Donate Bitcoin

Donate Paypal


PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

Salazar: 'No one knows' if US headed to $9/gal gas

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Salazar: 'No one knows' if US headed to $9/gal gas

Unread postby AgentR11 » Thu 26 Apr 2012, 16:33:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnergyUnlimited', 'W')hat if a workplace is 20-40 miles away?
Most peoples won't make it by bike and those who do are likely to arrive at work tired and not fresh.


Twenty is an awesome biking distance. More than that, not so much. (nb, driving is more tiring to me, 40 miles in a car, and I'm done for the day as far as producing anything of value.)

If my job were lucrative enough to travel 40 miles to get to (and didn't make me wasted in the process), then it'd be lucrative enough to pay for $20/gal gasoline in a 40-70 mpg vehicle bought strictly and solely for the purpose of that commute.

I kinda doubt MOST commutes are 40 miles though.
Yes we are, as we are,
And so shall we remain,
Until the end.
AgentR11
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 6589
Joined: Tue 22 Mar 2011, 09:15:51
Location: East Texas

Re: Salazar: 'No one knows' if US headed to $9/gal gas

Unread postby SeaGypsy » Thu 26 Apr 2012, 20:46:45

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('seahorse3', 'I') don't see the US making a transition to mass commuter society, like buses and trains. Those are funded by the government, and local gov'ts are going broke. I've read where several bigger cities are actually cutting back on bus service, not increasing it, all at a time when there is more need, not less.

Most US local gov is so broke it will have to be taken over by administrators fairly soon anyhow. Probably local government is going to become the sacrificial lamb for the fed and states. Jeez, did they buy the endless growth story? OMG! You have hundreds of cities with larger economies than entire countries in other parts of the world. That can't last.
SeaGypsy
Master Prognosticator
Master Prognosticator
 
Posts: 9285
Joined: Wed 04 Feb 2009, 04:00:00

Re: Salazar: 'No one knows' if US headed to $9/gal gas

Unread postby Plantagenet » Thu 26 Apr 2012, 22:03:48

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('seahorse3', 'I') don't see the US making a transition to mass commuter society, like buses and trains. Those are funded by the government, and local gov'ts are going broke. I've read where several bigger cities are actually cutting back on bus service, not increasing it, all at a time when there is more need, not less.


The more expensive gas gets, the more public support will grow for mass transit.
-------------------

Bankrupt cities aren't bankrupt because of mass transit----they are bankrupt mainly because of overly generous salaries and pensions to government workers. The solution to that is simple----cut the salaries and pensions. Thats already happening in places in california and Rhode Island. Once the cities are solvent again, then decisions on mass transit can be made in a rational way.

If salazar is right, and Obama's polcies are taking us to $9 gasoline, then the demand for mass transit is going to turn into a tsunami.
User avatar
Plantagenet
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 26765
Joined: Mon 09 Apr 2007, 03:00:00
Location: Alaska (its much bigger than Texas).

Re: Salazar: 'No one knows' if US headed to $9/gal gas

Unread postby vtsnowedin » Thu 26 Apr 2012, 22:36:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AgentR11', '[')I kinda doubt MOST commutes are 40 miles though.

Google brings up a US average of 16. More then I'd want to cycle in the winter, but then again I wouldn't want to cycle even one mile in the winter. :)
User avatar
vtsnowedin
Fusion
Fusion
 
Posts: 14897
Joined: Fri 11 Jul 2008, 03:00:00

Re: Salazar: 'No one knows' if US headed to $9/gal gas

Unread postby Tanada » Fri 27 Apr 2012, 06:37:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('dsula', 'E')urope, like anybody else, takes the cheapest option available. And that is most often truck, not train, especially if you take the first and last few miles into consideration.
You get as 'long-haul' as the continent is large. For some strange reason people on one end of the empire always want stuff from the other end. Oranges from Spain to Hamburg. Mercedes cars from Germany to Napoli. Chocolate from Belgium to Portugal, etc. Not much different than Oranges from Florida to Vermont.

