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THE FDIC Thread (merged)

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THE FDIC Thread (merged)

Unread postby pedalling_faster » Mon 22 Oct 2007, 17:50:58

FDIC backed vs. Credit Union - Reliability of Savings:
i want to open up a savings account with a bank that has a better chance of surviving turbulent economic times.

i talked to a local credit union, i had to be impressed, their safe deposit boxes are half the price of a bank. kind of customer-oriented.

the FDIC has $50 Billion in reserves which i don't think is enough. i guess BofA and a few other banks just cobbled together a $100 Billion fund to cover their mortgage-backed-security losses.

if we get to a situation where it's "Grapes of Wrath with iPod's", which it may already be for a lot of people, i'd still like to be able to count on a stable savings account.

FDIC & FCUA both have accounts with $100K guaranteed by the "bull faith and credit of the
US government" (that was supposed to say "full" but i'll go with the typo).

is there a difference between FDIC & credit union accounts - in a scenario where a major bank fails, do FDIC or credit union "suck hind tit" when it comes to federal deposit insurance ? does one or the other get preferential treatment, in the event of a major bank failure ?
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Re: FDIC backed vs. Credit Union - Reliability of Savings

Unread postby mattduke » Mon 22 Oct 2007, 18:12:11

You may wish to consider treasury money market accounts versus bank accounts. Remember, banks create multiple titles (deposits) to the same property (reserves). A treasury money market does not do this, however it does expose you to risk of an "abrupt" decline in the price of US treasuries. In any case, the question you should be asking yourself is, "why do I wish to own dollars and promises to pay dollars when the entire world is nervously anticipating the dollar to crash?"
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Re: FDIC backed vs. Credit Union - Reliability of Savings

Unread postby pedalling_faster » Mon 22 Oct 2007, 18:24:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mattduke', 'I')n any case, the question you should be asking yourself is, "why do I wish to own dollars and promises to pay dollars when the entire world is nervously anticipating the dollar to crash?"


i agree.

i think it's a good idea to go to Canada and set up
some bank accounts denominated in a more stable
currency.

as far as owning gold, i got one Eagle on my desk.
normally if you have an investment and it rises in
value, you have this "woo-hoo" feeling. that's not
the way i feel about gold's rise, since it's associated
with the decline in the value of the dollar.

owning gold is kind of an anti-depressant. that way
you don't feel so bad when the dollar tanks.

but in the mean-time ... i still need to tend to
dollars in American bank accounts.
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Fed. Deposit Insurance Corp.- 1/2 in 6 months, 1/2 in7years?

Unread postby pedalling_faster » Mon 26 Nov 2007, 14:59:57

i just spoke with an account person at Wachovia, to ask them to describe what happens in the event of a bank failure.

he rattled off some bank numbers, "X Bank just lost $Y on mortgage-backed securities, and still had a $Z profit." i acknowledged that i was talking about preparing for a difficult situation, that perhaps at Northern Rock (or whichever bank(s) have failed recently), that a failure seemed unthinkable also.

basically i said, "if this bank fails, what is the Procedure ?" for recovering funds, noting that i had a minimal amount on deposit, and was thinking about closing it, or adding some more. Bottom Line, according to Wachovia Bank Person - if a bank fails in the US, the FDIC has 6 months to pay the first $50K of deposits, and another 6 1/2 years (or 7 years) to pay off the next $50K.

while i'm looking at FDIC fine print, i'm wondering if anybody else here knows straight answers about recovering deposits from a failed US bank. it sounds like there's some wisdom in keeping 6 months worth of expenses as "cash on hand", and limiting accounts with any one bank to $50K. God knows what $50K US will be worth in 7 years in the event of a series of bank failures in the US. "approximately = 0".
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FDIC Hires New Staff in Anticipation of Bank Failures

Unread postby mmasters » Fri 29 Feb 2008, 20:24:15

WASHINGTON -- The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. is taking steps to brace for an increase in failed financial institutions as the nation's housing and credit markets continue to worsen.

The FDIC is looking to bring back 25 retirees from its division of resolutions and receiverships. Many of these agency veterans likely worked for the FDIC during the late 1980s and early 1990s, when more than 1,000 financial institutions failed amid the savings-and-loan crisis.

FDIC spokesman Andrew Gray said the agency was looking to bulk up "for preparedness purposes." The division now has 223 employees, mostly based in Dallas.

The agency, which insures accounts at more than 8,000 financial institutions, is also seeking to hire an outside firm that would help manage mortgages and other assets at insolvent banks, according to a newspaper advertisement.

In public, policy makers are debating what role the government should play in trying to stabilize the housing market and minimize foreclosures. Meanwhile, regulators have worked discreetly behind the scenes to closely monitor the growing number of troubled banks and thrifts considered at risk.

"Regulators are bracing for well over 100 bank failures in the next 12 to 24 months, with concentrations in Rust Belt states like Michigan and Ohio, and the states that are suffering severe housing-market problems like California, Florida, and Georgia," said Jaret Seiberg, Washington policy analyst for financial-services firm Stanford Group.

