Donate Bitcoin

Donate Paypal


PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

PRICE at which gas will finally cause panic and chaos

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

Re: PRICE at which gas will finally cause panic and chaos

Unread postby threadbear » Fri 20 Jun 2008, 20:26:09

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Cashmere', 'T')he wiki article on Canadian health care is revealing.

2.2 doctors per 1,000 people. Average in 1st world is 3.

Several great stories about famous Canadians who came to the U.S. and paid out of pocket because they couldn't get the care in Canada, including a liberal politician who was ardently against a two-tier system. Until she needed breast surgery, then all of her liberal ideology went out the window and she used her wealth to go to another country to get her surgery.

Classic example.

Average wait time for MRI is off the charts.


Classic propaganda, exaggerates all the negatives of an imperfect system without highlighting any of the positives. Have you ever thought, Cashmere (and I just spoke with a couple of libertarian Albertans, one of whom works high up in the health care system in British Columbia, who also suspects this is true) that the average citizen in Canada is in a struggle with corporate forces that pressure the politicians with regards to our universal coverage, and do so in a clandestine manner, to further their own interests?

The politicians close hospitals and intentionally underfund health care, while running tax surpluses. Then they stand back and go...."look, we have to have a 2 tier system", or " see, the universal system really doesn't work and should be phased out over time."

There is a lot of shady stuff going on here.
User avatar
threadbear
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 7577
Joined: Sat 22 Jan 2005, 04:00:00

Re: PRICE at which gas will finally cause panic and chaos

Unread postby eastbay » Fri 20 Jun 2008, 20:46:48

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('thuja', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('cube', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('thuja', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('eastbay', '
')

Truckers in the USA are very unorganized and will not be able to conduct an effective strike any time soon. They are (lol) 'independent-minded' and think they are not in need of a representative organization.


You may be right but it really doesn't take much to do a trucker strike. About twenty trucks on major arterials slowing down and blocking all lanes. Voila...chaos...
...
That would never work in America....even if crude oil hit $300.

Americans tend to have very little tolerance for demonstrations which cause any type of public inconvenience. For example if the employees at a public transit agency were to go on strike causing havoc to people's commute schedules society would more likely vent their anger at the strikers and NOT management. That's why you rarely see crap like that happening in the USA as opposed to say France. At least that's what it says in the travel guide section for what to expect in France. :)

What happened in Spain where the police just stood by and did nothing but wait for the politicians would never happen in the USA. If a truck driver were to do something stupid like block the freeway, the police would show up in less than 5 minutes and arrest the truck driver on the spot if he doesn't get moving. The police and the politicians would have the full support of the American public.
Besides traffic citations for commercial vehicles can be very expensive.
Correct me if I'm wrong but truckers tend to be deathly afraid of getting slapped with a fine from the police.
(any American truck drivers here who?)


I'm not saying they wuld be effective- or be appreciated by the American public. I'm just saying it doesn't take much- a few disgruntled out of work truckers with an axe to grind. I remember way back in my hippie protesty days when I was a young lad a group of us marched onto the Freeway to protest US involvement with the Guatemalan government- shut it down for about 3-4 hours if I remember correctly. And that was about 20-30 grumpy hippies. Do you really think this couldn't happen in the States?

I'd say its more possible...



Well it certainly wouldn't take much to, say, close down I-5 near 240th in Kent (south of Seattle) in both directions. A few hundred trucks sitting parked in the north and south bound lanes would take quite awhile to clear. An action like that started at 6am would really make some news.

I suppose a highly localized protest is imaginable. In fact, I fully expect it fairly soon. But a nationwide work stoppage isn't happening at all unless they organize a decent union.
Got Dharma?

Everything is Impermanent. Shakyamuni Buddha
User avatar
eastbay
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 7186
Joined: Sat 18 Dec 2004, 04:00:00
Location: One Mile From the Columbia River
Top

Re: PRICE at which gas will finally cause panic and chaos

Unread postby cube » Fri 20 Jun 2008, 23:15:02

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('thuja', '.')..
I'm not saying they wuld be effective- or be appreciated by the American public. I'm just saying it doesn't take much- a few disgruntled out of work truckers with an axe to grind. I remember way back in my hippie protesty days when I was a young lad a group of us marched onto the Freeway to protest US involvement with the Guatemalan government- shut it down for about 3-4 hours if I remember correctly. And that was about 20-30 grumpy hippies. Do you really think this couldn't happen in the States?

