by aflurry » Wed 21 Nov 2007, 15:01:26
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AirlinePilot', 'O')il is DOWN after an unexpected fall in inventory his morning.
WTF?
Might as well not even bother using common sense in this market. All reason has been lost.
PPT? More like Gandalf and a magic wand!
At the risk of playing contrarian to the contrarians, how does anyone assume they should be able to use common sense to predict the market? This isn't evidence that reason has been lost, it is evidence that reason was already in place.
people are trading all over the world on common sense, and all anticipated events should always already be priced in.
there's no way to say in absolute terms that a particular price is cheap or expensive. the market is the only thing that determines price. material information on public companies is all supposed to be public.
so, what people consider surprising market reactions is actually proof that it's working.