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PeakOil is You

THE Enron Thread (merged)

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Re: Enron and Big Oil- Compare and contrast

Unread postby threadbear » Sat 26 May 2007, 16:52:40

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('DantesPeak', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', 'T')hese "crazies" seem to know what they're talking about:


Public Citizen:

Public Citizen advocates a return to better regulated utilities by returning power plants to distributional utilities where states can better protect consumers. And with the repeal of the Public Utility Holding Company Act in President Bush's August 2005 energy bill, electricity companies will be able to more easily merge, undermining the ability of states to effectively regulate these increasingly sprawling companies.

On petroleum markets, Public Citizen testifies before Congress on how record oil company profits are partly due to anti-competitive practices in the industry, and that a windfall profits tax is one equitable method to direct more money to help finance a transition away from a fossil-fuel based economy and towards a sustainable, clean energy future. In addition, Public Citizen advocates the strengthening of energy trading markets in New York where the prices of oil and natural gas are set.

http://www.citizen.org/documents/oilmergers.pdf

And the federal regulatory mechanisms in FERC under a Bush regime, should be renamed "FUCKED" for all the good they do.


Sorry to butt in again, since you addressed me in a derogatory manner in another post today, I feel I have a right to correct your comments which are misleading and incorrect.

Your outdated Public Citizen 2004 report misquotes the FTC.

The FTC never concluded there was a gasoline conspiracy as you keep implying.

This is what the FTC actually said:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')b]The completed investigation uncovered no evidence of collusion or any other antitrust violation. In fact, the varying responses of industry participants to the price spike suggests that the firms were engaged in individual, not coordinated, conduct. Prices rose both because of factors beyond the industry's immediate control and because of conscious (but independent) choices by industry participants.


Final Report of the Federal Trade Commission


Please post exactly where the misquote occurs, and if so, please explain why the "federal" trade commissionunder Bush, should be trusted.
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Re: Enron and Big Oil- Compare and contrast

Unread postby Mircea » Sat 26 May 2007, 18:37:34

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('DantesPeak', 'I') fail to see how the example of one company monopolizing one type of one isolated energy market can be applied to an open and worldwide market for oil, oil products, petrochemicals, refining, and distribution, where $10 billion US of products are consumed daily.


Did you actually read it? It applies to creating phony or trumped up reasons for shutting down plants during supply crises. Could refiners not do this? If so I'd like to know why rather than being blown off.


First, you falsely concluded that an increase in price automatically results in an increase in profits, or revenues or both (profits and revenues aren't the same).

I assure you, in the case of oil and gasoline, it does NOT, except perhaps in the extreme short term.

The current tariffs on imported gasoline are $0.525 per barrel, but tariffs on unrefined crude oil are only $0.0525 per barrel. Once the price covers the tariff spread, it's profitable to import gasonline, which should give you an idea of the upper limits of gasonline prices that domestic suppliers can charge.

Secondly, the situations are not analogus. Enron was a single supplier. That is not true of gasoline. Shutting down a refinery for a "phony accident" places me at an extreme disadvantage while benefitting my competition. That's harmful to me in both the short and long term.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('bobcousins', '
')It is obvious that the reverse of what you say is true. When supply is plentiful, there is a need to collude and restrict supply. I give you : OPEC!


Yes, and the autocratic OPEC regimes damn near got overthrown in revolutions and coups and almost had to allow opposition parties to form and in some instances nearly had to allow opposition parties to not only form, but also run in elections resulting in a potential power sharing situation.

They won't be doing that again.

An increase in price does not automatically result in increased profits or revenues. Just ask the OPEC oil ministers. They can fill you in on all the gory details.
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Re: Enron and Big Oil- Compare and contrast

Unread postby DantesPeak » Sat 26 May 2007, 18:52:19

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('DantesPeak', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', 'T')hese "crazies" seem to know what they're talking about:


Public Citizen:

Public Citizen advocates a return to better regulated utilities by returning power plants to distributional utilities where states can better protect consumers. And with the repeal of the Public Utility Holding Company Act in President Bush's August 2005 energy bill, electricity companies will be able to more easily merge, undermining the ability of states to effectively regulate these increasingly sprawling companies.

