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We got a shoutout from ABC News

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Re: We got a shoutout from ABC News

Postby Aaron » Sat 16 May 2009, 16:26:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ayoob', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Aaron', '[')img]http://img29.imageshack.us/img29/1041/poss.jpg[/img]


ooooooooOOOOOOOH SNAP!!!

How much of it did they put up?


Nothing
The problem is, of course, that not only is economics bankrupt, but it has always been nothing more than politics in disguise... economics is a form of brain damage.

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Re: We got a shoutout from ABC News

Postby Sixstrings » Sat 16 May 2009, 19:03:27

Stonemason wrote:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'D')oomerism holds that each person goes out for himself.


I think Doomerism is only a lone-wolf thing just because so many of us are minorities within our communities. When TSHTF then everyone will be a Doomer, and the previously scoffed lone survivalists will be much appreciated for their skills and will be respected for having been right all along.

When TSHTF, everyone will be panicking EXCEPT the Doomers -- and so people will look to the Doomers for leadership.
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Re: We got a shoutout from ABC News

Postby Caffeine » Sat 16 May 2009, 19:26:18

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', 'I') think what most of us are looking for in MSM coverage like this is some sort of sign that doomer prepping is going mainstream


There's the recent Yahoo News article I mentioned in this thread. Perhaps I'm misinterpreting it, but the article seems to describe a significant shift to buying things like seeds, firearms, gold, fishing gear...
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Re: We got a shoutout from ABC News

Postby mos6507 » Sat 16 May 2009, 20:02:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('shortonoil', '
')Real Doomers know that living in the woods is only going to work for those who were born part squirrel!


Will this suffice?

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Re: We got a shoutout from ABC News

Postby mos6507 » Sat 16 May 2009, 20:08:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sixstrings', '
')When TSHTF, everyone will be panicking EXCEPT the Doomers -- and so people will look to the Doomers for leadership.


I'd like to think this way. But if they wait until truly the last moment, I'm not sure how much in the way of meaningful preps they'll be able to do. Like right now everything you want for an a-list doomstead is readily available if you have the cash. Off-grid gear, mail-order fruit and nut trees and seeds, all sorts of gardening gear and soil admendments, etc... When the supply lines begin to fracture and some of this stuff becomes either prohibitively expensive or unavailable, then it's going to get pretty desperate for the little pigs who built their houses of straw.
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Re: We got a shoutout from ABC News

Postby Ludi » Sat 16 May 2009, 21:14:32

Stonemason wrote:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'D')oomerism holds that each person goes out for himself.



I think that is a very narrow definition of doomerism. Where is the Code of Doomerism? I must have missed it.....


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sixstrings', 'I') think Doomerism is only a lone-wolf thing just because so many of us are minorities within our communities.


I agree, though plenty of doomers here work with their communities and neighbors, not being lone-wolfy at all.
Last edited by Ludi on Sun 17 May 2009, 09:22:41, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: We got a shoutout from ABC News

Postby Ayoob » Sun 17 May 2009, 03:24:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Aaron', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ayoob', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Aaron', '[')img]http://img29.imageshack.us/img29/1041/poss.jpg[/img]


ooooooooOOOOOOOH SNAP!!!

How much of it did they put up?


Nothing



Saw the clip earlier today... nothing.

But that nice lady with her garden, that's some good stuff. I like the way she explained the juice bottle. That's a good kind of peak oil doomer. It's simply an expression of efficiency and frugality, making the most out of plenty.

She's a genius for walking away from the 60" plasma.
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Re: We got a shoutout from ABC News

Postby RedStateGreen » Sun 17 May 2009, 16:16:43

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', ']')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Stonemason', '
')There is no proof that 7 Billion people cannot survive on the planet with advanced technology and education into the problems of overshooting the carrying capacity of the earth.


Why would people who have education into the problems of overshooting the carrying capacity of the Earth find a population of 7 billion people helpful or useful? Why would you want to maintain such an enormous population? Personally, I think there's little evidence a population of 7 billion is sustainable, no matter how they live. Why would population reduction ("birth control") not be a part of a plan to mitigate the problems of overshooting the carrying capacity of the Earth? What do you mean by "advanced technology"?

Just curious about your thoughts on these points.

