by chuck6877 » Tue 27 May 2008, 22:58:52
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Dan1195', 'D')ecent pullback today. Question is are we finally going to see a correction or is this just a kneejerk reaction due the report about demand in the U.S. going down. If its just a reaction to that report it will just be temporary as any decline in demand here will be offset by countries like China which subsidize the cost of gasoline. Yes Indonesia said it was going to stop subsidizing but since they do not use much oil any effects resulting from demand destruction here will be very minor.
It does look like the correction has begun.
Most technical analysts are scratching their heads on how overbought WTIC got on the MACD and RSI. WTIC also broke through longterm and intermediate trendlines.
It does appear in the future oil will climb at even faster percentage gains than in the past but one thing is for certain: Oil like anything else though will always go TWO STEPS FORWARD AND ONE STEP BACK unless there is a black swan event like war with Iran.
The steps back in the oil price are important and necessary in a bull market. Remember this in the future guys when you're all saying "IT's DIFFERENT this time."
You all got giddy like little girls watching the price go up. Shame on all of you. People are suffering out there.
We should all WANT TO BE WRONG ABOUT THE OIL PRICE GOING UP! ( Unfortunately, we're not though

)
Chuck