I'd say its more possible...
I didn't say there wouldn't be a protest. In fact I'm quite sure from now till $300 oil, somebody out there will protest and try to stir up trouble. However I'm just saying there's a "cultural difference" between the USA and socialistic western Europe. Unions are not that strong over here and they often do not get support from the general public. Take for example the fiasco at GM and Ford right now. How many people feel sorry for the union workers? Not many. See what I mean!

The way it works in America is simple. If you don't like your job then get a new one. If you can't get a higher paying job that means you're not worth that much. Blame yourself NOT the rest of society. The value of anything whether a barrel of crude oil or a person's salary is based on the competing forces of supply and demand. That's basic free market capitalism and every high school student in the American public education system learns it. This is why I'm not afraid of "disruptive protests" they tend to get broken up VERY quickly in the good old USA.

Capitalism is not a dirty word in America, socialism is.
Economics, French-style
cube
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 3909
Joined: Sat 12 Mar 2005, 04:00:00
Top

Re: PRICE at which gas will finally cause panic and chaos

Unread postby thuja » Sat 21 Jun 2008, 00:02:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('cube', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('thuja', '.')..
I'm not saying they wuld be effective- or be appreciated by the American public. I'm just saying it doesn't take much- a few disgruntled out of work truckers with an axe to grind. I remember way back in my hippie protesty days when I was a young lad a group of us marched onto the Freeway to protest US involvement with the Guatemalan government- shut it down for about 3-4 hours if I remember correctly. And that was about 20-30 grumpy hippies. Do you really think this couldn't happen in the States?

I'd say its more possible...
I didn't say there wouldn't be a protest. In fact I'm quite sure from now till $300 oil, somebody out there will protest and try to stir up trouble. However I'm just saying there's a "cultural difference" between the USA and socialistic western Europe. Unions are not that strong over here and they often do not get support from the general public. Take for example the fiasco at GM and Ford right now. How many people feel sorry for the union workers? Not many. See what I mean!

The way it works in America is simple. If you don't like your job then get a new one. If you can't get a higher paying job that means you're not worth that much. Blame yourself NOT the rest of society. The value of anything whether a barrel of crude oil or a person's salary is based on the competing forces of supply and demand. That's basic free market capitalism and every high school student in the American public education system learns it. This is why I'm not afraid of "disruptive protests" they tend to get broken up VERY quickly in the good old USA.

Capitalism is not a dirty word in America, socialism is.
Economics, French-style


Yes agreed- I doubt there will be massive organized protests that will amount to mass social chaos. Again- I pointed to 10$/gallon for a greater unraveling. But we're going to start to see some real ugliness out there (already are) if gas goes up just another buck or two.
User avatar
thuja
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 2202
Joined: Sat 15 Oct 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Portland, Oregon
Top

Re: PRICE at which gas will finally cause panic and chaos

Unread postby patience » Sun 22 Jun 2008, 10:38:52

cube,
Agreed, that capitalism rules in the US. I wonder how long that will endure when the effects of PO hit hard? There is a great deal of feeling of entitlement here, too, that is, feeling entitled to have the life each of us has at present. When PO starts to take away the benefits of cheap energy, everyone will lose something, to various degrees. Those in the lower economic stratums will lose basic necessities first. Then, I think they will scream for the govt to "do something", as now, with fuel costs rising, truckers want subsidies, and everybody whines at the gas pump.

So far, people are simply trying to adapt and meet the costs of fuel by reducing driving and other purchases. From what I hear, that is fast approaching critical mass. Petty crime is rising out here in rural areas. Mostly, it seems to be the poor who can't make ends meet.

By election time this year, I'd expect the liar who promises the most relief to the poor and (so called) middle class to win the day. If I'm right, then it starts us down the road to more handouts/socialism.

