Donate Bitcoin

Donate Paypal


PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

Doomers Don't Believe In America

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

Re: Doomers Don't Believe In America

Postby Carlhole » Thu 25 Sep 2008, 18:26:26

Doomer-Author, James Howard Kunstler's, A World Made By Hand paints a bleak picture of post-peak America, circa 2025.

The American government is useless and exists as hardly more than a rumor in the novel. Broad American society has died. Violent anarchy, disease, atrocities, widespread death is prologue to the beginning of Kunstler's tale. A barter economy in the town prevails.

The exhausted people in Kustler's novel have been limping along by improvising, tending their gardens and trading whatever they can for useful materials from the town dump which is savenged by a former biker gang. The biker gang is beginning to grow powerful and has begun to terrorize the town's citizens.

Closeby, a feudal feifdom, surrounding the person of the town's former mayor, has been reasonably successful but it tends to ignore the struggling townspeople who have not sworn alliegiance as vassals to the feudal lord mayor.

A large, fundamentalist religious commune has arrived in town from a strife-torn Virginia. The commune, lead by its charismatic and Bible-literalist leader, eventually does battle with the former bikers, destroys them, and takes over the dump. The novel ends before we see any conflict or synthesis between the religious commune and the feudal feifdom. However, at the end of the novel, the strong men leading each group seem cooperative and friendly.

So, according to Kunstler, religious communism, feudal systems, or gangs will surplant those American traditions which have defined our culture. Individual initiative is worthless, for example. Innovation is dead. There is no democracy. No science. No engineering.

During one episode in the novel, the protagonist visits the State Capitol and actually finds the governor (!) still getting dressed up in a suit everyday and going to his office in a crumbling and decrepit State Office Building and doing nothing all day except delusionally pretending to do the work of the dead and ineffectual state government. Kunstler uses the example of the governor as a pathetic, insane case like the character of Miss Haversham in Dicken's novel "Great Expectations"

(Miss Haversham was the jilted bride who continued to wear her wedding dress well into her old age. She never cleared away the food and settings from her wedding day. And lived in insane squalor expecting her groom to reappear any moment until she burned to death in a fire).

James Howard Kunstler is a doomer who does not believe in America. He does not miss an opportunity to denigrate American culture or institutions in his Doomer novel.
Last edited by Carlhole on Thu 25 Sep 2008, 22:34:13, edited 3 times in total.
Carlhole
 

Re: Doomers Don't Believe In America

Postby allenwrench » Thu 25 Sep 2008, 18:29:02

Or don't you believe in America?


My beliefs have everything to do with 'what is' and are not based on wishful thinking. or blind patriotism.

When we are all 'yes men' we will get what we deserve.

Image

We're doing something near to impossible, which is to predict the future. Tons of IF's, AND's and BUT's that could happen. We just don't know.

As futurists we try to anticipate future events and the direction the world is headed in and as survivalists we try to prepare for those circumstances.
User avatar
allenwrench
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 862
Joined: Wed 23 Apr 2008, 03:00:00

Re: Doomers Don't Believe In America

Postby Carlhole » Thu 25 Sep 2008, 18:47:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('allenwrench', '[')i]Or don't you believe in America?


My beliefs have everything to do with 'what is' and are not based on wishful thinking. or blind patriotism.

We're doing something near to impossible, which is to predict the future. Tons of IF's, AND's and BUT's that could happen. We just don't know.

As futurists we try to anticipate future events and the direction the world is headed in and as survivalists we try to prepare for those circumstances.


As Doomers peer into the uncertain future, they find it easier to believe in the complete disintegration of America and its culture than in the possibility of an American society which has adapted to changed circumstances and innovated new solutions.

Forecasting the complete disintegration of such an advanced, fully developed country as the USA is an extreme belief. Yet Doomers find the possibility of the adaptation of American society even MORE extreme! That is remarkable...

...and indicative that Doomers simply do not believe in America, nor in its entrepreneurial spirit, nor in the intelligence, flexibility or foresight of its citizenry - and therefore, Doomers cannot partake of any pride in country nor in any feeling that patriotism might possibly be noble or worthy.

Because what good is patriotism when the nation will be turning teats-up in short order?
Last edited by Carlhole on Thu 25 Sep 2008, 18:55:04, edited 1 time in total.
Carlhole
 

Re: Doomers Don't Believe In America

Postby StuckInPhilly » Thu 25 Sep 2008, 18:54:55

Even Kunstler says that his book is one of the possible outcomes and much depends upon what happens and how people react to it.