On petroleum markets, Public Citizen testifies before Congress on how record oil company profits are partly due to anti-competitive practices in the industry, and that a windfall profits tax is one equitable method to direct more money to help finance a transition away from a fossil-fuel based economy and towards a sustainable, clean energy future. In addition, Public Citizen advocates the strengthening of energy trading markets in New York where the prices of oil and natural gas are set.

http://www.citizen.org/documents/oilmergers.pdf

And the federal regulatory mechanisms in FERC under a Bush regime, should be renamed "FUCKED" for all the good they do.


Sorry to butt in again, since you addressed me in a derogatory manner in another post today, I feel I have a right to correct your comments which are misleading and incorrect.

Your outdated Public Citizen 2004 report misquotes the FTC.

The FTC never concluded there was a gasoline conspiracy as you keep implying.

This is what the FTC actually said:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')b]The completed investigation uncovered no evidence of collusion or any other antitrust violation. In fact, the varying responses of industry participants to the price spike suggests that the firms were engaged in individual, not coordinated, conduct. Prices rose both because of factors beyond the industry's immediate control and because of conscious (but independent) choices by industry participants.


Final Report of the Federal Trade Commission


Please post exactly where the misquote occurs, and if so, please explain why the "federal" trade commissionunder Bush, should be trusted.


Is this exact enough for you?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he U.S. Federal Trade Commission (FTC) concluded in March 2001 that oil companies had intentionally withheld supplies of gasoline from the market as a tactic to drive up prices—all as a“profit-maximizing strategy.” These actions, while costing consumers billions of dollars in overcharges, have not been challenged by the U.S. government.

PS I don't have to prove anything to you.
It's already over, now it's just a matter of adjusting.
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Re: Enron and Big Oil- Compare and contrast

Unread postby MonteQuest » Sat 26 May 2007, 18:56:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', 'M')onte and other long term posters, on the board, seem to be under the impression that a Mad Max scenario is a foregone conclusion.


I have never even used the term, much less ever said or implied that such a scenario will come to pass.
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Re: Enron and Big Oil- Compare and contrast

Unread postby MonteQuest » Sat 26 May 2007, 19:00:18

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', 'I')'ve been trying to get those with inflexible models of reality to try and think a little outside of their petro-boxes to try and grasp the simple fact that peak oil encourages conspiring and colluding.


Here's the scoop from the oil drum.

Oil Company Profits and High Gas Prices: Here We Go Again
http://www.theoildrum.com/node/2571
Last edited by MonteQuest on Mon 28 May 2007, 00:27:29, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Enron and Big Oil- Compare and contrast

Unread postby Zentric » Sat 26 May 2007, 21:01:28

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', 'H')ere's the scoop from the oil drum.

Oil Company Profits and High Gas Prices: Here We Go Again
http://www.theoildrum.com/node/2571


Monte - I read the article. I'd like to know why you think it is relates to threadbear's premise.

Thank you.
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Re: Enron and Big Oil- Compare and contrast

Unread postby threadbear » Sat 26 May 2007, 21:13:32

So, umm, who's not seeing the whole picture here? The poster from the following blog may not understand peak oil, but many on this forum don't seem to understand how big oil works.

Blog:

And now that the election is over, refineries are being shut down, gasoline prices are spiking, and profits are going through the roof a mere six months later.

Defenders of the Bush Administration might try to convince you that gasoline prices only climb as the price of oil climbs on the world market. If that were true, the current record price of gasoline should coincide with a record in the per-barrel price of oil. But in fact, oil at its current price of $63 per barrel is well below the record high of $78.40 on July 13, 2006 when gasoline peaked at $3.03 a gallon.


As you can see from the above graph, the price of oil tumbled downwards in the months before the November 2006 election, and have climbed steadily upward ever since. But the price of oil, while far lower than last years record, does not comport with the record high national average price for gasoline. Obviously, something else is effecting the price of gasoline. And that is a lack of supply due to the number of refineries that have been taken off line.

Since the November election, the National Average for the price of a gallon of gasoline has risen by as much....

http://blog.bi30.org/
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Re: Enron and Big Oil- Compare and contrast

Unread postby MonteQuest » Sat 26 May 2007, 21:22:08

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Zentric', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', 'H')ere's the scoop from the oil drum.

Oil Company Profits and High Gas Prices: Here We Go Again
http://www.theoildrum.com/node/2571


Monte - I read the article. I'd like to know why you think it is relates to threadbear's premise.

Thank you.


Do you think farmers control the price of corn?
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Re: Enron and Big Oil- Compare and contrast

Unread postby MonteQuest » Sat 26 May 2007, 21:27:49

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', 'S')o, umm, who's not seeing the whole picture here? The poster from the following blog may not understand peak oil, but many on this forum don't seem to understand how big oil works.


