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The Consumerism Thread (merged)

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Unread postby gg3 » Mon 18 Apr 2005, 03:51:27

The silly Democrats, for their part, are every bit as clueless, as if blaming Bush for high gas prices has anything to do with the underlying factors. "Next, we will blame the moon for the recent lack of rain!"

Re. consumers: the keyword is "infantilization."

Market competition operates on a number of axes: quality, price, speed, and convenience. Very often convenience and speed are equivalent, for example ATMs are convenient and fast. (Also very often, price and quality are at odds, i.e. cheap goods that don't last.) Each firm in a given market will deliberately position itself in regard to these attributes, emphasizing one or two and attempting to excel in those areas.

Thus comes competition for convenience.

Convenience is a one-word descriptor for conditions that enable individuals to gratify their needs with progressively less and less effort (including the effort of thinking about the steps needed to go from need to gratification). Something is "more convenient" when it enables me to get what I want for less muscular and cognitive effort than I had to use previously.

Competition for convenience produces a steady decline in the amount of effort required by consumers to gratify their desires. And so, by small steps, consumers become surrounded by a "cocoon of convenience" that more and more resembles regression to an infantile stage of development, where the slightest sign of discomfort is met with maternal indulgence.

And as any mother knows, weaning is the source of many a temper tantrum.
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Unread postby gnm » Mon 18 Apr 2005, 10:51:51

Don't worry the "plunge protection team" will manipulate us out for the moment....
I sold all my stock in 2000.... SO the markets are just entertainment for me....
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Unread postby MicroHydro » Mon 18 Apr 2005, 12:42:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gnm', 'D')on't worry the "plunge protection team" will manipulate us out for the moment....
I sold all my stock in 2000.... SO the markets are just entertainment for me....
8O
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Agree. The PPT was hard at work this morning in NYC.
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Proof

Unread postby hoplite » Mon 18 Apr 2005, 16:10:08

Is there any truth to the PPT statements? While I think its likely that the FED may dabble in market manipulation, I havent seen any proof of that.
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Re: Proof

Unread postby tokyo_to_motueka » Tue 19 Apr 2005, 01:38:14

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('hoplite', 'I')s there any truth to the PPT statements? While I think its likely that the FED may dabble in market manipulation, I havent seen any proof of that.

From the Wilderness Publications
(scroll about one-third of the way down)

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he Plunge Protection Team and Rigged Markets (From FTW's July 2002 economic bulletin)

The Washington Post acknowledged the existence of a select group of four who could and would intervene in markets to prevent massive capital flight and a run on shares that would cause an economic collapse if there weren't enough cash to pay out during a massive sell off. In his Feb. 23, 1997 story titled "Plunge Protection Team," Post reporter Brett Fromson identified the Federal Reserve chairman, the Securities and Exchange Commission chairman, the chairman of the Commodities Futures Trading Commission, and the secretary of the Treasury as the team's key players. The intervention of the team in the 1998 crash of Long Term Capital Management, after it became wildly overexposed in the gold market (see below), revealed that private institutions such as Goldman Sachs, J.P. Morgan, Merrill Lynch and other major banks could be involved as well.

Fromson quoted a former team member as saying, "In a crisis, a lot of deference is paid to the Fed. They are the only ones with any money." Or, I might add, the ability to print it. The Treasury has lots of money too.

Pointing to the 1987 stock market crash, the single largest crash in history, Fromson observed, "The Fed kept the markets going by flooding the banking system with reserves and stating publicly that it was ready to extend loans to important financial institutions, if needed."

On April 5, 2000 New York Post reporter John Crudele reported that the stock market had turned back from the abyss. After a 500-point drop that looked like it was leading to a meltdown, "...someone started buying large amounts of stock index futures contracts through two major brokerage firms -- Goldman Sachs and Merrill Lynch...Unless the brokers tell, there is no way of knowing which of their clients were making the purchases...Then the market rebounded."

