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1.53 Trillion Barrels of Oil

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Re: 1.53 Trillion Barrels of Oil

Unread postby copious.abundance » Fri 01 May 2009, 21:36:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'Y')ou are being overly pessimistic. If the Shell process has an EROEI of 6:1 then microwave is closer to 11.1:1 on High. If you select "Baked Potato" then the EROEI jumps to an astounding 11.35 +/-.01 I prefer mine with a little Parmigiano Reggiano and Chianti.

Then it takes 1/11.35th the energy value of a potato to extract the energy from one whole potato-equivalent energy unit of oil shale.
Stuff for doomers to contemplate:
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1190117.html#p1190117
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1193930.html#p1193930
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1206767.html#p1206767
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Re: 1.53 Trillion Barrels of Oil

Unread postby bencole » Sat 02 May 2009, 02:27:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('OilFinder2', '
')But if, as seems likely, this microwaving process is more energy efficient than the other ones being bandied about, its EROEI will be better than the others.


This has not been demonstrated on a large scale, and in addition I can find no evidence at all to prove that it will be any more efficient or achieve a better EROEI than current methods, so I remain highly skeptical. Can you provide a source to the information you used to arrive at this conclusion, or explain your reasoning?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')ince Shell's process has an EROEI of about 6:1, maybe this is, like, 10:1.


That assumption is baseless, I remind you again that something we would like to be, or think it should be, does not translate into reality. Only when this EROEI is demonstrated will it become an accepted fact, otherwise one should always remain skeptical.
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Re: 1.53 Trillion Barrels of Oil

Unread postby copious.abundance » Sat 02 May 2009, 17:29:34

bencole I based that statement on what someone on The Oil Drum said here. I've highlighted it in red.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('OilFinder2', 'H')ere ya go. :razz:
>>> The Oil Drum <<<
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')b]EROI [of oil shale]

Reported EROIs (energy return on investments) are generally in the range of 1.5:1 to 4:1, with a few extreme values between 7:1 and 13:1. The main difference between oil sands and oil shale is that the oil sands are particles of sand, surrounded by a microscopic layer of water that is itself surrounded by heavy bitumen (thick oil). Separating the oil from the oil sands is much easier because of this water layer, since the oil is ‘‘suspended’’ in the water/sand layer and not directly stuck on or in the sand as is the case for oil shale. This makes oil shale much more energy intensive to separate (Ibid). As such, shale oil production - whether through surface retorting or ICP - is more energy-intensive than conventional oil production or from tar sands, and even enhanced recovery from oil fields. In fact, upstream energy consumption per unit of final fuel delivered is roughly 1.75-2.75 times that of conventional petroleum production (Brandt 2007). Tar sands and oil shales seem to be in the same “EROI ballpark”.

Shell reports that in their ICP in situ process they consume 1 Btu for every 3 Btu’s of energy produced, corresponding to an EROI of 3:1 (Ibid). However, if the energy input is electricity and the output oil this would imply a quality-corrected EROI of close to unity. On the other hand the utilization of natural gas produced during the ICP in-situ process doubles the energy efficiency to 6 Btu of energy produced for each Btu consumed corresponding to an EROI of 6:1. In addition shale oils are a special case, like tar sands, where a large proportion of the energy can be generated from the resource itself (Ibid).

For the mining and retort process, the net energy return (NER) is very low if total energy inputs are counted (NER < 1.5) (Brandt 2006, 2007). In a more recent study, Brandt concludes that the EROI for shale oil production using an ATP retort (a method reported to have the highest conversion efficiency – 88%) is somewhere between 1.9 and 2.5 (2007). However, based on a study in Kentucky USA, if some of the measurable environmental costs associated with shale oil production are included, the EROI drops another 3-9% (Lind and Mitsch 1981). Furthermore, Cleveland concludes that the EROI for shale oil ranges above and below the break even point, depending on assumptions regarding location, resource quality, and technology characterization (2005). The use of microwaves, an old technology with new enthusiasts behind it, supposedly would generate higher EROIs but there have been studies of this yet in actually field conditions.

It doesn't take much imagination to realize that a process which simply heats the rocks in situ and sucks up the kerogen would use less energy than some of the more complex and involved processes (such as Shell's Mahogany) which are currently being tested.

I'm sure when they do field tests of this we'll find out more.
Stuff for doomers to contemplate:
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1190117.html#p1190117
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1193930.html#p1193930
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1206767.html#p1206767
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Re: 1.53 Trillion Barrels of Oil

Unread postby bencole » Sun 03 May 2009, 10:55:06

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('OilFinder2', 'b')encole I based that statement on what someone on The Oil Drum said here. I've highlighted it in red.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')b]The use of microwaves, an old technology with new enthusiasts behind it, supposedly would generate higher EROIs but there have been studies of this yet in actually field conditions.




This just reiterates what I said previously , in that this process hasn't been tested under field conditions, therefore no claims can be made of its potential EROEI advantage.




$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')t doesn't take much imagination to realize that a process which simply heats the rocks in situ and sucks up the kerogen would use less energy than some of the more complex and involved processes (such as Shell's Mahogany) which are currently being tested.


Technically RF energy doesn't "heat" the rocks , it does "work" on them, so its not as simple a process as one might think. This process has been studied for several decades, with the opinion favoring longer wavelength radiation over microwaves because of deeper penetration into the resevoir. The generation of these RF waves is of course, energy intensive, the critical factor is whether the work done by exciting the molecules in order to flow into the well bore is greater or less than the heat pumped into the resevoir by the heating elements by the other in situ method. Other complexity factors are identical in both processes, such as isolating the resevoir production zone from intrusion by the surrounding groundwater.




$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')'m sure when they do field tests of this we'll find out more.


When they do tests we will at most find out something, not more, about the viability of this process, since there is no information right now to base anything on.
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Re: 1.53 Trillion Barrels of Oil

Unread postby copious.abundance » Sun 03 May 2009, 19:01:09

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('bencole', '
')This just reiterates what I said previously , in that this process hasn't been tested under field conditions, therefore no claims can be made of its potential EROEI advantage.

[...]


When they do tests we will at most find out something, not more, about the viability of this process, since there is no information right now to base anything on.

I'll be sure to keep you informed as they test the process in the field over the next several years. :)
Stuff for doomers to contemplate:
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1190117.html#p1190117
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1193930.html#p1193930
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1206767.html#p1206767
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Re: 1.53 Trillion Barrels of Oil

Unread postby bencole » Mon 04 May 2009, 00:00:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('OilFinder2', '
')I'll be sure to keep you informed as they test the process in the field over the next several years. :)


I'm sure you will.
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Re: 1.53 Trillion Barrels of Oil

Unread postby Oerdin » Sun 23 Aug 2009, 15:29:01

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('OilFinder2', 'E')verybody's favorite topic. :-D

>>> Bloomberg <<<


That's just in Colorado too. The shale oil deposits cover states from the Dakotas all the way to Utah and up into Canada. Now, this oil cannot be recovered by conventional means (Anyone remember the shale oil hype in the 70's?) so to recover it you'd have to mine it like they mine the oil sands in Alberta plus you'd require A LOT of water to help seporate the oil from the fine grained shale. I, as a geologist, fully expect there to be little processing of shale oil in my lifetime mainly because of the price required to recover it.
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