Oil Companies using Enron style price fixing.
Closing refineries to jack up gas prices.


Oh, really?

From the oildrum.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'N')ot all oil companies own refining companies. In fact, a very few actually own their refineries. They just find, drill and produce crude which they sell on the NYMEX or other markets, to refiners. A refiner can take crude from anybody—Exxon from Shell, Chevron from BP, etc.


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'N')o. Oil companies are not setting the retail price except via the NYMEX, where they sell to refiners.
When the traders run the price up, oil companies naturally win. But the crude price is set by market demand i.e., what will they pay today?



Many on this forum don't seem to understand how big oil doesn't work.

Oh, and I love this line from that blog.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')hile it would be difficult (if not impossible) to prove that the oil companies kept all of their refineries online and output gasoline at a record rate in the months prior to the election in order to glut the market and drive down prices, the evidence seems clear that that is exactly what they did.
Last edited by MonteQuest on Sat 26 May 2007, 21:34:04, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Enron and Big Oil- Compare and contrast

Unread postby threadbear » Sat 26 May 2007, 21:32:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', 'S')o, umm, who's not seeing the whole picture here? The poster from the following blog may not understand peak oil, but many on this forum don't seem to understand how big oil works.


Oil Companies using Enron style price fixing.
Closing refineries to jack up gas prices.


Oh, really?

From the oildrum.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'N')ot all oil companies own refining companies. In fact, a very few actually own their refineries. They just find, drill and produce crude which they sell on the NYMEX or other markets, to refiners. A refiner can take crude from anybody—Exxon from Shell, Chevron from BP, etc.


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'N')o. Oil companies are not setting the retail price except via the NYMEX, where they sell to refiners.
When the traders run the price up, oil companies naturally win. But the crude price is set by market demand i.e., what will they pay today?



Many on this forum don't seem to understand how big oil doesn't work.


The big oil companies own a majority of the refineries.
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Re: Enron and Big Oil- Compare and contrast

Unread postby MonteQuest » Sat 26 May 2007, 21:36:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', ' ')The big oil companies own a majority of the refineries.


Care to challenge Prof. Goose over at the oildrum on this?

I'll watch for his response.
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Re: Enron and Big Oil- Compare and contrast

Unread postby threadbear » Sat 26 May 2007, 21:40:19

From an article in Oligopoly watch before the most recent wave of mergers and acquisitions.


BP, ExxonMobil, ChevronTexaco, Royal Dutch Shell, and ConocoPhillips: these five companies control 62% of the US retail gasoline market. The same companies control 50% of the refinery capacity in the US, and 48% of the oil production. About the only area where they don't dominate is in worldwide petroleum production, where they own only 14% of the production, only because of the domination of national oil companies in OPEC and elsewhere. Even there, the big five oil companies have close relationships with these national companies.

http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2004/06/12.html
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Re: Enron and Big Oil- Compare and contrast

Unread postby Zentric » Sat 26 May 2007, 21:40:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Zentric', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', 'H')ere's the scoop from the oil drum.

Oil Company Profits and High Gas Prices: Here We Go Again
http://www.theoildrum.com/node/2571


Monte - I read the article. I'd like to know why you think it is relates to threadbear's premise.

Thank you.


Do you think farmers control the price of corn?


If the principles of Cargill and Archer Daniels Midland got together and decided to either plant a whole lot or almost no corn next year, and to plant either a whole lot or almost no other grains instead, do you think that could influence the price of corn or the value of corn futures?

Have you looked up the definition of oligopoly?

From Wikipedia:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')n oligopoly is a market form in which a market or industry is dominated by a small number of sellers (oligopolists). The word is derived from the Greek for few sellers. Some industries which are oligopolies are referred to as the "Big 3" or the "Big 4." Because there are few participants in this type of market, each oligopolist is aware of the actions of the others. Oligopolistic markets are characterised by interactivity. The decisions of one firm influence, and are influenced by the decisions of other firms. Strategic planning by oligopolists always involves taking into account the likely responses of the other market participants. This causes oligopolistic markets and industries to be at the highest risk for collusion.


By the way, I want to thank you in advance for eventually answering my question.
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Re: Enron and Big Oil- Compare and contrast

Unread postby threadbear » Sat 26 May 2007, 21:46:31

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Shannymara', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', 'B')ut in fact, oil at its current price of $63 per barrel is well below the record high of $78.40 on July 13, 2006 when gasoline peaked at $3.03 a gallon.