It seems that your "belief in America" is just that - a leap of faith not based so much on actual facts as a desire to think that everything will be alright.

Other countries recognize PO and have task forces and studies, we have a few cities that realize what's going on and not much else.

I do have a great deal of respect for science and it's abilities, but it too is hampered by reality. You don't get those wonderful new inventions if they cost too much money to study or make.
“In the Soviet Union, capitalism triumphed over communism. In this country, capitalism triumphed over democracy.”
[Fran Lebowitz
StuckInPhilly
Peat
Peat
 
Posts: 111
Joined: Thu 24 Jul 2008, 03:00:00

Re: Doomers Don't Believe In America

Postby Carlhole » Thu 25 Sep 2008, 19:08:19

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('StuckInPhilly', '.')..your "belief in America" is just that - a leap of faith not based so much on actual facts as a desire to think that everything will be alright.


I have a high respect for Science as an institution. My mind is often boggled at what technological marvels people are able to produce. I have a great deal of respect for the quality of genius in certain individuals. I have no qualms with the wisdom of the Constitution in that it balances powers so that the Rights of the individual remain protected and are not subordinated to the group. I don't have any problems with the basic idea of Capitalism and Democracy.

I admire American culture for encouraging the individual to think outside the box and to reap great personal rewards for inventing solutions to problems big or small.

I think American culture is flexible and adaptive. And I thinik most Americans take great pride in their achievments as a people. I think we are headed into a period where the nation will be redefining itself once again. And it will be interesting to see how American culture adapts. But I certainly do NOT expect to see America completely disintegrate!

When you peer into the future, you are always forced to speculate about the unknown. When I do it, I speculate that America will innovate and adjust as it has in the past. This doesn't exempt it from possibly serious trials and tribulations, but I expect that our country will evolve to reflect new circumstances should they occur.

When Doomers peer into the future and speculate, they foresee a complete disintegration of the country.

Doomers don't believe in America!
Carlhole
 

Re: Doomers Don't Believe In America

Postby VMarcHart » Thu 25 Sep 2008, 19:38:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Carlhole', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('StuckInPhilly', '.')..your "belief in America" is just that - a leap of faith not based so much on actual facts as a desire to think that everything will be alright.
I have a high respect for Science as an institution. My mind is often boggled at what technological marvels people are able to produce. I have a great deal of respect for the quality of genius in certain individuals...
If I may say ... what makes me hang on to America IS my faith --mind, not religious fever. I'm very bearish on another piece of technology or the legislature. Whatever it is that will save us, will neither come from the JPL, MIT, the White House or Congress.
User avatar
VMarcHart
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1644
Joined: Mon 26 May 2008, 03:00:00
Location: Now overpopulating California

Re: Pat Buchanan - The Party's Over

Postby BlisteredWhippet » Thu 25 Sep 2008, 20:37:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Carlhole', '
')There is nothing innovative about a forge. That's 18th century technology.

Articles like this one, have repeated endlessly that people must return to village life or tribal life. In other words, this vision rejects the great majority of great American innovations of the 20th century.

This kind of Doomer vision counts as completely foregone the sort of continuing innovative thrust that American culture could possibly manifest in the approaching era of declining fossil fuels.


You totally misread and misrepresented what these 'zealanders are doing, to wit:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')The sustainable village is being developed by Atamai Village Council, a registered charitable trust . The trust now owns approximately 30 hectares of land zoned for rural residential development, and has the opportunity to acquire or lease an adjoining 69 hectares, parts of which are already being incorporated into the village.

Atamai Village is a human scale settlement designed on permaculture principles (further information available at www.atamai.co.nz). The purpose of the village is to provide a sustainable community which is frugal by design; where the basic infrastructure has a small footprint, is easy to maintain, and provides the basic necessities for a comfortable and attractive life. This secure foundation provides a base for more sophisticated activities compatible with sustainable living.

The basic features of the village include:


* Local provision of food, water and energy
* Passive solar home design (all homes are freehold titles)
* Car-free areas, where walking and cycling is supplemented by an internal transportation system as needed, and a car sharing option is available for external transport
* Layered technology – so that basic services rely on local, simple technologies under local control, while still enjoying complex, sophisticated technologies as they are available and consistent with sustainable living
* Carbon-neutral living – by avoiding use of fossil fuels and relying on terra preta based permaculture gardening practices to sequester carbon and improve soil fertility
* Village employment opportunities – both in terms of providing services to the village and the surrounding communities
* Common lands that include recreation and natural areas, orchards and wooded trails, and other features decided by villagers (e.g. a yoga centre, outdoor theatre, sport fields, etc)
* A governing body consisting of villagers themselves.