Calling it the PPT, Crudele both referred to the 1997 Washington Post story and suggested that private banks were acting as team captains.

Gold activist David Guyatt, relying on information obtained from Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee (GATA) Chairman Bill Murphy, pointed to the PPT in October 2000. "The hand of the Plunge Protection Team (PPT) is clearly visible for the first time. The entire short gold play over the last few years is a technique that has been used to 'prop up key stocks' and 'fund futures' operations. In the simplest form it works like this. Borrow (at negligible interest rates) someone's [America's, Germany's, Britain's, Goldman Sachs'] gold and sell it in the market. This gives a handsome pool of near-interest-free dollar cash. Whenever the stock market looks shaky, or key stocks come under pressure, dive in and buy, buy, buy...

"But it is not only necessary to manipulate the stock market to succeed. It is also necessary to manipulate the gold price and keep the price of gold below the price PPT sold the leased gold for...This is a game of double jeopardy...The problem the PPT now have is that there is virtually no more official gold left to borrow."

The causes of this intervention were a pending NASDAQ crash and the imminent downgrading of IBM and Intel stocks.

And the PPT's hand has been noted recently from as far away as Australia. Progressive Review Editor Sam Smith recently quoted a story by Richard Bromby of the Australian Financial Review:

"At 2:32 Wednesday [June 26], New York time, something extraordinary happened at the corner of Wall and Broad streets. The New York Stock Exchange's Dow Jones industrial index -- struggling since the opening bell after the WorldCom fraud revelations -- threw off its problems. From an intraday low of 8,926.6, the Dow shot skywards to its high of 9,160 at 3:29 p.m...Could it be the work of the much talked about, but never seen, Plunge Protection Team? There is a belief that this team represents a powerful and secretive hand that is ready to act at any time the Dow looks ready to tank big-time...

"...London's Observer newspaper last October reported it had information the plunge team was preparing to spend 'billions of dollars' to avert a repeat of 1929 and 1987."

The problem is clear: With a strong dollar the PPT has demonstrated that it has enough cash to suppress gold prices or to save the stock market. It may not have enough cash to do both -- especially if the dollar were to suddenly lose its value. Then, all of the chickens that have been locked out will come home to roost with a vengeance.

As The International Forecaster reported on April 26, "The American consumer has run out of credit and buying power...All bets are off if the housing and credit bubbles break and that's a distinct possibility...Debtor's prison is drawing nearer. House and Senate conferences are deciding on a new set of rules for Chapter 7 bankruptcy...If the Plunge Protection Team weren't manipulating the market with all these scandals, the Dow would already be at 4,500."
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Consumers paying down credit card debt in high volume

Unread postby DriveElectric » Thu 21 Apr 2005, 12:28:29

I was reading business news and noticed this from MBNA, which is one of the largest credit card companies in the USA. Their earnings were hurt this quarter by customers paying down their debt too much, likely because of higher interest rates. I like this new trend in the economy.

http://www.thestreet.com/stocks/banking/10219019.html

MBNA said its earnings were "impacted by unexpectedly high payment volumes'' from its U.S. customers. The move by customers to pay down their credit card bills, particularly on high-interest-rate cards, reduced the dollar value of managed loans in MBNA's portfolios.

Card companies don't make as much money when customers either pay their bills on time or pay down their outstanding credit card debt.
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Unread postby johnmarkos » Thu 21 Apr 2005, 12:39:01

Ha! The credit card companies are losing money because people are paying down their debt too fast? And then there are those new bankruptcy laws the credit card companies pushed for so long. Bet that'll make folks pay off their debt even faster.

Too bad for the credit card companies. Boo hoo. Do you hear that? It's the sound of the world's smallest violin playing a sad song for the poor credit card companies.
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Unread postby Tyler_JC » Thu 21 Apr 2005, 13:40:39

We laugh, but this will hurt the economy. We need Joe to spend every last dime (and then some) in order to maintain the "service economy." 70%+ of the economy is consumer spending. Anything that hurts spending will be a disaster for the US economy (and thus, the world).
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Unread postby JoeW » Thu 21 Apr 2005, 13:46:01

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', 'W')e need Joe to spend every last dime (and then some) in order to maintain the "service economy."


