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THE FDIC Thread (merged)

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

Re: FDIC is in the red

Postby AirlinePilot » Thu 27 Aug 2009, 20:37:50

The main problem with backstopping the FDIC is how far will it go? This is the stuff bank runs are made of.
At some point either the bond market or the dollar has a dislocation due to all this crap. It cannot go on forever like some may think.

The math just doesn't work out.
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Re: FDIC is in the red

Postby truecougarblue » Thu 27 Aug 2009, 20:48:53

C'mon AP, math is HARD!
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Re: FDIC is in the red

Postby Sixstrings » Thu 27 Aug 2009, 20:58:04

It's hard for me to get concerned about the FDIC, since essentially all private debts are / will be nationalized. It goes something like this.. our banks package up and sell toxic mortgage-backed securities to foreign banks, then they get to turn around and trade them to the fed for US Treasurys. See how that works? It's a nationalization of private debt.. when credit card defaults get bad enough, they'll do the same thing.

So then, who really cares if the FDIC is in the red? Everything's in the red, but it's all ultimately guaranteed by the full faith and credit of the United States government.
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Re: FDIC is in the red

Postby patience » Thu 27 Aug 2009, 21:05:34

I dunno 'bout you all, but I ain't got much faith in the gubbermint. Take a look at how they manage THEIR (our) money. Nuff said.
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Re: FDIC is in the red

Postby AirlinePilot » Thu 27 Aug 2009, 22:26:49

The main problem lies in the fact that the larger banks still hold large amounts of the "toxic assets". The PIPP didnt work and wont work. At some point the truth will have to be unveiled and with an FDIC needing to be completely backstopped...well the problem becomes exponential at some point.

All bad.
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Re: FDIC is in the red

Postby ian807 » Thu 27 Aug 2009, 22:27:31

It ends either with hyperinflation or default. There's nothing else to wipe out that much debt in our lifetime. If it's not wiped out, we have stagflation at best, a jagged downward decay with severe drops in economic activity at worst. In the long run, the debt is just not sustainable.

I keep looking for a good outcome. Can't see one. Anyone get a better scenario?
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Re: FDIC is in the red

Postby hillguy57 » Thu 27 Aug 2009, 22:42:55

I got a letter from my bank yesterday. It
said they were being put on the troubled bank list. Then it went on for about three pages about how I shouldn't be worried with the FDIC backing it up
blah ,blah blah. There are about six branches and I frequent 4 or 5 .Staff has been halved in all and the look on the faces of the people handing you your cash is unsettling at best.
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Re: FDIC is in the red

Postby BigTex » Thu 27 Aug 2009, 23:08:34

My bank died last week.

I'll bet it's great for the sign making business.

They're still trying to get all those Washington Mutual signs replaced from last year.
:)
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Re: FDIC is in the red

Postby IslandCrow » Fri 28 Aug 2009, 01:03:40

More trouble on the way, although this report indicates that the FDIC is not out of money (yet):

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he number of problem US banks rose to the highest level in 15 years between April and June, the industry's regulator has revealed.

The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) said 416 banks had failed its test criteria during the quarter, up 111 from January to March.

It added that 81 US banks had now been forced to close this year.

The FDIC judges banks on criteria such as the quality of their outstanding loans and the reserve funds they hold.

The regulator said that due to the large number of failed banks, its deposit insurance fund - which safeguards up to $250,000 (£154,000) per personal bank account - had fallen by 20% between April and June to $10.4bn (£6.4bn).

While this was the lowest the fund has been since 1992, FDIC chairman Sheila Bair said she had no plans as yet to ask the Treasury for more funds.

However, she said it was likely that banks would have to pay an additional fee to help replenish the fund.


http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/8225743.stm

Last quarter: 111 banks failed the test and now 81 were forced to close.
Using the same ratio with 416 banks failing the test we can expect another 300 banks to be forced to close in the near future. [I know it is dangerous to assume that things will continue 'on a straight' line, but this playing with the numbers gives some indication of the scale of the problem]
We should teach our children the 4-Rs: Reduce, Reuse, Recycle and Rejoice.
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FDIC Broke?

Postby patience » Mon 28 Sep 2009, 17:22:40

CNBC Story: http://www.cnbc.com/id/33061278

Quote: "The Federal Deposit Insurance is expected to take the unprecedented step of collecting banks' regular premiums early to inject cash into the shrinking deposit insurance fund."

