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A forum for discussion of regional topics including oil depletion but also government, society, and the future.

The Chicago Way

Unread postby ReverseEngineer » Mon 29 Dec 2008, 04:11:16

With all the debate around here about whether or not citizens should have the right to own guns, nobody ever discusses Knives. From the BBC$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', ' ')The Sun declares six people a week are stabbed to death in Britain, after the Tories obtained fatal stabbing figures. The Telegraph says it is the highest figure for three decades, adding that a knife victim is admitted to hospital every 72 minutes in Britain.
BBC
We also know from the news that another famed Gunless society, Japan, often has Knife wielding attackers: $this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A') lone attacker rammed a truck into pedestrians, then slashed his way with a survival knife through Sunday shopping crowds in one of Tokyo’s most popular neighborhoods, killing seven people and wounding 10. Police quoted Tomohiro Kato, 25, as saying he came to the Akihabara district, a canyon of computer and electronics stores, vowing to “kill people.”
LA Times

Now obviously, it would be pretty hard for people to cut up their food if you banned knives, so I guess all food would have to be precut up like you do for your kids who can't handle knives safely. However, how would you open up those Blister packs of plastic so tough you cant open them any other way?

Seriously, the idea of Banning Knives is ludicrous, so you have to acknowledge the fact that psychos and other desperate people will use them to commit crimes, especially in an environment where nobody is carrying a gun. Who does this hurt the most? Women of course, because even if she is also armed with a knife, unless she is very good and very fast with it, a larger male will almost certainly disarm her.

Handguns are a great Equalizer. In the situation of that Psycho in Japan, if just a couple of people in the crowd had a gun, he woulda been plugged full of lead before he got to the second victim.

Given the hard times and dangers ahead, particularly in more densely populated areas, how would you defend your home if a couple of big guys kicked in the door to your house armed with Hunting Knives in one hand, hatchets in the other? You gonna run to the kitchen and get a Butcher Knife and go Hand to Hand with them? If you don't have a gun that's about your only choice. If on the other hand you keep your Trusty Glock at arms reach next to the Tv Remote Control, you plug them both before they make it out of the foyer and into the living room.

Granted, in the scenario where you have a gun, the bad guys do also, but at least you have levelled the playing field here. Its not that bad YET in some of those countries where the citizens don't have guns to protect themselves, but you can see it coming down the pipe when you read about the stabbings in London and the Psychos in Japan.

The Bad Guys will always have weapons. Anybody who spent time in Prison knows how to make a Zip Gun. I cannot see how anyone can make a case anymore for not allowing the GOOD people to own guns, when you KNOW the bad guys will have something to use to threaten or kill you or your family with.

In the Untouchables, the Irish Cop played by Sean Connery put it like this: "He pulls a knife, you pull a gun. He sends one of yours to the Hospital, you send one of his to the MORGUE. That's the Chicago Way."
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Re: The Chicago Way

Unread postby uNkNowN ElEmEnt » Mon 29 Dec 2008, 04:54:08

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')ho does this hurt the most? Women of course, because even if she is also armed with a knife, unless she is very good and very fast with it, a larger male will almost certainly disarm her.


This is misleading. It takes 25 feet. In other words you have to see someone coming at you with a knife and they have to be at a minimum 25 feet away before you can recognize and prepare to meet an attacker. No matter how skilled or how much training you have. No one stands much of a chance, being a woman has little to do with this. The average person can't defend themselves against a knife wielder.

Further unless you are trained in something like escrima... forget it. This is not some guard dog attacking you. This is a murderous, goal oriented person who won't be stopped by anthing less than a bullet or a trained defender.

I've been attacked by both and I would far rather face another guard dog than one of those suicidal, deranged or drugged types.
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Re: The Chicago Way

Unread postby wisconsin_cur » Mon 29 Dec 2008, 05:01:14

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('uNkNowN ElEmEnt', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')ho does this hurt the most? Women of course, because even if she is also armed with a knife, unless she is very good and very fast with it, a larger male will almost certainly disarm her.


This is misleading. It takes 25 feet. In other words you have to see someone coming at you with a knife and they have to be at a minimum 25 feet away before you can recognize and prepare to meet an attacker. No matter how skilled or how much training you have. No one stands much of a chance, being a woman has little to do with this. The average person can't defend themselves against a knife wielder.


I'm curious about the source of that information. I do not dispute it; I just don't think I understand it.

