out, etc... Keep everyhting in moderation and we cut out much of the chaos and energy. accepting entropy is key.
Even a stupid doomer like me sees it clearly.
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Re: Energy, Economics and Entropy.

Unread postby cube » Fri 04 Nov 2005, 13:47:34

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnergySpin', '.').........
Are we going to run out of sand? Cause sand is the basis of optic fibers .... which relieved the "pressure" off copper for the the telecom sector
Are you trying to imply that society will find something bigger and better then oil and we'll transition to it easily so therefore there is nothing to worry about?

Yes I know history is filled with many examples of society transitioning from one resource to another quite painlessly.

1) natural gas replaced guano for the production of fertilizer
2) oil (kerosene) replaced whale fat for use in lamp oil

Luckily we didn't have to worry about peak-guano or peak-whale...but I believe this is ultimately a game of Russian Rouletee. You may pull the trigger a couple times with nothing bad happening but ultimately the game will be over. No matter how smart a species may be ultimately it's going to hit a brick wall. It will one day find itself depending on a diminishing resource that it cannot replace or find an equal substitute.

I believe oil will be that one special resource that cannot be substituted with another resource of equal usefullness.
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Re: <>

Unread postby grabby » Mon 28 Nov 2005, 03:57:02

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', ' ') As the energy continues to expand and become more diffused, it loses more and more of its order and will eventually reach a point of maximum entropy, or an equilibrium state of heat death. Everything will be the same temperature, approaching zero point energy.

The big bang theory coincides with the first and second laws of thermodynamics:

The British scientist and author C.P. Snow had an excellent way of remembering the three laws:
1. You cannot win (that is, you cannot get something for nothing, because matter and energy are conserved).
2. You cannot break even (you cannot return to the same energy state, because there is always an increase in disorder; entropy always increases).
3. You cannot get out of the game (because absolute zero is unattainable).

[b]There will be those who will stubbornly refuse to accept the fact that the Entropy Law reigns supreme over all physical reality in the world. The laws of thermodynamics provide the overarching scientific frame for the unfolding of all physical activity in this world.
(it's because I'm getting senile.) EE}[/color][/size]


AMAZING...

So the three laws of thermodynamics are unbreachable, you cannot develop more complex systems without sacrificing even more complex systems...

hmmmm.

Since the EARTH is not a CLOSED SYSTEM, the SECOND LAW OF THERMODYNAMICS DOWS NOT APPLY.

so there.
thats what they told the creationists...

so, if it is true, dont worry about the second law on planet earth.

so obviously entropy does not apply to the earth and oil and energy will always increase and becomoe more complex all by itself.
Filling wells to overflowing and being produced and multiplied by some random lightning storm starting a reaction that multiplies over millions of years and eventually making gigabarrels of pure sweet crude.

allegedly it happened before, so you should be sure it will happen again, c'mon now. don't worry so much.
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grabby
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