Hamburg to Napoli 1448 km
Hamburg to Barcelona 1472 km
Brussels to Lisbon 1709 km
Vermont to Florida 2353 km
Los Angeles to New York City 4492 km
Seattle to Savannah 4659 km.

Just for fun
Sault Ste. Marie, MI to Erie, MI 605 km
Sault Ste Marie, MI to Cincinnati, OH 937 km
Sault Ste. Marie, MI to Nashville, TN 1323 km

To be fair when I said long haul trucking I was thinking anything over 500 km, but a truly huge number of trucks go from coast to coast in the USA every week and that distance is around 4500 km. Lisbon, Portugal to Moscow, Russia is 3903 km driving distance and I suspect not many trucks are driving that far in Europe every week. I am ready to be shown wrong here, but most people have do not grasp just how big the USA is in terms of driving distance.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Alfred Tennyson', 'W')e are not now that strength which in old days
Moved earth and heaven, that which we are, we are;
One equal temper of heroic hearts,
Made weak by time and fate, but strong in will
To strive, to seek, to find, and not to yield.
Tanada
Site Admin
Site Admin
 
Posts: 17094
Joined: Thu 28 Apr 2005, 03:00:00
Location: South West shore Lake Erie, OH, USA
Top

Re: Salazar: 'No one knows' if US headed to $9/gal gas

Unread postby SeaGypsy » Fri 27 Apr 2012, 08:16:11

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Road_train
Trucking at this scale is very efficient:
Image
So is inland waterways shipping.
Europe has many options for waterway transit re-emergence and invigoration, as does the Eastern US and many other parts of the world. The beauty of shipping above all other forms of transport is the lack of requirement for maintenance. Of course inland waterways do require dredging and signal systems maintenance, but this is fractional to road or rail maintenance. Multiple handling and transfer waste inputs multiply from the source of dispersal, rather than origin. The biggest waste in food miles is from the supermarket to the refrigerator, not from Argentina to Singapore. Places a long way from waterways will likely in thee very long run have to become food self sufficient.
SeaGypsy
Master Prognosticator
Master Prognosticator
 
Posts: 9285
Joined: Wed 04 Feb 2009, 04:00:00

Re: Salazar: 'No one knows' if US headed to $9/gal gas

Unread postby Pops » Fri 27 Apr 2012, 08:39:06

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('seahorse3', 'I') don't see the US making a transition to mass commuter society, like buses and trains. Those are funded by the government, and local gov'ts are going broke. I've read where several bigger cities are actually cutting back on bus service, not increasing it, all at a time when there is more need, not less.
The more expensive gas gets, the more public support will grow for mass transit.

Plant, that is like saying when the population grows so large that people are starving, the pope will relent and pass out condoms - it ain't gonna happen because reality doesn't enter into faith-based decisions.

The half of the House that is supported by oil companies voted a month ago (when gas on the east coast was $5/gallon) to defund mass transit and devote 100% of fuel taxes to road building - in New York City!

Even here at po.com people on the right routinely bash mass transit as a waste of "their" tax dollars, (mostly the same folks that say any government spending is seen as a waste unless it is in a check cut to their name). I'll be the first to say big government work is the definition of pork barrel but if we don't decide it's pretty important to get the job done it might well be our downfall.
The legitimate object of government, is to do for a community of people, whatever they need to have done, but can not do, at all, or can not, so well do, for themselves -- in their separate, and individual capacities.
-- Abraham Lincoln, Fragment on Government (July 1, 1854)
User avatar
Pops
Elite
Elite
 