That's a pretty big burden for me, TJC. I don' t know if I'm prepared to spend every last dime.

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that's great news!

Unread postby foodnotlawns » Thu 21 Apr 2005, 14:05:29

:-D
Large corporations have made the economy based on screwing all of us over. If Americans actually start to buck the trends of being exploited in order to "keep the economy afloat" and we destroy corporate profits, well then, we'll have a little more power and corporations a little less.

The Japanese have very high rates of savings, and they "destroyed their economy" with their savings. Remember when the government was handing out vouchers for the Japanese to go shopping? We want to do the same thing -- bring the greedy bastards to their knees!

I live by the motto, "Boycott Everything!" I want to make my garden big enough so I buy ZERO produce from the grocery store, and eventually have enough chickens and rabbits to also boycott store bought meat.

I don't let my daughter buy cheap Chinese junk, unless it's second hand. We spend money on gymnastics lessons, and will add music lessons if and when we have the money.

If Americans were to practice thrift and unhook themselves from credit, the corporations will be begging us to come back. There would be things like raising the minimum wage, etc., if Americans stopped spending.

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Re: that's great news!

Unread postby DriveElectric » Thu 21 Apr 2005, 15:35:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('foodnotlawns', '
')I don't let my daughter buy cheap Chinese junk, unless it's second hand.


I have recently started doing the same. I glance at all products which I purchase to see where it is made. If an equivalent product is available with "Made in the USA" I purchase that product. It just happened yesterday with packing tape that I got. The first one I grabbed was Made in China. The other right next to it was Made in the USA (Wisconsin). Same cost.

It is tough sometimes, but I wish more people tried to do it.
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Unread postby Olaf » Thu 21 Apr 2005, 16:05:12

I just paid off 3 out of my 4 credit cards today. Next they will be getting my cancellation call. Damn that feels good.

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Unread postby DriveElectric » Thu 21 Apr 2005, 16:08:47

It looks like MBNA does not like it when people pay off their debts. MBNA wants everyone in debt and will offer 0% promotions. This sounds like GM autos back in 2001.

3:17pm 04/21/05
MBNA plans to launch 0% interest promotion (KRB) By Steve Gelsi
NEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- MBNA (KRB) Chief Financial Officer Kenneth A. Vecchione told MarketWatch in an interview that the company is launching a 0% interest promotion behind its credit cards. The company plans to close on its acquisition of Nexstar in a move to diversify its business into home financing. Veccione declined to comment on the 16% drop in MBNA stock on Thursday. He said consumers using home mortgage refinancings to pay off credit cards has impacted the entire industry.
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Unread postby lateStarter » Thu 21 Apr 2005, 17:01:53

Paying off debt is certainly applaudable, just not sure if "consumers using home mortgage refinancings to pay off credit cards has impacted the entire industry" is the best way to do it.

Sell your house now, while you still have a chance and move to someplace affordable. In other words, use the bloated profits from your current abode to finance a realistic, sustainable lifestyle.

And don't make the same mistake I did. For security reasons, I closed some of my credit card accounts 'before' paying the balance off. A couple of months later, even though I was making all the payments and then some, they jacked up the interest rates (guess we aren't going to make any more money off this guy's impulse buying).

In the meantime, I have accelarated payments on those beasts...
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Unread postby arretium » Thu 21 Apr 2005, 17:08:31

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('lateStarter', 'P')aying off debt is certainly applaudable, just not sure if "consumers using home mortgage refinancings to pay off credit cards has impacted the entire industry" is the best way to do it.

Sell your house now, while you still have a chance and move to someplace affordable. In other words, use the bloated profits from your current abode to finance a realistic, sustainable lifestyle.