Wouldn't it be more accurate to measure in seconds? If we are both at a standstill, do I still need 25 feet? That would be about 8 paces (at my stride). On the very few occasions that I have had to take weapons away from people (only a knife once thank goodness) we were always closer than 25 feet... but I did have a few seconds...

Speaking only for myself it only takes about 2 seconds to get into my defensive stance, even from a prone position and if I am awake then my mind is in that posture in about the same time. If I am asleep my body still gets there in 2 seconds but it is probably another two for my brain to catch up.
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Re: The Chicago Way

Unread postby uNkNowN ElEmEnt » Mon 29 Dec 2008, 05:07:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('wisconsin_cur', '
')
I'm curious about the source of that information. I do not dispute it; I just don't think I understand it.

Wouldn't it be more accurate to measure in seconds? If we are both at a standstill, do I still need 25 feet? That would be about 8 paces (at my stride). On the very few occasions that I have had to take weapons away from people (only a knife once thank goodness) we were always closer than 25 feet... but I did have a few seconds...

Speaking only for myself it only takes about 2 seconds to get into my defensive stance, even from a prone position and if I am awake then my mind is in that posture in about the same time. If I am asleep my body still gets there in 2 seconds but it is probably another two for my brain to catch up.


That is what we were taught at the "academy". This is just what they teach all the law enforcement in BC. I haven't had to do this personally. I've disarmed other weapons but not knives so I can't speak from an experiential stand point....

did you notice that if you take the first and last three letters of your screen name you get wiscur... as in whisker...

Edited to add: I think they were talking about someone coming at you with a knife. not to many of the situations we were in would involve two people standing facing each other (one with a knife).
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Re: The Chicago Way

Unread postby wisconsin_cur » Mon 29 Dec 2008, 05:17:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('uNkNowN ElEmEnt', '
')
did you notice that if you take the first and last three letters of your screen name you get wiscur... as in whisker...



I wish that I could say that this was on purpose but it was an accident. I noticed it about six months ago.
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Re: The Chicago Way

Unread postby uNkNowN ElEmEnt » Mon 29 Dec 2008, 05:20:19

Well its cool anyway.
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Re: The Chicago Way

Unread postby wisconsin_cur » Mon 29 Dec 2008, 05:26:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('uNkNowN ElEmEnt', 'W')ell its cool anyway.


ty... I have started using it some as a signature here and as a peakoil.com dedicated email address: wis.cur@gmail.com

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Re: The Chicago Way

Unread postby uNkNowN ElEmEnt » Mon 29 Dec 2008, 05:37:34

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('wisconsin_cur', '
')Image


Now there's some whiskers... not to take things to far off topic but I heard the other day that a lions muzzle was as unique as a fingerprint. Apparently no two lions have the same configuration of whiskers... go figure eh?

On topic. If the increase in the use of knives is a growing trend there will be a big market for knife fighting martial arts I think. Personally, there's only really one that would be any good in a street fight, though I am sure that many would say they have enough to help a person defend themselves in a real street fight.

Even if someone wanted to protect themselves against this kind of thing and took the course they'd get rusty in no time, from non-use. Better to carry a big stick. More possible excuses to ahve one, they are handier and I'd personally recommend a big piece of rattan. great for carrying grocery bags and they don't shatter/splinter like most woods.

While they don't seem to pose an overt threat like carrying a knife or gun around, you can stun, or kill someone with it. You just have to know where to hit someone and where to avoid, depending on your intent.
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Re: The Chicago Way

Unread postby wisconsin_cur » Mon 29 Dec 2008, 05:43:02

A person with a knife is trusting the knife to do its work. Take control of the wrist holding the knife and you have a couple of seconds. Strike the elbow or the twist until the knife drops and then take the person down or whatever the situation calls for.

It does take practice... I can sometimes do not give enough credence to the need for practices since I have dealt with hundreds if not thousands of hand strikes the last 10 years. A knife is just an extension of the hand hand once you control the hand you are where you need to be with a common thug.

A practiced professional would be another issue.
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Re: The Chicago Way

Unread postby uNkNowN ElEmEnt » Mon 29 Dec 2008, 05:50:24

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('wisconsin_cur', '
')
A practiced professional would be another issue.


