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THE Energy Bulletin Thread (merged)

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Re: Peak Oil is a "Catastrophist Cult"? New paper

Unread postby lateStarter » Wed 28 Dec 2005, 18:19:29

We will all be discussing and arguing the nuances of PO, right up until the moment we disappear. The fact that many people are arguing that there is in fact a problem rather that about the solution indicates we are only that much closer to .. w what? Give it up!!! We could do so much, but we won't. Enjoy the show..
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Re: Peak Oil is a "Catastrophist Cult"? New paper

Unread postby ubercynicmeister » Wed 28 Dec 2005, 20:21:33

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MicroHydro', 'P')O is heterodox. There are many prophets, but no cult leaders. Nobody has asked me to give up all my money and move to the cult compound in South America. Nobody is pouring kool aid. If someone decides to stop following PO, they aren't kidnapped and dragged back to the compound.


Huh? Y'mean to say I've been wasting all my money on buying those discount robes? I got 'em from a discount store called "KKK Disposals". Pity about the blood-stains, but, well, they do add to the charector. And those sneakers...one careful owner, the ad said.

This is really bad of you, Microhydro, I'm gunna sulk. :wink: Aw, shucks, ...firstly you remove the carefully crafted illusion of endless Oil, then you remove the dream about Peak Oil being a cult But...Microhydro, I need a few delusions to live on!!!!

Hang on, I'll take up astrology...why? Well, it's more accurate than ECONOMICS! And the pay's better, too. Now, all I need to do is jettison my ethics & self-respect. After all, it works for Madonna, and Jessica Simpson!

HEY, we have to come up with a snappy name, too - Peak Oil sounds waaay tooo techno. I mean, there's the Klan, then there's the Aum Supreme Truth...how about "Needeep N Schitt"?

"Oh, Hell"?

Uh, "Oh, God, We';re All Gunna Die!" has to be acronymised: OGWAGD, but that don't roll of the tongue nicely...

"Doom" sounds like a game, and we'll run into copyright issues...

How about "Oil Armageddon"? After all, Armageddon means The Hill Of Robbers, and that would describe the Oil Industry pretty well.
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Re: Peak Oil is a "Catastrophist Cult"? New paper

Unread postby DesertBear2 » Wed 28 Dec 2005, 22:34:16

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MicroHydro', '
')Big differences. PO is heterodox. There are many prophets, but no cult leaders. Nobody has asked me to give up all my money and move to the cult compound in South America. Nobody is pouring kool aid. If someone decides to stop following PO, they aren't kidnapped and dragged back to the compound.


Peak Oil has no fake threats of hell and eternal torment like the standard power-hungry preachers and imams use to terrify their flock. And no deep life-long guilt and shame like the Catholics like to plant in their young.

Just a rational discussion where people can change their mind and envision different scenarios of the future. Mostl of the PO arguments are based on facts and rational evaluation.
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Re: Peak Oil is a "Catastrophist Cult"? New paper

Unread postby SchroedingersCat » Thu 29 Dec 2005, 00:12:38

Where's Aaron when you need him? The beloved (& feared) leader of the reaper cult will set everything right. :lol:
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Re: Peak Oil is a "Catastrophist Cult"? New paper

Unread postby WebHubbleTelescope » Thu 29 Dec 2005, 04:15:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('malcomatic_51', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('WebHubbleTelescope', '
')Anyone that writes even one article for http://TechCentralStation.com approaches zero credibility,


Why? I don't know the site well, but I noticed quite an interesting article about criticism of the IPCC. When I hear that there is "scientific consensus" on something that is clearly an immensely complex issue, with big data quality problems, then my suspicions are aroused. I have myself become an expert ina few fields that had been the preserve of supposedly professional academic researchers, and I can tell you that the intellectual corruption I found would make your hair stand on end. And this is just the tiny slots I happen to have become immersed in. Scientists are just as prone as the next person to ignoring evidence they don't like, selecting evidence they do like, and absolutely refusing to accept they might be other than absolutely correct. Doctors are especially pig-headed in this regard. Doesn't fill you with confidence.


Didn't you look at his bibliography? He was writing quite a few things for Nature and then he suddenly went over to Tech Central Station.

