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A "best ideas" program for dealing with PO

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Re: A "best ideas" program for dealing with PO

Postby Ludi » Mon 01 Oct 2007, 17:10:06

So how to deal with this kind of denial?


8O
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Re: A "best ideas" program for dealing with PO

Postby btu2012 » Mon 01 Oct 2007, 17:27:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'S')o how to deal with this kind of denial?


Well that's the problem faced by the PTB as I said. It's clear from the whole reaction that the denial is motivated by sheer terror at the thought that the limits might be there. Unconsciously people know that they live on borrowed time.

Because of this, the PTB mostly decided to manage the public as if they were children.

Again I think that better awareness will only be reached once the crisis becomes apparent (this is starting to happen). As was done with other issues in the past, one can start by slowly building knowledge around the problem. It would be a mistake to give the full information at once, as shown by the reaction to "Limits to growth" and other such reports.

So one can start by building some basic awareness of where resources come from, resource constraints, societal collapse, the nature of exponential trends (people have a hard time grasping this) etc. Then you can gradually introduce some reality-based discussion.

At this point though there is such deep denial about everything (especially what's really going on and has been going on in the world for the past 50 years) that a large component of such education is simply teaching people some basic facts about nature, society and recent history. Most of what people believe is ideological nonsense, neatly packaged into a left/right divide which has absolutely nothing to do with reality. Frankly it's hard to make any contact between what you hear or read in the media and the real world. They seem to be talking about another planet.

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Re: A "best ideas" program for dealing with PO

Postby Ludi » Mon 01 Oct 2007, 20:06:22

I haven't really seen the "sheer terror." I know you believe it's there, but, I haven't really seen any indication of it....what I see is the belief that "someone will take care of it" with ethanol, electric cars, nuke plants, etc etc....
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Re: A "best ideas" program for dealing with PO

Postby Pops » Mon 01 Oct 2007, 20:38:31

Interestingly I think the best idea for dealing with PO has been lurking around for a while.

The answer to PO is exactly what nearing the peak of hydrocarbon production has brought about – the threat of global warming.

Give folks an ultimatum (PO.com, etc.)
Or,
Give them a challenge (reducing Green House Gasses as in Going Green )

Going Green as in the several broadcast TV shows and more than a few network news segments I have seen lately.

Which do you think will achieve the greatest traction?

Don't get me wrong, I ain't moving back to town yet....
The legitimate object of government, is to do for a community of people, whatever they need to have done, but can not do, at all, or can not, so well do, for themselves -- in their separate, and individual capacities.
-- Abraham Lincoln, Fragment on Government (July 1, 1854)
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Re: A "best ideas" program for dealing with PO

Postby btu2012 » Mon 01 Oct 2007, 22:40:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'I') haven't really seen the "sheer terror." I know you believe it's there, but, I haven't really seen any indication of it....what I see is the belief that "someone will take care of it" with ethanol, electric cars, nuke plants, etc etc....


The terror is there. Just like the fear of death, it is buried deep beneath.

This is a world in which millions starve to death everyday, and in which there is some genocidal war going on somewhere at every moment.

We all know this but we somehow manage to live without thinking about it.

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Re: A "best ideas" program for dealing with PO

Postby btu2012 » Mon 01 Oct 2007, 22:41:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pops', 'I')nterestingly I think the best idea for dealing with PO has been lurking around for a while.

The answer to PO is exactly what nearing the peak of hydrocarbon production has brought about – the threat of global warming.

Give folks an ultimatum (PO.com, etc.)
Or,
Give them a challenge (reducing Green House Gasses as in Going Green )

Going Green as in the several broadcast TV shows and more than a few network news segments I have seen lately.

Which do you think will achieve the greatest traction?

Don't get me wrong, I ain't moving back to town yet....



Certainly the less scary idea will get better traction.

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Re: A "best ideas" program for dealing with PO

Postby Nicholai » Mon 01 Oct 2007, 22:51:32

Someone had asked several pages back if overpopulation is ever discussed in the public school system.

NO! NO! NO! NO!

I just got out of high school 3 months ago and this was never touched on. Instead I read Shakespeare and studied Huckleberry Fin. I told my teacher that in the future "Shakespeare will kindle fires and not minds" and he thought I was a crazy person.

I was at a provincial environmental conference and I asked a panel of Shell representatives if they thought that overpopulation might be one of the root causes of our enormous global warming dilemma. The first to respond mocked the question immediately, "Oops, I have 3 kids, I guess you want to put me in jail now, eh? (all members of the panel laughed as well as the audience)" I then sat back down without an answer to my question. I was laughed off stage and this was just under a year ago. Members of our provincial government were also in attendance and laughed with the rest.