As budget constaints hit hard, from reduced tax take, and interest on current govt debt, the handouts get to be fewer and less effective. We have a BIG problem.

edit: To address the topic, It looks like $5+ gas will make life a lot harder for a great number of people. The poorest will panic.
Local fix-it guy..
User avatar
patience
Resting in Peace
 
Posts: 3180
Joined: Fri 04 Jan 2008, 04:00:00

Re: PRICE at which gas will finally cause panic and chaos

Unread postby isgota » Sun 22 Jun 2008, 11:19:16

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrBill', '
')Sometimes you have to see the hubris for what it is, and realize that it is unrealistic expectations and not genuine economic hard times. There is a good reason why Spain (and Portugal) were so poor prior to joining the EU and getting access to a larger public trough.

As a European resident and taxpayer as well as a concerned citizen Spanish water policies are an absolute environmental disgrace, and the amount of corruption surrounding land speculation and development in Spain would make an Italian blush. If Scandinavians want to criticize that in jest or in ernst then I think they have a perfect right as EU citizens.



Well... The main reason that Spain (and Portugal) were so poor prior to joining the EU is that about 10 years before that day we were under a dictatorship regime, and this is no good for investments (just ask the EU newcomers from Eastern Europe).

And I'm agree with you about the corruption and housing speculation, it is a real shame and we are going to have hard times about it... But "water policies an absolute environmental disgrace"? What are you talking about? The Ebro river transfer? That was stopped 4 years ago by the new Government, so I'm afraid these are old news.

Best regards.
User avatar
isgota
Peat
Peat
 
Posts: 62
Joined: Sat 31 May 2008, 03:00:00
Location: Spain
Top

Re: PRICE at which gas will finally cause panic and chaos

Unread postby mos6507 » Sun 22 Jun 2008, 11:43:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('thuja', '
')But my guess is that truckers would ask for subsidization by the Gubmint for fuel. And they might deserve it. If we want food, fuel and goods transported, we better insure that truckers earn enough to accomplish that. This ain't the airlines...this is basic life support.


It's called raising prices. This whole wal-mart culture we're living in is driving inflation to hide in all sorts of other places besides the fricken pricetag. See the airlines for exhibit A. We want to delude ourselves to think that stuff is cheap when we are suffocating ourselves in hidden fees.
mos6507
 
Top

Re: PRICE at which gas will finally cause panic and chaos

Unread postby Heineken » Sun 22 Jun 2008, 13:18:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Cashmere', 'T')he wiki article on Canadian health care is revealing.

2.2 doctors per 1,000 people. Average in 1st world is 3.

Several great stories about famous Canadians who came to the U.S. and paid out of pocket because they couldn't get the care in Canada, including a liberal politician who was ardently against a two-tier system. Until she needed breast surgery, then all of her liberal ideology went out the window and she used her wealth to go to another country to get her surgery.

Classic example.

Average wait time for MRI is off the charts.


Classic propaganda, exaggerates all the negatives of an imperfect system without highlighting any of the positives. Have you ever thought, Cashmere (and I just spoke with a couple of libertarian Albertans, one of whom works high up in the health care system in British Columbia, who also suspects this is true) that the average citizen in Canada is in a struggle with corporate forces that pressure the politicians with regards to our universal coverage, and do so in a clandestine manner, to further their own interests?

The politicians close hospitals and intentionally underfund health care, while running tax surpluses. Then they stand back and go...."look, we have to have a 2 tier system", or " see, the universal system really doesn't work and should be phased out over time."

There is a lot of shady stuff going on here.


Naturally, as someone with no health insurance, I fully agree with Threadbear.

The current system is hopelessly corrupt and dysfunctional. Most health care workers agree with that (I worked as a pharmacy journal editor for many years and got the inside scoop, believe me). The current system can hardly be held forth as an example of the marvels of the free market. For one thing, it completely bypasses 40 million or 50 million Americans! I guess they just don't count, right? Well, lose your job and suddenly you're one of them.