Posts: 19746
Joined: Sat 03 Apr 2004, 04:00:00
Location: QuikSac for a 6-Pac
Top

Re: Salazar: 'No one knows' if US headed to $9/gal gas

Unread postby SeaGypsy » Fri 27 Apr 2012, 09:34:30

Having just done my first year of serious urban PT commuting after 25 years out bush, I am enjoying it so far, having learned how to avoid peak crush. $5-$8 a day unlimited across a city of 4 million, working online, mostly everyone very polite and savvy to PT culture, eye candy galore if interested, the very occasional public abuse is mostly more entertaining than serious. It's way more fun and productive than sitting at the stinking lights. 8)
SeaGypsy
Master Prognosticator
Master Prognosticator
 
Posts: 9285
Joined: Wed 04 Feb 2009, 04:00:00

Re: Salazar: 'No one knows' if US headed to $9/gal gas

Unread postby dissident » Fri 27 Apr 2012, 09:36:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pops', 'T')he half of the House that is supported by oil companies voted a month ago (when gas on the east coast was $5/gallon) to defund mass transit and devote 100% of fuel taxes to road building - in New York City!
Even here at po.com people on the right routinely bash mass transit as a waste of "their" tax dollars, (mostly the same folks that say any government spending is seen as a waste unless it is in a check cut to their name). I'll be the first to say big government work is the definition of pork barrel but if we don't decide it's pretty important to get the job done it might well be our downfall.

I wonder if these turkeys think that the Manhattan Project was an example of government waste?

Ideology turns off most of the functionality of the brain that we call intelligence.
dissident
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 6458
Joined: Sat 08 Apr 2006, 03:00:00
Top

Re: Salazar: 'No one knows' if US headed to $9/gal gas

Unread postby AgentR11 » Fri 27 Apr 2012, 11:11:09

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pops', 'E')ven here at po.com people on the right routinely bash mass transit as a waste of "their" tax dollars, (mostly the same folks that say any government spending is seen as a waste unless it is in a check cut to their name). I'll be the first to say big government work is the definition of pork barrel but if we don't decide it's pretty important to get the job done it might well be our downfall.


Well, some of us bash it not because we dislike trains and buses; but rather, that the people in charge of spending those mass transit funds target them in the least possible effective ways. Light rail is the biggest offender down here; where convenience of building the route far outweighs any thoughts about utilization. ie, They are much more interested in getting the money in, and out again, than they are in whether or not there is anyone around the route that could make use of the service. Which is sad, as there are a few really good utilization possibilities for a rail transit; but they are moderately more annoying and slow to build out; so instead, we build trains to nowhere that had few construction problems, resulting in empty train cars on the roads being a menace to pedestrians, cyclists, and automobiles.

Could have built rail Houston <-> Katy; or Houston <-> Sugar Land and ended up with good rider potential; instead out to the "astrodome" which is as close to the back-side of the moon population wise as you can get in Houston. Was easy to build though.
Yes we are, as we are,
And so shall we remain,
Until the end.
AgentR11
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 6589
Joined: Tue 22 Mar 2011, 09:15:51
Location: East Texas
Top

Re: Salazar: 'No one knows' if US headed to $9/gal gas

Unread postby Plantagenet » Fri 27 Apr 2012, 12:03:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pops', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', '
')The more expensive gas gets, the more public support will grow for mass transit.

Plant, that is like saying when the population grows so large that people are starving, the pope will relent and pass out condoms - it ain't gonna happen because reality doesn't enter into faith-based decisions.


Faith isn't involved in mass transit. Its all about the money. Mass Transit either saves you enough money to make it worth your while or it doesn't.

At $4 a gallon gas, people still prefer to commute in their cars and they can still afford it.

At $9 a gallon gas, which Interior Sec. Salazar signaled is coming, many people will no longer be able to afford to buy gasoline for their cars, and they'll demand mass transit. Those cities that have had the foresight to build light rail mass transit will do ok---cities without mass transit will be buying a lot of CNG buses and trying to figure out how to run a mass transit system.
Image
User avatar
Plantagenet
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 26765
Joined: Mon 09 Apr 2007, 03:00:00
Location: Alaska (its much bigger than Texas).
Top

Re: Salazar: 'No one knows' if US headed to $9/gal gas

Unread postby SeaGypsy » Fri 27 Apr 2012, 12:13:18

Check out Melbourne: (Aus/ rail only map)
Image
SeaGypsy
Master Prognosticator
Master Prognosticator
 
Posts: 9285
Joined: Wed 04 Feb 2009, 04:00:00

Re: Salazar: 'No one knows' if US headed to $9/gal gas

Unread postby Pops » Fri 27 Apr 2012, 12:15:46

@AR
Your point is perfectly reasonable, unfortunately "perfectly reasonable" doesn't enter into party politics at the moment.