The village is planned for about 40 major dwellings with the potential for an additional number of minor dwellings, or “granny flats” to facilitate multi generational living – an important aspect of resilience. A traditional village centre is also envisioned, with a community hall, library, communication centre, and perhaps laundry. As the village common lands are owned by the trust, villagers will decide what amenities will be developed. As members of the trust which operates the commercially operated village maintenance company, and owns the various services provided by the village (e.g. mini photo voltaic grid), villagers benefit from both employment opportunities and the reduced costs derived from ownership of basic services.

Atamai Village Council has been established and an application for the first phase of 11 dwellings has been submitted to the local Council. While awaiting Council decision, several initiatives are underway to prepare the lands for residents. An orchard area has been terraced, planted and irrigated, thousands of timber, edible forest and amenity trees have been planted, and food production has begun. A tree nursery, greenhouse and propagation shed have been constructed, and plans are underway for an expanded organic food production operation. Considerable research has gone into the various technical aspects of village design – from house construction with local materials, appropriate solar panels, electric vehicles for internal transport, and intranet services, to composting toilets, grey-water systems and models of governance.


Which really has nothing to do with "tribalism". Sounds to me like some folks with a mighty smart disposition. As opposed to all others, in my view. The greater "thrust" of American innovation is just destruction; you think "personal" exceptionalism will beat out "national" exceptionalism. Two dueling arguments both mauling each other in the calf.

What I'm trying to say to you, and spray it, is this: After 3,000 posts, you need to start improving the content, or the quality of your posts, or we're going to have to have certain important people drop your "Carl-Hole" brand name down a bottomless gutter.


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')Personally, I think a return to tribal life is a non-starter without there first being a radical and dramatic population decrease. Because it is relatively dense population that creates the whole expectation of there being an entity called 'America' in the first place - along with our nation's dense composition of complex systems and inter-related institutions, and our general optimism and expectation that a bright national future can be achieved.


It really depends on a core constituency that resists the force of the forces at its edges. Consider debt instruments, for example. I don't know about you, but most people plan their days around eating, sleeping, shitting, fucking, or working. There is no excess period of time where anyone "uprises". As long as debt instruments are strengthened, they always have everyone and everything by the balls. Thats American capitalism, my boy.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')The true expression of a nation lies in the dynamic of its people - not in any paper document. Otherwise, whole cultures could be changed at the flick of a pen. American innovation and adaptation has been our proudest national trait for over two centuries. It's been especially so since the triumph of the "Greatest Generation" that Pat Buchanan mentioned.


This is a fallacy I hereby name: 'American Exceptionalism'. Or, the argument from American Exceptionalism. You can't prove America is exceptional. The very question is whether history proves it so. So Carl's Hole thinks its great. Who cares?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')Seems to me that those who advocate a return to tribal life simply do not believe in any sort of possibility of a triumphant cultural America because they do not believe in our most positive, fundamental identity.

What is at issue is the question you stated, "What is the true expression of a Nation?" You answered "the dynamic of its people". The American dynamic is the question. Whats your dipstick read?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')Retrenching into the past seems to me to be a complete rejection of basic American character and ideals. It's not looking forward... it's looking backward.


You're a slouch, Carlhole. Don't want to study history? Maybe this American Exceptionalism is just back to the future.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')If a retirement into tribal life occurs, America will have surely died.

Duhhh.. I have my steak knife out. Lets eat!
User avatar
BlisteredWhippet
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 848
Joined: Tue 08 Feb 2005, 04:00:00
Top

Re: Doomers Don't Believe In America

Postby Carlhole » Thu 25 Sep 2008, 20:53:43

...sounds to me like BlisteredWhippet does NOT believe in America.
Carlhole
 

Re: Doomers Don't Believe In America

Postby Snowrunner » Thu 25 Sep 2008, 22:09:53

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Carlhole', '.')..sounds to me like BlisteredWhippet does NOT believe in America.

Never mind him, she does, what could go wrong?

http://www.cbsnews.com/video/watch/?id=4478156n
User avatar
Snowrunner
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 795
Joined: Wed 24 Aug 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Screwed
Top

Re: Pat Buchanan - The Party's Over

Postby Carlhole » Sat 27 Sep 2008, 14:49:48

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('BlisteredWhippet', 'W')hat I'm trying to say to you, and spray it, is this: After 3,000 posts, you need to start improving the content, or the quality of your posts, or we're going to have to have certain important people drop your "Carl-Hole" brand name down a bottomless gutter.