I wish the worst for these people.
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Re: A "best ideas" program for dealing with PO

Postby roccman » Mon 01 Oct 2007, 23:10:08

It will not be business as usual...therefore:

1. Abandon economic growth model as an objective - "the american way of life is not sustainable...that means it cannot be sustained"...(Tim at WAW2Go)

2. Ban all commercials

3. Re-integration of old folk into society (pensioned independence is a new idea that has not worked)

4. Organic farming - for food only

5. Re-localization of production and living arrangements-think rail and barge...think 300 sq feet per person

6. Mass transit systems instead of individual cars-a stretch given we are out of the gates late, but an "idea"
"There must be a bogeyman; there always is, and it cannot be something as esoteric as "resource depletion." You can't go to war with that." Emersonbiggins
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Re: A "best ideas" program for dealing with PO

Postby muon » Tue 02 Oct 2007, 00:18:48

What measures would you suggest for dealing with overpopulation?

Would your solutions be different in an oil world to in a post-oil world?
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Re: A "best ideas" program for dealing with PO

Postby roccman » Tue 02 Oct 2007, 00:27:53

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('muon', 'W')hat measures would you suggest for dealing with overpopulation?

Would your solutions be different in an oil world to in a post-oil world?


I will assume you asked me these questions:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')hat measures would you suggest for dealing with overpopulation?


There is really only one solution that we have no control over.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')ould your solutions be different in an oil world to in a post-oil world?


No

I think the Georgia Guidestones have some well thought out suggestions...implementation is the trick...and the elites are planning to pull the rabbit from the hat for us.

Georgia Guidestones

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THE MESSAGE OF THE GEORGIA GUIDESTONES

1. Maintain humanity under 500,000,000 in perpetual balance with nature.
2. Guide reproduction wisely - improving fitness and diversity.
3. Unite humanity with a living new language.
4. Rule passion - faith - tradition - and all things with tempered reason.
5. Protect people and nations with fair laws and just courts.
6. Let all nations rule internally resolving external disputes in a world court.
7. Avoid petty laws and useless officials.
8. Balance personal rights with social duties.
9. Prize truth - beauty - love - seeking harmony with the infinite.
10.Be not a cancer on the earth - Leave room for nature - Leave room for nature.
"There must be a bogeyman; there always is, and it cannot be something as esoteric as "resource depletion." You can't go to war with that." Emersonbiggins
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Re: A "best ideas" program for dealing with PO

Postby btu2012 » Tue 02 Oct 2007, 06:10:19

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Nicholai', ' ')Members of our provincial government were also in attendance and laughed with the rest.

I wish the worst for these people.


Nicolai,

As time passes you will learn not to share all of your thoughts with everybody. You might think it dishonest but it is necessary in human society.

Those people are just in denial. Confronting them like this is an exercise in futility.

Btu

PS: Don't wish anyone harm. It makes your mind impure.
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Re: A "best ideas" program for dealing with PO

Postby btu2012 » Tue 02 Oct 2007, 06:15:49

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('muon', 'W')hat measures would you suggest for dealing with overpopulation?

Would your solutions be different in an oil world to in a post-oil world?


I would mostly propose incentives together with a change in taxation. But first of all the media needs to start telling the truth (the government can pressure them to do so). That education will take a while, even after peak. They just lied about so many things.

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Re: A "best ideas" program for dealing with PO

Postby muon » Tue 02 Oct 2007, 08:40:25

I did some reading on population growth and it seems a lot of countries are already lower than the replacement rate now. Without peak oil, I'd suggest looking at the reasons behind this for potential solutions. Maybe in societies where there's a high infant mortality rate people have more children to try to ensure at least one or two will make it to adulthood and reproduce themselves. In the majority of the countries with lower reproductive rates there's better healthcare, infrastructure, communications, I would surmise that leads to lower infant mortality. Then since WW2 we've had it almost the norm in developed countries for women to work outside the home, but not in fields where they can take children, in the countries with higher birth rates, I don't think that is so much the case. Also they seem to be countries with higher use of contraception and good or reasonable education, mandatory up to around age 16. A simplistic way to say this might be to say industrialisation is the 'cause' of the lower population growth in these countries, but even if you remove that term, why can't you use those things as guidelines for what is prodding reproduction overall, not in individuals who should surely still retain choice, but overall numbers?

There's other things too, I think media/propaganda plays a part, promoting the 'ideal' of the 2.2 children family, living in a 2/3 bedroom home, driving a small family car that doens't have enough seats for a dozen children. Adults have more social lives perhaps too, that mean they have different priorities over looking after children from the ages of 15 to 60.