And don't make the same mistake I did. For security reasons, I closed some of my credit card accounts 'before' paying the balance off. A couple of months later, even though I was making all the payments and then some, they jacked up the interest rates (guess we aren't going to make any more money off this guy's impulse buying).

In the meantime, I have accelarated payments on those beasts...



Ouch. Is it legal in Poland to modify a contract after the fact?
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Re: that's great news!

Unread postby RiverRat » Thu 21 Apr 2005, 17:14:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('foodnotlawns', '
')If Americans were to practice thrift and unhook themselves from credit, the corporations will be begging us to come back. There would be things like raising the minimum wage, etc., if Americans stopped spending.


If people stopped spending it would bring down the US economy.

There would be less and less demand for products and services. There would be more and more pressure for companies to reduce costs. This would force companies to reduce their labor force which is a substantial portion of their cost structure.

With more and more unemployed people chasing less and less jobs, this will inevitably drive down real wages (supply/demand).

Repeat cycle … until consumer spending drastically increases again.
If ...'If's' and 'But's' ... were Candy and Nuts ... we would all be happy and fat !
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Unread postby lateStarter » Thu 21 Apr 2005, 17:18:26

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('arretium', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('lateStarter', 'P')aying off debt is certainly applaudable, just not sure if "consumers using home mortgage refinancings to pay off credit cards has impacted the entire industry" is the best way to do it.

Sell your house now, while you still have a chance and move to someplace affordable. In other words, use the bloated profits from your current abode to finance a realistic, sustainable lifestyle.

And don't make the same mistake I did. For security reasons, I closed some of my credit card accounts 'before' paying the balance off. A couple of months later, even though I was making all the payments and then some, they jacked up the interest rates (guess we aren't going to make any more money off this guy's impulse buying).

In the meantime, I have accelarated payments on those beasts...



Ouch. Is it legal in Poland to modify a contract after the fact?


That was when I was in the states! If you read the fine print, they can essentially do anything they want to with your interest rate, even if you are a 'good' customer. Check out some of the Consumer complaints on the major credit card companies.
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Unread postby arretium » Thu 21 Apr 2005, 17:22:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('lateStarter', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('arretium', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('lateStarter', 'P')aying off debt is certainly applaudable, just not sure if "consumers using home mortgage refinancings to pay off credit cards has impacted the entire industry" is the best way to do it.

Sell your house now, while you still have a chance and move to someplace affordable. In other words, use the bloated profits from your current abode to finance a realistic, sustainable lifestyle.

And don't make the same mistake I did. For security reasons, I closed some of my credit card accounts 'before' paying the balance off. A couple of months later, even though I was making all the payments and then some, they jacked up the interest rates (guess we aren't going to make any more money off this guy's impulse buying).

In the meantime, I have accelarated payments on those beasts...



Ouch. Is it legal in Poland to modify a contract after the fact?


That was when I was in the states! If you read the fine print, they can essentially do anything they want to with your interest rate, even if you are a 'good' customer. Check out some of the Consumer complaints on the major credit card companies.


If it's in the states, I recommend that you read your agreement carefully. Post it here if available, I'd like to read it. Just because the credit card company takes action, doesn't mean it is legal. You might consider arbitrating (which has its own risks).
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Unread postby lateStarter » Thu 21 Apr 2005, 17:27:31

I think I already did this, but I'll check it again when i get back to the states next week. At this point the balance is so low, it's not worth bothering with. It was just the principle of the thing that annoyed me. I might just give them a call for the fun of it though....
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Unread postby advancedatheist » Thu 21 Apr 2005, 17:36:25

Duh. Economists are always telling us that people respond to incentives and try to anticipate the near future. Americans have just gotten a powerful signal from the new anti-bankruptcy law that they can't count on court-enforced leniency from their creditors if they have to declare bankruptcy. Given that we have a six-month grace period before we return to something like debtors' prisons, what did the credit card companies expect people would do?
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