by Golgo13 » Mon 29 Dec 2008, 16:05:46
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('uNkNowN ElEmEnt', 'I') jsut started reading the link wis_cur posted above. Its good especially
this.This guy speaks my language. he knows what he is talking about and does it in a way you know he's not full of BS.
Also
this.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'O')ne thing we tried to throw out to the people who helped us with these formulas was something even the best of them would not take up the challenge -- but maybe you are better than they are. Use a crap shoot factor. Let us say that the scale runs from 1 to 20 of physical skill and competence. One being akin to someone with cerebral palsy in a wheelchair, 20 being a martial arts grand master who has survived countless real life combat situations.
Let's assign an everyman -- oh let's just pluck a number out of the air -- value of five. No training at all, physically not in great shape, just physically okay. Now for every technique from martial training that the person has "mastered" (i.e. can do it instinctively and correctly) add in a .2 value (to add up to five techniques gives you one complete point). Let's add in a .25 for every year of normal MA training the person has (four years means a point). Now let's add in a point for every "fight" the person has been in. Two points for every actual weapon experience the person has survived and two more for every time they have actually used a weapon on another human being. Let's randomly assign a -.333 for every light punch. A -1 for every hard blow you take.
Then let us assign a 10 point advantage to anyone with a weapon. Now as to that, let's just say you take a -3 for ever light slash you take (to make it fair make that over a five second period because you are bleeding out) and a -10 points for every deep slash and cut you take effective immediately (remember knives destroy muscle, tendons and nerves, if it's cut, it doesn't work anymore) Obviously, a fatal hit will result in minus -20 points. Like we said, assign the same values to your opponent.
Here is where the crap shoot factor come in. Go ahead and stack as many factors in your favor, but with all of your training and advantages, what level of opponent will you have to "fight" where you can even have a 50/50 chance of winning barehanded against a knife? If you have done everything to stack the deck in your favor to where you are say a 13. The guy with the knife will have to be a three -- because with that knife, he too has become a 13. Now, when you have numbers between one and 20, what are the odds of rolling a three or below?
And don't forget...for every 3 seconds it goes on, the odds change again. If you think our formulas are totally wrong, go ahead and prove us wrong by coming up with formulas that are better.
Of all the responses to the threat of a knife I have seen, four main strategies have the greatest success rate. Personally, I was adept at two of them and used them in my encounters. Going out and talking to people who had also survived knife encounters I have discovered that the people who managed to survive -- sometimes unscathed -- overwhelmingly used one of these four.
Now there may be a better strategy, but until it is proven in battle, these are the ones that have worked the best so far. They are listed in descending order of effectiveness.
2). Do an immediately effective response that prevents further attack.
4) Go ape shit on the guy hoping that somewhere in there is an effective response
I should also point out that there is still a good chance of getting cut while doing anything other than option number one. Option number one was dubbed by Phil O'Brian, an ex Australian cop as the "Nike defense." And in all honesty, it does have the best success rate. Not only for keeping you alive, but uncut too.