This guy points out that defunding the NYC subway system has as no more to do with spending than defunding NPR.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'F')aith isn't involved in mass transit.

Take a look at the link above, the guy makes the point much better than me.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'H')ouse Republicans seek to eliminate the Mass Transit Account from the federal Highway Trust Fund. The Mass Transit Account is where public transportation programs get their steady source of funding. Without it, transit would be devastated, and urban life as we know it could become untenable.

And there’s the rub. “The Tea Party leaders and the Republicans who pander to them do not care about cost-effectiveness in the slightest,” wrote blogger Alon Levy in a comment about the bill on the Transport Politic. “They dislike transit for purely cultural and ideological reasons.” To the Tea Party, transit smacks of the public sector, social engineering and alternative lifestyles.
The legitimate object of government, is to do for a community of people, whatever they need to have done, but can not do, at all, or can not, so well do, for themselves -- in their separate, and individual capacities.
-- Abraham Lincoln, Fragment on Government (July 1, 1854)
User avatar
Pops
Elite
Elite
 
Posts: 19746
Joined: Sat 03 Apr 2004, 04:00:00
Location: QuikSac for a 6-Pac
Top

Re: Salazar: 'No one knows' if US headed to $9/gal gas

Unread postby SeaGypsy » Fri 27 Apr 2012, 12:29:55

Melbourne's PT system is founded on old money in the gold rush days of the 1800's. Ever since, the public has demanded whether at profit or loss lines and services be kept up and added to. The city has a strong Irish unionist root in common with the big Apple, just in this case not persuasive enough it seems.
SeaGypsy
Master Prognosticator
Master Prognosticator
 
Posts: 9285
Joined: Wed 04 Feb 2009, 04:00:00

Re: Salazar: 'No one knows' if US headed to $9/gal gas

Unread postby SeaGypsy » Fri 27 Apr 2012, 12:47:56

Mmmm...? The subway is and has been a means of gainfull employment of highly skilled underground technicians, post major hydro- electric development (such as we has with the Snowy River project) and during times of depressed ore prices. That's what happened here anyhow.
SeaGypsy
Master Prognosticator
Master Prognosticator
 
Posts: 9285
Joined: Wed 04 Feb 2009, 04:00:00

Re: Salazar: 'No one knows' if US headed to $9/gal gas

Unread postby AgentR11 » Fri 27 Apr 2012, 12:50:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', 'T')hose cities that have had the foresight to build light rail mass transit will do ok


That sentence right there is the rub. Houston gets credit for "foresight to build light rain mass transit". Has quite a bit of it. None of it is suitable for use by most commuters at any price. They could have dropped a rail hub next to The Woodland's Mall and packed train car after train car full; but no, it was easier to lay the tracks into and through uninhabited and low income areas, neither of which has any use for the "costs $10 to blink" downtown area that the train is supposedly providing commuter service too.

Houston's bus system is pretty good though; unfortunately bus (including waits/transfers) is slower than cycling.
Yes we are, as we are,
And so shall we remain,
Until the end.
AgentR11
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 6589
Joined: Tue 22 Mar 2011, 09:15:51
Location: East Texas
Top

Re: Salazar: 'No one knows' if US headed to $9/gal gas

Unread postby Plantagenet » Fri 27 Apr 2012, 12:53:46

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pops', '
')Take a look at the link above, the guy makes the point much better than me.
House Republicans seek to eliminate the Mass Transit Account from the federal Highway Trust Fund.