We're almost at 7 billion right now.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('efarmer', '&')quot;Taste the sizzling fury of fajita skillet death you marauding zombie goon!"

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Re: We got a shoutout from ABC News

Postby efarmer » Sun 17 May 2009, 18:59:53

The news sells controversy, fear, doubt, and sensation
and the general flavor of much of the peak oil banter I have
encountered is right up their alley. But they have another
dynamic as part of their sales pitch, winners and losers.
Hard to sell that Peakoilers are the winners and their
uninformed audience has discovered another way they
can lose big.

Remember the CNBC guy who pitched the traders on
if they wished to back losers on home mortgages that
preceded the Tea Party initiative? Implied is that a
savvy trader is a winner and the identified losers are
those who have to suffer to make a savvy trader successful.
I.E. it is the short and sweet news cycle summation of a
zero sum calculation.

I think they get the Peakoil fear product as salable goods
IF the pricing of oil is such that their buyer has the
receptivity to buy it, but that is not there right now.

I am very opinionated about lifestyles and energy usage
being out of balance with sustainable approaches to living.
But the hard core doomer thing is lost on me, it is lost because
it is an apocalypse or Swiss Family Robinson scenario that
does not offer a large scale solution to the serious problems.
It is like Dr. Strangelove putting the right resources and mix
of men and breeding females into an underground bunker to
wait out the return to some future large scale living condition.
It is however an easy sell to a horny guy facing nuclear
annihilation, but not a generally appealing product.

The more natural evolution I see within the site is more healthy
in my opinion.

1. Crash course study on resource limits and present
recognition or planning concerning mitigation in society
at large.

2. Angst, fear, depression, disbelief, I.E. grief reactions.

3. Contingency planning for personal independence or
mitigation, followed by lifestyle planning and consideration
for sustainable personal lifestyle as well as fostering
and advocating for community and hopefully larger
regional, national, and international efforts for sustainable
mitigation or even possibly solutions.

Identifying an epoch or culture ending issue and forming
into tight knit survivalist cliques is entirely indistinguishable
from end times cult activity to many observers and rightly
so. The last end times cult of course wins the end times
cult contest and this may be that, but I personally think not.

Selling unsustainable petroleum dependence and unsustainable
resource consumption awareness is going to be hard to do
if our main message is hoarding enough unsustainable
manufactured items and goodies in order to be the very
last people to die in an apocalypse and at the same time
beating each other over the head about who has the timing
and utter futility of doing anything written up correctly.

If you really believe that excess materialism and energy
squandering is a low quality life with a short relative duration
anyway, why do we expect media recognition from the declaration
of the premise and our natural but fatalistic initial reactions
rather than from developing a demonstrable alternative
that is appealing in it's place?

I do think we are just about out of the "scare the piss out of
you for blind allegiance and all your money", donors. But
then again, it is a great temporary scam that has worked
good when we really didn't have any leadership or planning
to count on.

You can make a personal fortune selling books as a prophet
of doom, or an expert on futility, but it is hard to make a career
out of doing so without having to catch a new doom wave
and look like an idiot for anyone who has any idea of your
time line. If you are right of course you become the wicker
man and are burnt to atone for your bad news delivery.

People forging ahead and creating saner and sustainable
culture and offering a viable alternative to what we have
is very big news. It has to work for more than tough bastards
who shoot straight and gnaw jerky while they defend their
nitro packed beans and rice are you might as well just
sit on the idea of generating real news other than being
a plug in fear or kook story to spice the news feed.

Pop's mantra: Plan your work and work your plan.
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Re: We got a shoutout from ABC News

Postby dinopello » Sun 17 May 2009, 19:37:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sixstrings', 'I') think Doomerism is only a lone-wolf thing just because so many of us are minorities within our communities.


I agree, though plenty of doomers here work with their communities and neighbors, not being lone-wolfy at all.


+1

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Re: We got a shoutout from ABC News

Postby Pretorian » Sun 17 May 2009, 19:57:10

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Stonemason', '
')There is no proof that 7 Billion people cannot survive on the planet with advanced technology and education into the problems of overshooting the carrying capacity of the earth.