Intellectual corruption is what TCS practices.
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Re: Peak Oil is a "Catastrophist Cult"? New paper

Unread postby Bandidoz » Thu 29 Dec 2005, 10:00:24

The guy completely fails to see that the purpose of "prophecies of doom" are "default scenarios" (as he actually points out - no ingenuity undertaken) and act as a call to action. That's why previous such prophecies didn't happen - because they were heeded.
The Olduvai Theory is thinkable http://www.dieoff.com/page224.pdf
Easter Island - a warning from history : http://www.dieoff.org/page145.htm
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Re: Peak Oil is a "Catastrophist Cult"? New paper

Unread postby Papey » Thu 29 Dec 2005, 11:57:23

His book "enriching the Earth" is a must-read though for anyone who wants to fully understand the evolution of chemical fertilizers throughout the last 2 centuries and their dependance on natural gaz.
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Re: Peak Oil is a "Catastrophist Cult"? New paper

Unread postby EnergySpin » Thu 29 Dec 2005, 13:34:04

I do not think he is an idiot; but it does not take a lot of reading to understand the mysticism that infiltrates Laherrere's work regarding peak oil . From the "Campbell and Company", Deffeys is the only sane person, the others are walking on a very thin line
.
Campbell is endorsing a fascist fuck fest (after all the Irish did not fight with us during WWII), Laherrere is trying to turn peak-oil into a theory of everything and we all know about Duncan, right?

In any case, I think Dr Smith's doometron reading is between 2-3:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')Energy transitions—from biomass to coal, from coal to oil,
from oil to natural gas, from direct use of fuels to electricity
have stimulated technical advances and driven our inventiveness.
Inevitably, they bring enormous challenges for both
producers and consumers, necessitate the scrapping or reorganization
of extensive infrastructures, are costly and protracted,
and cause major socioeconomic dislocations
. But
they have created more productive and richer economies, and
modern societies will not collapse just because we face yet
another of these grand transformations.Unless we believe, preposterously,
that human inventiveness and adaptability will
cease the year the world reaches the peak annual output of
conventional crude oil, we should see that milestone (whenever
it comes) as a challenging opportunity rather than as a
reason for cult-like worries and paralyzing concerns.

By the way, didn't he use to advocate we curtail the use of fossil fuels?
Unless I am thinking of a different guy, going after the gas hydrates does not qualify as "curtailment of FF use" :roll:

Edit
-----
Yeap, he is the same guy who pointed out the perils of FFs. Read this (pretty good article re: historical trends)

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')b]that energy use above that level (70GJ) is spent
overwhelmingly on more ostentatious consumption and more frequent pursuit of high-energy, and often environmentally destructive, pastimes ranging from transcontinental flights to desert casinos to snowmobile runs through national parks. Moreover, abundant food supply and widespread ownership of exertionsaving machines contributed to a veritable epidemic of obesity. ....
On the other hand, critical social and mental components of a
high quality of life—including such intangibles as personal freedoms or satisfying pastimes—do not depend on high energy use. Countless leisure activities need only modest amounts of energy, directly as food for physical exertion or embodied in books, recordings, or tools.

He is an astute observed, isn't he?
Last edited by EnergySpin on Thu 29 Dec 2005, 14:18:31, edited 2 times in total.
"Nuclear power has long been to the Left what embryonic-stem-cell research is to the Right--irredeemably wrong and a signifier of moral weakness."Esquire Magazine,12/05
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"Hippies Were Right" Energy Bulletin Story

Unread postby PenultimateManStanding » Wed 01 Feb 2006, 10:42:47

http://energybulletin.net/12517.html Here we can comment on things we read on other websites such as energy bulletin. The story would have us believe that we're "richer" but not any happier now than a generation ago.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')First, surveys show that the indus­trialised nations have not become happier over time. Random samples of UK citizens today report the same degree of psychological well-being and satisfaction with their lives as did their (poorer) parents and grandparents. In the US, happiness has fallen over time. White American females are markedly less happy than were their mothers.
Just how are we to understand wealth here? Didn't the mother's generation stay home to raise children? Wasn't the wealth more secure a generation ago? Fathers could support the lifestyles of families back then. Are the women working now just so that families can have more material possessions or are they working out of neccessity, which would imply that we are poorer now that a generation ago. And furthermore, there are plenty of other places to look for factors underlying mental well-being. Mores, values, cultural attitiudes, etc. have changed too. Maybe our so-called "progress" aint been so progressive; maybe we haven't really had a clear idea of the consequences of our messing around with what has been handed to us from the past. Maybe things change no matter what, and we are on the downside of civilization's decline, and it doesn't matter what we do, because we're screwed anyway. And finally, maybe we're just like the yeast in a vat of grape juice, the toxins are rising and we are bound to feel discomfort and then death.
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Re: "Hippies Were Right" Energy Bulletin Story