In job postings on its Web site, the FDIC said it is looking for people with "skill in performing duties associated with a financial-institution closing, such as receivership management, resolutions and/or asset disposition; knowledge of the resolutions process as it relates to complex financial institutions." Such positions would require "very frequent overnight travel," the posting said, and would pay up to $180,770.

"The notion of bringing back some people who have been through it before is very smart," said William Isaac, who was FDIC chairman from 1981 until 1985. All told, the FDIC has roughly 4,600 employees, far fewer than the about 15,000 it had as recently as 1992.

On Sunday the FDIC ran a newspaper ad seeking companies that could service commercial loans, mortgages and student loans in the event of a bank failure. It didn't say how much a company could earn in this area.

more at:
http://www.gata.org/node/6031
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Let's talk about FDIC

Unread postby smallpoxgirl » Wed 26 Mar 2008, 21:37:03

We all know that the FDIC is supposed to protect our savings if there is an economic crisis and our bank fails. The money FDIC uses to do this is kept in something called the Bank Insurance Fund(BIF). The BIF reserves are measured in terms of a reserve ratio, i.e. the ratio of BIF assets to insured deposits. By statute, FDIC is required to keep the BIF reserve ratio at 1.26%. I recently bumped into a newspaper article that mentioned that in 1991, the BIF had a negative reserve ratio, i.e. the BIF became insolvent. I thought that was pretty amazing. Here's a graph of the BIF reserve ratio:
Image

So in fact FDIC was made temporarily insolvent by bank failures in the 80's and early 90's. There's a paper here by an economist at FDIC using a computer model to estimate the chances of it happening again. link The long and short of it is that if you assume that bank failure rates will be about what they've been, the chances are about 3% of BIF becoming insolvent again. If you assume the losses in a future crisis will be about twice what they were in the 80's, there's a 50% chance of the BIF becoming insolvent.


What he also breezes by, without much mention is that in a financial crisis the assets in the BIF could loose value. That scenario is not accounted for in the 50% figure. Looks like the BIF is invested almost exclusively in Treasury Securities:link. I would assume that would make for good liquidity and low risk, though it would be pretty vulnerable to inflation, since only $6bn of the $35bn pool is in TIPS, right?
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Re: Let's talk about FDIC

Unread postby DantesPeak » Wed 26 Mar 2008, 22:29:58

Although the FDIC is kind of a mandatory insurance for the banks, in the event of insolvency the government would pay out the losses or loan money to it.

Ultimately much of any deficit that results would be paid for by the American taxapayer.
Last edited by DantesPeak on Wed 26 Mar 2008, 22:45:56, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Let's talk about FDIC

Unread postby Heineken » Wed 26 Mar 2008, 22:41:45

Since about the time Bush borrowed more money than all previous presidents combined, I've considered the notion that the FDIC could actually bail out all US bank-account holders a fiction.

Is that BIF money really there? In what form? Is it real money or just data on a card?

How can a government that is already $10 trillion in debt make good on the massive claims a failure of the bank system would generate?

The taxpayers would have to pay for it, Dante? How could they? With the same money they were reimbursed after their banks went bust?

We are facing hyperinflation, my friends. Falling rates, a shrinking dollar, and vanishing confidence in the dollar will have to be met by ever-thicker blizzards of dollars.

The FDIC might be able to pay the claims, but in worthless dollars.
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Re: Let's talk about FDIC

Unread postby DantesPeak » Wed 26 Mar 2008, 22:48:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he taxpayers would have to pay for it, Dante?


Technically, taxes won't be raised but the money should be borrowed because the Treasury is not authorzied to issue fiat money.

That's why the Fed was created to get around that restriction.

I suppose in the meltdown that may occur, all rules will be thrown away and fiat money or Fed credit will be issued to account holders.
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Re: Let's talk about FDIC

Unread postby Heineken » Wed 26 Mar 2008, 22:53:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('DantesPeak', ' '). . . all rules will be thrown away.


I think they are being thrown away NOW.
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Re: Let's talk about FDIC

Unread postby smallpoxgirl » Wed 26 Mar 2008, 22:58:02

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Heineken', 'I')s that BIF money really there? In what form? Is it real money or just data on a card?


Well...sort of. They don't have 40 billion one dollar bills in a vault. What they have are Treasury Securities. The money is loaned out to the US treasury. That BIF pool though, is really just big enough to cover a minor string of bank failures like in the late 80's. It's pretty clear that even double that rate would pretty quickly bankrupt the BIF.
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Re: Let's talk about FDIC

Unread postby roccman » Wed 26 Mar 2008, 22:58:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('DantesPeak', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he taxpayers would have to pay for it, Dante?


Technically, taxes won't be raised but the money should be borrowed because the Treasury is not authorzied to issue fiat money.

That's why the Fed was created to get around that restriction.