In real life observation I've noticed a tendency for the children who grew up with little hopes for careers, especially in times of higher unemployment (despite that meaning less money to raise the children) to consider having children earlier. Those who wanted to go to university and have careers seemed to be more careful with contraception so they could plan their families more effectively.

Without global warming and peak oil, I would guess that more countries would fall to the replacement rate if they were enabled to work with these concepts. With global warming and peak oil, is it still possible to use these things rather than moving to a model with incentives and disincentives or force? If you believe you have a low chance of your children surviving and reproducing, then incentives or just asking people to have less children aren't as likely to work no matter what society you have because underneath it we're still animals with our DNA governing certain desires and needs. While peak oil might bring higher mortality and infant mortality rates, a lot of the talk here is about the greater likelihood of situations that would surely be more likely to raise the reproduction rates overall as people struggle to propagate their DNA successfully. While we had a much lower population density in the year 1900 say, in the UK, the number of children per women was far more likely to be in the region of five to ten and it took a few generations to go down to what it is now. If you turn society 'backwards' to what it was then, I see no reason why people would actually have less children instead of more as they did then?
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Re: A "best ideas" program for dealing with PO

Postby btu2012 » Tue 02 Oct 2007, 18:47:33

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', ' ')With global warming and peak oil, is it still possible to use these things rather than moving to a model with incentives and disincentives or force?


I am afraid that there's not enough time left for that because of the situation in the third world. The UN has tried what you propose for 50 years with mixed results. There are countries which are in a "population trap", too overpopulated to get out of poverty and caught in a negative feedback loop [see West Africa, Bangladesh].

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')f you turn society 'backwards' to what it was then, I see no reason why people would actually have less children instead of more as they did then?


You will have to rely on people's self-control, which can be ensured by culture. Given the environmental problems we'll have to go through I expect the culture of the survivors to be quite different from ours.

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Re: A "best ideas" program for dealing with PO

Postby bodigami » Tue 02 Oct 2007, 21:55:16

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('btu2012', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Nicholai', ' ')Members of our provincial government were also in attendance and laughed with the rest.

I wish the worst for these people.


Nicolai,

As time passes you will learn not to share all of your thoughts with everybody. You might think it dishonest but it is necessary in human society.

Those people are just in denial. Confronting them like this is an exercise in futility.

Btu

PS: Don't wish anyone harm. It makes your mind impure.


I concur. I've learned to not speak some stuff to some people (I rarely speak about buddhism with most people).
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Re: A "best ideas" program for dealing with PO

Postby btu2012 » Wed 03 Oct 2007, 12:09:08

Zensui,

Does your nym stand for the komuso practice ?

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Re: A "best ideas" program for dealing with PO

Postby Onyered » Thu 04 Oct 2007, 00:05:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('btu2012', '
')PS: Don't wish anyone harm. It makes your mind impure.

Very true.

People will not change until they have too. What we see as iminent, they see as life as normal.. The pain isn't great enough to make Americans give up their way of life. IMHO attempts to make the public aware are futile.

Monte said somewhere that by the time everyone accepts something is happening, it's too late to do anything about it.
------------------------------------There's the way things are, and the way they oughta be.What you do is more important than how you "feel".
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Re: A "best ideas" program for dealing with PO

Postby aldente » Fri 05 Oct 2007, 02:56:35

Forgot about the topic here, can anyone remind me what the discussion is all about?
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Re: A "best ideas" program for dealing with PO

Postby Cabrone » Fri 05 Oct 2007, 18:17:05

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'P')eople will not change until they have too


Exactly. Instead of fretting about whether other ppl are aware just do whatever you can to get yourself ready. Power down, find out about your local suppliers, educate yourself and try to learn practical skills that will help you (permaculture etc).

Don't concern yourself about the rest, it will drive you nuts so just accept that they will learn when the time is right. If you've mentioned this topic to your friends\family already just leave it at that, if they want to take note they will.

Just concentrate on giving yourself a head start. You never know, you might just find them needing your advice in the years ahead.
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Re: A "best ideas" program for dealing with PO

Postby bodigami » Sat 06 Oct 2007, 00:07:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('btu2012', 'Z')ensui,

Does your nym stand for the komuso practice ?

Btu


not really, it means Zen Simple User Interface... basically a trademark for a free Unix interface based on OpenGL that is in alpha.

I investigated if sui mean anything... and it does, it's an old form of saying water (...at least according to the Net). sui-something means easy to use. I knew about suizen later... but always loved how zensui sound. The name stuck... So basically now I use lowercase zensui as default membername.
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