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Diesel or Gasoline?

Discussions of conventional and alternative energy production technologies.

If Americans switched to Diesel, we would save 40%.

Postby lorenzo » Sun 23 Jan 2005, 09:54:40

Some quick facts.

1. Diesel engines are roughly 40% more efficient than gasoline engines.
2. Ultra-low sulfur diesel is less polluting than gasoline
3. Knowing this, the average clean diesel car contributes about 50% less greenhouse gasses than a gasoline car
4. 5 to 20% biodiesel blends reduce main greenhouse gas emissions even further by 90 to 95%
5. In the EU, 50% of all cars are diesel, and biodiesel consumption is skyrocketing. In the US, fuel wasting and polluting gasoline still dominates 90% of the car market

In short, if everyone were to switch to bio-diesel blends, we could easily reduce 40% of global fuel consumption. That's simply enormous.

I don't really see what's holding Americans back. Why do they want to be such polluting, fuel wasting people? Why do they keep supporting terrorism and tyranny, while there are simple solutions to avoid this?

I drive a 1.9l clean diesel Volkswagen, and I use B20. I don't support terrorism, nor Dick Cheney.
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Re: If Americans switched to Diesel, we would save 40%.

Postby Jack » Sun 23 Jan 2005, 10:13:40

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('lorenzo', '
')In short, if everyone were to switch to bio-diesel blends, we could easily reduce 40% of global fuel consumption. That's simply enormous.

I don't really see what's holding Americans back. Why do they want to be such polluting, fuel wasting people? Why do they keep supporting terrorism and tyranny, while there are simple solutions to avoid this?

I drive a 1.9l clean diesel Volkswagen, and I use B20. I don't support terrorism, nor Dick Cheney.


Umm? And where will the feedstock for all this bio-diesel come from? It has to be grown, after all. That's going to be quite a farming operation, isn't it?

There's also the question of how much it will take, in terms of energy, to switch the entire automotive fleet from one form to another.

And now I have a question. When did you stop beating your wife? And, why do you hate freedom? 8)
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Postby marek » Sun 23 Jan 2005, 10:54:46

If you look at petroleum-derived diesel fuel, it only comprises a small fraction of crude oil. That is why France, which has a dominant diesel fleet, has to import MORE crude oil than it would if it had a more favorable gasoline-to-diesel ratio. After French refineries extract diesel from imported crude, they ship the rest of the gasoline abroad. If France had a more balanced gasoline-to-diesel ratio then they would be consuming the gasoline as well instead of importing extra crude oil to get more diesel. As far as the United States is concerned, it is true that Americans could waste less crude oil by using more diesel, although given that most goods are transported by diesel-powered trucks, it is hard to say how much diesel fuel is not being used. In this country, even most trains (except for the coastal areas) run on diesel, which is a disgrace. What I am saying is not that there is no room for diesel (of course there is). The issue is that there is an optimal balance of diesel to gasoline (France is away from that optimal point, and the U.S. is probably on the other side of the extreme). The best lesson that Americans can learn from Europeans is to drive smaller cars. A soccer mom really doesn't need a Ford Expedition. She would do just as well in a Peugeot 206.

As far as biodiesel is concerned, yes you can make use of old McDonald's oil but growing crops for the purpose of biodiesel is a net energy loser. Here is a summary (slightly biased but nevertheless worthwhile) of why biodiesel is not the answer: http://www.guardian.co.uk/guardianweekly/story/0,,1363756,00.html
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Postby lorenzo » Sun 23 Jan 2005, 11:15:18

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('marek', 'w')hy biodiesel is not the answer: http://www.guardian.co.uk/guardianweekly/story/0,,1363756,00.html


I know that article. It is completely flawed, since it takes low yielding crops (like rape and soy) as the basis for biodiesel.

Tropical crops yield up to 10 times as much.

The EU's 20% target can be easily met when you outsource a big chunk of the production to Central Africa and South America. Easily. And it would be much cheaper than importing crude or than subsidizing Eurofarmers.
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Postby MarkR » Sun 23 Jan 2005, 11:36:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he EU's 20% target can be easily met when you outsource a big chunk of the production to Central Africa and South America. Easily. And it would be much cheaper than importing crude or than subsidizing Eurofarmers.