I suppose in the meltdown that may occur, all rules will be thrown away and fiat money or Fed credit will be issued to account holders.


JP Morgan to the rescue again...

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'F')or JPMorgan Chase & Co., meanwhile, riding to the rescue marked a return to the company's roots.

In the late 19th and early 20th centuries, legendary financier John Pierpont Morgan patrolled Wall Street, using his firm's capital to stem financial panics and stabilize the nation's economy.

In 1893, he put together a syndicate that essentially bailed out the government by resupplying the Treasury's depleted gold reserves. During the stock market panic of 1907, he headed a group that directed the disposition of large government deposits, helping to save many banks from failure.

Morgan's role as a one-man fire brigade was largely supplanted by the creation of the Federal Reserve system in 1913, and his high profile made him a target at a time when the ruthless practices of Wall Street financiers were drawing sharp criticism from populist politicians and others. In 1920, when terrorists set off a massive bomb in the New York financial district, killing 38 people, the explosives-laden wagon was parked directly across the street from Morgan's headquarters at 23 Wall St.


latimes

Instead of JP Morgan coupons they will be called the Amero.
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Re: Let's talk about FDIC

Unread postby Iaato » Wed 26 Mar 2008, 23:24:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('roccman', 'J')P Morgan to the rescue again...
Instead of JP Morgan coupons they will be called the Amero.


And just call JPM the Morgan Mafia...

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I see the FDIC as the straw that breaks the camel's back. We're going to prop and print over the next year, but banks are going to start failing anyway. After failure of bank number 5 or 6 (depending on the size), it will all start to come apart. IMO, this will be the moment where we accelerate from inflation into hyperinflation, as we will be obliged to print money to rescue bank deposits.
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Re: Let's talk about FDIC

Unread postby Heineken » Wed 26 Mar 2008, 23:29:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('smallpoxgirl', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Heineken', 'I')s that BIF money really there? In what form? Is it real money or just data on a card?


Well...sort of. They don't have 40 billion one dollar bills in a vault. What they have are Treasury Securities. The money is loaned out to the US treasury. That BIF pool though, is really just big enough to cover a minor string of bank failures like in the late 80's. It's pretty clear that even double that rate would pretty quickly bankrupt the BIF.


This is really the critical point, SPG. Well-said.
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WARNING - POSSIBLE FDIC BANK CLOSURES THIS WEEKEND

Unread postby seahorse2 » Fri 23 May 2008, 15:05:24

There is the possibility of a few more bank closures this weekend, meaning, this afternoon COB (close of business).

The information I have is not 100% certain but came to me with enough credibility that I will pass it along. I cannot give the name of the source.

The information is that some banks in the Kansas City area, linked to banking issues in my area of Arkansas, may be closed by the FDIC this weekend. So, if you have any accounts in any Kansas banks, you should consider what your options are right now, bc if the FDIC acts as it has in the past, it will shut down the in question banks by COB today. Certainly, if you have more than the insured limits of 100k per person, protect yourself before COB this afternoon.

Person would not give me specifics on the banks in question. All I know is "Kansas City area" are having issues with FDIC.
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Re: WARNING - POSSIBLE FDIC BANK CLOSURES THIS WEEKEND

Unread postby Pops » Fri 23 May 2008, 15:20:57

You are the man Horse, I'm gonna peg this for today but if I forget any Mod can take it down after that.
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Re: WARNING - POSSIBLE FDIC BANK CLOSURES THIS WEEKEND

Unread postby seahorse2 » Fri 23 May 2008, 15:32:21

I can't say for sure what or when something will happen. However, I do know that FDIC closing teams left our area and went to Kansas City area and was told to read the papers tomorrow (Saturday). Person would not divulge banks concerned. We'll find out tomorrow I guess.
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Re: WARNING - POSSIBLE FDIC BANK CLOSURES THIS WEEKEND

Unread postby HEADER_RACK » Fri 23 May 2008, 15:35:16

I would like to add a little seahorse. People should do some investigating on their banks. I recently found out that the bank I use owns a couple of other banks outside my own state with totaly different names. Should one of the other banks they bought start to have real problems it could spell problems for me. Find out if your bank is owned by another or if it owns another and try and keep an eye on all of them because it might come back to haunt you.
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Re: WARNING - POSSIBLE FDIC BANK CLOSURES THIS WEEKEND

Unread postby seahorse2 » Fri 23 May 2008, 15:38:17

Interestingly, for what its worth, this person also said that the savings and loan crisis will pale in comparison to what's getting ready to happen, not this weekend, but what is developing.
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Re: WARNING - POSSIBLE FDIC BANK CLOSURES THIS WEEKEND

Unread postby joeltrout » Fri 23 May 2008, 15:47:05

Definitely let us know what happens.

I am an avid CNBC watcher/listener so I assume they will be talking about it. However if they are small banks they might skip over it even though it could be very important.

Hopefully this isn't a start to something big like you said.

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