by AirlinePilot » Wed 07 May 2008, 13:09:24
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Gandalf_the_White', '$')1000 per barrel isn't going to be enough if it takes two barrels to produce one. That kind of arithmetic goes beyond fuzzy math. We like to call it the mathematics of doom. Why? You would always have to have external energy inputs into production. The trade off just does not work economically and that will become apparent soon I think if it is not perfectly clear now.
I like to point this out whenever I see another "peakster" really gets it. This is the single most difficult thing for J6P (or cornucopians) to grasp. For me the revelation was an epiphany. I immediately understood how royally and surely fucked we all will be by this.
You can throw around Hubbert, Deffeyes, Laherrere, Bartlett etc all day long, and show the numbers, but to truly understand how monumentally screwed we probably will be you have to understand EROEI and what it really means.
Its all just a matter of time and none of us knows the magic number for when things may truly turn ugly. I dont believe we have a lot longer to wait.