I believe very strongly that we'll see a retracement on Monday, perhaps $2-3 lower. It won't be much, but don't look for prices to rise above current levels.
The pattern in play seems to be stress building up to Friday where it reaches an unstable high. Then people take the weekend, indulge in their various fantasies, substances and reassuring cornucopian lifestyles and come back Monday ready to sell. It's really interesting to see this massive cognitive dissonance in the market.
Did anyone happen to see this article:
http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/080607/oil_prices_bodman.html
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')amuel Bodman, attending two days of meetings in northern Japan among energy chiefs from Group of Eight industrialized countries and other top economies, said
the surge in world oil prices was largely a simple problem of supply and demand.
Production has stalled since 2005 at 85 million barrels a day, while economic growth -- particularly in China and India -- has pushed demand ever higher, Bodman said before a meeting of ministers from the U.S., Japan, South Korea, India and China.
"
We're in a difficult position where we have a lid on production and we have increasing demand in the world," he told a small group of reporters,
dismissing the effects of speculation and unclear inventory levels and other factors on oil prices.
"I would devoutly hope we ... see a reduction of the use of oil in the world on the one hand, and an increase in the supply so we can see some mitigation in the pressure on price," Bodman said.