by JohnDenver » Tue 01 Sep 2009, 09:35:32
Well... our old buddy Matt Simmons has decided to pull the fire alarm again. Seems there's some crackpots out there making unfounded predictions about natural gas production!!!
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '&')quot;In the 40 years I've followed the industry I've been continuously amazed at the tangent people are willing to go off on without any data, or by getting the data wrong," Simmons said.
LinkMatt seems to have forgotten that in 2003 he himself predicted* that a natural gas cliff -- a veritable natural gas armageddon -- was a certainty in the US by 2005. And yet here we are, 6 years later, swimming in a glut of natural gas.
Hmmm.... Something isn't adding up here. And yet Matt's brain isn't making the connection. Doesn't Matt remember? Is he allright? Has all that flying starved his brain of oxygen? Does he need an MRI? I don't know about you, but I'm damn worried.

*) For your reading enjoyment, vintage Simmons from the summer of 2003:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')immons: As you know, I have been talking for some time about the natural gas cliff we are experiencing.
[...]
Well, I know you understand it, but people need to understand the concept of peaking and irreversible decline. It's a sharper issue with gas, which doesn't follow a bell curve but tends to fall off a cliff.
[...]
Someone's going to be left holding the bag big time. If natural gas consumption surges in ten days of excessive heat then it would require almost a complete shutdown of industrial consumption to compensate and protect the grid. As I have been reporting for years now, there isn't going to be enough gas to run those plants, let alone new ones.
[...]
Pray for no hurricanes and to stop the erosion of natural gas supplies. Under the best of circumstances, if all prayers are answered there will be no crisis for maybe two years. After that it's a certainty.