Why 7, and not current 6.7 or 6, or 8, or 10?
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Re: We got a shoutout from ABC News

Postby wisconsin_cur » Sun 17 May 2009, 21:54:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Stonemason', '
')There is no proof that 7 Billion people cannot survive on the planet with advanced technology and education into the problems of overshooting the carrying capacity of the earth.



How exactly would we go about providing proof to your satisfaction?

Maybe we could find a way to feed 7 billion but then they would have more children wouldn't they? Or perhaps you think you can stop them? How, pray tell?

In the real world we need to ask if we are sustainable and if we are in overshoot given the state of the world as it is and with people as they are. Perhaps we could create a fantasy scenerio where it would all work, but I do not live in a fantasy.

I live in a world where greed and ignorance are powerful forces. I live in a world where monied and political interests work against long-term sustainability for short-term gain. I live in a world where the masses chase after the newest shiny object and any short-term gain in the direction of sustainability will, within a few decades, be squandered when a political movement arises saying, "Eat, drink, procreate, you have been repressed by the ecologists!" and such a message will win the day.

For every Carter (4 years) there will be a Reagan and his apostles. A few years after the "Moral Equivilant of War" we got morning in America and the SUV craze (25 years of excess). This is called, "moving in the wrong direction." This is rooted in what homo sapien is. We could pretend otherwise but I gave up playing pretend a few years ago.

But yes, you can create a fantasy world where we hold hands, sing "I would like to teach the world to sing..." but at some point it might be a good idea to turn off the TV and deal with the world outside your window. When you do I think, perhaps, you will begin to find your proof.
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Nightline story on PeakOil/Economic Apocalypse

Postby phaster » Mon 18 May 2009, 02:48:05

Went camping over the weekend with some other people I've met at various sierra club activities such as snow camping, cross country skiing, etc. so I'm just catching up with some of the news programs that were on my DVR.

One of news stories that caught my eye was a Nightline story on PeakOil/Economic Apocalypse last friday...

http://abcnews.go.com/Business/story?id=7579167&page=1

thought ya "doomers" might find the segment comforting because its a MSM story about the intersection of peak oil and the economy.

My own personal take is this economic crisis is an opportunity for a "teachable moment" because a balance sheet is a useful tool to determine if a system is sustainable, no matter if one is talking about an economic/banking system, an environmental system, an oil based economy, etc.

Armed with knowledge if a system is unsustainable its possible to prepare or even profit from the inevitable crash.
Last edited by wisconsin_cur on Mon 18 May 2009, 04:11:36, edited 1 time in total.
Reason: merged topics
truth is,...

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Re: We got a shoutout from ABC News

Postby mos6507 » Mon 18 May 2009, 09:07:18

I think the "economic" slant on the Nightline piece was kind of apples an oranges. This woman is not just worried about economic armageddon, but to those people who are obssessed with depression 2.0, framing things in that way makes it more accessible. That really bothered me. The fact is that most doomers put very little thought into economic theory leading up to the credit crisis, which is why they got blindsided by the credit crisis. People who are downscaling their life to get through great depression 2.0 may exhibit similar behaviors to doomers, but they aren't doomers. They think their sacrifices need only be temporary, and they still worship on the altar of growth.
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Re: We got a shoutout from ABC News

Postby Ludi » Mon 18 May 2009, 09:36:20

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', ' ')The fact is that most doomers put very little thought into economic theory leading up to the credit crisis, which is why they got blindsided by the credit crisis.



Really? Which doomers got "blindsided by the credit crisis"? And how did it affect them? Were they heavily dependent on easy credit and if so, why, if they were supposedly preparing for the worst?
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Re: We got a shoutout from ABC News

Postby davep » Mon 18 May 2009, 10:30:28

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', ' ')The fact is that most doomers put very little thought into economic theory leading up to the credit crisis, which is why they got blindsided by the credit crisis.



Really? Which doomers got "blindsided by the credit crisis"? And how did it affect them? Were they heavily dependent on easy credit and if so, why, if they were supposedly preparing for the worst?


I don't understand that either. For example, I sold up, quit my job, moved to a foreign country and bought a doomstead cash. I was hardly blindsided by the credit crisis, as I managed to buy outright (which I wouldn't be able to do now, as the UK house prices have fallen too far).
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Re: We got a shoutout from ABC News

Postby mos6507 » Mon 18 May 2009, 12:25:05

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('davep', '
')I don't understand that either. For example, I sold up, quit my job, moved to a foreign country and bought a doomstead cash. I was hardly blindsided by the credit crisis, as I managed to buy outright (which I wouldn't be able to do now, as the UK house prices have fallen too far).