Unread postby Specop_007 » Wed 01 Feb 2006, 10:49:52

The hippies were right?? The hippies wanted pece, love, sex with everyone and carefree days of doing nothing. Doesnt sound like a life of happiness to me, sounds like the life of a daydreaming bum who walks around denying reality.

But scratching your gonneherphasyphilaids while sitting in thepark and not showering for a week is fun right?

As for mothers working, look at what we have since the 50's. Larger houses, more "gizmos" (Shit?), 2 or 3 cars vs one....The list goes on. My wife and I were a "traditional" family for a while. She went to work (As much for mental reasons as economic) and we moved up from an apartment and 1 car to a house and 2 cars. We could have done it on one job. We could have settled for a smaller house, or a lesser car. But we chose not to. And we're pretty damned happy for it.
I wont say a 2 job family is for everyone and people should think it over before jumping into it. I think the problem is people think they have to have a 2 income family, as opposed to realizing its not necesary.
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Abyss, the Abyss gazes also into you."

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Re: "Hippies Were Right" Energy Bulletin Story

Unread postby PenultimateManStanding » Wed 01 Feb 2006, 10:56:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Specop_007', '
')
But scratching your gonneherphasyphilaids while sitting in thepark and not showering for a week is fun right?
"gonneherphasyphilaids" :lol: That's rich, spec! Clearly snorting coke off a hooker's ass is preferable to anything those dirty hippies ever thought of.
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Re: "Hippies Were Right" Energy Bulletin Story

Unread postby Specop_007 » Wed 01 Feb 2006, 11:02:18

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PenultimateManStanding', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Specop_007', '
')
But scratching your gonneherphasyphilaids while sitting in thepark and not showering for a week is fun right?
"gonneherphasyphilaids" :lol: That's rich, spec! Clearly snorting coke off a hooker's ass is preferable to anything those dirty hippies ever thought of.


:lol:
Touche! But you dont actually touch her pucker hole, so it should be relatively clean right? :oops:

On a side note, I've actually heard of people with multiple STD's such as Gonnehrea, herpes, syhpillis and AIDS or some paint stripping combination thereof. 8O
"Battle not with monsters, lest ye become a monster, and if you gaze into the
Abyss, the Abyss gazes also into you."

Ammo at a gunfight is like bubblegum in grade school: If you havent brought enough for everyone, you're in trouble
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Re: "Hippies Were Right" Energy Bulletin Story

Unread postby Pops » Wed 01 Feb 2006, 11:41:26

The Dittohead inspired view of lazy, dirty hippies aside; a life ruled by the endless grind to buy the version of happiness "As Seen on TV" is hardly a prescription for satisfaction - at least not in my experience.
The legitimate object of government, is to do for a community of people, whatever they need to have done, but can not do, at all, or can not, so well do, for themselves -- in their separate, and individual capacities.
-- Abraham Lincoln, Fragment on Government (July 1, 1854)
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Re: "Hippies Were Right" Energy Bulletin Story

Unread postby holmes » Wed 01 Feb 2006, 12:09:38

also the word Hippie has been incoroprated into the PC mainstream doublespeak. There were many that were trying to build a different culture. One based on comonality and skills. Not the idealogic version of hippie that has been "programmed" into us by the mainstream. I know many were in my family. master carpenters, tillers, mechanics, etc.. They drank beer and smoked grass. Thats it. no wollowing in the puke, etc.. However the culture went the other way and they were disheartend and had to survive.
These were the real hippies. The true hippie u dont see anymore. I am one of them. I think differently and I do not fit into anyone group.
Im a real american. Different. thats the way it should be. If not your just like any other nation and citizen. We were supposed to be the new world. Im not seeing anything new or different. same old assholes different continent. And the hippies did have some great ideas.
and we are getting poorer. jsut wait till ALL the welfare has run out and the ALL the middle to upperclass flows are ceased. then we will see.
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Re: "Hippies Were Right" Energy Bulletin Story