Only relatively high employment has kept the US health care "system" afloat. Rising unemployment would knock the last leg from underneath the rickety structure.

We are already taxed, quite heavily. That tax money is misallocated on "defense" companies, a bloated imperial military, and 750 military bases, many with masseurs and swimming pools, which operate on highly socialist principles.

The hypocrisy of "leaders" who oppose universal health care transgresses loathesomeness into ludicrousness. All they are doing is protecting the insurance industry, which keeps them in office.
"Actually, humans died out long ago."
---Abused, abandoned hunting dog

"Things have entered a stage where the only change that is possible is for things to get worse."
---I & my bro.
User avatar
Heineken
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 7051
Joined: Tue 14 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Rural Virginia
Top

Re: PRICE at which gas will finally cause panic and chaos

Unread postby Byron100 » Sun 22 Jun 2008, 13:42:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Heineken', '
')
Naturally, as someone with no health insurance, I fully agree with Threadbear.

The current system is hopelessly corrupt and dysfunctional. Most health care workers agree with that (I worked as a pharmacy journal editor for many years and got the inside scoop, believe me). The current system can hardly be held forth as an example of the marvels of the free market. For one thing, it completely bypasses 40 million or 50 million Americans! I guess they just don't count, right? Well, lose your job and suddenly you're one of them.

Only relatively high employment has kept the US health care "system" afloat. Rising unemployment would knock the last leg from underneath the rickety structure.

We are already taxed, quite heavily. That tax money is misallocated on "defense" companies, a bloated imperial military, and 750 military bases, many with masseurs and swimming pools, which operate on highly socialist principles.

The hypocrisy of "leaders" who oppose universal health care transgresses loathesomeness into ludicrousness. All they are doing is protecting the insurance industry, which keeps them in office.


+1 :-D

You've hit the nail right on the head. The US health care system SUCKS...no buts, ifs or two ways about it. Yes, I have private health insurance. But it costs me so much per year, and has such poor coverage, it's really not much of an "insurance" plan at all. Furthermore, nearly half of all health care expenditures is from the government, which makes it even more difficult for the "free market" to operate.

Sadly, but 100% true, I want to see a 1918-style pandemic to hit the United States, just to crush the current system into dust (especially health insurance companies!), and that way, we can just plainly start all over again.

I'll make this real plain and simple. Free, sustainable, *basic* health care for everyone...let's get this into the Constitution, as well as basic old-age pensions for everyone (in case they try and gut Social Security to pay for more wars.) The GDP loading can be held at a low, fixed level by law, to prevent runaway health care inflation (sorry doctors, the gravy train is at the end of the line for you guys.) Basic rationing systems can also be put into place that would discourage unhealthy activities, such as tobacco use and abuse of alcohol / drugs / junk food / refusal to exercise, etc. There, problem solved.

Then maybe, just maybe, we can get our collective heads together and figure out how to feed ourselves in the post-peak depression.
Nowhere to run, nowhere to hide...
...and the meek shall inherit the Earth!
User avatar
Byron100
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 973
Joined: Thu 08 Sep 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Atlanta, GA
Top

Re: PRICE at which gas will finally cause panic and chaos

Unread postby Heineken » Sun 22 Jun 2008, 13:53:16

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Byron100', 'Y')es, I have private health insurance. But it costs me so much per year, and has such poor coverage, it's really not much of an "insurance" plan at all.


This is another important trend, which I forgot to mention.

As MonteQuest says, "Connect the dots."

What we urgently need is a basic universal health system, paid for at least in part by redirecting tax revenues away from worthless government bloat. Nothing fancy. Reasonable emergency services for acute injuries and illnesses. Long waits for more optional services.

The rich can still get their speedy, exotic, special care by paying extra.
"Actually, humans died out long ago."
---Abused, abandoned hunting dog

"Things have entered a stage where the only change that is possible is for things to get worse."
---I & my bro.
User avatar
Heineken
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 7051
Joined: Tue 14 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Rural Virginia
Top

Re: PRICE at which gas will finally cause panic and chaos

Unread postby Byron100 » Sun 22 Jun 2008, 14:09:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')s MonteQuest says, "Connect the dots."