They already had a "special emergency fee" this year. Sounds like they don't want to borrow from the US Treasury, per Marketwatch:
FDIC meets again to tackle funding needs

How safe is YOUR money?
Last edited by Ferretlover on Tue 29 Sep 2009, 15:07:15, edited 1 time in total.
Reason: Converted [url] to hyperlink.
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Re: FDIC Broke?

Postby timmac » Mon 28 Sep 2009, 17:31:46

The FDIC is broke and now the Social Security is broke, California and many other states are broke, many cites are broke and so on, Why in the Hell don't we America just file for BK and do away with all the debt and start fresh and clean, I am ready for that change, anyone else ready ???.
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Re: FDIC Broke?

Postby DrBang » Mon 28 Sep 2009, 17:41:21

How about you guys scrap the dollar and the debt and roll out a new currency. You could call it a catchy name like the AMERO. While your at it, you could stream line the US into a new look country and co operate more closely with your neighbours. You would have to do it with a new look style. Say the North American Union.

The circumstance we all find ourselves in has been engineered.

A lot of people won't like to hear that but the evidence is mounting.
For every question , there is a lie. For every lie, there is a truth. For every truth, there is a way. And for every way, there is a time. This is the time.
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Re: FDIC Broke?

Postby Cloud9 » Mon 28 Sep 2009, 18:33:21

I signed on for the United States. The North American Union would be a breach of contract.
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Re: FDIC Broke?

Postby seldom_seen » Mon 28 Sep 2009, 20:24:21

This is not good for consumer con-fidence.
But how the world turns. One day, cock of the walk. Next, a feather duster.
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Re: FDIC Broke?

Postby Sixstrings » Tue 29 Sep 2009, 05:35:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('patience', 'C')NBC Story: http://www.cnbc.com/id/33061278
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', ':') "The Federal Deposit Insurance is expected to take the unprecedented step of collecting banks' regular premiums early to inject cash into the shrinking deposit insurance fund."
They already had a "special emergency fee" this year. Sounds like they don't want to borrow from the US Treasury, per Marketwatch: linkHow safe is YOUR money?

Ah.. I wonder why the plan to borrow funds from the member banks didn't go through? This pulled-forward premium payment is worse, since the FDIC will just be short again down the road and now the next premium payment is further away. This is like an underwater landlord going to his tenants and collecting rent early -- it's a sign of more distress to come, and is not a solution.

I'm not sure why the head of the FDIC (what's her name, Sheila Bayer?) doesn't want to take out a Treasury loan. I've read some articles that indicate she just doesn't like Turbo Timmy, doesn't get along with him and, and doesn't want to go to Treasury for a loan. That explanation doesn't sit well with me, you wouldn't think personal animosity would have an effect on issues as big as these.

And then some people think Treasury just doesn't have the money to loan.. I don't know, something's up here. Of all the massive bailouts we've done, the FDIC is the ONLY one that everyone has always assumed would be fully backstopped by the US gov. And what, it's going to be left to twist in the wind now?
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Re: FDIC Broke?

Postby Cloud9 » Tue 29 Sep 2009, 06:25:45

The FDIC being short of cash is a non issue. We all know that unlimited amounts of money can be conjured up simply by pressing the print button.
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Re: FDIC Broke?

Postby AirlinePilot » Tue 29 Sep 2009, 13:49:28

The issue of the FDIC being broke is most definitely a serious issue. It points directly to consumer confidence and the health of the major banks.

This is the kind of thing which causes bank runs. It also points to a desperate situation with regards to furhter bank failures and where does the money come from to supply the FDIC insurance.

We are running out of bullets to plug the holes in the dike. Dont let them fool you, that money that they are appropriating through the three year bank fee acceleration is coming from one place.

Your pocket.

Its just another way for the Government to rob the sheeple without them understanding what is going on. Its another part of a desperate attempt to prop things up for just a little bit longer while completely ignoring the mounting debt.
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Re: FDIC Broke?

Postby Revi » Tue 29 Sep 2009, 14:26:41

The FDIC is one of the bankrupt entities along with the banks and perhaps the entire US gubmint.

Read this cheery assessment by Denninger today: http://market-ticker.org/ Hard to argue with him.

The FDIC won't borrow from the Treasury. Why is this? Could it be that the people who are holding up our dollar have told them no more credit?

No more dollar printing.
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Re: FDIC Broke?

Postby Cloud9 » Tue 29 Sep 2009, 15:09:02

The FDIC will be backed. Otherwise, the system implodes in a bank run.
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