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The Consumerism Thread (merged)

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: that's great news!

Postby heyhoser » Thu 21 Apr 2005, 17:37:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('DriveElectric', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('foodnotlawns', '
')I don't let my daughter buy cheap Chinese junk, unless it's second hand.


I have recently started doing the same. I glance at all products which I purchase to see where it is made. If an equivalent product is available with "Made in the USA" I purchase that product. It just happened yesterday with packing tape that I got. The first one I grabbed was Made in China. The other right next to it was Made in the USA (Wisconsin). Same cost.

It is tough sometimes, but I wish more people tried to do it.


Heheh! That's kind of funny. I work for a company that makes 99.9% of a product in China, then sends it to an American factory for the .1% work thats needed to finish it. Afterwards, MADE IN USA!!!
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Re: that's great news!

Postby Grimnir » Thu 21 Apr 2005, 17:57:48

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('RiverRat', 'I')f people stopped spending it would bring down the US economy.

There would be less and less demand for products and services. There would be more and more pressure for companies to reduce costs. This would force companies to reduce their labor force which is a substantial portion of their cost structure.

With more and more unemployed people chasing less and less jobs, this will inevitably drive down real wages (supply/demand).


So here's a question: Imagine a hypothetical society of a million in which only 1000 people need to work in order to meet everybody's needs. What's the best thing to do in this situation? Invent 999000 pointless jobs so the other people have something to do? Have only 1000 people work and the rest just sit around and get everything they need for free? Or divide those thousand jobs evenly so that everyone only needs to work a little bit, and gets to spend the rest of their time at leisue? Why couldn't we do the third? Eliminate the useless jobs and have everybody work only 20-40 hours a week at the things that really need to be done. Wouldn't we all be better off?
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Re: that's great news!

Postby RiverRat » Thu 21 Apr 2005, 18:04:49

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Grimnir', ' ') Why couldn't we do the third? Eliminate the useless jobs and have everybody work only 20-40 hours a week at the things that really need to be done. Wouldn't we all be better off?


sounds pretty good on paper...

wasn't this tried a few times in the past
If ...'If's' and 'But's' ... were Candy and Nuts ... we would all be happy and fat !
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Postby arretium » Thu 21 Apr 2005, 18:11:49

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('advancedatheist', 'D')uh. Economists are always telling us that people respond to incentives and try to anticipate the near future. Americans have just gotten a powerful signal from the new anti-bankruptcy law that they can't count on court-enforced leniency from their creditors if they have to declare bankruptcy. Given that we have a six-month grace period before we return to something like debtors' prisons, what did the credit card companies expect people would do?


When I first heard about this legislation I was doom and gloomb about my profession, but it might not be so bad. Chapter 13 requires more court time, which requires more costs and certainly more people can't currently afford it. But, in my view, bankruptcy will be a hot growth market because of the aforementioned fundamental problems with the U.S. economy. You're right though, this law is unfair, but our legislatures don't care. That's the way it goes, so we have to deal with it.
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Re: that's great news!

Postby advancedatheist » Thu 21 Apr 2005, 18:32:42

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Grimnir', 'E')liminate the useless jobs and have everybody work only 20-40 hours a week at the things that really need to be done. Wouldn't we all be better off?


Buckminster Fuller had some very interesting things to say about the absurd ways our civilization uses petroleum to support useless jobs:

http://www.puresync.com/bucky.htm

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '`')`...We have pointed out that the geologist Francois de Chardenedes wrote for me a scenario of the technology of nature's producing petroleum which disclosed that the amount of energy employed by nature as heat and pressure for the amount of time required to produce each gallon of petroleum, if paid for at the rate at which the public utilities now charge retail customers for electricity, must cost over a million dollars a gallon. Combine that information with the discovery that approximately 60 percent of the employed in U.S. America are working at tasks that are not producing any life support. Jobs of inspectors-of-inspectors; jobs with insurance companies that induce people to bet that their house is going to be destroyed by fire while the insurance company bets that it isn't. All these are negative preoccupations...jobs with the underwriting of insurance underwriters by other insurance underwriters -- people checking up on one another in all the different departments of the Treasury, the Internal Revenue, FBI, CIA, and in counterespionage. About 60 percent of all human activity in America is not producing any physical life protection, life support, or development accommodation, which physical life support alone constitutes real wealth.

``The majority of Americans reach their jobs by automobile, probably averaging four gallons a day -- thereby, each is spending four million real cosmic-physical-Universe dollars a day without producing any physical Universe life-support wealth accredited in the energy-time -- metabolic -- accounting system eternally governing regenerative Universe. Humans are designed to learn how to survive only through trial-and-error-won knowledge. Long-known errors are, however, no longer cosmically tolerated. The 350 trillion cosmic dollars a day wasted by the 60 percent of no-wealth-producing human job-holders in the U.S.A., together with the $19 quadrillion a day wasted by the no-wealth-producing human job-holders in all other automobiles-to-work countries, also can no longer be cosmically tolerated.