IOW, you wouldn't want to fight yourself....
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Re: The Chicago Way

Unread postby wisconsin_cur » Mon 29 Dec 2008, 05:55:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('uNkNowN ElEmEnt', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('wisconsin_cur', '
')
A practiced professional would be another issue.


IOW, you wouldn't want to fight yourself....


I'm only really good at defense... not that good at offense. I haven't had any practice at it. There is some overlap but offense really is harder... esp that first commitment thrust.

If I was facing off against myself neither one of us would make the first move... then neither one of us would be upset enough to attack and then maybe we would go out and have coffee and talk about our families, peak oil and post-modern epistemology.
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Re: The Chicago Way

Unread postby uNkNowN ElEmEnt » Mon 29 Dec 2008, 06:12:18

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('wisconsin_cur', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('uNkNowN ElEmEnt', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('wisconsin_cur', '
')
A practiced professional would be another issue.


IOW, you wouldn't want to fight yourself....


I'm only really good at defense... not that good at offense. I haven't had any practice at it. There is some overlap but offense really is harder... esp that first commitment thrust.

If I was facing off against myself neither one of us would make the first move... then neither one of us would be upset enough to attack and then maybe we would go out and have coffee and talk about our families, peak oil and post-modern epistemology.


then you are exactly the kind of guy I'd like to come across in an alley... go out for a mocha at the local java shop? I'm game. The best defense is to avoid a confrontation anyway. It amazes me how law enforcement seems to be getting away from the communication medium.

I see law enforcement as having gotten away from talking to people and more jsut makinga determination based on their own bias. Its pathetic really. Less professionalism and more of a "bouncer" mentality.
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Re: The Chicago Way

Unread postby wisconsin_cur » Mon 29 Dec 2008, 07:13:37

Because I should "only" dealing with people whose only weapons are their hands I do not practice the higher end violence advocated in this link, it reveals my basic practice; instead of bashing heads into concrete I usually roll/fall to my right taking the person to the ground with me on top where I can quickly gain control of their person until additional help arrives.

Dealing with an armed attacker
bold mine
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'Y')our best chances of success when facing an attack by a weapon are based on how well you meet the following criteria:

1) deflect the weapon so it is pointing else where (personally I like coming up from below)

2) instead of trying to 'control' the weapon, do something to keep his arm from coming 'back' and bringing the weapon back into play (I call this 'shielding')

3) MOVE -- personally I am REAL fond of getting behind his elbow and keeping going.

4) Immediately pile drive his head into the concrete before he can figure out how to return the weapon into play (crushing his throat is optional, but it does make pile driving easier -- especially if you can't move to the outside and get behind his elbow). While we're on the subject, moving -- aside from making it harder for him to bring the weapon back towards you -- makes pile driving him a WHOLE lot easier.

5) Buy distance (DON'T stand there and admire your handy work)

The details of how you achieve these standards aren't nearly as important as the fact that you meet them. If you want to minimize damage to yourself, you must not only achieve these five points, but do it without hesitation and with full commitment.


Faced with a weapon I would probably advocate more fully what the author offers... though it would be hard because I have not practiced it...

Frankly, it would depend upon how dangerous the scene was since I have bound myself to a code that makes lethal violence... unjustifiable... doesn't mean I am incapable... only that I could not justify it afterwards... the only recourse I would have is repentance.

and to reinforce some of what UE said,

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '1')) When faced by a threat display that offers you a chance to leave/stop a behavior -- take him up on the offer. In fact, it's usually better if you do both. This especially if it is NOT your job to deal with these kinds of problems.
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Re: The Chicago Way

Unread postby uNkNowN ElEmEnt » Mon 29 Dec 2008, 08:36:24

You would be amazed (I know I am) at the number of potentially violent situations I've resolved and/or walked away from (without having it become physical) by concentrating on keeping my body language non-threatening and keeping my voice soft and unstressed.

Some of them I would have been large sums of money on that were about to escalate to physical violence. (I know that may shock some people since I come off as pretty confrontational but hey, I don't have to moderate myself. here I can be myself... mostly).
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Re: The Chicago Way

Unread postby uNkNowN ElEmEnt » Mon 29 Dec 2008, 09:34:06

I jsut started reading the link wis_cur posted above. Its good especially this.

This guy speaks my language. he knows what he is talking about and does it in a way you know he's not full of BS.
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Re: The Chicago Way

Unread postby Quinny » Mon 29 Dec 2008, 09:55:35

This is very sad. Life must be very difficult where you live.

