It appears the pressures of overshoot to produce more food quicker are taking their toll on the world's food supply by making it progressively more unsafe to eat. Of course NOT eating isn't very safe either, but the number of stories relating to poisoned or tainted food are ever increasing. China seems to be in the forefront of this problem.
http://www.iht.com/articles/2008/11/02/news/china.php
Its been made pretty clear that in their rush to industrialization, the Chinese have played fast and loose with environmental considerations. Now of course heads are rolling in the Chinese Bureaucracy as tons of food has to be destroyed due to melanine contamination.
The Chinese of course are not the only ones who have had food contamination problems lately, the Tomato problem hit Mexico very hard, even though it was never entirely clear the problem stemmed from Mexico or even tomatoes.
Clearly the food production apparatus has been stretched past the breaking point, particularly in China. The economy there grew at a breakneck pace over the last decade, along with the population, but the concept that China is poised to dominate the world with the fall of the US and that their economy will continue its growth while ours disintegrates is clearly absurd. The Chinese will suffer the effects of Peak Oil and resource depletion more than anyone else, by simple virtue of the fact they have so many more mouths to feed.
Prices of all commodities, gas and food included are now depressed to rock bottom prices in the deflationary spiral here in the US, but as we work our way into next year's growing season and the current inventories of grain and processed foods are drawn down, eventually here we have to face shortages and rising prices. How high a price for food can unemployed people really afford anyhow? Gas may be semi-optional, you can substitute a bike or carpool a lot, but you can't substitute for food and you can't pool it either. You can go out to Fast Food restaurants less and buy cheaper bulk foods as long as they are available, but the pressures on the supply will continue increasing here.
Obviously, those here on Peak Oil with their own subsistence farms are the best positioned to maintain a renewable source of safe to eat food for a while. However, what do you do when you have enough to eat but those around you are starving? Point rifles out your farmhouse window and yell "Go Away! Go AWAY!"? Eventually the numbers overwhelm you, so its not a very good solution to the problem.
Food production and distribution will at some point have to be collectivized, but how this will be done remains an open question. Pretty clearly though, the proximal cause of die off here is going to be a lack of food worldwide. The pooreset countries in the world with the least arable farmland will be the ones to suffer this problem first and hardest, as they are already doing. How long it takes to hit here at home in the USA remains to be seen as well, the production apparatus is still there and enough oil is still there, but the economics are falling apart. Until its accepted that the monetary system cannot work to run the businesses and run the trucks and provide the jobs so people can afford to buy the food and some other system is placed in to make that happen, we will have a real problem. Will there be sufficient political courage in Congress and in the next president to do what is necessary to insure that Americans get enough food to eat, at least for a while? Or will we just fight it out on the Doomsteads, trying to hold on to our last crop of potatoes?
Reverse Engineer