Yeah? Who might those important people be?

And why would you want to make vague threats in a weak attempt to silence someone's discussion on a discussion forum?

Could it be because you don't believe in free speech - another great American value?
Carlhole
 
Top

Re: Doomers Don't Believe In America

Postby Narz » Sun 28 Sep 2008, 16:56:37

Nothing lasts forever baby. ;)

Why not take the best of what America represents & discard the rest? When libertarians start talking about a "return to the glory days" I have to check out to avoid wanting to wring their necks (a futile emotion for the most part, especially from behind a computer screen). The doomers have one thing right, a return to our "glory days" is as impossible as a return to the era of the megafauna (though who knows, perhaps a glorious "techno-fix", to quote the doomers, can bring them back :lol: ).

Fun thread, btw, thanks carlhole. :)
“Seek simplicity but distrust it”
User avatar
Narz
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 2360
Joined: Sat 25 Nov 2006, 04:00:00
Location: the belly of the beast (New Jersey)

Re: Doomers Don't Believe In America

Postby Narz » Sun 05 Oct 2008, 19:38:49

Carlhole doesn't believe in his own thread! :x
“Seek simplicity but distrust it”
User avatar
Narz
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 2360
Joined: Sat 25 Nov 2006, 04:00:00
Location: the belly of the beast (New Jersey)

Re: Doomers Don't Believe In America

Postby Carlhole » Sun 05 Oct 2008, 20:37:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Narz', 'C')arlhole doesn't believe in his own thread! :x


How so?
Carlhole
 
Top

Re: Doomers Don't Believe In America

Postby firefly » Sun 05 Oct 2008, 22:59:46

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Carlhole', '
')
I have a high respect for Science as an institution.

When Doomers peer into the future and speculate, they foresee a complete disintegration of the country.

Doomers don't believe in America!


Doomers believe in gravity.

When you drop something, it breaks.

Wonder Bush once said
"If you aren't with us, you are against us!"

If you don't believe our lie you are unpatriotic.
We need to remove the constitution for your protection.

We need to frisk old 82 year old ladies with hip replacements, and let the towel heads through without a problem.

W need to feed all the kids caffiene and suger so they will be reserved and calm, thoughtful students.

I believe in America, I don't believe in usurpers wh are trying to destroy it.
User avatar
firefly
Wood
Wood
 
Posts: 39
Joined: Sun 05 Oct 2008, 03:00:00
Top

Re: Doomers Don't Believe In America

Postby Carlhole » Sun 05 Oct 2008, 23:27:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('firefly', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Carlhole', '
')
I have a high respect for Science as an institution.

When Doomers peer into the future and speculate, they foresee a complete disintegration of the country.

Doomers don't believe in America!


Doomers believe in gravity.

When you drop something, it breaks.


Look, just to be clear, I think peak oil is as serious as a heart attack. But I think the best way to deal with it is as a society - actually as a global society.

And I think that America (and American culture) will be able to to pick up and move on even after being dropped to its knees in a severe energy crunch - by innovating and adapting. Whereas the Doomers believe that the whole country will virtually cease to exist. They believe that lifeboat communities will at least have SOME chance at survival.

Lifeboat communities would only work after Armageddon itself had raged and passed on; after vast numbers had died-off in conflict, disease and starvation; after tremendous destruction and conflagration. Any survivors would crawl out and form small communities.

However, if people were to try to hide out in lifeboat communities in a cataclysm big and bad enough to bring America down, there is NO CHANCE of any of these communities would remain intact and safe from the general social turmoil. It's easier to raid and overcome a fortress than to defend it. You have to have peace and order for constructive farming and that sort of thing to progress.

Crisis brings innovation and adaptation. And it is my opinion that America and the world of nations will continue on even if there is a long emergency in which life becomes very difficult and unpleasant.

I got started on this "Doomer's Don't Believe In America" thread because a few people on these boards accused me of being anti-American because of my political views or suspicions about 911 or whatnot.

Doomers bitching at ME for being "anti-American"?

Well, jezuz! Doomers are expecting the country to turn teats-up in short order! They don't believe in America's ability to whether hard times at all! America is going DOWN in their view!

Doomers don't believe in America.

And I do.
Carlhole
 
Top

Re: Doomers Don't Believe In America

Postby Cid_Yama » Sun 05 Oct 2008, 23:49:00

I pledge my life to the Constitution and the Declaration of Independence.

Those in power in the United States have demonstrated their total diisregard if not animosity towards same.