You can bet I've been doing that for a long, long time. I can remember me talking to folks about the coming depression as long ago as the early '90's, and how everything was going to come unglued, health care system and all. I recall reading "exotic" writings as early as 1980 that our modern civilization was inherently doomed. Overshoot, peak oil, climate change, all that good stuff. Of course, back in 1980, 2010 was an awful long ways off.

Not anymore. :shock: So many trends, every single one of them rapidly converging into a single, utterly spectacular singularity.

Sometimes, when I think about this long enough, I feel an overwhelming sense of awe. That "Something Greater" out there (planet X metaphor) that's going to define how we're going to live, instead of the other way around. And it's getting very, very close.
Nowhere to run, nowhere to hide...
...and the meek shall inherit the Earth!
User avatar
Byron100
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 973
Joined: Thu 08 Sep 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Atlanta, GA
Top

Re: PRICE at which gas will finally cause panic and chaos

Unread postby Heineken » Sun 22 Jun 2008, 22:17:14

I think "it's" practically here, Byron.

That's been the pattern recently with all the bad things: they're moving faster and they're worse than anticipated even by many doomers, including myself.

Tonight they were practically saying "peak oil" on the NBC nightly news. The most real report I've seen to date. That and so many other things are signs of how dire our predicament is.
"Actually, humans died out long ago."
---Abused, abandoned hunting dog

"Things have entered a stage where the only change that is possible is for things to get worse."
---I & my bro.
User avatar
Heineken
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 7051
Joined: Tue 14 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Rural Virginia

Re: PRICE at which gas will finally cause panic and chaos

Unread postby DantesPeak » Sun 22 Jun 2008, 22:21:27

To summarize a long post I made: the US economy is operating as if is about $70. Outside of your corner gasoline station, most of the energy price increases in the last two years haven't yet reached the consumer level.

To say nothing bad has happened yet is like the story about a person jumping off the Empire State Building - when the person reached the 80th floor level he thinks - this is not so bad.
It's already over, now it's just a matter of adjusting.
User avatar
DantesPeak
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 6277
Joined: Sat 23 Oct 2004, 03:00:00
Location: New Jersey

Re: PRICE at which gas will finally cause panic and chaos

Unread postby Heineken » Sun 22 Jun 2008, 22:24:31

I've (frustratedly) made the same point several times, Dante.

The economy has a long and complex digestive tract. What goes in one end doesn't immediately come out the other.
"Actually, humans died out long ago."
---Abused, abandoned hunting dog

"Things have entered a stage where the only change that is possible is for things to get worse."
---I & my bro.
User avatar
Heineken
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 7051
Joined: Tue 14 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Rural Virginia

Re: PRICE at which gas will finally cause panic and chaos

Unread postby MrBill » Mon 23 Jun 2008, 03:45:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('isgota', 'A')nd I'm agree with you about the corruption and housing speculation, it is a real shame and we are going to have hard times about it... But "water policies an absolute environmental disgrace"? What are you talking about? The Ebro river transfer? That was stopped 4 years ago by the new Government, so I'm afraid these are old news.

Best regards.


Spain only recycles approximately 12% of its water whereas countries like Isreal in the same dry climate zone recycle over 75%.

Large water diversion projects are still being discussed in light of the current water shortages and importing water from as far away as France, but the greatest gains are being ignored like conservation and recycling. Water pricing needs to play a larger role as part of the solution.

If not for political corruption in land speculation perhaps some of those water thirsty golf courses might not have been built. As well forests that are deliberately burned to make way for development also make the region hotter, dryer, more prone to erosion and reduces water quality.

Don't get me wrong. I like Spain. If it makes you feel any better we had an environmental fair here in Limassol yesterday and the Commissioner for the Environment said many of the same things about Cyprus. We are failing to address the same climate change issues like water conservation as well.
The organized state is a wonderful invention whereby everyone can live at someone else's expense.
User avatar
MrBill
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 5630
Joined: Thu 15 Sep 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Eurasia
Top

Previous

Return to Economics & Finance

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 0 guests

cron