I don't mean getting suckered into a liar loan. I mean not anticipating what the housing crash could do to oil demand hence altering the flow of history regarding oil consumption and oil prices--rather than the convention Matt Simmons narrative of insta-doom after $147/oil. My point is that prior to the credit crunch, peakers were not issuing reams of essays about the intersection of economic theory with oil. Oil was the be all end all of the economy and the economy had no ability to depress oil demand. That theory was dismantled in the credit crisis. Does it avert collapse? No. But it makes things.... more complicated. So for the nightline piece to imply that the peakers are primarily thinking on economic terms is disingenuous. The spin of the nightline piece only makes sense in the context of great depression 2.0 with (temporairly) depressed oil demand and depressed oil prices. This is in direct contrast to the piece with Revi in which he was described as an energy survivalist. This woman was concerned about doom before the economy tanked, and many who look like doomers now are just reacting to the economy and don't have a clue about peak oil et. al. It's important not to blur the line between the two.
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Re: We got a shoutout from ABC News

Postby sjn » Mon 18 May 2009, 12:56:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('davep', '
')I don't understand that either. For example, I sold up, quit my job, moved to a foreign country and bought a doomstead cash. I was hardly blindsided by the credit crisis, as I managed to buy outright (which I wouldn't be able to do now, as the UK house prices have fallen too far).


I don't mean getting suckered into a liar loan. I mean not anticipating what the housing crash could do to oil demand hence altering the flow of history regarding oil consumption and oil prices--rather than the convention Matt Simmons narrative of insta-doom after $147/oil. My point is that prior to the credit crunch, peakers were not issuing reams of essays about the intersection of economic theory with oil. Oil was the be all end all of the economy and the economy had no ability to depress oil demand. That theory was dismantled in the credit crisis. Does it avert collapse? No. But it makes things.... more complicated. So for the nightline piece to imply that the peakers are primarily thinking on economic terms is disingenuous. The spin of the nightline piece only makes sense in the context of great depression 2.0 with (temporairly) depressed oil demand and depressed oil prices. This is in direct contrast to the piece with Revi in which he was described as an energy survivalist. This woman was concerned about doom before the economy tanked, and many who look like doomers now are just reacting to the economy and don't have a clue about peak oil et. al. It's important not to blur the line between the two.

mos, we've had this discussion before, you've never provided any evidence to support your assertion that the housing bubble was an independent phenomenon unrelated to the system as a whole in which oil as a primary energy source plays a major role. There have been plenty of us here on this site who've discussed the economic mechanisms likely to be involved in the collapse due to the peaking of ERoEI and peak oil. What you are suggesting is simply untrue.
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Re: We got a shoutout from ABC News

Postby Ludi » Tue 19 May 2009, 10:10:08

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', ' ') But it makes things.... more complicated.



I'm not sure how it does. I probably don't qualify as a "doomer" by some definitions, so maybe I don't understand what it means to be a doomer. Do "doomers" need to have some special Theory of Doom? I don't see why. I also don't see how economic troubles which they anticipated could have blindsided them. If you mean the specific cause of the economic troubles was different from what they anticipated, ok, but I still don't see how that means they were "blindsided." They're still prepared. That's the point. They're prepared for Doom and it doesn't matter where it comes from. Economic doom is economic doom. Who was surprised by it ("blindsided")? Which doomers have been saying "Oh crap! Doom suddenly fell upon me and I'm totally unprepared because I thought it was going to be Special Peak Oil Doom instead of merely We've Been Here Before Economic Doom?
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Re: We got a shoutout from ABC News

Postby mos6507 » Tue 19 May 2009, 11:19:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('sjn', '
')mos, we've had this discussion before, you've never provided any evidence to support your assertion that the housing bubble was an independent phenomenon


Um, excuse me. This look familiar?

Image

$147/bbl oil did not cause the credit crisis. Whether "oil" (in its vaguest definition) played a part in setting the stage for the housing bubble is a separate issue and not what I was arguing.
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