The Argentina after collapse sounds like a safer place to be.

Is your country currently at war?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('cbxer55', 'W')hen I dress in the morning, a holster goes on my belt first thing. In that holster goes a Kimber CDP II .45. Another holster goes on my left ankle with a .32 North American Arms Guardian. A LARGE Benchmade folding knife goes in my right front pocket, a smaller in my left rear pocket.

So I have the knife and gun part covered, as well as always having a Surefire high-powered flashlight for dark conditions. Keep an ASP collapsable baton in my truck within reach. Also a rather HUGE fixed blade knife resides on the floor under the drivers seat.

I keep the Kimber and a flashlight real close at night when in bed. So I basically have a gun on me or near me 24/7. Having said that I sincerely hope there never comes a time when I have to use any of this equipment on another person. I'll do it and suffer the regret if put in that position, but would rather not.

I go to the range and practice monthly. I have passed an armed security guard class with a good old Colt Combat Commander .45.
I definitely support the second amendment, being a lifetime member of the NRA, and a member of The Second Amendment Foundation.

I have a huge collection of knives, folding and fixed. Switchblades are the biggest part of that collection. Time comes, I'll break them out if necessary. Kinda like John Locke on the t.v. show LOST.

But the thing to remember about knives and fighting with them. You will get cut! So do not take a knife to a knife fight. TAKE A GUN!
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Re: The Chicago Way

Unread postby cephalotus » Mon 29 Dec 2008, 10:30:35

1. I assume that it is much more difficult to kill someone with a knife face to face compered to kill someone with a gun from the distance.

2. I also doubt that it would make much difference if 5 guys come into your house for a gunfight or for a knife fight. In either case you are fucked. People tend to believe that they are better shooters than others (to many Hollywood films?), with knifes they seem to be a bit more realistic.

3. It is always good if the police is armed better than the typical guy/girl. At least if you life in a country where the police does its job.

4. Guns at home kill much more family members (in accidents) compared to intruders.

5. This is a peak oil forum. I see lots of people that use avatars with guns in various positions. To me it's a provocation if someone points a gun at my face.

I use an avatar showing a solar system. It would have -never- come to my mind to use a bloody kitchen knife as an avatar.
I do believe that some people here are hoping(!) for a doomer scenario, when they have wet dreams of becoming a kind of war lord in their neighbourhood with all their guns and stored food.

People seem to prefer different "solutions" and see different possible futures for themselves and I do know which kind of future I would prefer.

I don't believe that the average person is much different in various countries, but the way of life is different and makes people behave different. When there was the big flood in Eastern Germany in 2002 many, many people tried to help. They helped to build dams, brought food, offered shelter, gave money.

When I watched the TV news about the New Orleans flood in 2005 I saw signs like "looters will be shot" and guys standing in front of their houses posing with big rifles instead of offering a place for a tent and some food and fresh water to the refugees.
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Re: The Chicago Way

Unread postby mos6507 » Mon 29 Dec 2008, 12:09:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('cephalotus', '
')I use an avatar showing a solar system. It would have -never- come to my mind to use a bloody kitchen knife as an avatar.
I do believe that some people here are hoping(!) for a doomer scenario, when they have wet dreams of becoming a kind of war lord in their neighbourhood with all their guns and stored food.


I think it's a macho guy thing. It's really an easy copout for men to see destructive solution to peakoil fears rather than constructive ones. It's just easier to buy a gun and hoard rations in the basement than to actually risk looking "ghey" and plant a garden and talk to your neighbors.
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Re: The Chicago Way

Unread postby Quinny » Mon 29 Dec 2008, 13:35:59

I get the macho thing MOS, but there's a guy just posted here who feels he has to go out armed to the teeth every day of his life. That's not just macho posturing, but real serious fear, or intent to use. This can only increase the likelihood of someone being killed or injured. It's not just to defend his home either he's talking about every day wearing two farking guns. I thought cbx was from the states, but if there are places in the states where it's so dangerous you have to wear two guns on a daily basis you are definately in very serious trouble during the depression/post peak oil.

OK a gun might be a leveller, but IMO it levels everyones ability to kill up and their intelligence down.

