by aflurry » Tue 30 Sep 2008, 13:46:16
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Roccland', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('RdSnt', 'T')he conspiracy theory reasoning is almost always way to complicated to execute successfully.
Not really...
1) create a new pearl harbor -
check2) drops interest rates to 1% -
check3) loan money to those who can't pay and give them 3-5 years to prove it -
check (ARMs were typically 3-5 year fuzes).
4) leverage this bad debt 80:1
checkHere's the kicker and my thesis...this collapse was set to occur precisley when PO hit. See PO was to usher in economic collapse anyway.
If you are king of the word...you would do this on your terms. And "they" have.
Meh.
I feel like Occam's Razor cuts this kind of thing to shreds. Here's a simple premise that explains everything. We have all been living beyond our means since the Reagan Revolution and "morning in America."
That was the day we all created the Matrix, to use an analogy people here enjoy. And chose to believe in the divine market and wealth through optimism, rather than to put on the cardigan sweater of real-life like Carter fricking asked us to.
Yes. It is directly tied into Peak Oil, because that fundamentally defines what "our means" means. It is no accident that morning in America occurred at precisely the same time as the production curve went convex: still rising, but every day at a slower rate. Reagan was swept in on a peevish adolescent, "screw you mom and dad! you can't make me get a job. i'm just gonna follow the Dead around and live on miracles." Actually, very much like that because it was those very same Dead following boomers who after highjacking the honorable tradition of hard-working social liberalism and turning it into a dreadlocked key party circus, turned easily into single issue Golem voters.... "hiss... my precious taxeses...."
Yes. The current financial meltdown was inevitable, but that's different from saying it was planned. The complexities of debt derivatives are all designed to achieve the same goal which is to sequester return from risk for some temporal window of opportunity. A by-product of the common and increasing usage of these things is a generalized increase in leverage, AKA, reduction of savings, AKA, living beyond our means, AKA, using more energy than we are creating or finding.
Why build some story about planned events when it's all just logical. The market collapse isn't manufactured lto "mask" peak oil. It IS peak oil. And the fact that it arrives at exactly the same time as peak production need not have been planned to have been necessary, in fact it is mathematically necessary.
increases in economic leverage fundamentally require increases in energy input. if the energy increase is slow, you can always double down on leverage to create economic expansion. but as soon as the increase in energy stalls at zero, you can multiply that zero as many times as you want, and still get zero.
i think people on this board put far too much emphasis on the meaning of this bailout as a public event. the difference between "public" and "private" money is so arbitrary right now. We collectively agreed to live this way, publicly, by the politicians we put in office and the dances we made them do, privately by the unsupportable ways we've lived.
someone here posted this faux-pithy quotable that "taxes are just one group of people stealing from another group." i think he should go one step further and say, ala Pierre Joseph Prouhon "property is theft." We are all responsible for this. The Republicans led the charge, and then the Democrats kowtowed so they wouldn't go the way of the Whigs...
But we all invented those parties and we will be the ones to pay back the debt whether it is done through public bailout or private catastrophe. That doesn't matter hardly at all, and it's so anachronictic to read all you creepy "i was right all along" junky so-called libertarians jumping up and down about this thing like it makes a bit of difference at all.
they are just the leftover whiners who want to shirk their part in shouldering the debt. i'm not going to go down the path of arguing that you were as responsible for it as any other breathing person, and that the benefits you enjoyed include the fact that in all likelihood you have so far not been robbed of your meager yearly crop of rutabegas. i'm just saying, man, it doesn't matter if you were personally responsible. sometimes you just have to sacrifice and pay up for things you didn't break. so grow up and help out.