by Iaato » Mon 01 Sep 2008, 17:38:04
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('van64', 'Y')ou guys crack me up--totally. Let's examine this like the intelligent people behind us: those who will take your place in the 401-k and Roth IRA contributions line and take advantage of the depressed equity prices that your for-gone purchases are creating.
Since 1802, US stocks have returned an average of 8.5% annually. Year in and year out. Put that in your compound pipe and smoke it. This was 60 years before crude oil was even DISCOVERED and commercialized in PA, folks. Sure, there have been good years and bad years: wars and famine and global pestilence. Gold and silver do not come close to returning what stocks return; neither have bonds or treasuries or any other interest-bearing instrument. Land? Well, it's the closest at about 8% annually. . . .
If you truly believe in peak oil, put your money where your mouth is and purchase oil and gas equities.
Looking in the rear-view mirror at the last 150 years during a period of massive expansion and growth due to fossil fuels is not the way to plan for a future of a contracting economy, Van.
I've dealt with it by reducing my oil and PM equity investments outside the IRA, and leaving the trapped $$ inside the IRA in oil and PM equities. I feel that PM equities in the short run will benefit from the eventual run up in gold. (Yes, eventually PM equities will have to contract as we wean ourselves off of industrial-assisted mining techniques. If you've got matching funds, keep paying into your 401k in order to capture that "free money." If I was younger and short of cash, I'd take it out, pay the taxes, and buy physical bullion.
And SavetheHumans advice is great. Take a deep breath, buy a good bike, enjoy the high-energy society while it's here.