Unread postby PenultimateManStanding » Wed 01 Feb 2006, 12:34:07

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pops', 'a') life ruled by the endless grind to buy the version of happiness "As Seen on TV" is hardly a prescription for satisfaction - at least not in my experience.
Damn straight! Kill your TV! Shoot it full of lead! Drop it in a vat of acid.
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Re: "Hippies Were Right" Energy Bulletin Story

Unread postby PrairieMule » Wed 01 Feb 2006, 13:39:24

Which Hippies are we talking about? So many Hippies in the 70's got "Turned on to Jesus" and "Born Again". The end result of those hippies gave us The Moral Majority, Abstenence, War on Pornograhpy, and have a heavy influence on the republican party. Are those Hippies right? Well at least Right winged?

It is to say at least a interesting dynamic to watch. The "Jesus Freak" movement of the 70's. They had a message of peace and love thus attracting a lions share of baby boomers deep in the hippie culture. Just look at their music, it's split right down the middle with traditional and contemporary. Churches fight and get split up just over the music alone.
If you give a man a fish you will have kept him from hunger for a day. If you teach a man to fish he will sit in a boat and drink beer all day.
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Re: "Hippies Were Right" Energy Bulletin Story

Unread postby hotsacks » Wed 01 Feb 2006, 13:44:01

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('holmes', 'a')lso the word Hippie has been incoroprated into the PC mainstream doublespeak. There were many that were trying to build a different culture. One based on comonality and skills. Not the idealogic version of hippie that has been "programmed" into us by the mainstream. I know many were in my family. master carpenters, tillers, mechanics, etc.. They drank beer and smoked grass. Thats it. no wollowing in the puke, etc.. However the culture went the other way and they were disheartend and had to survive.
These were the real hippies. The true hippie u dont see anymore. I am one of them. I think differently and I do not fit into anyone group.
Im a real american. Different. thats the way it should be. If not your just like any other nation and citizen. We were supposed to be the new world. Im not seeing anything new or different. same old assholes different continent. And the hippies did have some great ideas.
and we are getting poorer. jsut wait till ALL the welfare has run out and the ALL the middle to upperclass flows are ceased. then we will see.


Bang on,right on,and far out Holmes.
The gentle,collectivist,creative force that was Hippy was a sweet lunch for the famished maw of a sterilized,murderous society.It represented everything TPTB feared and loathed.Those who took part saw up close and personal how the machine works and the lengths it will go to.There is not a single item in the PO canon of iniquity that wasn't front and center ca. 1965-1975.The whole mess was on the table.What happened to that fierce point of energy has yet to be analyzed.Quoting an heir to Hippy:"I guess there's just a meanness in this world." sums it up for me.
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Re: "Hippies Were Right" Energy Bulletin Story

Unread postby hotsacks » Wed 01 Feb 2006, 14:14:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PrairieMule', 'W')hich Hippies are we talking about? So many Hippies in the 70's got "Turned on to Jesus" and "Born Again". The end result of those hippies gave us The Moral Majority, Abstenence, War on Pornograhpy, and have a heavy influence on the republican party. Are those Hippies right? Well at least Right winged?

It is to say at least a interesting dynamic to watch. The "Jesus Freak" movement of the 70's. They had a message of peace and love thus attracting a lions share of baby boomers deep in the hippie culture. Just look at their music, it's split right down the middle with traditional and contemporary. Churches fight and get split up just over the music alone.


It's a good point.
My take is there weren't that many JFs in the early years.The ones that were around were strangely psychedelic (blotter acid in cross shapes).The feeling in those years was exactly as described in Tolkien with the shadow of Mordor spreading across the land.The real deal started its revelation around the time of Kent State and the goings on of Cointelpro.People got scared.I mean,really scared.A lot of them became cannon fodder for the evangelists,Jesus loves a vacuum and all that.
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Energy Bulletin site down?

Unread postby Zardoz » Wed 19 Apr 2006, 16:37:13

Anybody know anything about this? It's a great site, and I hope the current outage is only temporary.
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