``Today we have computers that enable us to answer some very big questions if all the relevant data is fed into the computer and all the questions are properly asked. As for instance, ``Which would cost society the least: to carry on as at present, trying politically to create more no-wealth-producing jobs, or paying everybody handsome fellowships to stay at home and save all those million-dollar-each gallons of petroleum?'' Stated evermore succinctly, the big question will be: ``Which costs more -- paying all present job-holders a billionaire's lifelong $400,000-a-day fellowship to stay at home, or having them each spend $4 million a day to commute to work?'' Every computer will declare it to be much less expensive to pay people not to go to work. The same computers will also quickly reveal that there is no way in which each and every human could each day spend $400,000 staying at the most expensive hotels and doing equally expensive things; they could rarely spend 4000 of the 1980-deflated dollars a day, which is only 1 percent of a billionaire's daily income.''



And for a really hardcore critique of the work system, read Bob Black's essay, "The Abolition of Work."
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Peak oil is solved best by consumer power

Postby Wildwell » Tue 09 Aug 2005, 20:28:47

In order to kick-start the green revolution, and at least attempt to solve PO it seems apparent that if people made the right lifestyle choices and thought about the companies they did business with a remarkable shift could take place right now.

For example it is possible in most places to shift to a green tariff for electricity, buy a more efficient car, and so on and so forth. Once companies get the message and everyone catches on, the situation is altogether more optimistic.

http://www.greenelectricity.org/
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Re: Peak oil is solved best by consumer power

Postby FoxV » Tue 09 Aug 2005, 22:08:33

sounds all fine and well and I'll certainly do what I can, but...

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Wildwell', 'O')nce companies get the message and everyone catches on, the situation is altogether more optimistic.

with the media totally co-opted into a US propoganda machine, how could anyone catch on.

I think the whole PO situation could be optimistic if world would just take the exact opposite direction that it currently is (although scuttling the global economy is a pretty effective PO solution :( )
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Re: Peak oil is solved best by consumer power

Postby skyemoor » Fri 19 Aug 2005, 00:12:08

Yep, we have a Honda Insight, and Toyota Prius, live in a passive solar house powered by PV panels. I vanpool to work, and we ride bikes frequently to errands, even farmer's markets. We raise sheep on 10 acres and have an expanding garden and several fruit trees. We are planning on more fruit trees and many nut trees as well.

These choices allow us to minimize our direct petroleum purchases (fill up the car and the propane tank much less often) and indirect purchases (less food imported from distant places).
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Re: Peak oil is solved best by consumer power

Postby Macsporan » Fri 19 Aug 2005, 00:47:45

Althouhgh the modest proposals put forth here are unobjectionable I think it is idle to imagine that in some way life can continue as normal when TSHTF.

As we are facing a collective disaster we won't get out of it without a collective remedy: and like it or not, that means the government will have to step in and take powers at present monoplised by the private sector.

There will have to be fuel and food rationing at least initially. Agriculture and transport will have to have priorty over going to work in your car alone.

There will have to be a crash program of installation of alternate electricity generation and electric railways, both intracity light and intercity double track.

To judge from revelations contained in "Breakdown Scenario" there will have to be a lot of emergency infrastructure repair also as the corporate sector, in their unquenchable thirst for profits and stock options, has to my mind been criminally negligent in this regard. So much stuff is nearly worn out or obsolete underneath the glittering surface of the 21st century economy.

These projects couild well be done by contracted private companies under the direction and authority of the State, but the State will have to organise and co-ordinate it, in part to make sure they do a proper job. Penalties for sub-standard work and cutting corners will have to be rigourous.

Where's the money going to come from? Easy, cut the military budget by two-thirds and you've got all the money and resources you want. You could even start paying off debts.

The military is a stinking albatross around the neck of the Republic, it gives poor value for money in that it isn't all that much use as a means of projecting American power (look at Iraq, ten thousand guerillas have the mighty US Wehrmacht completely tied up in knots) and is strangling the civilian sector.

For instance the 300,000 US servicemen stationed in bases overseas, some of them trained engineers, could be the core of the constrution corps to reconfigure society for the PPO.

Cut the military down to size and PO won't be so bad.
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Re: Peak oil is solved best by consumer power

Postby skyemoor » Fri 19 Aug 2005, 11:09:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Macsporan', 'A')lthouhgh the modest proposals put forth here are unobjectionable I think it is idle to imagine that in some way life can continue as normal when TSHTF.

As we are facing a collective disaster we won't get out of it without a collective remedy: and like it or not, that means the government will have to step in and take powers at present monoplised by the private sector.