So you want to replace one politically unstable energy producing region, with another. One that would also be considerably more vulnerable to weather/climate/disease anomalies?
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Postby lorenzo » Sun 23 Jan 2005, 11:39:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MarkR', 'S')o you want to replace one politically unstable energy producing region, with another. One that would also be considerably more vulnerable to weather/climate/disease anomalies?


No, you diversify and spread the risk, while reducing poverty in a poor region, which, in the long term, leads to greater stability of that region.

It simply doesn't make sense to subsidize farmers to grow low yielding crops, when you can get ten times the yield in the tropics. All we need is common sense and fair trade policies.

One of the main reasons why farmers in the South are so poor, is because the US and the EU subsidize their uncompetitive agriculture, a policy which borders on criminality.
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Re: If Americans switched to Diesel, we would save 40%.

Postby Guest » Sun 23 Jan 2005, 12:58:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('lorenzo', '
')I don't really see what's holding Americans back.


My electric 4 wheeled 'bike' isn't street legal (it goes 45 mph) and my electric bike isn't even legal (suped up to 30 - exceeds the 20 mph limit) so I'm stuck with a Prius.

Now, when you can find a sub $30,000 hybrid diesel, I'll make the switch. Untill then, I'm stuck with the 2 ton diesel truck.
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Postby Guest » Sun 23 Jan 2005, 13:03:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('lorenzo', 'I') know that article. It is completely flawed, since it takes low yielding crops (like rape and soy) as the basis for biodiesel.
.


So countries should not be fuel self-sufficent?

Yea....great plan. Yet you are advocating Brazil should go WITH the flawed plan and grow soy.
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Postby SilverHair » Sun 23 Jan 2005, 13:34:04

First of all, how many of you can afford to buy a deisel vehicle and abandon you gasoline vehicle. Remember that if we all made that move our present vehicles would be virtually worthless since nobody would be willing to buy used gasoline vehicles in this mad rush to switch to diesel. This applies to the many farm tractors as well.

Secondly, nature is telling you something when she makes biodiesel cost more than gasoline or petroleum diesel. She is saying that there is a limited amount of energy that I give you each year from the sun, and the difference between what it costs you to extract that yearly energy and the cost of extracting stored petroleum energy is a one time gift that is about to expire.

I am not sure that biodiesel will work except on a limited scale once petroleum diesel is depleted. Since production of suitable plant material will fall without petroleum input the cost of biodiesel will keep increasing. At the point where biodiesel is workable we may be too far gone to make it work.
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Postby Guest » Sun 23 Jan 2005, 14:05:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('SilverHair', '
')Secondly, nature is telling you something when she makes biodiesel cost more than gasoline or petroleum diesel. She is saying that there is a limited amount of energy that I give you each year from the sun, and the difference between what it costs you to extract that yearly energy and the cost of extracting stored petroleum energy is a one time gift that is about to expire.


Do I have your permission to use that mostly intact as part of a 'response' to the standard Peak Oil questions?

Sorrta like the fill in the blank "that won't cure spam because of these reasons" thing
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Re: If Americans switched to Diesel, we would save 40%.

Postby lorenzo » Sun 23 Jan 2005, 14:33:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Anonymous', '
')Now, when you can find a sub $30,000 hybrid diesel, I'll make the switch. Untill then, I'm stuck with the 2 ton diesel truck.


Are you saying that there are no normal diesel cars for sale in the US? How bizarre.

My Volkswagen 1.9L TDI New Beetle is available in the US for US$20,000.

http://www.vw.com/newbeetle/

As you can see, it's not a 2ton diesel truck. And why bother about expensive hybrids?
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Postby lorenzo » Sun 23 Jan 2005, 14:37:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Anonymous', '
')Yea....great plan. Yet you are advocating Brazil should go WITH the flawed plan and grow soy.


Please read the post about biodiesel. The plan is to use palm oil, which yields 15 times more oil per hectare than soy (FIFTEEN times).
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Postby lorenzo » Sun 23 Jan 2005, 14:40:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('SilverHair', 'S')econdly, nature is telling you something when she makes biodiesel cost more than gasoline or petroleum diesel.


Biodiesel from palm oil is around 20% cheaper than petrodiesel at current prices. It will get even cheaper in the future, if oil prices keep rising.
Add the scale advantages of huge plantations and real refineries, and it makes even more sense.
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Re: If Americans switched to Diesel, we would save 40%.