Hi Pops:

I read the link, and then clicked through the original NY Times editorial, and then to the original bill.

Unfortunately, it appears the SALON article you linked to is misrepresenting the facts. I'm surprised the author didn't pass out from hyperventilating.

There is nothing in the Republican transit budget bill that would "eliminate the Mass Transit Account". What is happening, according to the NY Times, is the Republican bill proposes: "ending a 30-year agreement* that guaranteed mass transit a one-fifth share of the fuel taxes and other user fees in the highway trust fund. Instead it would compete annually with other programs." In other words, mass transit would change from a dedicated earmark to a normal annual appropriation. Big deal.

By the way----It was the democrats who railed against earmarks----personally I think earmarks can be useful, including mass transit earmarks.

And what is the democrat's position on mass transit funding anyway? Well, the White House and Congressional dems have failed to even produce a budget for the last three years. Since Obama's first year the dems won't even propose a budget, much less a budget containing any mass transit funding. :roll:


*also, please note that while the hysterical person who wrote the Salon piece omits it, the NY TIMES honestly admits that the original mass transit funding funding bill earmarking a fixed percentage of the funds for mass transit was a REAGAN administration bill.
User avatar
Plantagenet
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 26765
Joined: Mon 09 Apr 2007, 03:00:00
Location: Alaska (its much bigger than Texas).
Top

Re: Salazar: 'No one knows' if US headed to $9/gal gas

Unread postby Plantagenet » Fri 27 Apr 2012, 12:57:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AgentR11', ' ')Houston gets credit for "foresight to build light rain mass transit". Has quite a bit of it. None of it is suitable for use by most commuters at any price. They could have dropped a rail hub next to The Woodland's Mall and packed train car after train car full; but no, it was easier to lay the tracks into and through uninhabited and low income areas, neither of which has any use for the "costs $10 to blink" downtown area that the train is supposedly providing commuter service too.
Houston's bus system is pretty good though; unfortunately bus (including waits/transfers) is slower than cycling.

If the City Fathers aren't smart enough to build mass transit to the malls, then new malls will have to be built where the mass transit is. Those light rail transit corridors will eventually see new development. You can see it happening in Portland----they built transit across empty land to the airport, and the malls and businesses are now filling in along the LR corridor.
User avatar
Plantagenet
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 26765
Joined: Mon 09 Apr 2007, 03:00:00
Location: Alaska (its much bigger than Texas).
Top

Re: Salazar: 'No one knows' if US headed to $9/gal gas

Unread postby AgentR11 » Fri 27 Apr 2012, 13:13:32

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', 'Y')ou can see it happening in Portland----they built transit across empty land to the airport, and the malls and businesses are now filling in along the LR corridor.


Portland has the ability to define use and create artificial scarcity. Houston has no where near that amount of power, and is surrounded in all directions by a hundred miles of flatness suitable for whatever purpose anyone might wish to pursue. There will be no malls along those rail corridors, ever. The retail shops at the downtown end were already there and functioning well; and there is no realistic rider population at the other end. As far as I can tell, the only use light rail is really getting in Houston is as intown substitutes for buses that ran basically the same routes before the rail.

Meanwhile, private businesses exist running spiffy buses for commuters from The Woodlands into downtown. *PRIVATE* aka, they collect a large enough fare and fill enough seats that they don't even need transit money. Those folks there would just eat up a sleak, trendy train to downtown; but no, dilapidated apartments behind the astrodome with five riders a day was quicker to build to.

Honestly, I think a lot of it is a sense of embarrassment or discomfort with building visible services to support middle and upper middle class neighborhoods. Even if the service would be a success and overall asset to the city; having to explain spending millions that way is simply a nonstarter.
Yes we are, as we are,
And so shall we remain,
Until the end.
AgentR11
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 6589
Joined: Tue 22 Mar 2011, 09:15:51
Location: East Texas
Top

PreviousNext

Return to Open Topic Discussion

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest

cron