There are many phases to PO, both pre- and post-. PrePO, we can do things now that can help soften the blow, by reducing our consumption of oil. Many of the approaches will also be helpful PostPO, when food sources will be extremely important.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Macsporan', '
')There will have to be fuel and food rationing at least initially. Agriculture and transport will have to have priorty over going to work in your car alone.


No doubt, but those with gas sippers will be more likely to be able to makke car trips when they need to.

My major transportation vehicle will be a electric-assisted velomobile

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Macsporan', '
')Cut the military down to size and PO won't be so bad.


I agree in principle, but resource wars will have exactly the opposite effect, I'm afraid, especially when some nations believe they have established rights to the majority of the world's petroleum supply.
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U.S. Sept. Consumer Prices Rise 1.2%

Postby duke3522 » Fri 14 Oct 2005, 10:35:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'O')ct. 14 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. consumer prices rose last month by the most in 25 years as energy costs posted the biggest jump on record after Hurricanes Katrina and Rita. Excluding energy and food, prices rose less than forecast.

Prices paid by consumers increased 1.2 percent in September, after a 0.5 percent rise a month earlier, the Labor Department said in Washington. Excluding energy and food, core prices increased 0.1 percent, less than the median forecast in a Bloomberg News survey for a 0.2 percent rise and matching the increase in August.



Article

Rising prices, along with falling consumer confidence, may lead to quite a bit of demand destruction here in the US this winter. People here in the Midwest are taking the higher prices for NG very seriously and are taking steps to economize. And, with a fall in consumer confidence, we will most likely see a very cool holiday season for the US economy as a whole leading to even more demand destruction. Maybe even leading to a temporary decrease in over all energy prices.
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Re: U.S. Sept. Consumer Prices Rise 1.2%

Postby MrBill » Fri 14 Oct 2005, 11:08:41

Given that CPI is a lagging indicator and this winter's higher heating costs have not hit the headline number, we can expect CPI to climb from 4.7% year on year to much higher.

Given that Fed funds are currently just 3.75% I do not see any immediate end to raising rates. I think neutral will climb from 4.0-4.5% to maybe 5-6%, unless you are right a we see some real demand destruction taking place which lowers energy costs? But not before Springtime in any case.

However, anyway it goes down the consumer who already has a negative savings rate is going to be mercilessly squeezed between higher fuel costs for driving and heating as well as higher interest rates and debt servicing costs. A Merry Christmas indeed. :!:
The organized state is a wonderful invention whereby everyone can live at someone else's expense.
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Re: U.S. Sept. Consumer Prices Rise 1.2%

Postby CARVER » Fri 14 Oct 2005, 11:43:21

And on this bombshell the stock markets go.....up 8O again
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Re: U.S. Sept. Consumer Prices Rise 1.2%

Postby JoeW » Fri 14 Oct 2005, 15:26:09

Here's what bothers me: Social Security recipients in the US get a cost-of-living increase because of inflation, but working people don't.
How about capping the COLA for social security at the level of increase in the average wage so that when inflation outpaces wage growth the workers aren't screwed into giving the retirees a fat raise for sitting on their rumps?
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Re: U.S. Sept. Consumer Prices Rise 1.2%

Postby FoxV » Fri 14 Oct 2005, 15:37:30

lets not also forget that the US govt needs more money to pay for NO (and pretty much everything else), and it won't get it if its TBills don't cover inflation.

so even if a recession lowers energy prices (and govt revenue) and inflation goes down, interest rates will still go up so the govt can pay for its "Homes for Hurricanes", "Bridges for trees", and "war for peace" projects
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Re: U.S. Sept. Consumer Prices Rise 1.2%

Postby meekoil » Fri 14 Oct 2005, 16:20:57

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Re: U.S. Sept. Consumer Prices Rise 1.2%

Postby wxman » Fri 14 Oct 2005, 16:31:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('CARVER', 'A')nd on this bombshell the stock markets go.....up 8O again


Evidently, the market responded to the fact that the core CPI (no energy or food) did not move much. They were expecting worse news, I guess.
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US inflation flares on record surge in energy cost

Postby Sys1 » Fri 14 Oct 2005, 18:15:39

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Re: U.S. Sept. Consumer Prices Rise 1.2%

Postby jaws » Fri 14 Oct 2005, 19:25:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('CARVER', 'A')nd on this bombshell the stock markets go.....up 8O again
Stocks are safer against inflation than bonds. The dollar lost about 1% against the Euro on this news.
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Re: U.S. Sept. Consumer Prices Rise 1.2%

Postby MrBean » Fri 14 Oct 2005, 20:50:20

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jaws', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('CARVER', 'A')nd on this bombshell the stock markets go.....up 8O again
Stocks are safer against inflation than bonds. The dollar lost about 1% against the Euro on this news.


Crap. Gold, silver, diamonds, land, oil, coal etc. are safe against inflation. No paper is safe against inflation: inflation thy name is paper.
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