Postby Guest » Sun 23 Jan 2005, 15:54:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('lorenzo', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Anonymous', '
')Now, when you can find a sub $30,000 hybrid diesel, I'll make the switch.

Are you saying that there are no normal diesel cars for sale in the US? How bizarre.


No wonder you have a problem expressing yourself. English is not your native tounge. If it was, you'd note what was said is "when you can find a sub $30,000 hybrid diesel, I'll make the switch." not "there are no normal diesel cars for sale in the US."
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Postby Guest » Sun 23 Jan 2005, 16:14:25

What is the energy ratio of biodiesel? energy out/energy in. Is it more than 2? Can it replace oil?
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Re: If Americans switched to Diesel, we would save 40%.

Postby lorenzo » Sun 23 Jan 2005, 16:15:02

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Anonymous', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('lorenzo', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Anonymous', '
')Now, when you can find a sub $30,000 hybrid diesel, I'll make the switch.

Are you saying that there are no normal diesel cars for sale in the US? How bizarre.


No wonder you have a problem expressing yourself. English is not your native tounge. If it was, you'd note what was said is "when you can find a sub $30,000 hybrid diesel, I'll make the switch." not "there are no normal diesel cars for sale in the US."


Oh I see, so if understand you correctly (which is difficult indeed when English isn't your native tongue - tounge?), you are willing to switch to diesel but only if it's a hybrid, and only if it costs less than $30k.

Why is that? Why don't you want to drive a normal diesel car? I don't understand. Please explain.
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Postby SilverHair » Mon 24 Jan 2005, 23:18:15

How did you arrive at the conclusion that biodiesel from palm is 20% cheaper than petroleum diesel? In you other thread you indicated the current price of palm oil is $71 per barrel.
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Postby lorenzo » Tue 25 Jan 2005, 11:06:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('SilverHair', 'H')ow did you arrive at the conclusion that biodiesel from palm is 20% cheaper than petroleum diesel? In you other thread you indicated the current price of palm oil is $71 per barrel.


This is what I wrote in my other thread:

"4. -current crude palm oil prices fluctuate between US$450 MT and US$350 MT; in 2001 there was a historic low price of US$181 MT
-converted to barrels, this gives: (high) US$ 71 per barrel and (low) US$ 55 per barrel; if palm oil reaches its historic low price once more, it becomes *directly* competitive with crude oil (it would stand at US$ 29, competitive with today's price of US$ 41 per barrel of crude oil) "

Note that crude petroleum costs US$49 pb today.

Potentially, and with existing production capacities, palm oil could be as much as 40% cheaper (historic low price of US$181 per tonne, compared to today's crude petroleum price of US$300 per tonne).

In the future, with the scale advantages of larger plantations (if you were to plant them today), and with a steady increase in petroleum prices (of say 3% per year), palm oil could well be 50% cheaper before the end of 2010.
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Postby SilverHair » Tue 25 Jan 2005, 13:34:17

Well then I would say that biodiesel even from palm oil is more expensive than petroleum diesel based on the numbers you are presenting.

Is it realistic to think that the price of palm oil will fall to its historic low? If there is new demand for the oil for making biodiesel, I think the price will go up from where it is now, and not down. How long does it take from planting new trees to the first harvest? What is the current total output of palm oil compared to the amount of petroleum consumed?

Realistically, I think it will take much higher oil prices before any possible switch to biodiesel is workable, and even then, I have questions about viability. Without knowing the details, it took a huge amount of time for the petroleum to be builtup by storing sunlight in a highly inefficient process. Even with the most efficient process available today, how logical is it to think that we can extract energy from the current sunlight available on a yearly basis and convert it to usable energy to replace the huge store from the past.

I agree that biodiesel from something like palm oil or possibly algae, has a better shot than biodiesel from the low oil type crops, and a better shot than solar panels. If palm plantations are a viable answer then I am sure that some brave capatilist will put up his money and profit greatly from it, but I am not holding my breath.
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Postby pip » Fri 11 Feb 2005, 18:53:19

The US exports diesel to Europe to fuel all those diesel cars. Europe exports gasoline to the US because most cars are gasoline. There is already a balance there that can't be changed easily.
The road goes on forever and the party never ends - REK
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