We have in power in this country enemies to our very core beliefs.

Your premise is wrong. What you are calling doomers are people that recognize that the Constitution is under threat from the very people you pledge your support.

I think that makes <b>you and those like you</b> enemies to the principles we uphold.
"For my part, whatever anguish of spirit it may cost, I am willing to know the whole truth; to know the worst and provide for it." - Patrick Henry

The level of injustice and wrong you endure is directly determined by how much you quietly submit to. Even to the point of extinction.
User avatar
Cid_Yama
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 7169
Joined: Sun 27 May 2007, 03:00:00
Location: The Post Peak Oil Historian

Re: Doomers Don't Believe In America

Postby Narz » Mon 06 Oct 2008, 00:04:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Carlhole', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Narz', 'C')arlhole doesn't believe in his own thread! :x


How so?

Heh, just bumping your thread for you man. ;)
“Seek simplicity but distrust it”
User avatar
Narz
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 2360
Joined: Sat 25 Nov 2006, 04:00:00
Location: the belly of the beast (New Jersey)
Top

Re: Doomers Don't Believe In America

Postby Carlhole » Mon 06 Oct 2008, 01:17:43

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Cid_Yama', 'I') pledge my life to the Constitution and the Declaration of Independence.

Those in power in the United States have demonstrated their total diisregard if not animosity towards same.

We have in power in this country enemies to our very core beliefs.

Your premise is wrong. What you are calling doomers are people that recognize that the Constitution is under threat from the very people you pledge your support.

I think that makes <b>you and those like you</b> enemies to the principles we uphold.


Doomers don't talk about any damn Constitution!

They say America is all washed up Constitution or not. Just read Kunstler or Dmitri Orlov or read any of the comments on this board.

The message is: There simply cannot be a society-wide response to peak oil in which America reinvents itself through innovation or adaptation. Doomers foresee a disintegration of America and a die-off.

That's not what I call "belief in America" - not in its charter, its government, institutions, businesses, not its culture nor its people.

The whole country is going to hell in the Doomer view and there is nothing that can be done about it. That's why energy science and technology is so manifestly unpopular around here - because potential solutions or adaptations are deemed ignorant or "cornucopian".
Carlhole
 
Top

Re: Doomers Don't Believe In America

Postby VMarcHart » Mon 06 Oct 2008, 07:33:19

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Carlhole', 'T')hat's why energy science and technology is so manifestly unpopular around here - because potential solutions or adaptations are deemed ignorant or "cornucopian".
You do understand that every solution, every invention, every new technology created by man brought us closer to over-population, soil depletion, ocean acidation, smog, deforestation, extinction of species, just to name a few, don't you? What's exactly THE science and technology that will really save us and make us more Americans? I know two, but they'll never ever be implemented. Please enlighten me.
On 9/29/08, cube wrote: "The Dow will drop to 4,000 within 2 years". The current tally is 239 bold predictions, 9 right, 96 wrong, 134 open. If you've heard here, it's probably wrong.
User avatar
VMarcHart
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1644
Joined: Mon 26 May 2008, 03:00:00
Location: Now overpopulating California
Top

Re: Doomers Don't Believe In America

Postby Narz » Mon 06 Oct 2008, 09:24:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('VMarcHart', 'Y')ou do understand that every solution, every invention, every new technology created by man brought us closer to over-population, soil depletion, ocean acidation, smog, deforestation, extinction of species, just to name a few, don't you? What's exactly THE science and technology that will really save us and make us more Americans? I know two, but they'll never ever be implemented. Please enlighten me.

Even so, innovation is what makes us human, we can't just go back to being non-innovative technological minded creatures without some sort of genetic lobotomy.

The logic - X has gotten us into this mess therefore X cannot help mitigate the mess is not sound.

It's like saying Joe talked his way into trouble, he can't talk his way out. If Joe is a good talker & becomes more mindful of how others perceive his words, he probably can. Just as we need to become more mindful about the way we use technology. In the past we mostly only focused on it's short term effects & benefits, that's not going to be good enough henceforth but it's no reason to become a Luddite. Humans can desertify, with permaculture (a philosophy & collection of sustainable practices cataloged from around the world, which most people have heard about thru the Internet) humans can restore desert areas somewhat.

I think I'm going to start a separate thread about this because it's an distinction I believe most people don't properly think about.
“Seek simplicity but distrust it”
User avatar
Narz
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 2360
Joined: Sat 25 Nov 2006, 04:00:00
Location: the belly of the beast (New Jersey)
Top

PreviousNext

Return to Economics & Finance

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest

cron