But what about light sweet crude? Isn't that more closely tracking gasoline price increases?


If your point is a shortfall in light sweet crude is having an impact on price, I AGREE. All I keep repeating is to be aware that refineries have the ability to manipulate at the same time, and that actual difficulties with supply, provide a great cover for doing so.
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Re: Enron and Big Oil- Compare and contrast

Unread postby threadbear » Sat 26 May 2007, 21:50:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Zentric', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', 'H')ere's the scoop from the oil drum.

Oil Company Profits and High Gas Prices: Here We Go Again
http://www.theoildrum.com/node/2571


Monte - I read the article. I'd like to know why you think it is relates to threadbear's premise.

Thank you.


Do you think farmers control the price of corn?


In years where there is a corn surplus, corn is less expensive and vica versa. The individual farmer has little say, but a cartel of agribusiness growers could affect price quite handily.
Last edited by threadbear on Mon 28 May 2007, 03:10:57, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Enron and Big Oil- Compare and contrast

Unread postby MonteQuest » Sat 26 May 2007, 21:55:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Zentric', ' ')If the principles of Cargill and Archer Daniels Midland got together and decided to either plant a whole lot or almost no corn next year, and to plant either a whole lot or almost no other grains instead, do you think that could influence the price of corn or the value of corn futures?


Could they do this unnoticed?

No.

Do they?

No.

Why not?
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Re: Enron and Big Oil- Compare and contrast

Unread postby MonteQuest » Sat 26 May 2007, 21:56:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', ' ')In years where there is a corn surplus, corn is more expensive and vica versa. The individual farmer has little say, but a cartel of agribusiness growers could affect price quite handily.


Why don't they then? Why not make a bad situation worse?

Here's a counter from Fox News of all sources.

Just replace Threadbear for Stupak. Notice how he just ignores Cavuto's straight forward points.

http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,275274,00.html
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Re: Enron and Big Oil- Compare and contrast

Unread postby threadbear » Sat 26 May 2007, 22:08:26

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', ' ')The big oil companies own a majority of the refineries.


Care to challenge Prof. Goose over at the oildrum on this?

I'll watch for his response.


Oil and Gas Journal’s Worldwide Refinery Survey for 2002:

Major oil companies dominate the refining industry. The top 10 U.S. refiners, all of them major integrated oil companies or refiner/marketers, control more than 80 percent of all domestic oil refinery capacity. Of those top 10 U.S. refiners, four of them (ExxonMobil, Royal Dutch/Shell, British Petroleum PLC and Chevron Texaco) are the top four refiners in the world.

http://www.localnews1.net/1state&localb ... 7/gas.html

Perhaps HE would like to challenge the Oil and Gas Journal's own survey?
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Re: Enron and Big Oil- Compare and contrast

Unread postby MonteQuest » Sat 26 May 2007, 22:13:30

More from the oildrum:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')nybody who blames record high US gasoline prices on "gouging" at the pump simply reveals their total ignorance of global oil supply and demand fundamentals. The real reason for high pump prices is the lack of global gasoline supply relative to demand. Just in the US, overall US refining capacity, at 17 million barrels per day (mb/d), is far below demand at 22 mb/d. In turn, pump prices are effectively set by import prices. With strong demand outside the US on the back of global economic growth and a weak dollar, the era of abundant US oil supply augmented by willing international sellers is dead.




http://www.theoildrum.com/node/2560
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Re: Enron and Big Oil- Compare and contrast

Unread postby threadbear » Sat 26 May 2007, 22:16:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Zentric', ' ')If the principles of Cargill and Archer Daniels Midland got together and decided to either plant a whole lot or almost no corn next year, and to plant either a whole lot or almost no other grains instead, do you think that could influence the price of corn or the value of corn futures?


Could they do this unnoticed?

No.

Do they?

No.

Why not?


What about corn sweeteners. Did YOU notice?

Closing a final chapter on a nine-year scandal, the Archer Daniels Midland Company said last night that it had agreed to pay $400 million to settle a civil class-action lawsuit accusing the company of fixing prices in the huge market for CORN sweeteners.

http://www.kaplanfox.com/press/index.php?id=116

:lol: :lol:

God, this is easier than shooting fish in a barrel. There's just NO competition. It's a rigged game :lol: :lol:
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