I've been attacked/threatened with weapons (not guns) many times in my life, and they have mainly been used as a threat. As I recognised the threat and danger inherent in fighting with a weapon, I backed off, handed over my wallet (in one case) , or managed to deal with the situation without it resorting to violence. It's only resorted to violence three or four times where I was either surrounded or outnumbered. This happened mainly when I was younger. If I had been armed in a similar way, because of the 'macho' stupidity of youth I would probably have fought back on every occasion and I and others would probably ended up maimed or dead.

It's dangerous for people to be armed, it's obvious there are much more likely to be deaths if people are generally armed.

I suppose if you believe in overshoot their are ulterior motives for arming the masses! :(


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('cephalotus', '
')I use an avatar showing a solar system. It would have -never- come to my mind to use a bloody kitchen knife as an avatar.
I do believe that some people here are hoping(!) for a doomer scenario, when they have wet dreams of becoming a kind of war lord in their neighbourhood with all their guns and stored food.


I think it's a macho guy thing. It's really an easy copout for men to see destructive solution to peakoil fears rather than constructive ones. It's just easier to buy a gun and hoard rations in the basement than to actually risk looking "ghey" and plant a garden and talk to your neighbors.
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Re: The Chicago Way

Unread postby Golgo13 » Mon 29 Dec 2008, 16:05:46

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('uNkNowN ElEmEnt', 'I') jsut started reading the link wis_cur posted above. Its good especially this.

This guy speaks my language. he knows what he is talking about and does it in a way you know he's not full of BS.


Also this.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'O')ne thing we tried to throw out to the people who helped us with these formulas was something even the best of them would not take up the challenge -- but maybe you are better than they are. Use a crap shoot factor. Let us say that the scale runs from 1 to 20 of physical skill and competence. One being akin to someone with cerebral palsy in a wheelchair, 20 being a martial arts grand master who has survived countless real life combat situations.

Let's assign an everyman -- oh let's just pluck a number out of the air -- value of five. No training at all, physically not in great shape, just physically okay. Now for every technique from martial training that the person has "mastered" (i.e. can do it instinctively and correctly) add in a .2 value (to add up to five techniques gives you one complete point). Let's add in a .25 for every year of normal MA training the person has (four years means a point). Now let's add in a point for every "fight" the person has been in. Two points for every actual weapon experience the person has survived and two more for every time they have actually used a weapon on another human being. Let's randomly assign a -.333 for every light punch. A -1 for every hard blow you take.

Then let us assign a 10 point advantage to anyone with a weapon. Now as to that, let's just say you take a -3 for ever light slash you take (to make it fair make that over a five second period because you are bleeding out) and a -10 points for every deep slash and cut you take effective immediately (remember knives destroy muscle, tendons and nerves, if it's cut, it doesn't work anymore) Obviously, a fatal hit will result in minus -20 points. Like we said, assign the same values to your opponent.

Here is where the crap shoot factor come in. Go ahead and stack as many factors in your favor, but with all of your training and advantages, what level of opponent will you have to "fight" where you can even have a 50/50 chance of winning barehanded against a knife? If you have done everything to stack the deck in your favor to where you are say a 13. The guy with the knife will have to be a three -- because with that knife, he too has become a 13. Now, when you have numbers between one and 20, what are the odds of rolling a three or below?

And don't forget...for every 3 seconds it goes on, the odds change again. If you think our formulas are totally wrong, go ahead and prove us wrong by coming up with formulas that are better.


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')Strategies that have best chances

Of all the responses to the threat of a knife I have seen, four main strategies have the greatest success rate. Personally, I was adept at two of them and used them in my encounters. Going out and talking to people who had also survived knife encounters I have discovered that the people who managed to survive -- sometimes unscathed -- overwhelmingly used one of these four.

Now there may be a better strategy, but until it is proven in battle, these are the ones that have worked the best so far. They are listed in descending order of effectiveness.

1) Run like hell
2). Do an immediately effective response that prevents further attack.
3) Avoid the attack, buy distance, then deploy and use a longer range weapon
4) Go ape shit on the guy hoping that somewhere in there is an effective response

I should also point out that there is still a good chance of getting cut while doing anything other than option number one. Option number one was dubbed by Phil O'Brian, an ex Australian cop as the "Nike defense." And in all honesty, it does have the best success rate. Not only for keeping you alive, but uncut too.


FBI Statistics:

Subject shot, 10% die from their wounds

Subjects stabbed, 30% die from their wounds

Since 1980 the number of people routinely carrying knives in North America has increased by 92%
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